Olivier Thirot
Analyst · Kevin Steinke of Barrington Research
Thank you, Peter. Before I dig deeper into our Q4 results, which as Peter mentioned, have been impacted by economic headwinds, some comments on our full year performance first. Full year revenue was up 1.1% on a reported basis and 3.2% on a constant currency basis. This reflects excellent revenue growth in our Education business unit as we captured additional growth opportunities and effectively managed talent supply challenges. SET, OCG and International, excluding Russia, also delivered solid constant currency revenue growth. Consistent with actions taken in alignment with our specialty strategy, GP rate improved 170 basis points on a year-over-year basis. The higher GP rate, combined with increasing revenue, resulted in a 12.1% increase in gross margin dollars in constant currency, and our GP rate improved in all BUs. Finally, excluding the impairment charges, we are able to convert the higher gross profit dollars to improve earnings. As Peter mentioned, adjusted earnings from operations were up 30%, and adjusted EBITDA margin was 2.1%, up 40 basis points from a year ago. Now looking at the fourth quarter of 2022 in more details. Revenue totaled $1.2 billion, down 1.3% from the prior year, including 200 basis points of unfavorable currency impact. Revenues were up 0.7% on a constant currency basis. Included in that increase are a 150 basis points favorable impact from our acquisitions of RocketPower and PTS, as well as a 270 basis points unfavorable impact resulting from the sale of our Russian operations. So our revenue was up 1.9% on a non -- organic constant currency basis. As we look at revenue in the first quarter by segments, in the SET segment revenue was up 1.7%. Demand has continued to be strong for our telecommunication specialty and many of our outcome-based solutions. Growth in other specialties was negatively impacted in the quarter by the current economic headwinds. In our Education segment, year-over-year revenue growth continues to be strong, up 53% as reported and 43% on an organic basis, or excluding the impact of our May acquisition of PTS. Our revenue growth in the Education business reflects robust demand from existing customers and new wins in 2022. This level of growth is consistent with Q1 to Q3 trends and demonstrates the resiliency of the Education business even as the broader economic trends soften. Placement fees, primarily higher education and executive search with Greenwood/Asher were up 67%. Our OCG segment delivered another quarter of year-over-year revenue growth, with revenue up 3.5% over last year. OCG results include the impact of our March acquisition of RocketPower. Organic constant currency revenues were flat. Declines in PPO offset the continued growth in our high-margin MSP and RPO products. I will provide more context on the situation with RocketPower later in my comments. Revenue in our Professional & Industrial segment declined 11.8% in the quarter. Revenue from our staffing product declined 17% in the quarter, a deceleration from Q3 as economic headwinds has historically more impact on this segment early in the cycle. The segment's outcome-based business delivered solid revenue growth of 9%. And even with continued contraction in the year-over-year demand from our call center specialty, growth in other outcome-based specialties was strong. Revenue in our International segment declined 16% on a reported basis and was down 8% on a constant currency basis. Excluding the impact of the sale of our Russian operations, revenue improved by 5% on an organic constant currency basis. Permanent placement fees were also resilient and were up 32% on an organic basis. Overall gross profit was up 1.7% as reported, or up 3.7% on a constant currency basis. Our gross profit rate was 20.3%, compared to 19.7% in the fourth quarter of the prior year for a year-over-year improvement of 60 basis points. The primary driver continued to be favorable organic business mix, which contributed approximately 100 basis points for the quarter. Our 2022 acquisitions also positively impacted our total GP rate by about 20 basis points as both PTS and RocketPower generate higher margins than Kelly's average. These improvements were partially offset by higher employee-related costs and also lower perm fees. Our SET, OCG and International businesses delivered the most significant year-over-year improvement in business mix and improved year-over-year GP rates. SG&A expenses were up 2.4% year-over-year on a reported basis and up 4% on a constant currency basis. Included in our 2021 results are approximately $4 million in restructuring charges, and our 2022 results are impacted by the intangible amortization and other expenses of our recent acquisitions, as well as the favorable impact of the sale of our Russian operations. So on an organic constant currency basis, fourth quarter 2022 expenses grew by 4.3% year-over-year. This reduction in the SG&A growth trends from earlier this year, and it does reflect the continued focus on cost management. We'll continue to take steps to ensure that we are prepared for uncertain