Craig L. Martin
Analyst · Barclays
Thank you, John. Good morning, everyone. I'm going to go through our strategies for growth, the way in which we're going to keep that 15% compound growth going. And you see that here on Slide 7, there are 5 bullets. I'm going to cover the first 4, our business model, our market diversity, our geographic presence and our acquisitions appetite on individual slides later on. But I wanted to take a minute here to talk about our driving down costs. We had a terrific quarter from a cost perspective. SG&A is down almost 2% year-over-year, and that cost advantage continues to be a strength for Jacobs. Our customers are increasingly seeing their markets as competitive, and they're seeing a provider like Jacobs who can provide very cost-effective services and so make a decent profit as a very attractive alternative to some of the higher-priced companies out there. So we think we have a good strategy to continue to grow at that 15% compound rate. Turning now to Slide #8, this is our relationship-based business model. If you think about it in the way we've diagrammed it here, it's what we think of as a virtuous circle. You can start at any point in the circle and see why it's self-reinforcing. So if you start with our long-term relationships, our ability to build trust and client knowledge, that just continuously improve our services, and therefore, provides superior value, that gives our customers a repurchase loyalty focus. That fuels our growth, lowers our cost of doing business and results in manageable risk. All that provides for steady earnings growth, which we can then reinvest to develop those client relationships and continue to improve our performance. So it's a very positive circle of performance for us, and we think it actually has become a bit of a differentiator in the marketplace with our customers. Even our customers are beginning to tell us that they perceive the differences. Turning now to Slide 9, this is sort of how the market diversity shapes up. Won't spend a lot of time on this slide, but I just want to give you the sense of how these markets compare overall. Let's move on now to Slide 10. This is the public & institutional market. And this has been a better than, perhaps, even we expected market as we've gone through the year so far. Let me start with national governments. We've characterized that as improving. In particular, our position on things like MATOCS, Multiple Award Task Order Contracts, has proven to be an advantage. We've been saying for some time now that our ability to win MATOCS and take market share and what were single-award contracts in the past is a strength, and I think we're demonstrating that steadily. We have 4 pretty significant awards in the national government space in the quarter, totaling something north of $1.4 billion. All of that goes into backlog. We continue to have a really good reputation as a contractor in the national government space, both as a GOCO-type contractor, Government Owned/Contractor Operated, and is a large contract enterprise-wide kind of contract position. We think that's going to continue to result in significant opportunities for us as a company, both as a GOCO and consulting with customers in the defense arena on how to do GOCOs right. We also see the nuclear cleanup business has continued to be quite strong. The funding in the U.K., for example, is up to $4 billion and we're seeing some major opportunities being released, some of which we've already won, some we expect to win in the next couple of quarters. Moving now to infrastructure. That business remains actually quite strong globally. It's a good business for us. We're able to leverage our capability in the U.S. and India into markets in the Middle East and Australia. We're seeing lots of investment by the local community in infrastructure. Almost every bond issued in the U.S., over 90% of the bond issues in the U.S. passed in the recent election. That's $30 billion plus or minus worth of work. We're also seeing a lot of opportunity for projects that are funded by user fees, rail and water, some highway, but it's largely a rail and water, wastewater business. And then the pipeline in natural gas industry, which is partly an oil and gas play and partly an infrastructure play, is quite strong market. And we -- you may note from our announcement about Senfra, we're one of the early leaders now in the whole pipeline safety industry, which we think is going to be something like a $6 billion market. Finally, moving on to buildings. It's still a mixed market. The good news for us is that the part of it we're not in, retail, commercial, office, multi-family housing, not our business and not strong. But the parts we are in, healthcare, hospitals, technically complex buildings, is quite strong. Our position as a market leader in mission-critical facilities, that's things like data centers and operation centers, remains very strong. We think that's going to be an $80 billion year, market year by the end of the decade. It's probably closer to $50 billion today. So we think that market's going to be very strong. We have a terrific position in that market and we're very much an industry leader. The healthcare business, obviously, there are many things about the Affordable Care Act that are going to cost companies money, us, too. But the fact is it's adding 30 million users to the system, and that means a lot of hospital construction, a lot of maintenance and growth opportunities for us. We are well-positioned to take advantage of it as a leading manager, a builder of hospitals. And then finally, the K-12 and higher ed business remain strong, another strength of ours. We're already managing 8 major programs and we have 9 