Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to Invesco Mortgage Capital, Inc.’s Second Quarter 2016 Investor Conference Call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode until the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this call is being recorded. Now, I would like to turn the call over to Mr. Tony Semak in Investor Relations. Mr. Semak, you may begin the call.

Thank you, Bob, and good morning, everyone. We again want to welcome you to the Invesco Mortgage Capital’s second quarter 2016 earnings call. I’m Tony Semak with Investor Relations. And our management team and I are very delighted you joined us, as we really look forward to sharing with you our prepared remarks during the next several minutes, before we conclude with our usual question-and-answer session. Joining me today are Rich King, Chief Executive Officer; Lee Phegley, Chief Financial Officer; and John Anzalone, Chief Investment Officer. Before we begin, we’re going to provide the customary forward-looking statements disclosure and then we’ll proceed to management’s remarks. Comments made in associated conference call may include statements and information that constitutes forward-looking statements within the meaning of the U.S. securities laws, as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. And such statements are intended to be covered by the Safe Harbor provided by the same. Forward-looking statements include our views on the risk positioning of our portfolio, domestic and global market conditions, including the residential and commercial real estate market. The market for our target assets, mortgage reform programs, our financial performance, including our core earnings, economic return, comprehensive income and changes in our book value. Our ability to continue performance trends, the stability of portfolio yields, interest rates, credit spreads, prepayment trends, financing sourcing, cost of funds, our leverage and equity allocation. In addition, words such as believes, expects, anticipates, intends, plans, estimates, projects, forecasts and future or conditional verbs such as will, may, could, should and would, as well as any other statement that necessarily depends on future events, are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees and they involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. There can be no assurance that actual results will not differ materially from our expectations. We caution investors not to rely unduly on any forward-looking statements and urge you to carefully consider the risks identified under the captions Risk Factors, Forward-Looking Statements and Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Conditions and Results of Operations in our Annual Report on Form 10-K, and Quarterly Reports on the Form 10-Q which are available on the Securities and Exchange Commission’s website at www.sec.gov. All written or oral forward-looking statements that we make or that are attributable to us are expressly qualified by this cautionary notice. We expressly, quote, disclaim any obligation to update the information in any public disclosure, if any forward-looking statement later turns out to be inaccurate. To view the slide presentation today you can access our website at invescomortgagecapital.com, and click on the second quarter 2016 earnings presentation link you can find under Investor Relations tab at the top of our home page. There you may select either the presentation or the webcast option, for both the presentation slides and the audio. Again, we want to welcome you and thank you so much for joining us today. We will now hear from our Chief Executive Officer, Rich King. Rich?

Thanks, Tony. Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you joining for joining the call today. We are pleased to announce second quarter Invesco Mortgage Capital core income of $0.42. Core earnings well above the dividend of $0.40 were down modestly relative to the elevated first quarter $0.44, due to somewhat faster prepayment speeds, given falling interest rates and higher seasonal housing turnover. Management of interest rate risk is always a focus of ours and it certainly was in Q2 as rates continued to fall. As of the end of the quarter, the 10-year treasury was 80 basis points lower year-to-date. Since the recession in 2008, 2009, we’ve seen a pattern emerge regarding interest rates and credit spreads, where global events drive interest rates lower, initially causing credit asset prices either to fall or just lag as their prices can’t keep up the pace with the improvement and treasuring of some bonds. Then rates stabilize and eventually go up modestly for a time. And in that time period, credit assets dramatically outperform as their prices catch-up with rate rally and then some, then the process repeats. As this has played out multiple times now, you should notice that credit assets have tempted to lag investment-last [ph] as rates fall and recover more quickly with each success as many crisis. The demand for high-quality U.S. credit assets is strong in a tightening trend and we expect that to continue. The assets that IVR owns are attractive for those looking for additional yields that are seeking quality. Our portfolio has aged and now benefits from several years of appreciation in underlying property values. And as such, these securities valuation is set to become much more resilient to shocks. The adverse market reaction to the UK referendum was very short-lived indeed. And we…

Thanks, Rich. And thanks again to everyone joining us on the call this morning. I’ll start on slide 6. As Rich mentioned, we really like how the portfolio is positioned with a focus on high quality credit assets and an active risk management that has kept us largely insulated from the impacts of the volatile interest rate environment. At quarter end, we had 60% of our equity and 37% of our assets dedicated to credit. And these positions benefited from sound real estate fundamentals, as well as from a favorable technical environment. While macro concerns drove treasury yields much lower, the market’s anticipation for more quantitative easing in both Europe and Asia cause investors to reach for yield, driving credit spreads tighter. This was felt across both the residential and commercial credit sectors, when not only are the fundamentals solid, but there is persisted negative net supply. So we’re in a situation where we have more and more buyers chasing the shrinking pool of high quality structured securities. Our outlook for credit going forward remains positive, as none of the factors that are driving spreads tighter are likely to end anytime soon. Given this constructive view on credit, we are looking to add to both our residential and commercial credit portfolios. In the residential space, we look to selectively add bonds in both legacy and CRT, while in the commercial space we will look to put on additional CRE runs, as well as the good opportunities created by the new risk retention rules in CMBS. During the quarter, the only meaningful change on the asset side of the portfolio was an increased allocation to any new CMBS in order to add duration over the quarter, as we reinvest in paydowns and we’re able to deploy capital as our asset prices…

