Hello all and welcome to KBR Inc's Third Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. My name is Lydia and I'll be your operator today. [Operator Instructions] It's my pleasure to now hand you over to your host, Jamie DuBray, VP of Investor Relations to begin. Please go ahead.

Thank you. Good morning, and welcome to KBR's third quarter fiscal year 2023 earnings call. Joining me are Stuart Bradie, President and Chief Executive Officer; as well as Mark Sopp, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Stuart and Mark will provide highlights from the quarter and then open the call for your questions. Today's earnings presentation is available on the Investors section of our website @kbr.com. This discussion includes forward-looking statements reflecting KBR's views about future events and their potential impact on performance as outlined on Slide 2. These matters involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ significantly from these forward-looking statements, as discussed in our most recent Form 10-K available on our website. This discussion also includes non-GAAP financial measures that the Company believes to be useful metrics for investors. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to the nearest GAAP measure is included at the end of our earnings presentation. I will now turn the call over to Stuart.

Thank you, Jamie, and a warm welcome to our Q3 earnings presentation. So let's start on slide five. Our zero harm moment today attempts to give you a high-level view of how KBR is engaged in space sustainability and security. This for us is both from space looking back to Earth and in the space environment itself. So starting on the left of the slide, we have highlighted a couple of programs in which data is generated in space to enhance our environmental understanding of what is happening on our planet. And this gives real-time analysis and trending of things like deforestation, arable land development, et cetera. In the middle, we have highlighted our proprietary technology, Iron Stallion, that digitally tracks satellites and space debris using proprietary algorithms, advanced AI, and machine learning to predict, estimate, and validate future events. In addition to the U.S. DoD, two of our allies have acquired and are using Iron Stallion today. And on the right, we have highlighted two programs focused on going to space, working on next-generation satellites for Earth monitoring with the added objective of resurfacing and recycling existing assets to minimize space junk. And the exciting work being done at NASA Ames, which is in Silicon Valley, a key research center for NASA where KBR has been engaged for many years looking at water and ice on the moon to sustain human exploration. And this is KBR playing in the knowledge economy in the space vertical across both civil and technologies. And I have to say, it's pretty cool stuff. Our people really do amazing things that matter every day. So, on to slide six and a quick look at our overall business well-being and business health slide. On the people front, we have increased headcount by no double digits…

All right. Thank you, Stuart. Hello, everyone. I'll start on page nine or slide nine. So we're certainly pleased with our team's ability to deliver strong and well-rounded performance in the third quarter. As you see in the Stuart's revenues are up 9% all organic, reflecting a balance of ramp up on recent wins and production of on-contract growth across both segments. Adjusted EBITDA was up the same on constant margins and at the levels we expected. Focused program execution is required to deliver these healthy margins. I've said that before. This continues to be the case across all of our operations in Q3. So, a big shout out to the people who constantly deliver on this front across KBR. Amazing. Adjusted EPS grew 15% to $0.75 per share, driven by the EBITDA growth and net favorable below the line items compared to last year. Voluntary expense was higher year over year as expected. The team really pulled together to generate strong cash flow and also debt reduction actions which kept financing costs in check. While effective tax rates are also trending up a bit, we did have a favorable resolution of an R&D tax credit which did keep us in line with our tax rate guidance as well. So our treasury and tax folks really did a superb job mitigating the more challenging interest and tax environments that we have today. I just mentioned cash flow was strong again in Q3 at about $90 million, with year-to-date adjusted op cash flow of $380 million, reflecting a conversion ratio of approximately 125%. Quite good! Consolidated DSOs improved two days on increased focus by the team across the board. This will continue to be pressed with course. Free cash flow year-to-date is $320 million, and I'll remind you, CapEx is running…

