David John Kennerley
Analyst · Wells Fargo
Thank you, Ron, and good morning, everyone. It's an honor to be here today for the first time as Kroger's Chief Financial Officer. Over the past few months, I've had the opportunity to meet teams all over Kroger and I've been impressed by the breadth and depth of talent in this great organization. My immediate focus is to build upon Kroger's existing momentum, leveraging our collection of unique assets and financial strength to accelerate our performance. To achieve this, I'll be concentrating initially on a few key priorities. First, capital allocation. We'll be highly disciplined in how we deploy capital, ensuring we invest in projects that generate strong returns with clear objective of improving ROIC over time. Second, cost optimization. We will focus on optimizing our cost structure, ensuring it aligns with, and supports our long-term financial targets and drives operational efficiency. We're going to modernize operations and ways of working across the board from corporate to our stores and supply chain to work smarter and more efficiently. Next, improving e-commerce profitability. While we've seen positive momentum here, my objective is to accelerate this improvement. As Ron said, we plan to review all aspects of our business to drive greater efficiency within our e-commerce cost structure and support growth for higher-margin revenue. Finally, growing market share. Kroger's collection of assets positions us well to win and grow share. My focus will be on ensuring we prioritize our resources to drive profitable market share growth, including an acceleration of storing projects and more competitive pricing. Kroger is a world-class retailer today, and we are well positioned for long-term growth. My objective as CFO is to ensure we appropriately allocate our resources to where we have the best opportunity to grow and win, while delivering strong financial returns. I'll now walk through our financial results for the quarter. We achieved identical sales without fuel growth of 3.2%, excluding adjustment items. Our sales growth was led by strong pharmacy, e-commerce and fresh sales. We are encouraged by organic script growth, including growth in non-GLP-1 prescriptions. Over recent quarters, we've seen improvement in grocery volumes, particularly in the perimeter of the store, which contributed to our sales growth this quarter. Volume improvement remains a key priority for us, and we expect sequential improvement throughout the year. We saw inflation slightly below 2% in the first quarter, in line with our expectations at the beginning of the year. Our FIFO gross margin rate, excluding rent, depreciation and amortization, fuel and adjustment items, increased 79 basis points in the first quarter compared to the same period last year. The improvement in rate was primarily attributable to the sale of Kroger Specialty Pharmacy, lower shrink and lower supply chain costs, partially offset by the mix effect from growth in pharmacy sales, which has lower margins. After excluding the effect from the sale of Kroger Specialty Pharmacy, our FIFO gross margin rate improved by 33 basis points. The operating, general and administrative rate, excluding fuel and adjustment items, increased 63 basis points in the first quarter compared to the same period last year. The increase in rate was primarily attributable to the sale of Kroger Specialty Pharmacy and an accelerated contribution to a multiemployer pension plan, partially offset by improved productivity. Consistent with our approach to managing future obligations, we made a strategic pension contribution this quarter. This allows us to prefund future requirements and importantly, help secure long-term benefits for our associates. Multi-employer pension contributions drove a 29 basis point increase in our OG&A rate in the quarter. After adjusting for the effect from the sale of Kroger Specialty Pharmacy and the multi-employer pension contributions, our OG&A rate was relatively flat on an underlying basis. As I mentioned earlier, cost optimization is one of my top priorities. We will look for new ways to modernize work and operate more efficiently, not only to fund investments in our customer experience but also to deliver on our financial commitments. Looking out for the balance of the year, we expect both our FIFO gross margin rate and OG&A rate on an underlying basis to remain relatively flat as we balance price and wage investments with margin enhancement efforts. Our adjusted FIFO operating profit was $1.5 billion, and adjusted EPS was $1.49 in Q1. Fuel is an important part of Kroger's strategy and offers an important way to build loyalty with customers through the fuel rewards in our Kroger Plus program. Fuel results were behind expectations this quarter and a headwind to our results. Fuel sales were lower this quarter compared to last year, attributable to lower average retail price per gallon and fewer gallons sold. While gallons sold declined compared to last year, our gallon sales continue to outpace the industry. Fuel profitability was also behind the same period last year as a result of fewer gallons sold. We expect fuel will be a headwind to our results for the remainder of the year. As Ron shared earlier, our e-commerce business continued its strong performance. We grew e-commerce sales by 15% and increased our rate of profit improvement from our previous record improvement in the fourth quarter of 2024. We're pleased with our continued progress and confident we're on the right path, but our clear goal is to accelerate this momentum. To that end, our