Earnings Labs

Kingsway Financial Services Inc. (KFS)

Q4 2025 Earnings Call· Thu, Mar 12, 2026

$11.62

-0.77%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and welcome to the Kingsway Fourth Quarter 2025 and Full Year Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note, this conference is being recorded. With me on the call are JT Fitzgerald, Chief Executive Officer; and Kent Hansen, Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, I'd like to remind everyone that today's conference may contain forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements include statements regarding the future, including expected revenue, operating margins, expenses and future business outlook. Actual results or trends could differ materially from those contemplated by those forward-looking statements. For a discussion of such risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements, please see the risk factors detailed in the company's annual report on Form 10-K, subsequent Forms 10-Q and Forms 8-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Please note that today's call may include the use of non-GAAP metrics that management utilizes to analyze the company's performance. A reconciliation of such non-GAAP metrics to the most comparable GAAP measures is available in the most recent press release as well as in the company's periodic filings with the SEC. Now I'd like to hand the call over to JT Fitzgerald, CEO of Kingsway. JT, please proceed.

John Fitzgerald

Analyst

Thank you, Matt. Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to the Kingsway earnings call for the fourth quarter and full year 2025. To our knowledge, Kingsway is the only publicly traded U.S. company employing the search fund model to acquire and build great businesses. We own and operate a diversified collection of high-quality services companies that are asset-light, profitable, growing and that generate recurring revenue. Our goal is to compound long-term shareholder value on a per share basis, and we believe our businesses can scale due to our decentralized management model and our talented team of operator CEOs. We also continue to benefit from significant tax assets that enhance our returns. In short, Kingsway is uniquely positioned to capitalize on the search fund model at scale within a tax-efficient public company framework. I'm pleased to report a strong fourth quarter and a year of meaningful financial and strategic progress in 2025. During the year, we completed 6 acquisitions within the KSX segment, launched our Skilled Trades platform, significantly grew revenues and earnings power and made meaningful investments in our operating businesses that position Kingsway to accelerate growth in 2026 and beyond. Importantly, and for the first time, our KSX segment represented a majority of both revenue and adjusted EBITDA in both the third and fourth quarters. For the full year 2025, consolidated revenue grew to $135 million, reflecting both organic growth across our businesses and contributions from recent acquisitions. Consolidated adjusted EBITDA for the year was $7.8 million and portfolio LTM EBITDA was $22 million to $23 million as of December 31. Kent will provide further detail in his remarks on the portfolio LTM EBITDA metric, which we believe more accurately reflects the trailing 12-month earnings capacity of the company. As you may have noticed in our earnings release this afternoon,…

Kent Hansen

Analyst

Great. Thank you, JT, and good afternoon, everyone. Total revenue for the quarter was up 30.1% to $38.6 million and up 23.4% to $135 million for the year. Consolidated net loss for the quarter was $1.6 million and $10.3 million for the full year. Consolidated adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $2.7 million and $7.8 million for the year. Within our KSX segment, revenue increased by 63.6% to $20.3 million for the quarter and was up 58.5% to $64.2 million for the year. KSX adjusted EBITDA rose by 28.6% to $2.5 million for the quarter and was up 40.8% to $9.5 million for the year. It is worth noting here that while KSX adjusted EBITDA declined slightly from Q3 to Q4, this is the result of seasonality in our Plumbing businesses and Roundhouse, which typically have their lowest seasonality profitability during the winter and their seasonality best quarters in Q2 and Q3. Turning to Extended Warranty. Revenue increased 6.1% to $18.3 million for the quarter and was up 2.8% to $70.8 million for the year. Cash sales were up 11% for the quarter and 9% for the year. IWS, which sells warranty products exclusively through credit unions, continued to perform well with cash sales up 10% year-over-year. Total Extended Warranty claims moderated in 2025 and were up 4.4% for the year compared to an increase of 6.3% in the prior year, primarily due to inflation on parts and labor as the number of claims was slightly lower in 2025 than 2024. Overall, Extended Warranty is performing well. Cash sales are robust, and the segment is positioned for improved performance in the periods ahead. Turning now to the balance sheet and the capital structure. As of December 31, 2025, the company had $8.3 million in cash and cash equivalents, up from…