Thanks, Mark. Great job! But just to emphasize what Mark said a few moments ago, our EBITDA trajectory is well ahead of pace, including associated cash conversions. However, there are headwinds due to external factors beyond our control, making the 25 EPS target of $4.75 more difficult to achieve. With that, now let me summarize the key takeaways that are in our control and are going really well. Firstly, we continue to deliver for our customers, our shareholders, and other key stakeholders through our people-centric, values-driven culture, consistent delivery, resilient, organic growth, and increasingly so into the knowledge economy with another great quarter. Continued strong organic growth across all businesses and the group is a key takeaway. Cash management was absolutely terrific across many elements, as Mark said; repatriation of trapped cash, DSO reduction, interest management, et cetera. We have paid the convert principle in cash as we promised, once again doing what we said we would do. Responsible leverage and strong cash management gives us optionality on capital deployment going forward. That's another key takeaway. Bookings were strong across the group, especially in GSUS in the quarter. Now, with a light re-compete year in 2024, the inbuilt organic growth as a consequence of bookings happening in the latter half will deliver targeted growth into next year. STS continues to win work across the energy trilemma and energy transition with outstanding delivery, growth, and margin performance as you see quarter on quarter. The key takeaway here is strong bookings underpin continued momentum and organic growth into 2024. HomeSafe moves should ramp up in 2024, but likely at a slower pace than originally was expected. We'll know much more by year-end earnings. However, we do expect STS to over-perform, thus mitigating any shortfall, even that, from HomeSafe in 2024. Finally, the key takeaway here is that there are multiple pathways to EBITDA success. This is a result of our differentiated, diversified, global, and resilient business model operating across multiple verticals within the knowledge economy. Thank you again for listening, and I will now hand the call back to the operator who will open it up for questions. Thank you.

Thank you. [Operator instructions] Our first question today comes from Toby Sommer of Truist. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Hey, good morning. This is Jasper Bibb on for Toby. I can appreciate that there's still quite a bit of uncertainty on HomeSafe here, but any additional color you could share with us on the ramp would be appreciated. I think with the expectation of the first moves happening in 1-2-24, is there an underlying expectation there for the share of total volume that you're going to be taking over at that point, and do you think it's still feasible to hit the full revenue run rate at some point in 2025?

I mean, it's still not clear what the ramp is like, and I will try to be quite distinct about that in our prepared remarks. Is it possible we can still get to full run rate by summer of '25? Yes, it is. But until we get through the next few months and get to February, as we said, we'll have more clarity then. But yeah, it's difficult to say what's going to happen in '24. Could you get to full run rate by '25? The answer is yes. Is that guaranteed? No. And that's just the bare truth of it today. We're not pulling any punches. That's just the facts, and there's so much uncertainty at the moment on timing because of what's happening across the world, as I'm sure you can understand, totally not in our control. But that's just the way it is, and we're trying to be very upfront and transparent in that message.

No, that definitely makes sense. And then I think you said it was going to be harder to hit the 475 EPS target because of higher interest rates. Just curious if you could frame the relative headwind from those higher rates versus your initial plan? Like, is there an EPS headwind that you could tie to that? That's more specific. Thanks.

Yeah. I mean, there's two factors, of course. The 475 has the embedded wrap-up on HomeSafe, which may or may not be achievable, as we just talked about. And in terms of interest rates, I think the difference that's happened over the last three, four months in particular is the yield curves are now looking that interest rates are higher for longer. They were coming down. If you went back a few months, the yield curves would say they were coming down, which means, of course, it's accretive to borrow money and then buy back stock. And at the moment, that mass is on the edge, I would say. And so obviously, if you're using free cash flow, it's accretive. If you're putting it on your balance sheet, it's a more difficult decision. And I think that's really the message we're trying to give around that and the implications of the higher interest rates. Mark, any?

Yeah. I think it's an opportunity just to clarify that, absent real compelling M&A, we intend to use all of our free cash flow for buybacks. We think that's a terrific return over the long term for our shareholders. But as Stuart suggested, these days to lever up and buy back stock is kind of a push from an accretion perspective. That was not our assumption in the original targets when we had lower rates and so forth. And so that part won't deliver the accretion we once assumed. But all other things operationally, as we said in our prepared remarks, really strong, more stronger than planned. A little bit of headwind on tax rates and FX since the derivation of those targets, but not that dramatic relative to the interest rates, which were the biggest move as well at the home safe timing, which is uncertain.