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our first question is from Bose George from KBW. Your line is open.

Hey, guys, good morning.

Good morning, Bose.

With the meaningful increases in book value and what’s you’ve noted you’ve seen already quarter to-date. Can you just talk about where incremental returns are and where do you see the best opportunity to use to invest incremental capital?

Right, I’ll take that one. This is John. Yes, I mean, we are going to continue to park incremental cash into agencies waiting for better entry points into credit. On the residential side, even though it’s rallied a lot, CRT still has the highest ROE of any of our target assets, probably in the low-double-digit range. As that market continues to expand both in terms of investor base as well as in counterparties are willing to finance them, we look to opportunistically add there. In CMBS, we just saw the first risk retention deal price. I think as that market develops, as Rich mentioned in the prepared remarks, and over the course next few months, we really expect that we will find some opportunities there as well. And finally in CRE space, we are trying to - continue to put money to work there also, especially as we see more of the 2006 and 2007 vintages mature. So overall it’d say, right now, most of the hedged ROEs that we are seeing are in the high-single-digit range with CRT being a little bit of an outlier, probably a little bit in the 10% to 12%, 13% range depending on the class.

Okay, great. That’s helpful. Thanks. And then, actually one on the risk retention opportunity, can you just talk about how the structures work we have to particularly partner with BPs buyers and also I guess there is a very long holding period. Does that mean you end up kind of equity funding the asset? Also is it too early to know what the returns on that are?

It is kind of early, Bose. I think, we from what we look at now, it looks like you could earn low to mid-teens, with upside if losses are less than we forecast on the collateral. But basically we would have to partner with an issuer. And it really is going to play out over time, whether issuers retain vertical or horizontal or an L shape. The rules, obviously, that aren’t fully baked yet in terms of capital treatment and so forth, will dictate the structures. So I can’t really say specifically at this point in what way we would play. But we would be more likely to keep horizontal bottom in conjunction with an originator issuer.

Okay, great. Thanks very much.

Thank you. Our next question is from Douglas Harter from Credit Suisse. Your line is open.

Thanks. Given sort of the commentary you just had about available returns and the strong book value performance, can you talk about how you’re viewing share repurchase today?

Yes, in the second quarter, we didn’t do any - we had actually a relatively short window as well, just because first quarter results were - clearly in February we went into a blackout period and before the end of the quarter. So it’s a short window operate and the stock price was performing pretty well. And so I think it really depends. I think my comments - I mean, we really do expect some favorable movement in the stock price. But if that’s not the case and book value moving up, if the stock price doesn’t reflect that then we’ll be interested in share buybacks.

And then, can you just give us a little sense as to how the volatility of book value might have been throughout the quarter, kind of given that there was definitely volatility in the broader markets over the course of the quarter?

Yes. Really, I mean, book value just continue to appreciate. I’m sorry, throughout - I thought you meant since quarter end. No, during the quarter, yes, - and it, I mean, I think…

Broadly speaking it, they went up the whole time. We had a very brief respite around after the Brexit vote. And spreads widened really briefly, I mean, for a few days and then they started tightening again.

Right, the book value is still up substantially even after the Brexit vote.

Right, because we had - like we had said on the call. We had moved to a little bit of a longer duration profile just ahead of that, because we knew that risks were skewed towards lower rates in terms just the portfolio. So now, it’s pretty stable through kind of this trending higher. I mean, if you look at any of the credit spreads over time, I mean, that’s what our book value really moves with. I mean, they pretty much ground tighter during the quarter and then accelerated through first quarter end. It happened right.

And then last one from me. I guess, on that last point of your credit spreads having to continue to move tighter, I guess, at what point do you start worrying that that maybe the risk-reward of spreads or new incremental investments isn’t as attractive, and maybe there is as much risk of spread-widening versus spread tightening?

