Fusen Chen
Analyst · Steelhead Securities. Please proceed with your question.
Well, so David, you are asking for core business, right. So, actually, the year 2020 to 2021, I think we basically went up from like 500-something to about 1.5%. It’s a 2.6 growth, 2.6x. That’s very, very significant. So, that’s why I think ‘21, ‘22, 1.5%. I think a lot of customers they overbuy large of our core business. Therefore, I think it’s – we are down to this level. But if you look at it, the Gartner prediction is correct, the 17% unit growth just assumed is, say AI related or whatever, even like 8%, right, or achieve a lot of capacity by for our core business. I give you an EBITDA of a normal ball bonder business. Like even before COVID, it’s about $500 million to $600 million. So, we trigger capacity by, I think you can calculate. We are still – this year less than $400 million for ball bonder. So, we believe we have a huge – we have a huge opportunity in core business. Also, our new technology adds value for the future ball bonder including VFO, and also in wedge bonder over HPI. So, we do believe semiconductor downturn normally no more than six quarters. We already have a quarter, right, including this quarter, maybe nine quarters. So, longer downturn, actually, we believe it is somewhere to be stronger and a strong start from there.