Jeff Clarke
Analyst · Shannon Cross from Cross Research. Your line is open
Thank you, Dave. Welcome, everyone and thank you for joining the Q4 investor call for Kodak. It’s been two years since I joined Kodak and I am pleased with the progress made during 2015 in the Kodak transformation. Today, in addition to our earnings review we are announcing strategic and product decisions with regard to our enterprise inkjet and silver metal mesh touch sensor businesses. The PROSPER business has significant potential for accelerated growth. To achieve its full economic potential, PROSPER will be best leveraged by a company with significantly larger sales and distribution footprint in their digital printing markets. Due to the success of the PROSPER business and significant progress achieved to date, we have received strategic interest in the PROSPER business from companies and their financial representatives. We are in discussion with prospective buyers to purchase the business from Kodak and we have hired Sagent advisors and DC Advisory which share Daiwa Securities as a common shareholder to manage the sales process for us. We will continue to execute this business and invest in the development of PROSPER and ULTRASTREAM the next generation inkjet rating systems during the sales process. ULTRASTREAM will greatly expand the market reach of this technology. It is an exceptional technology and the product set is highly valued by the printing industry. This decision represents a change in direction as up until making this decision we had expected PROSPER to continue to be growth driver of our business. Let me address this with providing some observation and conclusions which led us to this decision. In the digital printing industry there are companies of significantly more scale than Kodak. The success of PROSPER and the development of ULTRASTREAM require significant scaling and investment in the go-to-market resources. For example, at Kodak we have approximately 40 sales people dedicated to PROSPER. Potential buyers have hundreds and even thousands of additional sales business development and services headcount already deployed in geographies around the world which will be synergistic to a PROSPER combination. Number two, PROSPER presses sell for $2 million to $3 million each. Due to the competitive pressures in the inkjet market, PROSPER presses are often placed in loss on the basis that the annuity will yield a system profit overtime. Prospective acquirers of PROSPER are better positioned to make this magnitude of investment. Third, most of our competitors provide captive commercial financing to their customer which allows for more flexibility. In terms of third party financing, Kodak is limited in our ability to compete with significantly larger companies in financing. Since PROSPER is a relatively new product the residual value history required for third party commercial financing will not be available in the near future. After the sale of PROSPER is completed the impact to Kodak will be an improved balance sheet due to the purchase price proceeds as well as less CapEx in working capital investment which today supports the growth of PROSPER. We expect the proceeds will be used to reduce existing debt. In the medium and longer term post sale Kodak will grow slower and of less overall EBITDA in 2017 and beyond. However, given the strong prospects for Sonora, Flexo packaging, software and 3D printing Kodak will continue to have strong and diversified growth engines. In addition, we made the decision to focus on the development of touch sensors using copper metal mesh technology. Micro 3D printing is an important element of our portfolio and we have been developing offerings based on silver as well as copper technologies. After extensive discussions with industry participants it is clear our fully additive copper metal mesh technology is the winning approach in terms of overall cost, set up cost and the scalability of larger screens. We will continue to make silver halide sell available to touch screen sensor manufacturers. On the remainder of the call today, I’ll talk about the company results for the full year 2015 as well as our guidance for 2016. John McMullen will then follow with more details on the fourth quarter 2015 divisional performance, cost reduction update and the fourth quarter cash flow performance after which we’ll welcome your questions. Now moving onto our results. Starting on page five we delivered strong 2015 operating performance with $122 million of operational EBITDA which was higher than the guidance we provided for the year for operational EBITDA of $100 million to $120 million. We also delivered greater than the targeted cost structure savings which improved profit leverage going forward. In addition, within 2015 our quality of earnings has improved meaningfully. Operational EBITDA has improved year-over-year in all divisions with the exception of the consumer and film division due to the continued expected decline in consumer inkjet profit. As shown on slide six, growth businesses have expanded from 16% for the full year to 22% of Kodak revenues for the full year 2015. Overall, our growth engines grew 29% in 2015. Slide seven presents the company’s product portfolio to reflect the strategic decision for PROPSER. This is the way we view the company going forward. Growth engines include Sonora, Flex NX, software and solutions and Micro 3D printing. Strategic other businesses include plates, CTP and service and PSD NexPress, and related toner business in PSD, entertainment and commercial film in CFT, consumer products licensing CFT Eastern business product and IP licensing. Planned declining businesses, our products lines where you made the decisions to stop new product development and to manage an orderly expected decline in the installed product and annuity base. These product families include consumer inkjet and CFT, first to market EIFT and Digimaster and PSD. Non-recurring businesses include PROSPER and the $70 million of non-recurring ITO licenses that were recognized in 2014. From slide seven you can see that the majority of the Kodak