John Fitzgerald

Analyst

Thanks, Kent. To close, I want to thank Kingsway's employees, partners and shareholders for their continued dedication and support. 2025 was a year of tremendous progress, 6 acquisitions completed, a new platform launched and a portfolio that enters 2026, generating $22 million to $23 million in platform LTM EBITDA. We have budgeted for double-digit organic revenue and EBITDA growth this year across both our segments, and I believe the work we did in 2025, expanding platforms, diversifying revenue streams, investing in our businesses and strengthening our operator bench has set us up to deliver on those expectations. I'm confident in the plan, and I'm excited about what this team is capable of and where Kingsway is headed. I'll now turn the call over to Matt to open the line for questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your first question is coming from Nick Weiman (sic) [ Mitch Weiman ].

Mitchell Weiman

Analyst

Congrats on a good quarter.

John Fitzgerald

Analyst

You said Nick, but I know it's Mitch.

Mitchell Weiman

Analyst

Correct. One question I had was what is -- you didn't talk about digital diagnostics in the prepared remarks. What's going on there? We kind of -- I just remember in prior conversations kind of 6 months ago or so, you really thought they'd start to grow in the second half of the year.

John Fitzgerald

Analyst

Yes. DDI, I think, grew high single digits on the year. And plugging along here. I think that we've got a great operator. He's building the team there on the ground, got a new leadership team alongside him and is now really -- it's a very -- because of the criticality of the service they're providing, Mitch, the focus for the first 18 months or so is really on creating a foundation upon which they felt comfortable growing. We're dealing with patients' lives here and patient safety is first and foremost. So hardening the infrastructure, all of the technology systems and the telemetry that connects the hospitals to the company, creating redundancy with the second location and building all of the internal protocols to make sure that you have perfect patient safety 24/7, 365 was really the focus. We have a great operator there. And Peter, Navy Nuclear Officer, worked in the nuclear industry for a long time, and so understands how to create safety programs. And so that was a lot of the time and energy spent is investing in the foundation. In -- I would say, kind of the back half of the year and now into 2025, the focus is now shifting to organic growth and new customer acquisition. And so we're hopeful that we see -- we had nice growth and a nice growth tailwind there. And now with the foundation in place, we hope that Peter and the sales efforts are going to be bringing new customers and therefore, new revenue on board.

Kent Hansen

Analyst

Operator, before we take the next question, I'd just like to clarify. In my remarks, I said net debt at the end of '24 was $61.4 million. That was not correct. Yes. So a little bit of...

John Fitzgerald

Analyst

That was end of Q3.

Kent Hansen

Analyst

That was end of Q3. At the end of 2024, net debt was $52 million. So I just wanted to make that correction. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] There are no further questions in the queue. I'll now hand the floor over to James Carbonara for e-mailed questions.

James Carbonara

Analyst

Our first e-mailed question is, can you speak to the acquisition pipeline?

John Fitzgerald

Analyst

Yes. Like I mentioned in the prepared remarks, sort of dual track acquisition pipeline. We've got several now platforms within KSX, if you look at VMS, Ravix, Skilled Trades, and I would anticipate probably Image Solutions in the years ahead, all looking at tuck-in acquisitions and very strong pipelines in many of those businesses. And then obviously, our OIR pipeline, as I've said in the past, remains robust. Recognize that acquisitions there have to meet our very disciplined underwriting criteria, and there is an element of serendipity, but there is very strong deal flow, and we're looking at a lot of things.

James Carbonara

Analyst

Excellent. And the next question is, could you update us on OIRs Peter Hearne and Paul Vidal, please? They both have great CVs. Why do you think they have not made an acquisition just yet?

John Fitzgerald

Analyst

Yes, that's a fair question. Obviously, Peter and Paul are both highly, highly capable. We wouldn't have brought them in the program if they weren't. I guess the honest answer is there's a huge amount of, as I mentioned, serendipity to finding the right business at the right price with the right operator fit and can sometimes take longer than any of us would like. Between the 2 of them, they've evaluated dozens of opportunities, and we've passed on deals where either the valuation, business quality or cultural fit didn't meet our threshold. We'd rather have them walk away than close on a marginal deal. That said, I won't pretend that in Peter's case, 3 years without a close is where we expect it to be, and that's certainly something that we're actively managing.

