Martin L. Flanagan
Analyst · Morgan Stanley
Great, thanks very much. On behalf of Loren and myself, thank you for joining us today, and we'll be speaking to the presentation that's available on the website if you're so inclined to follow that, and it has been our practice to review the business results for the fourth quarter. Loren will go into greater detail around our financial results, and then we'll open it up to questions. So before we get into the numbers, I thought it'd be helpful to give really a sense of the macroeconomic background that has been impacting our business. During the fourth quarter, the markets fluctuated with the news coming out of Washington and the looming fiscal cliff. But in spite of the volatility late in the year, we did see strong equity markets. We have some PFs of 60% and the CIE were up 80% and much of this really reflected a mood change where there was a view that there was a modest economic recovery in the United States, improving situation in Europe and softer-than-expected landing in China. In this environment, we continue to see investors emphasize risk management when they were making their investment decisions and a continued focus on yield-oriented capabilities. Many of, which we all know very well, so very, very strong close. At the same time, prompted by the strength in global markets and this easing view of sort of the economic backdrop, we're seeing early signs that investors are risking as a way to generate stronger returns for the long term. We think with this dynamic in place, we're very well positioned to accommodate these trends with a broad range of investment capabilities and we'll talk about that today. So with that as a backdrop, I'll highlight the operating results for the fourth quarter. I'm on Page -- Slide 3 right now if you're following the deck. Long-term investment performance was strong across all time periods for the fourth quarter and delivering strong investment performance, to our clients contributed to solid operating results with adjusted operating income of 10% -- 10.4%. In addition, the operating margin increased to 35.6%, 150-basis-point increase over the prior quarter. Invesco's quarterly dividend is now $17.25 per share, representing a 41% increase over last year's dividend and reflecting continued confidence in the fundamentals of the business. Return of capital shareholders totaled $153 million during the quarter. Taking a look at the results, assets under management rose to $687 billion during the fourth quarter, up from $683 billion in the prior quarter. Operating income was $277 million versus $250 million in the prior quarter. Again, the operating margin was 35.6% and earnings per share was $0.45 versus $0.42 in the prior quarter. We said for some time that a major focus for the firm is to reinvest in the business to build on our strengths and further enhance our competitive and financial position. During the fourth quarter and throughout the year, we took advantage of opportunities in the market. We continued to invest in our products and capabilities, our brand, our global platform, and our people and ways to strengthen our business and our competitive position for the long term. Let's take a minute and look back at the achievements over the past year, which will provide some insights and the long-range plans for the organization. First and foremost, a portion made very focused on delivering strong long-term investment performance to our clients, which continue to drive growth in our business. 78% of the assets were ahead of peers at the end of 2012, up considerably from 2005, and 79% of our U.S. retail assets were rated 4- or 5-star by Morningstar, up considerably from 23% in 2005. We also saw the best ever investment performance from our cross-border fund range in the fourth quarter by delivering a strong long-term performance to clients. Long-term net flows to our business grew $12.4 billion during the year. We continue to invest in capabilities where we see strong client demand and future opportunities such as Multi-Assets, ETFs or entering the joint venture in India by hiring very talented people, upgrading our technology platform, launching new products and providing additional resources where necessary. The ability to leverage the capabilities developed by our investment teams to meet client demand across the globe is we believe a significant differentiator for our firm and we'll continue to bring the best of Invesco to different parts of our business, where it makes sense for our clients. And finally, we continue to further improve the effectiveness of our global operating platform. We'll continue to invest in our people through expanded training, development and opportunities and always looking to have the best talent available within the organization. Before I turn it over to Loren to go through the financials, let me take a minute to talk about the investment performance, which is on Slide 7. Our commitment to investment excellence and our efforts to build and maintain a strong investment culture helped achieve solid investment performances in spite of the volatile market environment during the quarter. As you can see, 66% of the assets were ahead of peers on a 1-year basis, 73% of assets were ahead of peers on a 3-year basis and 78% of assets on the top half on a 5-year basis. These numbers are equal to or better than the prior quarter and among the strongest performance numbers we've seen. And as I mentioned earlier, 79% of our U.S. retail assets are currently rated 4- or 5-star by Morningstar, an all-time high for the firm. Now our cross-border fund range is delivering very strong investment performance for our clients. We continue to see positive net flows in our actively managed capabilities with strong broad flows across asset allocation capabilities, real estate, alternative fixed income and a number of others. Offsetting this positive trend was the uncertainty in the U.S. regarding the situation in Washington, which resulted in higher redemption rates as investors awaited outcomes from the fiscal cliff discussions. Net long-term flows totaled $1 billion during the quarter, which was also impacted by a $1.6 billion outflow related to a CDO maturity during that period. Asset flows for the quarter were down due to $2.5 billion in QQQ outflows. Offsetting this were strong flows across low volatility bank loan and other income-oriented ETFs. And as an example of flows in traditional PowerShares, ETFs were $2.1 billion representing an annual growth rate of 33%, so very, very strong. I'm on Slide 9. During the quarter, we continue to see strong institutional flows offset -- but was offset again by the CDO maturity that I mentioned a minute ago. And as I indicated earlier, retail flows were impacted by the $2.5 billion in QQQ outflows and as investors reacted to the uncertainty in the markets during that period. Turning to Slide 10. Gross sales for our U.S. retail business remained strong at $16.1 billion for the quarter. This was offset by higher levels of redemptions as we saw some tax selling and greater caution in the face of the looming fiscal cliff. In spite of this, gross sales were up 9% year-over-year. Flows into the complex were led by continued strength in traditional ETF balance risk strategies, domestic Equity and International Equity. Note, although the redemption rate rose, they remained relatively favorable to the industry of the Invesco being at 26% versus the industry at 32% in that period. Globally, the Multi-Asset suite of products continue to generate tremendous interest from clients who are attracted to the capability with the strong long-term performance. That means we brought a high level of protection in volatile markets, which we did do. We continue to see strong growth during the fourth quarter across the entire suite of capabilities with net flows of more than $3 billion during that quarter. With 1 month into the first quarter of 2013, we continue to see very strong demand for the Multi-Asset capabilities. Though in spite of the mixed signals we saw from the market in the global economy late in the year, we are optimistic about the quarter ahead. Early signs show a global economy looming in the right direction and investors are showing renewed interest in rerisking as a way of building the returns of a long term. So maybe I'll put this into context because it seems to be sort of the broader question maybe the marketplace right now. If you look at the U.S. in the first instance in U.S. retail market for us, we continue to see strong interest in the asset allocation capabilities, as I just mentioned, and that would be consistent with this idea of people still being focused on risk. We also continued to see steady fixed income flows as, again, people still seeking yield. But really what has been quite striking in January is that the January gross sales of International Equity products for us are up 60% versus the Q4 average and maybe even more interesting is that the January growth sales of our domestic Equity capabilities are at 56% versus Q4 -- versus the Q4 average. And also, it's not unique to the United States, we continue to see growing interest in participation in our Continental European base capabilities. So again, the big health warning is January is not a year. It's not multiple years, but it is a very encouraging sign and probably something very different than what we've seen in many, many years. We'll see where that takes us. In 2012, we did make very good progress against our long-term strategic objectives, further invested in the business, our investment capabilities, our people and we feel very good about momentum within the business as we entered the new year and we'll continue to look for opportunities to strengthen our competitive position and our financial position. So with that as a backdrop, I'll turn it over to Loren.