Amin Khoury
Analyst · Jefferies. Your line is now open
Thank you, Michael, and good morning, everyone. We are very pleased to be speaking with you this morning, as we review what has been an extraordinarily productive third quarter. During the quarter, management completed the merger of the Aerospace Solutions business with The Boeing Company; the spin-off of the Energy Services business into a publicly-traded company; the issuance of $250 million of senior secured notes due 2025; the addition of the large diameter coiled tubing product service line through the acquisition of Motley Services; the successful launch of our DHPS service line, including our proprietary line of dissolvable plugs; and the launch of the HydroPull tool used in our thru-tubing operations that complements our large diameter coiled tubing product service line. During this period, we also completed the establishment of our IT, legal, accounting, tax, treasury, risk management, internal audit, and human resources functions to be able to operate as a standalone public company with robust financial and operating controls independent from our former parent KLX Inc. Additionally, in our efforts to continue to address the trend towards extended reach laterals and plug & perf style completions, we introduced to our customer base several important new proprietary product service lines. First, a line of magnesium-based dissolvable plugs, which we co-developed with an engineering firm; second, our patented debris-less flotation collar; and finally, a HydroPull tool used in our thru-tubing operations and which complements our large diameter coiled tubing PSL. The HydroPull tool was introduced to a cooperative marketing agreement. These new proprietary product service lines are already making a solid impact on fourth quarter revenues. As we move forward as an independent public company, we expect to leverage our integrated platform to continue to launch new and differentiated product service lines through internal development, through partnerships and licensing agreements and through acquisition. We believe KLXE has a unique opportunity to capitalize on our very broad geographical coverage, our strong customer relationships, our diversified portfolio of services and products, and our premier reputation in each of our served markets. We intend to maintain a strong balance sheet and substantial liquidity to effectively navigate the cyclicality of the energy markets, while continuing to build long-term value for our shareholders. On today’s call, we will review the current oilfield services market, discuss our third quarter financial performance and provide full-year 2018 financial guidance, along with our preliminary outlook for 2019. Let’s now review the oilfield services market. For the most recent period, the industry has reported relatively stable drilling activity in the U.S. onshore market, with the overall recount up about 13%, as compared to the prior year, but essentially flat as compared to the prior quarter. On average, drilled but uncompleted wells, or DUCs, have increased almost 10%, as compared to the prior quarter and now stand at approximately 8,500 DUCs, with approximately 3,900 of those, or 45% in the Permian alone. The Permian Basin accounted for a majority of the increase in DUCs, growing approximately 20% quarter-over-quarter. Growth in the Permian DUC count can be primarily attributed to pipeline takeaway capacity issues and to a lesser extent, the inability of many operators to move equipment due to the Texas floods. The Permian pipeline takeaway capacity issue has resulted in a significant slowdown in completion activity and a dramatic increase in the number of drilled but uncompleted wells. We believe this trend will reverse, as additional pipeline capacity comes online in 2019, and as operators become more efficient with multi-well pads. In fact, we believe the oilfield services industry does not have the capacity to support the expected increase in completion activity in 2019. We are already experiencing a very substantial increase in RFP activity, as E&P operators try to lock up quality service providers. This activity is expected to increase further, as E&P customers finalize their 2019 CapEx budgets. In fact, one of our customers has offered up price increases to ensure availability of equipment and personnel. Although quarter-over-quarter drilling rig count was flat in the third quarter, the number of drilling permits issued increased substantially with over 4,800 drilling permits issued in the U.S. in October alone. That was up nearly 40% month-over-month and 23% year-over-year. The Rockies, more specifically Wyoming and Colorado, accounted for approximately half of oil permits issued and let all regions with an approximate 1,000, or 80% month-over-month increase. As you well know, U.S. crude oil production exceeded 11 million barrels per day for the first time in August of 2018, and the EIA expects U.S. crude production to average about 12 million barrels per day in 2019, rivaling Russia and Saudi Arabia. This growth in production is being driven by