Derek Lowe
Analyst · B. Riley Securities. Please go ahead, Liam. Your line is now open
Thank you, Maxine, and good morning, ladies and gentlemen. My name is Derek Lowe, and I'm the Chief Executive and Chief Financial Officer of KNOT Offshore Partners. Welcome to the Partnership's earnings call for the first quarter of 2025. Our website is knotoffshorepartners.com, and you can find the earnings release there along with this presentation. On Slide 2, you will find guidance on the inclusion of forward-looking statements in today's presentation. These are made in good faith and reflect the management's current views, known and unknown risks and are based on assumptions and estimates that are inherently subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies, many of which are beyond our control. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in forward-looking statements, and the partnership does not have or undertake a duty to update any such forward-looking statements made as of the date of this presentation. For further information, please consult our SEC filings, especially in relation to our annual and quarterly results. Today's presentation also includes certain non-US GAAP measures, and our earnings release includes a reconciliation of these to the most directly comparable GAAP measures. On Slide 3, we have the financial and operational headlines for Q1. Revenues were $84 million, operating income $23.4 million and net income $7.6 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $52.2 million. We closed Q1 with $101 million in available liquidity, made up of $67 million in cash and cash equivalents, plus $34 million in undrawn capacity on our credit facilities. We operated with 99.5% utilization, taking into account the start of two dry dockings, which amounts to 96.9% utilization overall. Following the end of Q1, we declared a cash distribution of $0.026 per common unit, which was paid in early May. On to Slide 4. Our outlook remains positive on both industry dynamics and the partnership's positioning to participate fruitfully in our markets. Significant growth is anticipated in production in fields, which rely on service by shuttle tankers. In particular, we've seen Brazilian FPSOs delivering and starting up ahead of schedule with quite a few still to come. In the North Sea, the long-awaited Johan Castberg FPSO started production following shortly after the Penguins FPSO back in February. On the vessel supply front, we are seeing continued newbuild orders placed in order to service the large new production volumes coming online in the years ahead. This includes for our sponsor, Knutsen NYK, whose most recent order was placed in March. A measured amount of new shuttle tanker ordering is unavoidable and in fact, necessary as a shortage of shuttle tanker capacity remains projected in the coming years. As usual, for the shuttle market, we believe that all known newbuild orders are backed by firm client charters, which minimizes or even eliminates a dynamic of speculation around anticipated supply into the global fleet in two to three years' time. The partnership remains financially resilient with a strong contracted revenue position of $854 million at the end of Q1 on fixed contracts, which averaged 2.3 years in duration. Transfers options are additional to this and average a further 4.7 years. With the market having strengthened and given expectations for tightness in the years ahead, the economic rationale for exercising these options has been strengthening, and we increasingly expect these options to be taken up. And our cash generation and liquidity balance is sufficient for our operations and the significant paydown rate for our debt, which is in the region of $90 million per year for installment payments. The debt from the Live acquisition fits in with this repayment profile also. On Slide 5, a number of developments in Q1 were announced already on the previous earnings call. Most notably, our near-term chartering exposure was addressed by a swap of the Dan Sabia for the Live Knutsen. Slide 6 contains additional details on that vessel swap, which is explained further in our Form 20-F filing as a subsequent event in our 2024 annual report. On Slide 7, our most recent developments include the Hilda Knutsen going on hire with Shell in late March on the 1-year fixed charter, the addition of one vessel to our potential drop-down inventory, which is the newbuild order I mentioned earlier. And the current charter for Brazil Knutsen has also been extended to September when she will be redelivered from PetroRio and then delivered out to Equinor. On to Slide 8, you can see consistent and growing revenues over the quarters and years, along with improving profitability. Slide 9 similarly reflects consistent and growing adjusted EBITDA, and you can find the definition of this non-GAAP measure in the appendix. On Slide 10, we show the change in our balance sheet from the end of 2024 to the 31 of March 2025. The main point to note there is that even after the assumption of $73 million of debt from the Live acquisition, our long-term debt balance rose by the much lower figure of $47 million in that period, which reflects the contractual debt repayments we make in the area of $90 million per year. The debt facilities can be seen on Slide 11, which sets out the maturity profile. On Line 1, the first of our revolving credit facilities is due to mature in August 2025. And on Line 2, the loan secured by Tove Knutsen and Synnove Knutsen matures over