Sidney Huang
Analyst · Goldman Sachs
Thank you, Lee. Hello, everyone. Thank you for joining us today. We are pleased to deliver another strong quarter with solid top line and bottom line results. Our net revenue growth reached the high end of our expectation, and our non-GAAP net income increased by 67% from the same quarter a year ago. During the fourth quarter of 2018, our net revenues grew 22.4%, a solid performance on top of an exceptionally strong fourth quarter in 2017 despite relatively soft consumption in large ticket electronics and appliance categories. Revenues from general merchandise categories grew 38% during the quarter, driven by home goods, skincare and cosmetics categories. In addition fulfilled marketplace GMV again grew over 40% year-over-year, as we continue to improve marketplace operations. Net service revenues grew by 45.7% year-over-year, driven by JD Logistics third-party revenues and advertising services. For the full year of 2018, our net revenues increased by 27.5% and our total GMV grew by 30%, as we continue to take market share and outperform the industries we participated in. Revenues from general merchandise categories grew over 42% during the year, as a result of more diversified, high-quality product selection and our superior customer experience. Net service revenues grew over 50% and contributed nearly 10% of our total revenues in 2018, up from 8.4% in 2017, as we leveraged our retail infrastructure to expand into these segments. Gross margin in the fourth quarter was 14.2% compared to 13% in the fourth quarter 2017. The margin expansion was attributable to the continued margin improvement of both JD Mall and JD Logistics. JD Mall gross margin increased over 60 basis points, mainly driven by economies of scale from the 1P business, up 38 basis points in Q3 as well as solid advertising revenue growth. JD Logistics' third-party business also achieved significant gross margin improvement during the quarter, as they continue to grow to scale and optimize its operations. On a full-year basis, non-GAAP gross margin improved from 13.8% in 2017 to 14.1% in 2018, mainly driven from JD Mall gross margin expansion of 38 basis points during the year, partially offset by investments in new businesses. Fulfillment expense ratio in the fourth quarter was 6.6%, down from 7.2% in the same quarter last year, thanks to improved utilization of our logistics capacity and higher workforce productivity in the seasonally high quarter. During the fourth quarter, our R&D expense increased to 70% from the same quarter of 2017, but were relatively flat as compared with Q3. For the full year of 2018, R&D expenses increased over 80% to RMB 12.1 billion, as we hired top R&D talent around the world to enhance our technology infrastructure and implement our AI-driven digital strategy. With key leaders and various levels of staff now in place, we expect R&D expenses to stabilize in 2019. Our marketing expense ratio was 4.7% in the fourth quarter 2018, up from 4.3% in the same quarter a year ago. And our 2018 full-year marketing expense ratio was 4.2% comparable to the 2017 level. Our fourth quarter and full year G&A expense ratios were 1% and 1.1% respectively, comparable to the same periods in 2017. Coming to the bottom line. Our non-GAAP net margin in Q4 -- net income in Q4 was RMB 750 million with a net margin of 0.6%, up from 0.4% in the same quarter a year ago. The improvement was mainly supported by JD Mall's operating margin expansion of 52 basis points during the quarter and the reduced losses at JD Logistics' third-party business. On a full-year basis, non-GAAP net income attributable to ordinary shareholders was RMB 3.5 billion, with a net margin of 0.7%, down 62 basis points from 2017 largely due to investments in new businesses. However, as we committed in our revised guidance in August last year, the operating margin for JD Mall remained intact, improving from 1.4% in 2017 to 1.6% in 2018, despite a 34 basis point increase in R&D expense ratio within JD Mall. This margin improvement demonstrates the resilience of our core margin trend, which is driven by the retail economies of scale and continuous improvement in our operating efficiencies. On the last August earnings call, I mentioned that we had established a property management group, not only to develop and manage our state-of-the-art facilities, but also to monetize these assets to compensate for our earnings shortfall last year, unlock value for our shareholders, while optimizing our capital structure. I'm pleased to share with you that we have established our first logistics property Core Fund in February, in partnership with GIC, the sovereign wealth fund of Singapore. And have just signed a definitive agreement to transfer a portfolio for modern warehouses, valued at approximately RMB 10.9 billion to the Core Fund. The deal will close in several phases with the majority to be completed in 2019. And our property management group, we'll continue to manage the assets for the current income stream and receive carried interest for future value appreciation. The estimated IRR from the transaction will be in excess of 17%, which is the annual return on these investments since we began developing these facilities from as early as 2012. If we allocate this annual return to the corresponding years, we would have earned at least RMB 1.5 billion in additional profit in the year of 2018 alone. The GIC Core Fund transaction demonstrates our ability to source, develop, manage and monetize well-located, high-quality logistics facilities. As we're developing more similar projects that are available for future dispositions, we have designated CapEx related to these developments in a separate line in the cash flow, free cash flow table, and any future cash proceeds from these asset sales will also be disclosed in this section so you can make better judgment on our free cash flow situation. Now let's discuss our financial outlook. In light of the relatively soft demand in certain durable goods categories, we expect 1Q 2019 net revenue growth to be between 18% and 22% on a year-over-year basis. For the full year of 2019, we expect our non-GAAP net margin to be between 0.8% and 1.2%. This margin guidance excludes the development profit from our property management business, which will add another 0.5% to 0.6% to our GAAP net margin. Lastly, one quick note on the disclosure change to the GMV data. Beginning this year, we will no longer disclose quarterly GMV, but will continue to disclose full year GMV, which is consistent with our major industry peer. As we discussed in the past, the GMV data currently disclosed are for industry comparisons only and are not meant for financial analysis purposes. As we expand our service business, GMV is also increasingly less relevant to our revenue streams in the future. This concludes my prepared remarks, and we can now move to the Q&A session.