Roger Thompson
Analyst · factors, including but not limited to, those described in the forward-looking statements and risk factors sections of the company's Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2019, Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2020, and in other filings made by the company with the SEC from time to time. Janus Henderson assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements made during the call. Thank you. Now it is my pleasure to introduce Dick Weil, Chief Executive Officer of Janus Henderson. Mr. Weil, you may begin your conference
Thanks, Dick, and thank you, everyone, for joining us. I sincerely hope that everyone and your friends and family and colleagues are safe and healthy. Looking at the first quarter's results. Market volatility in the last five weeks of the quarter, coupled with the previously communicated redemptions, resulted in $12 billion of net outflows. Period end AUM was down 21% compared to the fourth quarter. That said, the average AUM for the quarter was down only 3% from the prior quarter. And as we sit here today, AUM is up around 10% from the end of March. In terms of our GAAP results, there is one significant item in the quarter. The decline in AUM as at the 31st of March and the economic uncertainty of COVID-19 is affecting the value of our intangible assets and goodwill, which resulted in an impairment of $487 million. I'll remind you that this is a noncash adjustment. The adjusted financial results were actually stronger than the same period a year ago, but down a little compared to the prior quarter with adjusted EPS of $0.60 compared to $0.65 a quarter ago. Finally, we returned $97 million of cash to shareholders during the quarter via dividends and share repurchases. Moving to investment performance on slide five. Long-term investment performance remains strong, with 65% and 66% of firm-wide assets, meeting their respective benchmarks on a three and five year basis as at the 31st of March. Relative performance compared to peers is even stronger, with 69%, 84% and 79% of AUM represented in the top two Morningstar quartiles on a one, three and five-year basis, respectively. We take a long-term view of investment performance, understanding that very short-term results will fluctuate period to period. The last five weeks of the quarter were unprecedented in volatility and liquidity terms. Our investment team is focused on identifying opportunities that are being created by recent market events to position portfolios for the long term. Turning to total company flows on slide six. For the quarter, net outflows were $12.2 billion compared to $6.7 billion last quarter. This reflects an increase in gross redemptions due to the $6 billion of mandate losses that we previously told you about on our full year earnings call, along with elevated redemptions created by the extreme volatility in the latter part of the quarter. The gross redemptions were partially offset by higher gross sales. Gross sales were 37% higher than the same period a year ago, and the $21.4 billion of gross sales is the best result since the merger, continuing the momentum we saw in the second half of 2019. slide seven provides a little more color on the quarterly flow results. Normally, we don't focus on such short-term flows. But with the circumstances of this quarter, we felt that as a one-off, it was important to provide this level of detail to help explain the results. The $12.2 billion of outflows is almost entirely made up of the $6 billion of previously notified and disclosed redemptions in the global emerging markets and Core Plus Fixed Income, and outflows in the month of March, caused by the market volatility. Outside of these items, January and February outflows were less than $1 billion and included a continuation of the strong momentum in our intermediary business. I'm pleased to say that as we begin the second quarter, the pace of retail outflows has slowed significantly. And as you'll see in the public data soon to be published, in April, intermediary outflows sorry, intermediary flows are currently around flat. Moving to slide eight, which shows the breakdown of flows in the quarter by capability. Equity net outflows for the first quarter were $6.9 billion compared to $1.3 billion in the prior quarter. The quarterly results was due to the previously notified $1.1 billion redemption in EM and outflows over the last five weeks of the quarter. Flows into Fixed Income were negative in the quarter at $3.4 billion. Excluding the previously notified $5 billion low fee redemption in Core Plus, the remaining Fixed Income business was positive for the quarter, due to institutional mandate wins primarily received in Australia. INTECH outflows were $2 billion. Multi-asset flows continue to be driven by strong flows into the balanced strategy. Total inflows for this capability in the first quarter were $900 million. And pleasingly, the strategy continues to be in the first Morningstar quartile over all-time periods. Alternative net outflows of $900 million were primarily from the U.K. Property Fund and U.K. Absolute Return Fund, which is actually performing very well. slide nine is our standard presentation of U.S. GAAP statement of income. Now turning to slide 10 for a look at the summary financial results. Despite the difficult market environment, our adjusted financial results are better across the board than they were a year ago. This improvement resulted from better performance fees, slightly higher average assets and good cost discipline. First quarter adjusted operating margin was 37.2% compared to 36.9% in the prior quarter and 34.4% a year ago, reflecting that strong cost discipline. Finally, adjusted diluted EPS was $0.60 for the