September and October 2025. The second revolver matures in November 2025. We typically seek to refinance such facilities on very comparable terms, and we have a good track record of refinancing success even in less favorable market environments. The highlighted column shows how the outstanding balances of each facility have been reducing because of the repayments we've been making in line with scheduled repayment terms. The current installments are the amounts of capital repayment due over the next year, which do not include interest or the final balloon payments due on maturity dates. Of note, $96 million in current installments is due to be paid over the 12 months following 31st of March 2025. Our typical pattern is for our vessels to provide security for our debt facilities, and that now applies to the whole fleet of 18 vessels. In addition to the $932 million of secured debt, the two revolving credit facilities totaling $50 million of capacity are unsecured. The maturity profile of these debt is set out graphically on Slide 12. As you can see, repayments are spread out over the coming years, but include material balloons in each of 2025 and 2026. Slide 13 shows the contracted pipeline in chart format, reflecting the developments I set out earlier as well as the fact that Raquel Knutsen's option period is the only material outstanding period until Q2 of 2026. While nothing is certain until it's formally in place, we are cautiously optimistic about securing that additional coverage in the current tight market, either as an extension or under a new charter. Similarly, Slide 14 highlights an encouraging 96% of fixed charter coverage for the last three quarters of 2025. We currently have 75% of 2026 fixed as well, although the open percentage does rise materially over the course of the year, which demonstrates the need for our continuing commercial efforts. On Slide 15, we see our sponsors' inventory of vessels which are eligible for purchase by the partnership. This applies to any vessel owned by or an order for our sponsor, where the vessel has secured a firm contract period at least five years in length. At present, four existing vessels and six under construction fall into this category. There is no assurance that any further acquisitions will be made by the partnership and any transaction will be subject to the Board approval of both parties, which includes the partnership's independent conflicts committee. We continue to believe that key components of KNOP's strategy and value proposition are accretive investment in the fleet and a long-term sustainable distribution. At present, we see a compelling opportunity to increase our revenue backlog and long-term cash flow while lowering our average fleet age by drop-downs from KNOT. As such, we intend to pursue long-term charter visibility and accretive drop-down supportive of long-term cash flow generation. On Slide 16 to 18, we have provided some useful illustrations of the strong demand dynamics in the Brazilian market as published by Petrobras. We encourage you to review Petrobras' materials directly at the web pages shown there. The primary takeaway from each of these slides is consistent. There's very significant committed demand growth coming in the Brazilian market in the form of new FPSOs that will require regular service from shuttle tankers. We believe that recent reports of additional vessel construction contracts are an endorsement of the strong anticipated market conditions in the medium and longer term. Six outstanding newbuild contracts are for our sponsor, Knutsen NYK that are due for delivery over late 2025 to early 2028. We would not be surprised to see further newbuild orders placed in order to service the large new production volumes coming online in the years ahead. In a trend that also applies to oil production globally, you'll see that even in the years ahead when aggregate production growth slows down, deep offshore production, in this case, in the Brazilian pre-salt continues to outpace the overall market and take market share. On Slide 19, we provide information relevant to our US unitholders, in particular, those seeking a Form 1099. Those holding units via their custodians or brokers should approach those parties directly. Those with directly registered holdings should contact our transfer agent, Equiniti Trust Company, whose details are shown there. On Slide 20, we include some reminders of the strong fundamentals of our business in the market we serve, our assets, competitive landscape, robust contractual footprint and resilient finances. I'll finish with Slide 21, recapping our financial and operational performance in Q1 2025 and the subsequent time and our current outlook. We're glad to have delivered high and safe utilization, which have generated consistent financial performance. We're particularly pleased to have filled the contracting schedule and taken a further growth step by swapping Dan Sabia for Live Knutsen. Our continued commercial focus remains on adding to our longer-term charter visibility and the cash flows that provide us with the capacity for both accretive investment in the fleet and a long-term sustainable distribution. And in the coming months, we will also be addressing the four refinancings, which are coming due this year. In total, though, we are making good progress and pleased to have established positive momentum against an improving market backdrop. Thank you for listening. And with that, I'll hand the call back to Maxine for any questions.