Zeinal Abedin Mahomed Bava
Analyst · Cazenove. Please state your question
Yes. Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. On behalf of the Portugal Telecom Board, thank you very much for attending this call. I am here with the Portugal Telecom finance team, our Chief Financial Officer, Luis Pacheco de Melo; our Chief Accounting Officer, Francisco Nunes; our IR Director, Nuno Prego; and a member of our accounting team as well Mr. Plumas Albino [ph]. Luis Pacheco and I will do a very brief presentation of the results, nine months results announcement and at the end of which we will of course be delighted to answer any questions that you may have. In the nine months of this year, our consolidated operating revenues amounted to €4.531 million. That's an increase of 5.7% year-on-year. EBITDA increased 11.8% to €1.726 million, equivalent to margin of 38.1%. The net income from operations increased 29.2% to over €900 million, more exactly €910 million. Net income for the period amounted to €670 million, an increase of 27.2% over the same period last year. Our operational cash flow, measured as EBITDA minus CapEx, increased 15.5% to €1.227 million. Our net debt at the end of September amounted to €4.3 billion and after-tax unfunded post-retirement benefit obligations totaled less than €1 billion, more exactly €917 million. Turning now to the operational highlights of each business, I will focus on the operating highlights and Luis Pacheco de Melo will take you through the financials. When it comes to fixed line division of Portugal Telecom, we saw a pickup in line loss in the third quarter and that is very much due to the fact that they are a lot more GSM-based fixed offers and of course wireless broadband has seen exponential growth in the last three to six months which is beginning to some extent cannibalize the potential addressable market of ADSL. Also we have seen in the last two, three months, triple play offers being launched aggressively by the local operators. Nonetheless, we think that the line loss has done better than we had expected and we hope that with a number of offers that we are planning for the next few quarters more integrated fixed voice fixed data but also fixed mobile will help us, we believe, reduce this line loss in terms of the future. The line loss that we saw in the third quarter of this year is in line with the past four quarters. So, to some extent we have not yet seen major deterioration in terms of market dynamics, and we believe that the recent changes that Portugal Telecom has announced in terms of how we wish to manage more fixed and mobile will certainly improve our competitive position in this market. ADSL net adds increased 13% on the back of the summer campaign, albeit that I will just point that one of the most successful products we have had is the pay as you go product which we will of course over a period of time we will need to assess whether those subs are active or not but to some extent I have to say that the summer campaign were successful and overall the numbers in terms of adds have gone up and reaching 13% growth which is better than we had expected. The triple play IPTV offer that we launched now has about 10,000 subscribers, the initial market reaction has been very positive, we still continue to see the IPTV offer that we have and the launch as a soft launch. At this stage we are likely to be far more focused in terms of geographical areas where we want to roll out this product. But at the same time Portugal Telecom on the fixed line is getting ready to have a broader TV offer which is likely to include other platforms other than IPTV, so we are, as you know, and this has come out in the Portuguese press, we are looking at DTH also as an option to offer television on a nationwide basis, and of course, we are also looking at the potential process of digital terrestrial television as well as an alternative platform in terms of the future. So, I think the key message here for you, is that we will have a very strong triple play offer next year. It would include voice, data, video. With regard to which platform we will use, I think it will very much depend on where exactly where we are operating that service in terms of the geography of the Portuguese market, because as you know the gross domestic product or the GDP per capita distribution in our country will lead us to choose the best possible platform to ensure that we have not just the best offer in terms of content but also competitive pricing. With regard to operational deficiency, as you know we have an ongoing curtailment program. We have indicated that we would reduce our staffing levels around 500 this year. At the end of the first of this nine months we had already reduced about 482 employees, or we have curtailed 482 employees at a cost a bit less than €3,000 euros per headcount, just to remind you that doesn't mean that we are writing checks of €300,000, a lot of the people are seeing the contract suspended or pre-retiring, and therefore, what we are basically booking on our P&L is the liability that we have with these people between now and the time upon which they retire and we have to fulfill all the obligations that we have with the pension fund. We are likely to maintain this program or be best, we are fairly happy at this stage with the efficiency ratio that we have at least measured in terms of lines per employee. Having said that we do see significant synergies both in terms of revenues but also cost, in trying to align our two Portuguese domestic businesses both fixed and mobile and also align what we have... what we call instrumental companies in the domestic markets. As far as we are concerned the efficiency increase in the Portugal Telecom is likely to continue and therefore we are fairly confident that we can continue to post solid margins across all our businesses in Portugal going forward. With regard to post retirement benefits, as you know significant work has been done in terms of the restructuring of our healthcare and also pension, overall pension fund liabilities, and as a result of this we are today looking at a unfunded pension liability of less than a €1 billion. And therefore, all this work has led us, had led to a significant reduction in the so called post-retirement benefits that you see in our P&L and the after tax unfunded liabilities now, as I mentioned earlier, roughly €910, 915 million. So when it comes to the fixed line, in summary, what I can say is that the market dynamics are as competitive as we have seen in the past, clearly there is work to be done with the regulator now that Portugal Telecom has new target to spin off and has spun off PT Multimedia. We believe that aligning mobile and fixed converges offers will enhance our competitive position and we will strive to continue to reduce costs going forward to maintain cash flow and the margin performance that we've had so far. In terms of the mobile business in Portugal, what I think you saw in the third quarter is a confirmation of what we saw in the first and the second quarter of this year which is that TMN is gaining market, TMN is increasing commercial activity, measured not just in terms of net adds, but also convergence from prepaid