Appreciate the detail there. Thanks for taking the questions, guys.

Our next question today comes from Bert Subin of Stifel. Your line is open.

Hey. Hey, good morning. Stuart and Mark, thanks for the question. Hey, maybe just to start out, Stuart, you said STS is expected to over-perform next year. How should we think about the trajectory there? I think last call you mentioned that, you expected sort of double digit organic growth for a while. There could be some lumpiness in that over time. I mean, right now you're growing 28%. Is there a situation where you just continue to grow at an elevated level in '24? And then as we think about '25, I mean, that was supposed to be $300 million in EBITDA by then. Is there any update you can give us on that as we think about, I guess, the new '25 target?

Yeah, I mean, I don't think we're going to get out over our skis on a '25 target today, but what I would say is that we are well ahead of pace. You're quite right. We hit a $300 million target. We're going to blow through that this year. we raised EBITDA guides last quarter and, we're ahead of pace of that or on pace for that. And I think everyone recognizes, particularly with the Q3 results, that's all pointing to STS. And I think if you look at the relative performance of STS to KBR, I think year to date it's circa 40% and the quarter it's even higher. And so its contribution and its value to KBR is becoming clearer and clearer. And hopefully that reflects in the multiple as well as we go forward in terms of that contribution. But as we look into next year, we'll be the double digit growth that we set ourselves will be coming off a much higher base. And clearly that outpaces where we originally thought and even a few months ago thought we would be starting from. So I think that's probably the best way to look at it. We'll get to the, we've got an invested day, as in sort of May next year and we'll certainly be realigning those targets by then. We should also have a lot more clarity on home safe by then as well. So I think we can really sort of cover-off where we're heading in the next couple of years at that juncture.

Just to clarify there, Stuart, do you say it's a higher base and so double digit growth will be a challenge or you expect double digit growth off of a higher base?

No, no, no, no, no, no. We firmly expect double digit growth. My point being it's a much higher starting number that you put the double digits to.

Got it. Okay, thanks. And then just as a follow-up on the home safe side of things, I mean, I think there was some news out there in September that there was, I guess, challenges or I guess concerns on Transcom part of integrating Mill Move with Home Safe Connect. And it seems like you guys are pretty ready whenever they essentially say go. That expectation, I think, is still January start and then a sort of sequential ramp from there. Can you just give us some of the moving parts or like the things you're watching to get that turned on and revenue started there?

Yeah, I mean, quite right. It's the integration of the systems and ensuring their readiness and we don't want to falter in any way. And I think Transcom are quite right to be quite considered about how they ramp up and it comes back. We do expect moves in Q1. I don't think it will be January 1. That's for sure. It will be a little bit later in the quarter. But I think directionally, I'll reiterate again the relationship, the passion around this on both sides to get it right is absolutely there. I'm not concerned about that at all. But it's all about being absolutely sure that when we start, we can actually ramp up very quickly and not falter and so I can't say more than what we said in the prepared remarks and just because I don't know anymore. And I think that's kind of where we're at. I'm sorry, I can't give more color. It's just there's just uncertainty. I'm trying to be truthful.

Appreciate the color. Thank you.

The next question today comes from Gautam Khanna of TD Cowen. Please go ahead.

Hi, guys. Two questions. First, on HomeSafe, I'm just curious about your confidence on execution given some of the logistics partners may have agreed to contract terms prior to the runaway inflation we saw last year and for part of this year. Just what kind of contractual -- what's your confidence that that stuff doesn't have to get renegotiated? And then I have a follow-up.

Yeah, I think, Gautam, I think we have support from the supply chain to deliver the initial ramp and the commitments around that. Even if we started tomorrow, never mind in a few months, I think the heat's come out of that market somewhat and Transcom are thinking that those rates should naturally come down as the heat comes out of the market in the event. So I think in terms of our confidence levels, we feel we've got the right partners, we've got the right people in the supply chain and we're feeling really good about that. It's not really a question that we're concerned about.

