David Wyshner
Analyst · Deutsche Bank. Your line is open
14:46 Thanks, Martin. And good morning, good afternoon and good evening everyone. Today, I'd like to discuss our quarterly results, our balance sheet and liquidity and our outlook. 14:57 For starters, as Martin mentioned, our signings in the quarter were up 27% in constant currency versus prior year pro forma signings, due to benefits from our new technology alliances, as well as greater customer clarity about our business compared to last year. 15:17 Our signings increase follows our first major post-spin milestones, which were the new technology, training and go-to-market collaborations with each of the three major cloud hyperscalers. Beyond our signings growth, we delivered quarterly results that were consistent with the guidance we shared in March. In the quarter, we generated revenue of $4.4 billion, which represents a 2% decline in constant currency from our pro forma results a year ago. 15:49 Our results include two points of revenue growth we picked up from pass-through revenues related to IBM. Because most of our revenue in any given quarter is the product of contracts signed over the prior several years. Our revenue decline reflects the continuing effects having been operated as a captive subsidiary of IBM prior to our spin-off, not the future growth potential of our business. 16:15 And with the strengthening of the US dollar over the last year, currency headwinds had a 4 point negative impact on our reported revenue growth. Adjusted EBITDA was $536 million, this represents an adjusted EBITDA margin of 12.1%, up slightly from our pro forma margin a year ago, primarily due to a currency headwind of 60 basis points. Adjusted pretax income was negative $51 million, which is $13 million stronger than the pro forma prior-year quarter despite $34 million in currency headwinds. 16:57 Among our geographic segments, we saw the strongest constant currency revenue growth in our Japan and strategic market segments. And our strongest margins were in Japan and the United States. Changes in how various IBM related costs are hitting each of our segments under our new commercial agreement with IBM complicate year-over-year margin comparisons by segment. We address our customer’s needs, not only through our geographic operating segments, but also through our six global practices: cloud, applications data and AI, security and resiliency, network and edge, digital workplace and core strongest. These are the strongest revenue growth in our cloud and apps data and AI practice. 17:46 Our signings growth in the quarter was driven by strength in our cloud, apps data and AI and security practices and by the 50% growth in advisory and implemented serves signings across our practices that Martin highlighted. 18:02 A few other items tied to our financials. First, as a reminder, our fiscal year end has changed to March, 31 effective for the fiscal year beginning April 1, 2022 and ending March 31, 2023. As a result, the quarter ended March 31, 2020 was a transition period for us that is not part of either our prior year period or our fiscal year 2023, which began a month ago. 18:32 Second, our reported results for the March quarter include $58 million of expense for transaction related costs associated with our spin-off, primarily related to systems migrations, rebranding and a broad-based employee retention plan that IBM put in place. We expect about $300 million of P&L costs and $400 million of transaction-related cash outlays over the next 12 months. These spin related outlays are temporary and should be much less in fiscal 2024. 19:07 More generally our adjusted quarterly results were very much in line with our expectations. Our gross capital expenditures in the quarter were $180 million and we received $9 million in proceeds from asset dispositions. Our adjusted free cash flow was $136 million, we provided a bridge from our Q1 adjusted pretax loss of $51 million to our free cash flow. A key reason that our free cash flow again exceeded our pretax income is that, our net capital expenditures were $75 million below our depreciation expense. This difference is primarily due to our continuing transition toward being less asset intensive. We also saw a cash flow benefit from working capital and other items in the quarter. 20:02 Our financial position remains strong. Our cash balance at March 31 was over $2.1 billion. This cash, combined with available debt capacity under committed borrowing facilities gave us more than $5 billion of liquidity at quarter end. Our debt maturities are well laddered from late 2024 to 2041, we had no borrowings outstanding under our revolving credit facility and our net debt at quarter end was just over $1 billion. As a result, our net leverage sits well within our target range. We are rated investment grade by both Moody's and S&P. 20:44 As we think about capital allocation, our top priorities are to maintain strong liquidity, remain investment grade and reinvest in our business. As we've said before, we view being investment grade as a commercial imperative given the importance of this to our customers. And because of the spin-related cash outlays we have in front of us most of the free cash flow we will generate this year is in many ways already spoken for. 21:15 Importantly, and using a slide I shared on our last call, I'd like to reiterate that our three A's initiatives driving certifications, signings and revenues for our new ecosystem partners, transforming delivery for upskilling and automation and addressing elements of our business with substandard margins carry significant potential for our business. We anticipate that our alliances initiative will drive signings, revenue and over time, roughly $200 million in annual pretax income. Our advanced delivery initiative will drive cost savings equating over time to roughly $600 million in annual pretax income. And our accounts initiative will drive annual pretax income of $800 million. 22:06 We're also pursuing growth in advisory and implementation services and among our global practices, which is incremental to the benefits coming from our three A initiatives, and we're managing expenses carefully throughout our business. We expect that these efforts over time will contribute roughly $400 million in annual pretax income. In total then, we've identified paths that we expect to generate roughly $2 billion of contributions to our annual pretax income over the medium term. I hope that Martin’s update on our progress on these initiatives gives you confidence in our eagerness and ability to seize this enormous opportunity. 