programs like that in the state phase, and we expect those to convert to full project management, construction management opportunities. Turning on to Slide 11 now, this is the process part of our business. Again, 3 sectors to it: Refining, Oil and Gas, and Chemicals. Let me start with refining. That business continues to be better for us. We're seeing solid margins on our client side and that's driving investments. There's been an uptick in capital spending on environmental and regulatory projects. There's a lot of traditional small and mid-cap work just to keep these big refineries running. There's some minor capacity addition and then, of course, there's crude slight changes that are also driving additional projects both in terms of the heavy sour crude side of it, but now we also have a light sweet crude aspect that changes the configuration again. So we think there's going to be a lot of activity, particularly in the northern refineries with the vantage crudes like the Bakken and the Marcellus -- no, not so much the Marcellus, like the Bakken, that will drive business for Jacobs as we go forward. So I think Refining is improving and will increase its position in terms of Jacobs as we go forward. Oil and gas market remains very, very strong. It's one of our hottest markets. Our clients are making lots of money and they're spending lots of money. We're seeing global E&P investment at north of $600 billion. Probably $160 billion, $150 billion, $160 billion of that is accessible to Jacobs. And we think that's going to be a tremendous growth market for us as we go forward. The opportunities for us will largely be in the heavy oils like we do in Canada with the oil sands, as well as unconventional gas and onshore gas globally. We have a very strong position in North America already. We think we're going to be able to leverage that into a stronger position in North America and expand that globally. We're seeing similar opportunities in places like the Middle East, and I'll talk about that a little more when we get to the geographic discussion. And in the chemicals market, it's as good as it's ever been in my memory. It's a very strong market for us right now. It's obviously a business where there's a key driver is this cheap gas and what that means in terms of chemical feedstocks. We're seeing lots of investment across a number of our clients. Our chemical company is the ones we've worked for traditionally for years. Our core clients have enormous investment programs planned. We're expecting something more than $30 billion in CapEx in North America alone. So it's just a -- it's a record market and there's huge opportunity. Moving on now to Slide 12, this is the sector we call Industrial. Three parts to it as well, or actually many parts to it, I shouldn't say 3. First, PharmaBio. That business continues to improve. We're seeing a lot of opportunities to support our clients in the third world, so that's places like India and China, we're well positioned. We're also seeing activity in Brazil. We'll talk about that again in a minute. But there's a real focus on bringing pharmaceuticals to the third world. In India alone, you can see from the note here, we're expecting the investment to go from something like $16 billion to $50 billion over the next 8 years, 8, 9 years. Mining & Minerals market, also strong market for us. I don't think mining and minerals is strong globally, but we happen to be well positioned in some key markets with key customers, and those customers seem to be going forward with their projects. So we're seeing good activity in the Americas. I think for us and for most everyone else, the market's fairly weak in Australia. But I think the Americas will continue to provide a good growth opportunity for us. And so we still characterize that market as strong. Moving down to sort of the mix of everything else that we do: Power, Pulp & Paper, High Tech, Food & Consumer Products, it is a mix of stuff and it's a mixed market. We're certainly seeing a lot of investment by our customers in growth, particularly again in the third world, and we're there to help them expand their capability and deliver their products. We also think there are going to be a lot of facility upgrades. I think you can see here the EPS -- EPA estimates about $5.4 billion of facility upgrades for these kinds of customers in the U.S. alone. And we think that this market will continue to be one where alliances are real positive for Jacobs. So we're fairly excited about its ability to continue to grow, but I think in terms of its contribution to the company overall, it's not going to move the needle as much as some of the other markets that we've talked about. Moving on to Slide 13, this is sort of the geographic distribution of our operations. This hasn't changed much, but I would like to talk a little bit about the individual geographies and what seems to be going on. So let me start with North America. Obviously, very busy in oil sands and this huge chemicals market investment's going to drive a bunch of business along with the conventional and the unconventional onshore gas business. So all of the heavy process businesses that Jacobs plays in, in North America are quite strong. We're seeing a lot of activity in rail, transit, schools, healthcare. The highways business is still a little weak, but it's improving. Mining and minerals for us in places like Nevada and Arizona continue to be pretty good, and some of our major customers are announcing ongoing expansions such as Freeport-McMoRan's announcement with their recent earnings. Moving to South America, we're busy and we expect to continue to be busy. The businesses that we're working with, the customers that we have projects for today