Yes. I think we’ll drive that more of fundamentals. As long as we continue to see property appreciation and very low delinquency and very low net supply, there just really isn’t a driving force for spreads to widen in any consistent fashion. We may still get episodes where some news globally comes out, rates rally a bunch. But as I was kind of saying, that really isn’t a permanent spread driver. It’s just kind of a risk-on/risk-off temporary driver. And those are opportunities to put on assets and that’s what we, right, that’s what we kind of like to see. So it’s really going to take more of a fundamental move for us to not write credit.

All right, thanks…

Or change in underwriting or something like that.

Sure, thank you guys.

Thank you. Our next question is from Trevor Cranston from JMP Securities. Your line is open.

Hi, thanks. First question on the improvement in book value since quarter end, can you say if you think that’s been more attributable to any particular part of the portfolio than the other or would you just say it’s generally been strong performance across all your asset classes?

It’s generally been strong across, I mean, it’s definitely been led by CRT and CMBS, more than - I mean, agencies have done. And, particularly 15s have actually done particularly well since quarter end. But, I mean, hard for - agencies can’t keep up with the spread tightening like we’ve seen in CRT or in CMBS. It’s been pretty strong. I mean, those are on the order of 30, 40, 50 tighter depending on the class. Well, I mean, they’ve had a big move.

Yes, earlier in the year, kind of the structured space in general, lagged in terms of credit spread tightening relative to corporate bonds, high yield. And now they’re really participating strongly.

Right, one other thing to tap into since quarter-end, I think might have happened, started a little bit before quarter end, but with the pretty big moves in LIBOR, we’ve seen soft spreads widen pretty much across the board, little bit more on the shorter end, but certainly across the entire curve. And so that helps also obviously in terms of book-values that have helped across all assets.

Yes. Okay, got it. And then, on the duration positioning, with where the rates are today, would you guys say that you kind of are comfortable maintaining a longer duration position. And then as a second part of that question, you mentioned that you had terminated a swap. Can you just give us the kind of details over the one that was terminated? And also I think you commented that you had a long treasury position. So if you could just give us the size of that maybe that would be helpful. Thanks.

Sure, yes, at the end of the quarter the size of the treasury position was $150 million. And so - and to answer the broad duration question, really - you characterize that is as a longer duration position. That’s really not the case, what we’ve done is try to maintain our equity duration in a range. And this is equity duration, so not a duration gap, in range of like two to five years. So similar to kind of a shorter or intermediate bond portfolio, I’d say. And we’ve said before that the rationale for that isn’t necessarily a view on interest rates as much as it is recognition that the correlations between credit spreads and rates tends to be negative in that when rates fall, credit spreads don’t keep and run rates raise, credit spreads tighten. We’ve seen that over and over. And as we ran of zero duration, we would end up having more book value volatility. So we run a positive and also has benefitted extra yield for taking that to the years of interest rate duration. So this equity duration has been between two and four for the most part, two and five. And typically when it gets - if it looks like rates are going to rally like we correctly forecasted in the second quarter, we just buy ahead still like - we’ll buy ahead of our factor down like every month you get this period where you get factors. Basically, your principal is reduced from your MBS portfolio and you need to replace that. And we’ll buy ahead of that to put additional duration on knowing it’s going to come back down over a month. And so, we did that and then in the second quarter, because of kind of the strength that we saw in the demand for fixed income assets globally. We added some treasuries just from a convexity standpoint and they were five-year treasury. So it’s not - it doesn’t –it’s modestly added to our duration. It’s not a dramatic change and we’re still within the two to five equity duration that we normally operate in.

Okay. And do you have the notional balance in the term of the swap that was terminated?

I don’t right in front of me, I apologize. We can have a call afterwards. It will be in the queue.

Okay. That’s fine. Thanks guys.

Yes.

Thank you. Our next question is from David Walrod from Ladenburg. Your line is open.

Good morning. Just a quick question, you briefly mentioned in your prepared remarks about financing. Given some of the volatility in the second quarter, was there any disruption as far as repo availability or willingness of your counterparties to lend?

No. Funding rates were pretty consistent throughout the quarter. I mean, I think at the end of the quarter we were about a basis point or two higher than at the beginning. There was a small blip right after the Brexit vote and that quickly reversed. So I think we may have - I think funding rates went up, maybe 8 basis points on the agency repo and then right back down to the one from maybe 62 to 68 or 70, and then back down to the low 60s again. But yes, so we didn’t really see that. The one thing that had happened with the money market reform, it caused - LIBOR has been spiking higher. We look and said, we found it - LIBOR rising in isolation sort of not taking agency funding with it, which is what’s happened is actually kind of beneficial to us, because we have over 6.5 billion of swaps. And we receive LIBOR on all of those. So as LIBOR was up we directly get more money. And only our credit repo, which we have about 3.2 billion is directly tighter to LIBOR. And we have a fair number of assets to float on LIBOR, like CRTs and ARMs, things like that. So, overall, the impact of LIBOR going up is actually slightly beneficial to us, given that we have more receiving of LIBOR than paying of LIBOR directly.