to postpaid, and also the work that we have or extensive work that we have done in terms of massive rollout of the wireless broadband but also Internet access using mobile and mobile TV. As you will have seen in our press release, the contribution from data in terms of overall revenues is now about 16% and its growing, and its growing at a rate that we believe will allow us to achieve 25% perhaps sooner than the three years that we have indicated previously, so I think at this rate we are likely to achieve those levels, perhaps, within two years. The non-SMS revenues have more than doubled, and therefore, I think, the trends when it comes to mobile for TMN are extremely, in my view, positive. We are gaining market share, there's still work to be done, both, geographically... they are certain areas in Portugal where we believe our market share should be higher than what it is at the moment, we are making significant progress also in the SME market, and clearly, when it comes to the youth segment, we believe that the recent launch of this PC program that we have done with the schools and teachers will certain help us work that penetration and our market share in that segment over the three to five years period. If you look at the net adds, we had about 190,000 net adds in the third quarter, we are not giving a breakdown of voice and data. What I can say is that data is doing extremely well, we continue to have and differentiate ourselves in terms of handset and the portfolio of exclusive handsets that we have. In the summer campaign alone, we launched 25 new handsets, 19 of which were exclusive that also allows us to keep subscriber acquisition and retention costs under control, which no doubt you have seen in our press release was down about 17% over the same period last year, down to, sort of, a record level in terms of a low number of €42. Wireless broadband is in my view one of our key priorities, we launched the first flat rate Internet access service in Portugal which we are commercializing at a rate of about €7.5, and of course, we are also leaders when it comes to PC program with schools and teachers at the moment where we think they are commanding a very, very large market share. Data service is going well, and notwithstanding top-line growth, we are maintaining a very, very, I would say, strong grip on costs; and as a result of which EBITDA margin is already above 45%. And you're seeing 2 percentage point improvement in our EBITDA margin and that is not just because top-line is growing, it's also because we are keeping costs pretty much under control. I'd like also to say that what you are seeing in this first quarter numbers has very little by way of synergies between peaks in mobile, because the government changes were announced only five weeks ago. And we believe that a substantial work and substantial savings for us in the future, and therefore, again, when it comes to TMN, I think the key message is that we will continue to be an active player across all segments in the Portuguese market. We think that the economic trends in Portugal will underpin minutes of usage performance going forward. And I think, and for the very first time, we gave you sense for how outgoing minutes were doing. And I think the trends at the moment are extremely positive. We're also building on our pricing power by investing in our brand and therefore when it comes to TMN, we believe that the trend remain positive and we think that next year they are likely to be supported also by all the work that we are doing in terms of data cards, as well. Turning now to Vivo. Vivo has already announced results. So therefore I will be short on this one. I think Vivo has done the transition between CDMA and GSM better than most had expected. In the process, we have also achieved full nationwide coverage through the Telemig acquisition, but also the purchase of the 1.9 gigahertz frequencies. The GSM rollout has been implemented in record time, and I'm sure no doubt we have seen significant increase in commercial activity as a result of this increased competitiveness of Vivo because of the change from CDMA to GSM. Recently worth highlighting is that Vivo has also been awarded... has been awarded the prices for being the best company with regard to consumer service, etcetera, and therefore, I think, with hindsight, I think the decision that we took to move to GSM was a very good decision and it's beginning to have a direct impact on the turnaround, that operational turnaround that we are executing at Vivo. ARPU, underlying ARPU is up 2.4% because of the elasticities that we are seeing in terms of minutes of usage and pricing. And most importantly data revenues also in Vivo are up 39%. Also worth highlighting is that the free cash flow generation is improving, now that most of the CapEx that we have to incur with the rollout of the GSM is behind us. So, with regard to Vivo and I think very much inline with what we have said in the past. We believe that the Brazilian economy is doing better than expected. That perceived risk, country risk has improved. And the Vivo turnaround is progressing in line with our plans and as a result Vivo continues to be a strategic asset for Portugal Telecom and one that we can think, we think will deliver superior growth in the future. The last point I would like to cover before I hand you over to Luis is our international assets in Africa. We monetized our African assets through this partnership with Helios. This was something that we had indicated that we would do first... in our first response to the hostile takeover of last year. In addition to having monetized part of that stake, we still remain open to increased partnerships in the region to increase our footprint, we still own 78% of Africatel, and we believe that what we need to do is make sure we keep majority, having said that we are open to other growth opportunities in the market assuming that those generate value for us. There is also a very positive performance that's worth highlighting pretty much across all our businesses, particularly in Angola, if you look at EBITDA performance, very, very robust about 22% growth, also if you look at the smaller businesses that we have. Even Santo Tomé or Cabo Verde, you are seeing EBITDA growing high single-digit. In Macao, CTM is growing about 17%, and again that is very much on the back of the economic performance of the Macao as a region, so the proportion of EBITDA or our international asset, excluding Vivo, amounted €247 million in the nine months and that's an increase of 12% year-on-year, so we believe that the international footprint that Portugal Telecom has will continue to deliver superior growth, while for domestic market, the domestic businesses that we have will continue to deliver a very robust cash flow which we believe will help us deliver the... shell the remuneration that we have promised. Investments that are required for us to move our domestic business into a different level when in comes to TV etcetera, and of course, will also help us continue to invest in our international footprint where we have strategic advantages and where it makes business sense for us. Let me now hand you over to our CFO, Luis Pacheco de Melo.