Roger Thompson
Analyst · factors, including, but not limited to, those described in the forward-looking statements and risk factors sections of the company's most recent Form 10-K and other more recent filings made with the SEC. Janus Henderson assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements made during the call. Thank you. And now, it is my pleasure to introduce Dick Weil, Chief Executive Officer of Janus Henderson. Mr. Weil, you may begin your conference
Thank you, Dick, and thanks, everyone, for joining us. The third quarter's results can be characterized by three points. First, investment performance remains very strong, with at least 70% of assets reaching their respective benchmarks over the 1-, 3- and 5-year time periods. Second, total company net outflows improved to $3.5 billion, resulting in assets under management decline of 1% compared to the prior quarter. And third, the financial results were better than the prior quarter, with EPS of $0.64 compared to $0.61 a quarter ago. Turning to Slide 3 to take a look at investment performance results, overall, investment performance relative to benchmarks remained strong. We saw continued strength in the performance of our equity, fixed income and multi-asset capabilities across the 1-, 3- and 5-year time periods and short-term improvements in our alternative and INTECH capabilities. Year-to-date performance of INTECH has been encouraging, but the weakness in longer-term performance means we still have business at risk. The other notable movement in the quarter was alternatives. The U.K. absolute return strategy, which has switched to underperforming at the end of June, returned to outperformance as of the end of September, however, the strategy remains modestly behind its high watermark. On the right-hand side of the slide, you can see that our relative performance compared to peers is very strong, with more than 70% of AUM represented in the top two Morningstar quartiles on a 1-, 3- and 5-year basis. Now turning to total company flows. For the quarter, net outflows were $3.5 billion compared to outflows of $9.8 billion last quarter. The improvement was driven by lower growth redemptions, primarily in the four known areas of concern that we previously highlighted. While we're pleased with this improvement and it's a step in the right direction, we are far from satisfied with the results and much work remains in front of us. Similar to last quarter, we wanted to spend a few minutes breaking down the flow results between known area of concerns and the remaining area of the business. Last quarter, we introduced Slide 5 in an effort to help you better understand where we're seeing major headwinds in the business. We did this because the current concentration of outflows is masking some really great work across the major cross sections of our business. Given the improving trends in the areas of concern, next quarter will likely be the final time we break out the flow results in this manner. First, let's take a look at INTECH. INTECH had net outflows of $2.4 billion in the quarter, which is an improvement from the prior quarter, however, given the weakness in the longer-term investment performance and the low sales pipeline, the business remains a key area of concern. Given these concerns and the lumpy nature of INTECH's predominantly institutional business, we wanted to provide an update on the fourth quarter flow to date. Thus far in the fourth quarter, INTECH has experienced $1.4 billion of outflows, which is a disappointing result. Global emerging markets, outflows totaled $200 million in the quarter compared to $2.5 billion in the second quarter. Last quarter, I told you, we remained fully committed to the emerging markets asset class and we're very pleased to announce during the third quarter that we've hired what we believe will be an exceptional gem team, filling a key gap for us. This will now allow us to compete for assets in this category going forward, and we're very pleased with the new team. The remaining assets in this strategy is still at risk as clients continue to evaluate depositions. We're obviously, keen to retain as much as possible. That said, thus far, in the fourth quarter, we've seen $400 million of redemptions in the strategy, which leaves $1.9 billion of assets at risk. Outflows in core plus fixed income, which includes flexible bond fund with $300 million in the quarter compared to $1 billion in the second quarter. The result continues the trend of improved outflows as the years progressed. Performance has also improved in 2019 relative to benchmark and peers, which is also encouraging. And finally, European equity outflows were $500 million in the quarter compared to $800 million in the second quarter. Whilst negative, this represents continued improvement for this area of the business. While demand across the industry for European equity remains weak, investment performance across our strategies continues to improve and relative to peers, all are in the top two quartiles over the one- and three-year time periods. The remaining parts of the business continued its upward trend in the third quarter. I'd remind you that the reason why this is so important is because this area of the business accounts for 80% of the firm's totally AUM. As you