surging domestic unconventional shale output, which is replacing declining production from conventional resources. The rate of growth of global demand output by OPEC members, international non-OPEC members, Iran Sanctions and potential additional releases from our Strategic Petroleum Reserve are all factors which will influence the price of oil in 2019. However, there is very little excess supply to meet growing global demand. The combination of reduced offshore investment, the rapid decline curves of shale wells, and the time pullback and production by international producers in the face of continuous long-term demand growth, bodes well for those companies, which can create sustainable model. Let’s now turn to Slide 3 and discuss our third quarter 2018 consolidated results. Third quarter 2018 consolidated revenues of $123 million, represented 38% organic revenue growth, as compared to the same period in the prior year. Our consolidated results reflect a 34% increase in Rocky Mountains segment revenues, a 66% increase in Northeast/Mid-Con revenues and a 22% increase in Southwest segment revenues. On a product line basis, completion, production and intervention revenues increased approximately 52%, 43% and 11%, respectively. The strong organic revenue growth numbers speak to the overall growth in our customer base; the breadth of our services, which we are supplying to our customers; and the increasing share of customer spend, which we are realizing. Clearly, we are becoming more important to our customers by being able to offer a broad portfolio of specialized services and equipment, including our own proprietary product service lines. This has resulted in an increase in individual customer spend for the services, which we provide. In fact, in the third quarter, the number of our customers that generated over $3 million in quarterly revenues increased by 150% and the number of our customers that generated over $2 million in quarterly revenues more than doubled, as compared to the same period in the prior year. In fact, we served almost 600 customers during the quarter, and the top 25 of those customers generated about 65% of Q3 sales. On a sequential quarterly basis, revenues increased 4.5%, driven by strong growth in our Northeast/Mid-Con geo region, which was partially offset by lower revenues in our Southwest region due to the Texas floods. 17 consecutive days of rain and the attendant floods, road and highway closures and impassable mud negatively impacted third quarter Southwest segment revenues by approximately $6 million, or about 13%. While we expect Permian takeaway issues to continue to negatively impact E&P operators in our Southwest region, our recent market introductions of new proprietary PSLs and the positive impact, which we are experiencing with the Motley customer base, is expected to drive strong fourth quarter growth for KLX even in the Permian. Third quarter adjusted operating earnings and adjusted operating margin of $13 million and 10.6% improved by about $15 million and 1,265 basis points, respectively, as compared to the same period in the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA margin were $26.6 million and 21.6%, respectively, representing 189% and 1,128 basis point increases over the same period in the prior year. As compared to the second quarter, consolidated revenues increased 4.5%, adjusted EBITDA was down slightly due to higher expenses related to the initial introduction of several new tools and the weather-related negative impact on Southwest revenues in operations. Adjusted net earnings and adjusted net earnings per diluted share were $16.6 million and $0.83 per diluted shares, increases of $15.5 million and $0.78 per share, respectively, as compared to the prior year period. Let’s now turn to Slide 4 and review our Rocky Mountains third quarter 2018 results. Third quarter Rocky Mountains segment revenues of $48 million, represented 34% organic revenue growth, as compared to the same period in the prior year. The increase in revenues was driven by increases in completion and production activity of approximately 73.8% and 29.9%, respectively. Rocky Mountains segment gross profit increased $5.2 million, or almost 63% to $13.5 million on the 34% increase in revenues. Rocky Mountains segment adjusted operating earnings increased $4.8 million to $6.1 million in the third quarter, reflecting increased operating leverage and solid demand for higher margin PSLs. Adjusted EBITDA increased by $5.3 million, or 95% to $11 million on a 34% increase in revenues. On a sequential quarterly basis, revenues and adjusted EBITDA were essentially flat. Here again, we expect solid fourth quarter growth in our Rocky Mountains segment due to excellent customer reception for the new proprietary products service lines introduced in the third quarter. Let’s turn to Slide 5 and review our Northeast/Mid-Con segment performance. Third quarter 2018 Northeast/Mid-Con segment revenues of $37 million, represented 66% organic revenue growth, as compared to the same period in the prior year. The increase in revenues was driven