22:52 Turning to our outlook, our game plan is to continue to serve our customers seamlessly and to deliver solid results even as we go through the three-year process of transforming our business, preparing to return to top line growth and positioning Kyndryl for stronger margins and higher returns on invested capital. Our outlook for the fiscal year ending next March, our fiscal 2023, assumes that we'll make significant progress on the initiatives we've laid out. 23:23 For starters, compared to calendar year 2021, we expect to drive double-digit constant currency growth in signings in fiscal 2023. The June quarter will be a tough signings comp for us due to two large renewals last year, whereas the December quarter is typically the largest signings quarter in our industry. So our signings progress won't be linear. What's important is that, for the fiscal year as a whole, our anticipated double digit signings growth will put us on track toward our first full year of revenue growth in calendar 2025. 23:59 As a reminder, we typically start each year with nearly 85% of our projected revenue already under contract, given the multi-year term of our customer relationships. Because of the nature of what we do and the long sales cycles and ramp-up times inherent in our business, it will take time for our progress on signings to translate into revenue and profits. Our financial outlook for fiscal 2023 reflects this element of our business model. 24:30 We're expecting revenue of $16.5 billion to $16.7 billion this fiscal year based on recent exchange rates as we're facing a roughly $1 billion year-over-year top line headwind from currency movements. Our guidance implies a revenue decline of 4% to 6% in constant currency from calendar 2021 to fiscal 2023. Comparing the 12 months ending March 2023 to the 12 months ending in March 2022, our guidance implies a year-over-year revenue decline of 3% to 4% in constant currency. These year-over-year revenue comparisons, both include a roughly 1 point benefit from pass through like revenues from customers to IBM that we largely didn't have in 2021. 25:23 Our outlook is for our adjusted pretax margin to be in the range of 0% to 1%. This is consistent with our 2020 and 2021 pro forma results, despite 60 basis points and expected currency headwinds this year. In addition, there is an impact on margins from revenue declining, but at the same time, that we're investing in sales, training and growth capabilities. Offsetting these headwinds is a full-year benefit from the workforce rebalancing actions announced in late 2020 versus only a part year benefit in 2021. And we will expect to get a partial year contribution this year from our new Advanced Delivery and Accounts initiatives. 26:07 From a cash flow perspective, we're targeting about $750 million of gross capital expenditures and $700 million of net capital expenditures compared to about $1 billion of depreciation expense. We continue to view our normalized annual adjusted free cash flow to be roughly $500 million, subject to timing related swings in working capital. As a reminder, in 2021 we generated $904 million in pro forma adjusted free cash flow and ended the year with $2.2 billion of cash on our balance sheet. 26:45 One anomaly we're seeing in our outlook for fiscal 2023 is that, although we expect our adjusted pretax margin to be consistent with our 2020 and 2021 results, we're projecting our adjusted EBITDA margin to be slightly lower year-over-year at around 13% to 14%. The lower adjusted EBITDA margin is primarily related to currency and spin-off related impacts on amortization, namely, a 30 basis point headwind from currency and a 60 basis point headwind due to a portion of our software purchases from IBM being treated as a monthly subscription rather than as a prepaid and amortized software license. 27:31 In the current quarter, our new fiscal first quarter that runs from April to June, we expect to generate just under 25% of our full year revenue. There is some seasonality in our margins with the October to December quarter typically being the strongest and the April to June quarter being softer. More generally, our projected growth in signings, including from our new alliances, the benefits from our advanced delivery solutions and the contributions we expect from our accounts initiative all reflect how we're running our business differently and positioning it for a much stronger future. 28:11 We're committed to returning to revenue growth by calendar 2025 and to delivering margin expansion. We have a solid game plan to drive our progress and this game plan starts with the rapid progress we've made in expanding technology partnerships and the meaningful initiatives we're implementing this year. 28:30 In fact, I want to share some details about the composition of our revenues that underscores the under-appreciated attractiveness of a large part of our business and the markets we serve. These dynamics highlight the opportunity that's associated with our accounts initiative, where we're addressing elements of our customer relationships that generate substandard margins. Our aggregate results mask the fact that within Kyndryl we have a strong $10 billion business, which I'll refer to as a blueprint for how we want to operate. This blueprint consists of accounts that represent about 60% of our revenue, generate average gross margins north of 20% and reflect our ability to get paid appropriately for the mission-critical services we provide. To me, this blueprint is most of what we do in a source of shareholder value hiding in plain sight. 29:32 And the reason that this values under-appreciated is our other roughly $8 billion of focus accounts revenue. This revenue stream generates virtually no gross margin and after SG&A cost it is losing money. Look, the best kind of problem to have is a flexible one. Our accounts initiative is all about the opportunity to make our focus accounts more like the majority blueprint of our business over time. Over the next three years if we close even half of the gross margin gap between our focus accounts and our blueprint accounts we will generate the $800 million in incremental earnings that we've targeted from these accounts. 30:17 In a nutshell, we're excited about the earnings upside associated with our accounts initiative and our blueprint revenues represent the well-established roadmap we can follow to deliver this upside potential. More generally, we're enthusiastic about the fiscal 2023 outlook we've shared today, about the longer-term opportunity in front of us and about how our near-term actions will position us to achieve our longer-term objectives. We're committed to serving our customers, transforming our business and delivering future growth and earnings. 30:54 With that let me turn things back to Martin.