Okay. And then just a quick follow-up, on the 2025-475 target, knowing what you know today, what is the variance, earnings per share variance to that from interest expense, a higher share count, et cetera? Take HomeSafe out of it, which I think was about $0.50, right, to the target when you guys updated for the HomeSafe win. Where do you guys stand? Is it 425? What can you see?

I mean, it's so tricky because we don't know the ramp on HomeSafe and as Mark was alluding to in terms of free cash flow we'll use to do buybacks, there was a big piece of that in the initial calculation. And so I think the challenge for us, Gautam, if you look back, is that when we set our targets initially, I think it was $4, not 425, and then 475 with HomeSafe. There was a base set of assumptions that surrounded that around interest rates and accretion dilution mass around buybacks and things like that and average share prices and things. But ultimately, everyone forgets about those assumptions and everyone just goes and remembers the EPS target. And so I think the things that we can control are probably a better way to think about how we should be measured and I think that really is EBITDA. And as we've come with these external factors and the volatility in the world today, we can't control interest rates and FX movements and things like that, but our EBITDA generation is within our control as is our organic growth and wins. And I think that's how we will be, I guess, projecting our future, if you like. That doesn't mean that EPS, particularly short-term EPS, will not be part of the executive compensation, but longer-term EPS with such volatility and movements is something we're probably going to move away from and think more about EBITDA.

And do you have an updated EBITDA target for 2025, recognizing HomeSafe as ex-HomeSafe?

I think Stuart was very clear in his remarks that we're ahead of pace by a lot in STS and on pace for government ex-HomeSafe and we still believe HomeSafe is there. It's a matter of time. So putting a precise date in 2025 in HomeSafe's contribution is a little hard, but we still are optimistic it will deliver the originally intended EBITDA over time once we get through the first moves and everyone is comfortable that the quality that was intended can be delivered. So the great news is that relative to the original targets, the most important driver, which is EBITDA, is ahead of pace. We haven't quantified that yet. You can maybe do your own calculation on STS's run rate and where they're heading trajectory-wise, which we think will continue, but I think it's best to wait for the '24 guide and the investor data to be more precise on that exact level for 2025.

And certainly as we move into 2024, we're very confident of our EBITDA targets and meeting them is the pathway that we explained with STS performing and opposite any shortfall in HomeSafe will certainly be made up by STS. So we're not worried about that pathway at all.

Thank you.

Our next question today comes from Michael Dudas of Vertical Research Partners. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Good morning, Jamie. Mark Stewart. Hello? Can you hear me? Oh, yeah, great. Yeah. Thanks for morning, everybody. So just wanted to maybe move towards STS, there was a lot of news the last couple weeks of the funding in the U.S. for hydrogen hubs. So certainly the hydrogen market continues to get a lot of visibility and news flow. Maybe you can explain a little bit about how KBR and its clients are thinking about that and how that could drive some more opportunities on top of what you've already described in the ammonia and hydrogen business for the next, I'm sure, several year's?

Yeah. I mean, I think of the $7 billion, I think half of it or so will be spent in construction enabling, I think, 68 hydrogen hubs. I think targeted, I think, for 2030, Mike, to be online. And I think, however, we've got customer sets all around the world, some of which have more funding and are moving far faster with greater urgency. And we talked a little bit about hydrogen cracking and the things we're doing in that area. And as you well know, we're positioned in hydrogen opposite ammonia as well. So I think the U.S. stimulus is a good part of the story. But I guess probably the near-term, it's only part of the story. And I think there's great growth outside of the U.S. as well as in it. And so I think it's a terrific opportunity for KBR. How we play in that and the way we're thinking about it is evolving. It's only recently announced, of course. But we are really busy elsewhere in the world, which, of course, gives us amazing credentials and capability to bring back into the U.S.