James Carbonara

Analyst

Excellent. The next one is, can you share some of the adjustments or the bridge from the consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $7.8 million to portfolio LTM EBITDA of $22 million to $23 million, if that's the right way to look at it?

Kent Hansen

Analyst

Yes, James, it's Kent. I'll take that one. There's basically 3 main things that are the walk between those 2 numbers. The first is pro forma. So our consolidated EBITDA number that's published in the earnings release does not include any pro forma. It's just the actual results for the companies that we own during the period. The second adjustment would be any difference between -- for the warranty companies between the modified cash EBITDA number and what is reported under U.S. GAAP revenue and commission expense. As we said in the prepared remarks that modified cash doesn't defer 100% of the revenue over the life of the contract, only the portion that relates to claims. The rest is sort of recognized day 1 and then all commission expense -- no commission expense is deferred. It's all recognized day 1. And then there's a smallish adjustment for the difference between book yield and investment yield on our investment portfolio. And the third difference would be any corporate expenses. So adjusted -- the adjusted consolidated EBITDA number includes everything, all companies. And if you look at the numbers in the earnings release for KSX adjusted EBITDA and Extended Warranty adjusted EBITDA, those do not include the sort of the holding company and the KSX, the OIR expenses. So those are the -- so just to recap, the 3 main buckets are pro forma, modified cash and corporate expenses.

James Carbonara

Analyst

The next question is, you noted that Image Solutions and the newer Skilled Trades acquisitions went through an investment period in 2025 that temporarily depressed profitability. Have those investments fully normalized? And what kind of margin expansion should we expect from these businesses in 2026?

John Fitzgerald

Analyst

Yes. As I mentioned, in both cases, Image Solutions went through hurricane disruption, a full rebuilding of the sales team and that's all kind of in place, and we feel really good about the momentum there. I don't know that I want to give like margin targets, but we feel really good about the trajectory. Similarly, at Skilled Trades, both as I mentioned, AAA and Southside acquired late in the year, and we made some deliberate investments in systems, infrastructure, integration, some transition services with the owners, et cetera. And we don't anticipate that will repeat at the same level going forward. Buds is a good template for what these businesses look like at maturity, and we feel like it's a good template and these businesses are well on their way to hitting their stride.

James Carbonara

Analyst

Excellent. Next question, we had a couple of them come in on the double-digit growth, try to merge them here. Can you provide a little bit of color on how you achieved the double-digit growth in revenue and EBITDA on the KSX Holdings, given the number of recent acquisitions and the typical J-curve, pleasantly surprised by the guidance. What are some of the drivers of the growth? Is it a particular company?

John Fitzgerald

Analyst

No, I would say that we're looking at pretty universal growth across all of the businesses, maybe at slightly different rates. Some businesses have revenue growth as the big driver. In a couple of cases, there's some efficiency gains that will drive bottom line growth. And then obviously, pricing is an important lever as well. And so it's a combination of pricing and units at the top line and in some cases, some efficiency gains at the bottom line.

James Carbonara

Analyst

Great. And the last one I'm seeing, you touched on this a little bit earlier in terms of the 3 to 5 acquisitions targeted for 2026. How many do you expect to be tuck-ins for the existing platforms versus entirely new platforms sourced by your operators and residents?

John Fitzgerald

Analyst

Yes, these are sort of targets, not commitments. But I would guess with 3 OIRs, we ought to conservatively target at least 1 to 2 new platform investments. And by deduction, that would mean 2 to 3 new tuck-in acquisitions at our existing platforms.

James Carbonara

Analyst

Thank you, JT. Seeing no further e-mailed questions in. I'll throw it back to the operator, who will no doubt throw it back to you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And that concludes our Q&A session. I'll now hand the conference back to JT Fitzgerald, Chief Executive Officer, for closing remarks. Please go ahead.

John Fitzgerald

Analyst

Wonderful. Thank you. Well, I appreciate everyone taking the time here this afternoon to listen to our remarks and ask some wonderful questions. Thank you for your support and looking forward to a great 2026.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Everyone, this concludes today's event. You may disconnect at this time, and have a wonderful day. Thank you for your participation.