David Grzebinski
Analyst · Stifel. Your line is now open.
Yes. Let me take that in pieces. First, on the horsepower side, yes, the big horsepower, the big 10,000 horsepower towboats on the river that push 50 dry cargo barges, their draft is too big. So they're being tied up, so most of our horsepower is smaller, because our toe sizes are smaller. I think we have one big vessel that's on the bank right now, because her draft is too much for the river. But most of our horsepower is a little smaller. Now it is, to your point, helping give a little tailwind to kind of the market. Particularly, if you look at dry cargo rates, they're up 200%. It's certainly helping on the liquid side as well. It's putting some more tightness in the market. That said, hopefully, this is a temporary situation. We get some much needed rain and get the river going again. The second part of your question was kind of reactivation. I think as you would have expected during the pandemic, a lot of barges were, kind of, put on the bank and tied up generally the older ones and the ones with a little more maintenance headaches were, kind of, put on the bank. We're reactivating a handful of those. I think maybe in the fourth quarter, we might have 10 to 15 coming back in. There's not a whole lot left. But the problem with these barges that were tied up last several years, cost of bringing them back in with steel prices and labor are really high. We're only bringing back the ones that make sense -- is it going to be a whole lot more? No, but maybe another quarter or two of five or so barges after we get through the fourth quarter could come back for us. I don't think there's a big hangover -- overhang excuse me, hangover, overhang in that supply there. But there's some that can come I think the gating factor is just the cost of bringing off the bank. Again, you hear it in our comments and everybody's comments these days, inflationary pressure. And then when you put steel prices on top of it, and labor prices. It's really -- the inflation is real, and it's causing supply to stay in check even more so than the cost of new builds, which is a good thing. And it's also -- it truly is part of the conversation you have with your customers, because these inflationary costs are real, and we need price increases to just stay even.