Terrific! Thank you, Stuart. Appreciate it.

The next question today comes from Jerry Revich of Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

Hi, this is Adam on for Jerry today. Thanks for taking my question. Wondering if you could help us understand the growth outlook by platform for 2024 and government solutions, how you're thinking about that, excluding HomeSafe and particularly interested in how the how you're thinking about the international piece, given some of the things going on in the world? Thanks.

Yeah, so I think I think [indiscernible] HomeSafe is somewhere between five and eight percent in terms of growth. And I think we're well aligned on that. So in the prepared remarks covered off, I think science and space is in a terrific place with its recent wins, particularly the takeaways and the additional scope and contract values have taken on board as we move into '24 for good growth. We've got a lot going on in the intelligence community, as you would rightly expect. And at this time, we've secured quite a bit across our DNA portfolio and there's more to come, I think, in Q4. So, again, we're feeling really strongly about organic growth there. And our analysis is the one where we've seen a little bit of softness, I think, in the last couple of months. But as I said, again, I think we with the recent task orders all multi-year, we're expecting that to ramp back up as we move into next year. The international piece is interesting.

Great. Thank you. Okay.

Well, I think the international piece is probably growing faster than most. I think we're looking at sort of double digit growth there as a consequence of what's happening in the world and the stronger collaboration. And I think that the markets there have settled down. There's been a new government in Australia a few months ago and that's all settled down. And we've come through that and we can see directly where the spending and we're lined up nicely opposite those vectors. So, I think all up, we're feeling pretty good about our overall GS growth range. And that's a sort of breakdown across that portfolio. So, I hope that helps.

Very helpful. And then in STS, can you talk about any major new contracts that you might be targeting and expected timing of any award decisions there?

Yeah, I guess the biggest, I mean, there's a lot happening in STS across the world. It's a multifaceted portfolio. We do a lot for many different customer sets across that energy trilemma as we explained. I would say that the largest news, I think, in the market really is probably coming out of Saudi. I mean, they're expected to be the largest economy or the largest growing economy or the fastest growing economy for the next couple of years, as you're probably aware. They're putting a lot of capital to work as they diversify their economy. There's a lot going on from de-carbonization thematic where they're stopping burning crude for power, replacing that with gas and we're heavily engaged in that. And then with that crude, they're trying to extend the value chain by turning it into petrochemicals. And so, there's a substantial new program with four or five major crackers associated with it. And it's a huge integrated portfolio of investment, running up hundreds of billions of dollars. It's out for bid now in terms of pre-feed and feed and project management. And if that comes through, I think if we can win our fair share of that and we've got a good relationship in Saudi and we really like working with Aramco, we really understand how they operate and we've got a long history of doing well mutually. And so, if we can win our fair share there, that's very exciting and quite sizable and multi-year. And I think that's probably the largest we think that there'll be noise about that coming through in Q4. That's probably the largest one out there. And I think if that comes through, I think also nice coming through in this quarter was more reimbursable LNG work, which I know a…

No, terrific. Thanks so much.

Our next question today comes from Mariana Perez Mora of Bank of America. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Hi, good morning. This is Samantha Stiroh, I'm from Mariana. I was just wondering about, you talked a little bit about at the beginning, the head-count ramp, what you're seeing with that and then particularly as you see the strong growth in SDS, do you have the headcount in place already to kind of keep up with that?

Yeah, I mean, we're hiring just slightly ahead of the curve there. I think we're, our team is doing extremely well and we've got a large presence in India that allows us a little bit of a relief valve there and we've got a terrific lady who leads that business and it's highly respected in the marketplace. So, we're able to attract real talent and diversify talent, which is terrific. So, I think so far, so good and there will become, I'm sure, constraints in certain elements like in the world's gone past and things like in the process side and things like that. But so far, we're keeping on pace and no real issues. We've got a very strong recruitment team, but I think ultimately, where we sit in the marketplace around sustainable solutions is a big draw for talent, particularly younger talent, they really value being part of a Company that's actually trying to address climate change issues and de-carbonization semantics as well as the work we do in government around security and sustaining a way of life and things like that. So, it's, our overall reputation helps where we are in the markets and the things we do help, but we really look after our people once they're here and recruitment is only one aspect. I think retention is another aspect and certainly we're doing very well in that area. So, I think so far, so good.

