Barry Goldstein
Analyst · Sandler O'Neill. Please proceed with your question
Thanks, Forrest, and welcome everyone. Joining me today is Victor Brodsky, Kingstone's Chief Financial Officer, as well as Ben Walden, our Senior Vice President and Chief Actuary. We're very pleased to have reported very strong results for the fourth quarter, completing what was an exceptional year for Kingstone. During the fourth quarter, Kingstone's policies in force increased, premiums grew, and we continued to benefit from the changes to our quota share treaties that went into effect in July of last year. This is a very large opportunity that exists for us in our home market of downstate New York. According to metrics just recently published by SNL Financial, Kingstone was ranked the 71st largest property and casualty insurer in New York State in 2014 based upon direct premiums written. In 2013, we were ranked number 84. When looking at homeowners, dwelling fire and the like, our biggest product group, Kingstone is now number 25 in New York, with a market share of just 0.75%, that's three-quarters of 1%, which sounds like a very small amount of changes when you consider that in our core business of homeowners we are now more than half the size of the Hartford in New York State, an icon in our industry. It's apparent that New York is an extremely large market, giving us plenty of room to continue to grow. We're using our larger capital structure and deploying the added surplus gains from the 2013 follow-on offering to take advantage of this opportunity. Our strengthened financial position has enabled us to retain more of the profitable business that we originate, while sticking to our conservative nature and not stretching our net written premium to surplus ratio beyond 1.5 to 1. The financial benefits of the added retention are reflected in our earnings as posted for Q3 and for Q4. During the fourth quarter, our direct written premiums totaled $19.5 million, an increase of 23.6% over the prior year period. Please note that the growth rate in Q4, without considering commercial auto was 27.4%. Now, the reason I'm saying this now will become apparent to you in a couple of minutes. For the year, direct written premiums grew 26.1% to just over $76 million. Personal lines grew at a rate of over 30% during 2014. We've reported consistent and significant premium growth over each of the five years following the demutualization in July, 2009, making 2010 our first full year of ownership. In 2010, direct written premiums were $33.2 million, and since then, our direct written premiums have grown by 129%. In Q4, our net combined ratio was an excellent 76.4%. The loss ratio was 49.7% for the quarter, and included the impact of an unusual and costly one-time loss. On Christmas Eve, we experienced the single worst loss in the 128-year history of our company. A Christmas tree fire was the cause, it resulted in a loss of over $1.4 million before reinsurance. This event had an impact of six points on our combined ratio for the quarter and 1.9 points for the year. Our very healthy underwriting results were diluted by unacceptably high losses from our commercial auto line of business. While commercial auto was a small portion of the overall book, only about 1.6% of our policy is in force, changes are coming that I'll go into in greater detail in a moment. We generated net income for the quarter of $1.8 million and earnings per share on a fully diluted basis to $0.24. The fire I mentioned took down earnings per share by a nickel. For the year, net income totaled $5.3 million or $0.72 per diluted share. Book value increased 13.4% to $5.54, up $0.63 after our payment of dividends, totaling $0.18 per share. I'd like to touch now on each of our individual lines of business; first, personal lines, with direct written premiums of just under $57 million continues to be our biggest line, contributing about three-quarters of our total premiums for 2014. It's important to note that we're not achieving this 30% growth rate in personal lines by raising our rates, which we haven't moved materially in nearly five years. I've told you in the past that our growth, using the independent agent channel exclusively was not the result of adding new relationships. In fact, our relationship count is all, but flat. We're achieving growth in our home market at downstate New York for three basic reasons. First, through national carriers limiting their exposure to New York City and Long Island, this has been discussed with you many times, and we continue to take advantage of this cutback. Two, we're gaining market share because a number of our competitors have raised their rates, making Kingstone more rate competitive than in the past simply by the actions of others. This gives us more opportunities to quote, more opportunities to sell our consistently priced coverage. Finally, I believe our message of consistency and quality resonates with our selected producers, who are growing Kingstone in their individual offices. Based upon surveys taken by the Professional Insurance Agents of New York, the PIA, Kingstone has finished ahead of every national name brand company in each of the past three surveys which encompasses six years. This is reflective of the reputation we've built, the service and consistently fair approach to our selective producers and to their insureds. Effective July 1, 2014, the percentage of our personal lines premiums ceded to reinsurers was reduced to 55%, from the previous 75%. This was a very important change. The adjustment to the percentage ceded came as we continued to experience growth in overall direct written premiums. So these two factors together drove the 2014 overall growth in net written premiums to 133% for personal lines. The existing treaty is set to expire on June 30. And with the July 1 renewal now being planned for, we have the ability to further reduce the quota share ceding percentage. Our current thinking is that we will reduce the ceding percentage at July 1, to between 40% and 45%. This will allow us to stay within our risk tolerance without needing any additional capital to do so. Our ultimate goal is the elimination of this quota share treaty entirely. Commercial lines are no longer subject to a quota share treaty, which we eliminated beginning July 1, 2014. Direct written premiums have grown to $11 million, and now make up 14% of our total. There are artisans, and business owners in special multi-peril policies, which consist primarily of small business risks without a residential exposure. Next, let me address the commercial auto coverage, where we provide liability and physical damage coverage for light vehicles. As of year end 2014, commercial auto represented 1.6% of our policies in force, or half of the contribution to policies in force count that it was the year before. Over the past few years we've experienced higher than anticipated losses in this line of business. We made many changes to pricing, limited distribution by reducing producer counts, and tightened our underwriting rules many times. We did what we felt was needed to generate an acceptable underwriting profit. As a result, the business slowed considerably, just as expected. But unfortunately, the losses continued. There is little upside [ph] in this very competitive line of business, and the required allocation of capital can no longer be just justified. As a result, we ceased accepting new requests for commercial auto coverage, last October 1, 2014. And we recently completed an analysis, and made the decision to not renew all existing commercial auto policies, beginning with those expiring on May 1, 2015. Our commercial auto business, once a mainstay of Kingstone, will be in the rearview mirror in Q2, 2016. Finally, we provide physical damage-only coverage for delivery, cost service, and other for-hire vehicles and taxi cabs. At about 7% of our total premiums for the year, this was our fastest growing line of business. It's more than doubled in volume over the past year, to $5 million, due largely to the expansion of added vehicles in New York City, particularly attributable to ride sharing apps such as Uber and Lyft. Now, I'll turn the call over to Ben Walden, our Senior Vice President and Chief Actuary. Ben?