new e-commerce structure unifies all teams contributing to our e-commerce experience with a clear mandate to enhance our e-commerce operations for both improved profitability and a superior customer experience. Their efforts will center on deploying new technology, improving density in our fulfillment operations and accelerating the growth of our retail media platform. We expect these initiatives to be significant drivers of our e-commerce acceleration. I'd also like to provide an update on recent developments concerning our contract with Ocado. Last week, Ocado drew down the entire $152 million from its letter of credit under our existing agreement. As mentioned earlier by Ron, we're undertaking a comprehensive review of our e-commerce operations and reviewing all aspects of the business to drive growth by improving the customer experience, while improving profitability. I'd like to take a moment to provide a brief update on associate and labor relations. We made significant progress on agreements this quarter. Specifically, we ratified new labor agreements with more than 23,000 associates. Since Q1 closed, we have ratified a new collective bargaining agreement for store associates in our Mid-Atlantic division. And reached a fully recommended settlement for associates in Seattle. In total, this covers approximately 16,000 associates. Kroger is working to reach an agreement with the UFCW for store associates at approximately 80 King Soopers store locations in Denver Metro, Pueblo and Colorado Springs. Associates at these stores chose to strike for 14 days during the first quarter, and negotiations are ongoing. We respect our associates right to collectively bargain. As Ron said earlier, we continue to meaningfully improve wages and benefits. The company's investment in associate wages has increased the average hourly rate to more than $19.50. That figure grows to more than $25 with benefits like health care and pensions factored in that many of our competitors do not offer. We are proud to be a retailer, which offers fair wages and comprehensive benefits. Kroger's goal in every labor negotiation is to provide employees with stability and advancement opportunities, while working to reach a fair and balanced agreement that both rewards our associates and keeps groceries affordable for the millions of families we serve. I'd now like to turn to capital allocation and financial strategy. Kroger generated strong adjusted free cash flow this quarter, driven by our operating results. Free cash flow is important to our model, providing liquidity to our operations and allowing us to maintain a strong balance sheet. At the end of the first quarter, Kroger's net total debt to adjusted EBITDA was 1.69 compared to our net total debt to adjusted EBITDA target ratio range of 2.3 to 2.5. Our strong free cash flow and balance sheet provide us flexibility to invest in our business and other opportunities to enhance shareholder value. Our capital allocation priorities remain consistent and are designed to deliver total shareholder return of 8% to 11% over time. We are focused on investing in projects that will maximize return on invested capital over time, while remaining committed to maintaining our current investment-grade rating, growing our dividend subject to board approval and returning excess capital to shareholders. A key priority for Kroger is to improve ROIC. We expect to do this by improving asset utilization and reallocating capital towards higher-return projects which will drive long-term shareholder value. As Ron mentioned earlier, we have announced plans today to close roughly 60 underperforming stores across the country in an effort to optimize our store network. At the same time, we are actively investing for growth in new store projects. We expect to complete 30 major storing projects in 2025, focusing our investments in high-growth areas. We will continue to prioritize new store growth and expect these to be a meaningful contributor to our long-term growth model. We're delivering on our commitment to return excess capital to shareholders. We expect our $5 billion ASR program to be completed by no later than the third fiscal quarter of 2025. The ASR is being completed under Kroger's $7.5 billion share repurchase authorization. After completion of the ASR program, Kroger expects to resume open market share repurchases under the remaining $2.5 billion authorization. Kroger expects to complete these open market share repurchases by the end of the fiscal year, which is contemplated in full year guidance. I would now like to provide some additional detail on our outlook for the rest of the year. We are pleased with our first quarter sales, which reflects strength in pharmacy, e-commerce and fresh. As a result, we are raising our identical sales without fuel guidance to a new range of 2.25% to 3.25%. We expect second quarter identical sales without fuel to be roughly at the midpoint of our full year guidance range. With respect to the store closures discussed earlier, we anticipate these will occur over the next 18 months. There is a modest financial benefit to closing these stores. However, we intend to reinvest the efficiencies back into the customer experience. And as a result, this will not impact our full year guidance. While first quarter sales and profitability exceeded our expectations, the macroeconomic environment remains uncertain, and as a result, other elements of our guidance remain unchanged. As such, we are reaffirming our full year guidance for net operating profit and adjusted earnings per share. I will now turn the call back to Ron.