Okay, great. I'll keep it to one. Thank you.

Our final question today comes from Sahil Manocha of Citibank. Please go ahead.

Hi, good morning. This is Sahil Manocha for Andy Kaplan. So, another government shutdown deadline is approaching in November. Could you provide some color on how a short to medium term shutdown could impact the government solutions business?

Yeah, thanks. Thanks, Sahil. Well, I mean, I'm sure lots of companies that do what we do are getting that question. For us, this is nothing new. I mean, it seems to happen every year, whether it's a CR or a short shutdown and I think we've proven year after year we're very resilient. We understand what we're doing. We're, remember that our SPS business and our government international business is completely immune to that. So, we've got some inbuilt immunity. We've got a lot of funding on what I would call tip of the spear critical operational missions and, whether that's in Europe or the space station or whatever, it doesn't matter where, and the intelligence, what we do across our whole defense portfolio. So, we're not concerned about that. I think ultimately it's, we've been engaged in it so many times. And I'm sure the answer is the same for many of our peers in the government realm. So, yeah, not, I mean, it's one of those things that would be great to be avoided, but if it does happen, I don't think it's going to impact KBR too much.

That's helpful. And then I know you provided some color on your, in the opening remarks, but could you just provide an update on your plans to settle the remaining warrants, which mature in the first half of 2024? Has a decision been made on whether they'll be settled in cash or shares?

Yeah, I think it depends how we go. I mean, we're not allowed to, under the rules of engagement, to start that dialogue with the warrant holders until we're in the open window, which we will be in tomorrow. So, we can start that negotiation. And as Mark said, if we can cut a reasonable deal around premiums and things, we have options to settle in an accelerated fashion. I think the interesting fact pattern around that is that if we do decide, depending on how negotiations go, to settle early, it will be quite a reduction in share count for the year, the way these things are calculated, that will push up our EPS for 2023, a bit just because of share count. So, there's some good fact patterns there to be taken into consideration as well. So, Mark, any more color on that?

Yeah, I'll just add, because I know this has been a pretty complex story, but the last remaining piece, after yesterday are the warrants and at today's open, the value of those warrants is roughly $200 million, give or take. And that does vary with the stock price, roughly $10 of value per $1 of movement. And so, that gives you some sensitivity to that will go into our thinking. And so, we'll evaluate what the market bears. There are counterparty to those instruments, and that is a negotiation, and we'll undertake that, and we'll see where it goes, and we'll advise accordingly.

Very helpful. Thank you very much.

Thank you. We have no further questions in the queue, so I'll turn the call back to Stuart Bradie for any final remarks.

Thank you. Thanks again. Thanks for taking the time to listen this morning, and thank you for your questions. I think you can ascertain where we've got control over our destiny. We're feeling really good about the Company, the bookings, the performance, the margins. We look ahead into 2024 with bookings very strong in Q3, and obviously some very strong prospects we discussed in Q4, feeling really good about continued momentum. Obviously, we'll be very clear and very truthful about not trying to pull any punches about uncertainty on HomeSafe, on Ramp. We're feeling very good about the program in general, so please take that as we've said it, but we don't know what the Ramp's going to look like. We will start in 2024, and it will ramp up over time, but until we get clarity, it's difficult to give you any more than that. There is a path to get to full ramp by 2025, but again, that path is unclear and uncertain, so again, apologies that we can't give more than this opaqueness at this time. That's probably a good place to leave it, and I'm sure we'll be talking to you one-on-one and others as we progress, but thank you for your interest in KBR, and we look forward to a strong finish to 2023 and upwards and onwards to 2024. Thank you.

This concludes today's call. Thank you for joining. You may now disconnect your line.