economic conditions while continuing to fund investment in technology improvements that will position us for long-term success. During the fourth quarter, we did report an additional $10.3 million goodwill impairment charge related to RocketPower. As we have discussed previously, RocketPower provides RPO services primarily to customers in the high-tech vertical. Beginning earlier this year and accelerating in Q4, there has been a reduction in hiring activity in this industry vertical, which we now believe will be deeper and will last through March of 2023. The impairment charge is a noncash item and does not impact our plans for RocketPower, including as Peter mentioned, a focus on customer diversification and opportunities for synergies, which will allow us to maximize the value of our investment in the future. Our reported earnings from operations in the fourth quarter were $4.6 million compared to $15.3 million in Q4 of 2021. Included in Q4 of 2022 is a goodwill impairment charge and in Q4 2021 is approximately $4 million of restructuring charges. So on an adjusted basis, Q4 2022 earnings from operation of $14 million declined 28% year-over-year. As Peter mentioned, we monetized our investment in Persol Holdings and most of the PersolKelly joint venture in the first quarter of 2022. So there will be no further P&L impact from both investments, but the comparable period year will include gains and losses related to those investments until we anniversary the transactions. In the fourth quarter of 2021, we recognized a $50 million pretax gain on our Persol Holdings common stock. Also reported below earnings from operations in the fourth quarter of 2021, we realized a $19 million onetime gain related to cash proceeds received from a settlement of a claim on the representation and warranties insurance policy purchased in connection with the acquisition of Softworld. Income tax expense for the fourth quarter was $5.2 million compared with our 2021 income tax expense of $16.1 million. Our effective tax rate for the quarter was more than 100% and was impacted by nondeductible losses on the cash surrender value of company-owned life insurance. And finally, reported loss per share for the fourth quarter of 2022 was $0.02 per share compared to earnings per share of $1.80 in 2021. Loss per share in 2022 included the impact of a goodwill impairment charge, net of tax, partially offset by a gain on sale of real estate property, net of tax. Earnings per share in 2021 were favorably impacted by gains on Persol shares and a gain on insurance settlement, and partially offset by a restructuring charge, all net of tax. So all in, on an adjusted basis, Q4 2022 EPS was $0.18 compared to $0.65 per share in Q4 of 2021. Now moving to the balance sheet as of year-end. Cash totaled $154 million compared to $113 million a year ago. Debt was nearly 0, consistent with year-end 2021. And when combining our strong balance sheet with our existing borrowing capacity, we still have and continue to have ample capital available to fund our organic and inorganic strategy, as well as navigating an uncertain macroeconomic environment. At year-end, accounts receivable was $1.5 billion and increased 5% year-over-year, reflecting our year-over-year increase in revenue as well as billings to MSP customers reported on a net basis. Global DSO was 61 days, an increase of 1 day over year-end of 2021. For the year, we used $88 million of free cash flow. Free cash flows in 2022 include the final repayment of approximately $87 million of federal payroll tax balances, which were deferred in 2020 under the CARES Act as well as $48 million of income taxes due in Japan following the sales of our investment in Persol common stock. And during the fourth quarter, we have started executing against the $50 million share repurchase plan that we announced in November, buying approximately 475,000 shares for a value of $7.8 million. As Peter mentioned, the global economy has grown increasingly uncertain. As a result, we are not going to provide a formal outlook for 2023 at this stage. However, I will share the following observations. Through the execution of our specialty strategy, Kelly has continued to transform since the last significant economic disruption caused by the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. We have remixed our portfolio towards higher-margin products and specialty, and we have demonstrated the ability to act with urgency to proactively manage costs, to protect the bottom line and preserve capital when necessary. Our current view for the first half of 2023 reflect that the economic uncertainty will constrain top line growth in several of our business units. We expect that our structural GP rate improvement will continue, but likely at a slower pace than in 2022. And finally, that will contain our SG&A to levels similar to Q4 of 2022 even while continuing to invest in our technology initiatives and in our people. If top line trends don't align with our current expectations, we are prepared to take action -- additional actions to align our cost structure as we move forward. And with now all that, back to you, Peter.