quarter compared to $0.65 for the fourth quarter and up from $0.56 a year ago. On slide 11, we've outlined the revenue drivers compared to the prior quarter. Lower average assets, performance fees and one fewer calendar day were the biggest drivers of the quarterly change in adjusted total revenue. Net management fee margin for the first quarter was 45.1 basis points, which was up slightly from the fourth quarter. The quarterly increase is due to mix shift. The margin has been resilient during the market downturn with the exit rates down only slightly compared to the first quarter average. Performance fees were lower, primarily from segregated mandates, which are seasonally higher in the fourth quarter. Regarding U.S. Mutual Fund performance fees, the first quarter remained relatively flat to the fourth quarter at negative $1.9 million, but has improved significantly from the negative $8.9 million a year ago. Moving to operating expenses on slide 12. Adjusted operating expenses in the first quarter were $278 million, which was a 5% decline compared to the fourth quarter. Adjusted employee compensation, which includes fixed and variable staff costs, was down 2% compared to the prior quarter. Fixed costs were actually up 4% due to annual pay rises, seasonality of payroll taxes resetting and 401(k) matches. Given the latter two are Q1 only items, fixed staff costs will be lower in Q2. Variable compensation was lower by 8% due to lower profits. Adjusted LTI was down 25% from the fourth quarter from the impact of mark-to-market adjustments. In the appendix, we've provided updated detail on the expected future amortization of existing grants. The first quarter adjusted comp-to-revenue ratio was 42.4%. This ratio is in line with guidance. In a moment, I'll talk about what we anticipate for the remainder of 2020, given lower asset levels. Adjusted noncomp operating expenses were virtually flat to the prior quarter, which, as a reminder, included a onetime $5.5 million credit. The absence of these credits was offset by lower expenses, particularly in marketing and travel. Finally, our recurring effective tax rate for the quarter was 27.4%. The higher effective tax rate compared to the statutory rate guidance of 23% to 25% is primarily a result of book to tax differences on stock-based compensation. Considering the lower asset levels entering the second quarter, I wanted to spend a few minutes revisiting our expense guidance for 2020. As a reminder, we have a keen focus on sound financial discipline with an awareness of margin pressure, but with an emphasis on the long-term as opposed to short-term results. That said, in this environment of so many unknowns, particularly around the depth and duration of the crisis, we are being prudent in managing expenses. This includes the hiring freeze, canceling or deferring the hiring to fill vacancies, reviewing contractor use and a review of all noncompensation-related expenses. In looking at compensation, lower assets will drive lower revenues, putting pressure on the adjusted comp ratio, which we now estimate to be in the mid-40s. Our guidance for noncompensation expenses was low to mid single-digit growth compared to 2019. We now anticipate noncomp to be flat to slightly down on 2019. And finally, the firm's statutory tax rate is expected to remain at 23% to 25%. But as we saw in the first quarter, the effective rate will be impacted by various differences, which arise quarter-to-quarter. The updated guidance assumes roughly flat AUM for the remainder of 2020 and continued low activity from travel low activity and travel from COVID-19 through the summer. We'll update guidance accordingly on future earnings calls should these assumptions materially change. Turning to slide 13 and a look at our balance sheet. A balance sheet that can withstand volatile markets, such as the current environment, has always been a priority of Board and management. We are in a net cash position, have no debt maturing until 2025, and the minimal debt we do have equates to less than one times EBITDA. On slide 14, we provided additional detail on the first quarter cash activity. First, cash flow from operations is positive, despite including annual compensation payments in the first quarter. For the remainder of the year, we don't anticipate any large operational cash needs, so forecast generating significant cash flow that can be used for further investment in the business or to return to shareholders. Second, we returned $98 million to shareholders via dividend and buybacks. The dividend remains well supported by the business results. And today, we've declared a static $0.36 per share quarterly dividend. During the first quarter, we purchased 2.1 million shares of our stock for $31 million at an average price of $15.11. Our thoughts around a buyback in terms of returning true excess cash to shareholders have not changed, and we believe it is a good use of cash at the current stock prices. So whilst we'll constantly review, you should expect to see us in the market in Q2. During the quarter, we finalized the sale of Geneva Capital Management, which resulted in net cash proceeds of $38.6 million in addition to an earn-out over the next five years. Finally, we had $98 million in net seed redemptions in the quarter. In the prior quarter, we've made $100 million short-term investment in our seed book, which we redeemed in Q1. The net result of this activity is a slight quarterly increase in cash and cash equivalent balance to just over $800 million. This cash balance, coupled with the expected cash flow generation for the remainder of the year, provides a solid foundation to weather this storm and to come out winners. I'd now like to turn it back over to the operator for Q&A.