by 68% increase in intervention activity, 68% increase in production activity and a 64% increase in completion activity. Northeast segment gross profit increased more than 200% on the 66% increase in revenues, while adjusted operating earnings increased $8 million to $6 million, reflecting increased operating leverage and solid demand once again for our higher margin PSLs. Adjusted EBITDA increased by $9 million, or 600% to $10.5 million on the 66% increase in revenues. On a sequential basis, revenues increased about 25%, while adjusted EBITDA increased to $10.5 million, representing a 28.5% adjusted EBITDA margin. Let’s turn to Slide 6 and review the third quarter results for the company, Southwest segment. As mentioned earlier, third quarter 2018 Southwest segment revenues of $38 million were negatively impacted by the Texas floods, the 17 consecutive days of rain, the attendant floods, the road and highway closures, the impassable mud, all basically impact third quarter revenues by about $6 million. However, in spite of the weather-related issues, revenues were up 22%, as compared to the same period in the prior year. The increase in revenues was driven by a 38% increase in production activity, a 26% increase in completion activity and almost an 8% increase in the intervention activity. Southwest segment gross profit increased 75% to $7.2 million on the 22% increase in revenues. The segment’s adjusted operating earnings increased $2 million to $1 million in the third quarter, reflecting increased operating leverage and solid demand for our higher-margin product service lines. As compared to the same period in the prior year, adjusted EBITDA increased by $3 million, or about 150% on the 22% increase in revenues. However, on a sequential quarterly basis, revenues and adjusted EBITDA declined $2.4 million and $1.7 million, respectively, due to the weather-related issues, as well as the new PSL validation and introduction costs. Nevertheless, we are expecting strong fourth quarter organic revenue growth in our Southwest region due to our new proprietary PSL additions, including our dissolvable plugs and flotation collars, as well as our proprietary fishing and thru-tubing tools. Let’s now take a moment and review our financial position on Slide 7. Prior to the spin-off, we received $50 million capital contribution from our former parent. In addition, the company completed the sale of $250 million of senior secured notes due 2025, which generated approximately $243 million of net proceeds. $139 million of the net proceeds was used to fund the cash portion of the Motley Services acquisition, which was completed on November 5. As of October 31, 2018, cash on hand was approximately $313 million, or if we adjust for the acquisition of Motley, about $174 million of cash on hand. There were no borrowings outstanding under the company’s $100 million credit facility. Now, let’s briefly review our full-year 2018 guidance. We’re updating and increasing our full-year 2018 guidance to reflect the addition of the large diameter coiled tubing product service line in November, as a result of the completion of the Motley acquisition. Exclusive of the acquisition, we expect solid organic growth in all three of our geographical segments, driven by new proprietary PSLs introduced in the third quarter, including our dissolvable plugs and proprietary fishing and thru-tubing tools, as well as solid organic growth in Southwest segment revenues arising from access to Motley’s customer base. So as compared to the prior year and – our revenues are expected to increase by about 60% to approximately $520 million; fourth quarter organic revenue growth is expected to reflect high single-digit percentage increases, as compared to the third quarter; adjusted EBITDA is expected to increase approximately 360% to approximately $114 million, representing a 22% adjusted EBITDA margin. Return on invested capital is expected to be approximately 18%. And all of that guidance excludes integration costs, which we will incur associated with the Motley acquisition and we expect that to happen in the fourth quarter and don’t have an estimate of cost as of today. Let’s now turn to Slide 9 and review our fiscal year 2019 preliminary outlook. And obviously, the outlook assumes more or less stable oil and gas prices at more or less current levels. So revenues are expected to increase by about 45% to approximately $750 million. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to increase approximately 65% to approximately $190 million, representing an approximate 25% adjusted EBITDA margin. Adjusted net earnings and adjusted net earnings per diluted share are expected to be approximately $97 million and approximately $4.50 per diluted share, respectively, that’s a little less than about a 40% increase. CapEx is expected to be about $100 million. Free cash flow is expected to be approximately $60 million, or about 8% of revenues and return on invested capital is expected to be approximately 22%. With that, I will turn the call back over to Michael for the Q&A portion of this morning’s call.