are continuing to invest and expand those projects. So we're pretty active in recruiting across the world, trying to find Spanish-speaking engineers and contracting people. It's a big market for us from a mining and minerals point of view, but we think it has the potential as well to grow in oil and gas and pharmaBio and food and consumer products, because those things are also being driven by these expansions I talked about earlier. We're particularly interested in finding a way to do business in Brazil and do it effectively. And I think that's an important opportunity because a lot of our customers are talking about investment in Brazil. Moving over now to Europe, we're seeing some activity in the onshore process industries, some oil and gas business in the U.K. and Northern Europe. We've been seeing a fair amount of work. We had Q1 awards that went nearly $1 billion dollars in the oil and gas space, plus we've got, of course, our traditional small-cap work for our refining customers and chemical customers all along the Rhine Valley. U.K. defense budget is fueling a bunch of new opportunities. This is where a lot of that GOCO work will come, and our opportunities to both consult and act as GOCOs. The power and environment market is strong in the U.K. Power for Jacobs, probably the one place we have real strength is in Europe, both in Continental Europe and in the U.K., and we're expecting that will drive some business as well. So overall, Europe is not as weak, perhaps, for us as it might be, from a growth point of view, globally. We're feeling like we'll be able to do okay in Europe and perhaps even increase our market share a bit. Middle East and Africa, start sort of in Northern Africa, a great relationship with OCP. Our joint venture there is continuing to grow and finding expanding opportunities globally. We're doing very well in growing our position in the Middle East. Once again, the Jacobs approach, the being local and executing projects locally, is quite a bit of favor with our customers in the Middle East, and that continues to be a draw for us and an opportunity to expand our business. And the level of investment there, over and above what I would characterize as sustaining capital, which is obviously a very attractive aspect of the Middle East for Jacobs, there's just planned investment in the hundreds of billions of dollars. I think just between Saudi Arabia and the Emirates, there's something like $200 billion of investment planned over the next 5 years. Moving now to India. The 5-year plan for infrastructure in India is $1 trillion dollars. They won't spend all of that, but we're very well positioned to participate in the infrastructure market in India, and we've had a couple of nice awards already that I think are going to continue to provide opportunities for growth. We're seeing a lot of activity in things like fertilizer and a fair amount of activity in the refining and chemicals industry as well. So we think those -- the Indian market will be a good market for us as a domestic market and, of course, we continue to have a very successful high-value engineering center in India, several of them actually, that provide leverage and scale for our growth globally. Moving on now to China and Southeast Asia. We really do now have a position of strength in China and Southeast Asia, and we're able to support our customers who are making investments in that part of the world much more effectively than we were a few years ago. So we think for Jacobs, in particular, China and Southeast Asia will be a source of significant growth as we go from a very small player to a significant one. And then finally, talking a bit about Australia, I mentioned already the mining and minerals business is under pressure. However, there's lots of heavy process work out there, and we think that's going to be an opportunity for Jacobs to continue to grow. We've had a couple of announcements of Australia oil and gas projects already in the quarter, and we see a lot of opportunity for that to continue. And of course, we have a good national government/defense business there, and that continues to remain strong. We look across the India, China, Australia kind of market, it's broadly expected to be a real strength for us as we go forward, particularly India and Australia. I think they're going to be big positives for us that I haven't mentioned maybe as much as China. Now moving on to Slide 14, this is the acquisition slide. We've been very successful with acquisitions. We continue to have lots of irons in the fire as it were, plenty of opportunities for acquisition. Our focus areas are where you might expect, China, Australia and Brazil from a geography point of view. Oil and gas, mining and some niche market additions from a markets point of view. And of course, things that will let us add core clients are always of interest us. So I think there's a lot of opportunity out there, the pricing is attractive on acquisitions, and I think this will be a part of our growth as we go forward even though there's probably nothing right in the immediate term. So that brings us to the commercial at the end here. Why Jacobs? We've got a history of solid growth. We have a unique relationship-based business model. We're fully diverse and able to demonstrate that we can grow in diverse markets even when the markets themselves aren't growing. We've got a strong balance sheet and a great cash position to fuel our acquisition appetite, and of course, we've got a really solid cost position in the company. So overall, I think there's lot of reasons to think that Jacobs will do well going forward, and that's certainly our outlook as we sit here today. With that, Denise, I'll turn it over for questions.