can see in the second bar chart on the right of this slide, this area of our business had $100 million of net outflows in the third quarter compared to $1.4 billion of net outflows in the second quarter, a much better results, but still one that's below where we aspire and expect to be. The improvements over the prior quarter really reflects the continuation of the trends we spoke about last quarter. We're seeing inflows into fixed income across a diverse set of strategies, most significantly during the quarter into European investment-grade credit, strategic income and multi-sector income. We've seen market share gains in our intermediary business, with positive net flows during the quarter in the U.S. and Europe and in Latin America. We're seeing ongoing improvements across a number of U.S. equity funds and continued organic growth globally in the balanced fund. While net flows have improved during the quarter, and we're winning new business and gaining market share across a number of regions and capabilities, we do continue to see risk across the four areas I highlighted earlier, so we remain cautious about the flow outlook in the near term. Slide 6 is our standard presentation of the U.S. GAAP statement of income. Moving to Slide 7 for a look at our summary financial results, adjusted third-quarter results compare favorably versus last quarter, primarily as a result of lower expenses. Average AUM in the third quarter was flat compared to the prior quarter as market gains were offset by outflows and a negative FX impact. Total adjusted revenues in the quarter remain unchanged compared to the second quarter. Adjusted operating income in the third quarter of $160 million was up 5% over the prior quarter, driven by lower expenses. Third-quarter adjusted operating margin was 37.0% compared to 35.0% in the prior quarter and 38.5% a year ago, when we had a higher average AUM. Finishing up the financial results, adjusted diluted EPS was $0.64 in the third quarter compared to $0.61 for the prior quarter and $0.69 a year ago. On Slide 8, we've outlined the revenue drivers for the quarter. Management fees decreased slightly from the prior quarter as higher AUM and one additional calendar day was offset by lower net management fee margin. The margin for the quarter was 41.6 basis points, which was down compared to the second quarter, driven by mixed shift in the business, primarily from outflows in higher fee equity products. Performance fees remained positive at $1 million compared to $4 million in the second quarter. Regarding U.S. Mutual Fund's performance fees, the third quarter improved to a negative of $1 million from negative 4 million in the second quarter and negative $11 million a year ago. If we're successful in continuing to outperform benchmarks in the fourth quarter of 2019, we will further improve these performance fees and under this scenario, we'd see positive performance fees in this area in the fourth quarter. Turning to operating expenses on Slide 9, adjusted operating expenses in the third quarter were $273 million, which was down 3% from the prior quarter. Adjusted LTI was down 14% from the second part, largely due to social security taxes on vestings in the U.K. that occurred in the previous quarter. In the Appendix, we've provided the usual further detail on the expected future amortization of existing grants, which hasn't changed significantly compared to the prior quarter. The third-quarter adjusted comp to revenue ratio was 42.7%, which is in line with the guidance which we communicated previously. Adjusted non-comp operating expenses decreased 2% quarter-over-quarter, primarily from the lower seasonal marketing expenses. With nine months results in the books, the guidance on 2019 non-comp expenses, which is flat to 2018, excluding the 12 million legal outcome in 2018 is still applicable. Finally, the firm's recurring effective tax rate for the third quarter was 23.8%. For the full year, the firm's effective tax rate is still expected to be 23% to 25%. Lastly, Slide 10 is a look at our capital management. As you can see on this slide, our strong balance sheet and our commitment to returning excess cash to shareholders has enabled us to fund $513 million of dividends and buybacks over the last 12 months, which represents approximately 100% of the cash flow from operations that was generated in the period. During the third quarter, we paid $68 million in dividends to shareholders and declared $0.36 per share dividend to be paid on the 25 November to shareholders of record as at the 11 November. Additionally, we purchased 4.2 million shares in the quarter for $81 million. This takes our year-to-date accretive share repurchase program total to $187 million or 8.9 million shares. We anticipate the remaining $13 million of the 200 million authorization to be completed in the fourth quarter. After the completion of this program, we would have reduced the total shares outstanding by nearly 7% since we began buying shares in August 2018. Looking forward, any consideration of a new buyback authorization will occur during our annual capital planning process with the board in early 2020. We'll provide an update during the full-year earnings call in February. And with that, I would like to turn back to the operator for Q&A.