product portfolio is stable to growing 83% of the company’s full year revenue in 2015 was basically flat on a constant currency basis. The expected decreases in the planned declining and non-recurring businesses results and the total company’s revenues declining for the full year. We are making progress and changing the trajectory for the full company into 2016 as the growth engines become a larger portion of the company’s revenues. As shown on slide eight in March of 2015 we guided the operational EBITDA of $100 million to $120 million assuming an unfavourable foreign exchange impact of $21 million. Our guidance represented a 50% to 80% year-over-year improvement on a comparable basis. For the full year 2015 the actual unfavourable impact of foreign exchange and operational EBTIDA was $26 million. Full year 2015 actual operational EBITDA was $122 million despite the greater than anticipated impact of foreign exchange and above the high end of the 2015 operational EBITDA guidance. Now I’ll talk about the business by division which is presented on slide nine for the full year 2015. Starting with the print systems division. Full year revenues were $1.1 billion a 12% decline compared to 2014. Operational EBITDA was $98 million, 5% better than the same period a year ago. On a constant currency basis PSD revenues declined 4% while operational EBITDA improved by 15%. These results were achieved despite tough challenges. The decline in year-over-year revenues is primarily due to foreign exchange, global economic volatility particularly in Brazil, Japan and China and competitive pricing pressures. In 2015, we achieved our goal of growing SONORA volume by 50% year-over-year. Our sales of SONORA placed within Japan, our most recently entered country are tracking as planned and we are actively ramping this part of the business. On the Q3, 2015 Investor call, we announced the release of two new products, Kodak Electromax and Libra. Today, we have about 50 customers using these two new plate offerings, so we are off to a good start. For the full year 2015 on the strength of SONORA, overall plate volume was flat compared to the prior year. Despite an overall decline in the industry and volatility seen in some of the larger economies around the world. While we were successful at maintaining stable plate volume, we are continuing to see low single digit plate price erosion. In addition, as a result of aluminum hedging program we did not realize the full benefit of decline prices in 2015. Continuing on the cost side, we have now converted the America’s SONORA Plate manufacturing to our Columbus, Georgia facility from our leased operation in the U.K. The facility is running well and the transition of SONORA plate manufacturing from Europe to the Americas was seamless. We anticipated between $20 million to $25 million of annualized productivity gains of lease closures and we are now fully realizing the benefits of this action. We also plan to continue with cost reductions of productivity improvements as appropriate which will help overcome the headwinds we anticipate from continuing price erosion and weak global economies. We’ve been -- anticipate continuing cost reductions to offset the price erosion. Also within the PSD envision is our electrophotographic printing solutions or EPS business where we have our NexPress and Digimaster products. Year-over-year EPS performance improved, with NexPress driving the majority of the improvement while our legacy black and white Digimaster product declined as expected. In 2015, we increased Nexpress placements approximately 16% from 67 to 78 units. In 2016 we will continue to focus on our growing our Nexpress installed base while driving productivity and cost improvements across the entire EPS portfolio. Moving onto the Enterprise inkjet systems division which for 2015 includes our PROSPER and Legacy Versamark systems. For the full year 2015 PSD revenues were $173 million down $185 million in the same period last year. On a constant currency basis, revenues improved by $2 million. Operational EBITDA for the full year 2015 was a negative $26 million an $18 million improvement compared to the prior year. The improvement to operational EBITDA was $23 million on a constant currency basis. The improvement in operational EBITDA reflects the reduction in revenues and earnings contribution from the Versamark Legacy brand more than offset by growth and improvement in PROSPER contribution to higher consumables and cost reductions. PROSPER revenues for the full year 2015 grew by 35% or 40% on a constant currency basis. Total PROSPER annuity growth was 28% on a constant currency basis. For 2015 we grew PROSPER equipment placements by approximately 41%. 16 new PROSPER presses were sold and placed with it further six contracted for delivery or in a process of installation. We were short of our ambitious goal of installing 25 PROSPER systems primarily due to the timing of the orders received. This is a significant growth of the 2009 to 2014 cumulative five year installed base of 39 presses. We are not at an installed base of 55 units. We also increased our installed base of PROSPER S Series print edge by over 15% for the full year period. Moving on to the Micro 3D printing and packaging division which for 2015 include FLEXCEL NX system systems and plates as well as touch sensor film with the silver mesh and copper mesh technology. For the full year 2015, MPPD revenues were $128 million, flat compared to $130 million in the same period of last year, however, on a constant currency basis revenues improved by $12 million or 9%. Operational EBITDA improved from a negative $1 million to $9 million positive a year-over-year improvement of $10 million. Operational EBITDA improved $14 million on a constant currency basis. The improvement in this division represents strong growth in the FLEXCEL NX packaging business as well as less investment in Micro 3D printing as we shift from research to commercialization. This FLEXCEL NX packaging business has shown continued strong momentum. FLEXCEL NX revenue increased by 12% year-over-year or 24% on a constant currency