Okay. Thank you.

Thank you. Our next question is from Brock Vandervliet from Nomura. Your line is open.

Great, thanks for taking my question. So, just in terms of the risk retention and developments there, do you think that market really begins to show more traction prior to, I guess, Christmas when the rule officially changes or do you think participants really kind of just pound out as much traditional form CMBS non-risk retention deals, in other words, right up until the deadline and we really are talking about risk retention evolving early next year?

I think the mix will slowly kind of pick up. And first of all, just in issuance pick up some and the components, that’s risk retention, pick up. But you’ll still see old-style deals. And whether you have a risk retention deal or not, the sponsor doesn’t necessarily have to hold on to it until the rule kicks in. So I think the key probably is that the first few deals in the third, fourth quarter, you probably see more sponsors holding the risk retention kind of a proof of concept and developing the market. And as that market continues to grow and the amount of capital needed accumulates, we think the opportunity is going to develop. So it’s probably more of a 2017 opportunity than 2016.

Okay. And I’m assuming given that return profile, which to confirm that’s low- to mid-teens, and that would be unlevered. That would pencil very strongly relative to your other opportunities, so that if and when this does develop we could expect you to be taking advantage of that?

Yes, absolutely. And most - for the most part it looks like financial institutions like the capital treatment they get holding the vertical slice. And that means that there, there is a great deal at the bottom of the capital structure available and well underwritten deals and that’s probably going to be the biggest opportunity.

Great. Okay.

So may not be the risk retention piece. It may not be the piece that you have to hold or it may be if we partner and hold on horizontal slice.

Okay, great. Thanks for the color.

Thank you. Our next question is from [Max Meyer] [ph] from Wells Fargo. Your line is open.

Hi, good morning. With the move the share around Brexit and interest rates, and the volatility in January and February, could you just comment on the relative attractiveness of optional hedging, so the swaptions, the mortgage options, that [ph]?

Yes, I guess the - we follow the markets obviously and the implied volatilities. And kind of with your eurogroup [ph] question if you will and quantitative easing, you’re kind of seeing the volatility continue to compress. And you do get spouts - periods of rate moves, but we really do expect rates to stay relatively low. And so we are not at this point that interested in kind of spending the premium along the optionality.

But we’ve been more - I would say, we’ve been more focused on driving convexity out of the asset side of the portfolio than focused on trying to buy convex assets and then try to hedge the convexity, which is much more difficult to do. So given our - we’ve been moving away from interest rate risk for, I mean, number of quarters now. So if you look at our portfolio and evolution of it, it really has the amount of convexity risk in our portfolio has really decreased quite a bit. So there is not as much need for that in the first place. And that’s kind of how we are trying to refer to you in large part.

I guess as a follow-up to that, and can you just talk about, I guess, why you decided to add duration with the 15-years as opposed to - as some of your other periods have done, take down hedges to offset the reduction in asset duration?

Right, we did a little bit of both, and we took off one swap and added some 15s. I mean, I think we like the relative value of 15s at the time. They underperformed during the first quarter. We like the call protection that we were able to purchase. We bought –generally speaking, I think there are almost all specified pools, in terms of what we are able to buy in the ad - they just add a little bit more earning assets to the portfolio. So we did do a little bit of both. But we did have extra capital, because book value is increasing. We were getting margin back, things like that. So we had cash to invest.

Okay, that’s helpful. I guess I was just curious in light of looking to residential credit equity allocation, I think it’s come down 8% or 9% over the last year. So I was curious if it’s…?

Raising credit?

Yes, I was curious more of it is relative value; you see more value in the agency, given where spreads are at or just difficulty in offsetting swaps or - yes.

Yes, part of it is really just having the flexibility and that - a part of it is the opportunity set in the resi space is just reduced. The legacy stuffs largely put away and yields aren’t that attractive. We like the CRT space, but it’s - the thing that limits investment in CRT is the number of people that finance it is just less. So we’re cautious about having too much on in that space. And then from the flexibility standpoint, adding agencies is nice because it’s easy to reallocate capital away from agencies. So when we do get a spread widening event, you move that out of agencies into credit. And when you get spread tightening like we’re seeing, we move into agencies and let the credit portfolio just run down, so basically [ph] we really had been selling it. Just our non-agency portfolio had relatively fast prepayment factor-downs.

Okay. That’s helpful. Well, congrats on a solid quarter. Thanks for taking my questions.

You bet. Thanks.

At this time, we have no further questions.

Okay. Well, I just wanted to say thank you to everybody on the call. And we’ll talk to you soon. [Close the lines] [ph], please.