Brian Deck
Analyst · William Blair. Your line is open
Thanks, Tom, and good morning, everyone. Revenue of $489 million in the third quarter of 2019 increased to 2% from the year ago period. Acquisition growth of 10% was offset by a 3% decline organically, a 2% foreign exchange headwind and a 4% decline attributable to the absence of the ASC 606 transition benefit recorded in the third quarter of 2018. On a reported basis, FoodTech revenue was up 1%, a 12% gain from acquisitions was offset by a 4% decline organically, a 2% FX headwind and a 5% decline, reflecting the absence of ASC 606 transition benefit a year ago. Through the first nine months of 2019, FoodTech organic revenue was up 4%. While FoodTech’s segment margins were about flat to high – due to higher-related acquisition costs, adjusted EBITDA margins expanded 240 basis points to 19.7%. The significant margin gains were driven by the benefits of our restructuring program, the strength of our aftermarket business and a healthy performance of Proseal and Prime acquisitions. AeroTech revenue was ahead 4% in the third quarter of 2019. Growth of 5% from acquisitions offset an expected 1% decline organically when compared with the exceptional performance in the year ago period. Trends continue to be positive at AeroTech, with organic growth of 7% through the first nine months of 2019. AeroTech’s operating margins improved 250 basis points from the year ago period. Adjusted EBITDA margins for the segment expanded 280 basis points to 15.2%. AeroTech’s margins benefited from the restructuring as well as our ability to recover the impact of higher tariff cost that hit us in the year ago period. JBT’s order rates in the third quarter increased 3.5% from the year ago period, as a 9% gain at AeroTech offset flat performance at FoodTech. On the tax line, a $1.5 million discrete benefit in the third quarter reduced our tax expense below the expected 25% rate. With that, we reported diluted earnings per share from continuing operations of $1.04 compared with $0.82 in the third quarter of 2018. On an adjusted basis, diluted earnings per share was $1.28 versus $1.12 a year ago. JBT operating income was $48.6 million in the third quarter of 2019. Adjusted EBITDA expanded 15% year-over-year to $75.8 million or 15.5% margins. Let me transition to full year 2019. On the revenue line, we now anticipate organic growth of 2% to 3% down from our previous guidance of 4% to 5%. That breaks down to growth of approximately 1% at FoodTech and 5% to 6% at AeroTech. The contribution from acquisitions remains at 7%, with 7% to 8% at FoodTech and approximately 6% at AeroTech. We’ve inched up the expected FX headwind to 2% to 3%, with approximately 3% at FoodTech and 1% at AeroTech. Reflecting the $127 million of ASC 606 transition revenue included in 2018 results, 2019 GAAP revenue is expected to be flat to up 1% for the year at the JBT level. Given our ability to capture better-than-expected margins at FoodTech, we’ve increased the guidance for the segment’s full year adjusted EBITDA margins to 19% to 20%, up 50 basis points from the previous range. At AeroTech, we continue to expect adjusted EBITDA margins of 13% to 14%. Our forecast for interest and other expense is now $21 million to $22 million, reflecting in part a lower rate environment. We continue to project a tax rate of about 25% in Q4 and full year 2019, prior to the benefit of discrete items. In the fourth quarter of 2019, we expect to book a discrete tax benefit of more than $3 million or about $0.10 per share. We’ve changed full year GAAP diluted earnings per share guidance to $4.10 to $4.20, including the $0.10 per share discrete tax benefit expected in the fourth quarter. This tax benefit does not impact adjusted earnings guidance, which has been narrowed to a range of $4.80 to $4.90. On an adjusted EBITDA basis, our full year forecast remains at $290 million to $300 million, although we are more likely to come at – in at the low end of the range. Our free cash flow forecast remains as previously guided at $100 million for the full year. While we’re not providing 2020 guidance today, in light of the current environment, we’ve been asked to provide insight into JBT’s performance during the last downturn. In 2009, FoodTech orders declined about 20% versus 2008. In the following year, 2010, demand recovered, effectively closing the gap. Year-to-date in 2019, organic decline has been about half that for FoodTech. If we follow similar pattern, FoodTech orders and revenues would recover over the course of 2020, that would suggest flattish organic revenue before acquisitions for FoodTech, with a down first half and growth in the back half. Under those circumstances, along with the benefit of acquisitions and restructuring and growth at AeroTech, it suggests adjusted EBITDA could be at about 10% year-over-year. But as it’s our normal practice, we will provide 2020 guidance on our fourth quarter call in February. With that, I’ll turn the call back to Tom.