basis and the installed base grew by 20% year-over-year ending at over 470 installed FLEXCEL NX CTPs. Plate volume increased 26% year-over-year for the full year. The significant advantages of our FLEXCEL NX systems are the improved efficiency in our management without sacrificing quality, reduced press downtime, faster writing speed and reduced waste and in consumption. FLEXCEL NX plates have enabled our customers to drive substantial efficiencies in the printing operations, greater than 20% in some cases while improving the consistency and quality of the packaging they deliver to the brand clients. Our packaging business is a significantly profitable business in our portfolio with double digit market share proving -- able to do in markets in relatively shorter quarter with our technology innovation. FLEXCEL NX was introduced in 2008 and continues to represent a significant growth area for Kodak. Micro 3D printing as I indicated earlier, we are exiting the silver mesh technology and are moving ahead with a focus on copper mesh touch sensors. At this year’s CE as our copper technology was well received by customers and we are pursuing a number of our cues [ph] particularly in the industrial segment. After investment in Micro 3D printing for the past several years we were very close to shifting to revenues which will result in reduced investment required in 2016. The Software and Solutions Division which includes PRINERGY workflow software had a strong year. For the full year 2015, SSD revenues were $112 million, up $108 million in the same period last year. On a constant currency basis revenues improved by $30 million or 12%. Operationally, EBITDA improved from $3 million to $9 million and year-over-year improvement is $6 million which corresponds to a $9 million improvement on a constant currency basis. The improvement in this division represents higher revenue from Kodak technology solutions. The improvement in operational EBITDA was due to cost improvements in unified workflow solutions and improved efficiencies. The Consumer and Film Division include consumer inkjet cartridges, motion picture, commercial film and synthetic chemicals as well as our consumer products group which includes licensing of the Kodak brand. For the full year revenues for CFD were $265 million, down from $25 million from $352 million driven by a 41% reduction in consumer inkjet revenue. Operational EBITDA declined from $66 million to $52 million, better than expected due to the improvement in our film business. For the fourth quarter in a row film reported profitable quarter on the basis of operational EBITDA before corporate cost which was our goal. We continue to develop new opportunities in film and consumer products businesses and have plans for growth in these categories in 2016. We anticipated in continued reduction in revenues and earnings from the consumer inkjet printer cartridge business in 2016. The Intellectual Property Solutions Division includes the company’s research lab as well as intellectual property licensing not directly related to other business divisions. For the full year we had modest revenue in the division. Operational EBITDA was a negative $22 million for the full year 2015 an improvement of $8 million from the negative $30 million in the full year 2014 when excluding non-recurring IP licensing. The improvement is a result of focussed reductions in research programs. As mentioned in our previous earnings call, we are pursuing partnerships in our up and other opportunities to commercialize Kodak’s inventions. On the Q3 2015 earnings call we announced the signing of a Memorandum of Understanding with Carbon 3D a promising Silicon Valley start up company which aims to shift 3D printing beyond prototyping to achieve 3D manufacturing. We are pleased to announce this MoU has expanded to a joint development agreement which we signed in February of this year. We are working on agreeing on the statements of work for further cooperation with Carbon 3D. Given our pipeline to monetize IP activities we expect to cover the majority of research cost within IPSD with single to double digit revenues. Based on actions already taken, we have reduced the 2016 run rate of R&D expenses by $6 million year-over-year. Coupled with a healthy pipeline of IP monetization activities we are positioned to deliver better year-over-year improvement than the run rate alone would suggest. Continuing through our final division, Eastman Business Park, full year 2015 revenues were $13 million down slightly from 2014 due to the timing of tenant transition. Operational EBITDA was $2 million up from $1 million in 2014. The overall operating efficiency of the Park is improving and we have a healthy pipeline of potential tenants. Currently Kodak operates approximately 55% of Eastman Business Park, external tenants occupy approximately 25% and there is approximately 20% available for lease. The site also includes 200 acres of prime industrial land available for development. Now to update you on our 2016 financial targets. On slide 10 of our 2016 guidance for revenues is $1.5 billion to $1.7 billion and operational EBITDA were $130 million to $150 million. We expect to see a year-over-year unfavourable impact to foreign exchange of approximately $30 million in revenue and $6 million in operational EBITDA based on the January rates. The operational EBITDA guidance represents a 12% to 29% improvement on a comparable basis versus 2015 adjusting for the year-over-year impact of foreign exchange. This guidance is on a continuing operations basis and excludes the PROSPER and silver metal mesh businesses includes the expected decline in consumer inkjet EBITDA from the anticipated reduction in replacement ink cartridge sales as well as the expense incurred for the company for the global print show Drupa which occurs once every three years in Germany. Despite these items will continue to see growth in our divisions through greater productivity improvements and a larger mix of growth engine revenues. I’ll turn it over to John to discuss Q4 performance, updates and cash on cost reductions and cash flow. John?