James Sebra
Analyst · KeyBanc Capital Markets
Thank you, Scott, and good morning, everyone. Core FFO per share during the fourth quarter and the full year of 2025 of $0.32 and $1.17, respectively, were in line with our guidance. Same-store NOI grew 1.8% in the quarter, driven by a 2% increase in same-store revenue and a 2.4% increase in operating expenses over the prior year. For the year, same-store NOI increased 2.4% based on 1.7% growth in revenues and a 50 basis point increase in operating expenses. We're pleased with our performance this year amidst a difficult environment and ultimately delivering better same-store NOI growth than we originally anticipated. As compared to the prior year period, fourth quarter same-store revenue growth was led by 124 basis point improvement in bad debt over the fourth quarter of 2024, a 60 basis point increase in average effective monthly rents and partially offset by a 10 basis point decrease in average occupancy. The year-over-year increase in fourth quarter same-store operating expenses was due to higher repairs and maintenance related to a greater volume of turns, the timing of certain projects and increased contract services related primarily to ancillary services offered to residents that were offset by other income. These cost increases were mitigated by overall lower real estate taxes and insurance costs. For the full year, 2025 same-store revenue growth was led by an 80 basis point increase in average effective monthly rents, a 30 basis point increase in average occupancy and a 70 basis point improvement in bad debt year-over-year. Same-store operating expenses in 2025 were modestly higher than in 2024 due to higher advertising and contract service costs, largely offset by lower insurance and real estate taxes. Sequential point-to-point occupancy during the fourth quarter in our same-store portfolio was stable at 95.6%. Our strategy of having higher year-end occupancy is supporting the solid start to 2026 leasing, which I'll address momentarily. Rental rate growth in the quarter was in line with our expectations. New lease trade-outs in the seasonally slower fourth quarter were negative 3.7%, 20 basis points lower sequentially from the third quarter. Renewal rates increased 30 basis points to 2.9% in the quarter and resident retention increased another 100 basis points to 61.4%. Regarding leasing so far in 2026, asking rents in our same-store portfolio have increased 73 basis points since December 31, and new lease trade-outs remained consistent with the fourth quarter. Renewal lease trade-outs in January were 20 basis points higher than in Q4. We are making good progress on our February and March renewals and expect to achieve approximately 3.5% trade-outs for those months. This leasing activity to date is in line with the trajectory of our 1.7% blended effective rental rate growth assumed in our 2026 full year guidance, which I'll discuss momentarily. Regarding transactions, during the quarter, we sold the 356-unit community that we had held for sale in Louisville for $50 million, reflecting an economic cap rate of 5.2%. Also during the quarter, we entered into a new joint venture in Indianapolis to develop a 318-unit community that is slated for completion during the second half of 2027. Subsequent to the quarter, we purchased a 140-unit community in Columbus for $30 million, which represented an economic cap rate of 5.6%. The community is located 2 miles from existing IRT communities. We also acquired our JV partners' 10% interest in the Tisdale at Lakeline Station in Austin, Texas and began consolidating this $115 million asset on our balance sheet. The property is fully developed and currently in lease-up. We have been busy on the capital markets front as well. During the quarter, we allocated $30 million to buy back 1.9 million of our common shares at an average price of $16 a share. Additionally, we entered into a new $350 million 4-year unsecured term loan. We used the proceeds to repay our $200 million term loan and mortgages that mature later this year. Our balance sheet remains flexible with strong liquidity. As of December 31, our net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio was 5.7x, and we intend to continue improving this ratio to the mid- to low 5x. Adjusting our full year stats for the term loan activity I just discussed, we have 0 debt maturities between now and 2028. Turning to our outlook for 2026. Our markets are in various stages of recovery, driven by receding supply pressures and demand fueled by job growth, continued population and migration into our markets. In this improving leasing environment, we expect to drive NOI growth by capturing recovering market rents and maintaining our focus on operating efficiencies to keep costs low while providing a well-maintained, safe environment for our residents and their families. We are establishing full year EPS guidance of between $0.21 and $0.28 per share and core FFO guidance in the range of $1.12 to $1.16 per share. The bridge from our $1.17 starting point of core FFO in 2025 to the $1.14 midpoint of our 2026 guidance includes the following components: a $0.01 increase from same-store NOI growth and a $0.01 increase in non-same-store NOI growth. These 2 are offset by $0.01 from lower preferred income from our joint ventures during the year, $0.03 of higher interest expense caused primarily by lower levels of capitalized interest, incremental interest expense from recent acquisitions and the expiration of our 2026 SOFR swap and $0.01 associated with higher corporate costs reflective of inflationary pressures and increased training and development costs for our community teams. Our 2026 guidance assumes same-store NOI increases 80 basis points at the midpoint, driven by 1.7% same-store revenue growth and a 5.1% increase in controllable operating expenses, a 50 basis point increase in noncontrollable operating expenses, resulting in overall a 3.4% increase in total same-store operating expenses for the year. The midpoint of our same-store rental revenue growth of 1.7% is based on the following assumptions: average occupancy of 95.5%, an average increase of 20 basis points from 2025; bad debt of 90 basis points of revenue, which is approximately 20 basis points lower than 2025; a 5.4% increase in other income, primarily comprised of the incremental revenue from our Wi-Fi program of $5.5 million, which is expected to commence in July 2026. And lastly, a blended effective rent growth of 1.7%. Our blended rental rate growth assumption is comprised of new lease trade-outs of negative 75 basis points and a renewal trade-out of 3.25%, along with a resident retention rate of 60%. As part of our rental rate expectation, we are expecting that market rents will increase approximately 1.5% to 2%. Operating expenses are expected to grow 3.4% at the midpoint, driven by a 5.1% increase in controllable operating expenses and a 50 basis point increase in property tax and insurance expense. The 5.1% increase in controllable operating expenses includes $1.9 million of Wi-Fi contract costs in our contract services line item. Excluding the Wi-Fi costs, our controllable expenses are increasing 3.5%. The 50 basis point increase in noncontrollable costs is comprised of a 2.6% increase in real estate taxes and an 11.5% decrease in property insurance costs. Our non-same-store portfolio to start 2026 consists of 8 communities aggregating 2,541 units. Two of these communities are currently held for sale and are expected to be sold by midyear. The remaining 6 communities include 2 communities that are in lease-up, our legacy development deal in Broomfield, Colorado and our most recent JV acquisition in Austin, Texas. Both of these deals are leasing up, albeit at a slower pace than anticipated and with larger concessions than we previously modeled. We expect both of these communities will reach their targeted NOI just later than expected as rent growth will come once the communities hit a stabilized occupancy. Overall, for 2026, the midpoint of our guidance assumes non-same-store NOI of between $25 million to $26 million. G&A and property management expense guidance for the full year is $56 million, reflected standard inflationary growth and incremental costs associated with expanded training and development of our community teams. We forecast an $8 million increase in interest expense, driven primarily by $3 million of higher interest expenses associated with our net acquisitions last year and our 2 acquisitions earlier this year. 3.9 million of lower expected capitalized interest on development projects and $1 million associated with hedges burning off. Scott, back to you.