Brian P. McKeon - Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Analyst · credit Suisse
Thanks Bob, and good morning everyone. Q3 was another solid quarter for Iron Mountain as we posted strong revenue growth and OIBDA gains ahead of our forecast, supported by 8% internal growth. These results reflect solid operating performance across our business units. As usual today, we'll review our quarterly results and provide an update on our year-to-date cash flow performance, capital spending trends, and our debt position. Given, unusual recent changes in foreign exchange rates, we'll also spend time today discussing the impacts of foreign exchange on our reported results. Significant fluctuations in FX rates during the third quarter required recognitions of large non-cash charges and deferred tax provisions, which lowered our reported of EPS by about $0.17 per share. The record strengthening of the U.S. dollar in recent weeks is also requiring us to make adjustments to our 2008 full year guidance. As projected, FX impacts in the fourth quarter were more than offset operating upsides in the business. As we discussed at Investor Day, fluctuations and factors such as currency rates can impact our reported results. These factors however don't alter the fundamental soundness of our business, which is performing well and is on track. Let's now turn to slide four to review the key messages from today's review. The primary message that you should hear in today's review is that our operations are performing well. Iron Mountain delivered strong financial results in Q3 with revenue growing 12% and OIBDA growing 14% on a comparable basis, excluding asset gains and losses. We continued to drive solid business performance in a challenging economic environment. This reflects the strength of our business model as well as benefits from a disciplined management approach. We posted strong revenue gains across all major business units, supported by 8% internal growth, the benefits of our major acquisitions, and favorable year-over-year foreign currency movements. OIBDA growth was supported by solid gains in gross profit and moderated cost growth, which supported an increase in comparable OIBDA margins. We've maintained an excellent liquidity position, following the successful completion of the refinancing transaction, including the sale of $300 million of 8% bonds due to 2020 and the redemption of $72 million of 8.25% percent bonds due 2011 earlier this summer. We currently have over $300 million in cash and about $400 million of availability under our revolving credit facility, which is well diversified. As we look forward, our operating outlook remains strong. We're on track to deliver 2008 performance consistent with our original 2008 goals of 7% to 9% internal growth, 10% to 13% revenue growth and 10% to 14% OIBDA growth. As we announced at Investor Day, we expect to build on this performance in 2009 with plans for continued strong 7% to 9% internal growth next year. As noted, the unusual strengthening of the U.S. dollar in recent weeks is having impact on our reported results. We'll spend sometime isolating the impact of these changes on our Q3 results and on our reported growth outlook in Q4 in 2009. We'll also try to put these near term fluctuations in currency in a broader economic context for Iron Mountain. Now, let's move onto looking at the details of our performance on slide five. Slide five, compares results for this quarter to Q3 of 2007. Overall, we had another strong revenue quarter, supported by growth across our key business segments, which drove an overall revenue increase of 12%. Our largest segment North American Physical posted internal revenue growth of nearly 10%. We saw solid growth across our records management, data protection and secure shredding product lines. Overall growth was supported by solid storage gains and strengthening core service revenues. These gains are offset anticipated so often as a more discretionary areas such as fulfillment services. Our international business was up 11% overall. Internal growth was 4%, supported by continued strength in our Latin American business. As expected, we saw declines in complementary service revenues in Europe as the second major project we've been speaking was... about was concluded in the third quarter. These declines reduced international revenues by about $8 million or about 5% in Q3. Offsetting these impacts, international growth benefited from select acquisitions that are strengthening our global footprint and for favorable year-over-year foreign exchanges which together added 7% to revenue gains. Our Digital segment also drove strong revenue growth with 44% gains overall, supported by 10% internal growth and continued strong performance from Stratify. We saw solid growth in storage revenues and as expected some weakness in more discretionary purchase areas, such as software license sales. Revenue gains helped to drive a solid 14% year-on-year improvement in gross profit. Gross margins were up for the quarter, compared to the same prior year period, supported by strong storage margins, growth and high margin services as well as benefits from the sale of the low margin data product sales business and sustain higher recycle paper pricing. Year-on-year SG&A growth moderated to 14% in the quarter, slightly above the rate of revenue growth. As noted, higher rates of overhead growth this year have been driven by the integration of recent technology acquisitions and carryover impacts from investments in security, international sales resources and infrastructure initiated in 2007. We expect SG&A growth to continue to moderate in the fourth quarter. OIBDA, which grew 10% on a reported basis to $211 million in Q3, 2008, included $2 million of asset write-offs related to building moves in North America. Included in our Q4 guidance is $2 million of write-offs associated with additional building moves. Note that 2007, Q3 results included a $5 million net gain on asset dispositions. On a comparable basis, excluding asset gains and losses, OIBDA grew 14% in Q3, 2008 compared to Q3, 2007. Depreciation was $65 million and amortization was $10 million for the quarter. The increase in amortization was driven primarily by technology acquisitions completed in the second half of 2007. Operating income was $136 million for Q3, 2008 at 6% versus the prior year as operating gains were partially offset by the assets write-offs and increased depreciation and amortization, driven by 2007 capital spending and acquisitions. Slide six breaks down our overall revenue growth. It shows internal growth by major service line as well as the impact of acquisitions in foreign exchange, which added about 2% and 1% respectively to our growth rates for the third quarter. Internal revenue growth for the quarter was 8%, within the range established for our full year growth calls. As a reminder, we removed the 2007 and 2008 revenues associated with the divested product sales business from our internal growth calculations. Internal growth was comprised of 8% storage growth and 9% service growth, reflecting continued benefit from expansion of less capital intensive services. Core service internal growth improved to 13% in Q3, supported by strong performance in North America, including benefits from higher fuel surcharges and strength in pricing. The internal growth rate for complementary services moderated in Q3 as expected. Gains and recycle paper revenues were offset by reduced special project activity. As noted earlier, the completion of two major European public sector service contracts over the last year resulted in an $8 million reduction in revenues. This cause an 8% negative impact to Q3 complementary service growth. We've also seen lower growth in areas such as fulfillment services and software license sales, which are areas more likely to be impacted by economic conditions. Complementary service revenue which represents nearly 15% of overall revenues can vary overtime. Given fluctuations and demand and timing for special project activity, and variation of factors, such as recycle paper pricing. Despite these impacts, our overall internal growth rates have remained solid through the year and we're on track to deliver against our full year internal growth goals. Moving on with our review of our Q3 P&L performance, slide seven bridges our Q3 operating income to net income and EPS results. Q3 results on these fronts were basically as expected excluding impacts from the records strengthening of the U.S. dollar which pressured our reported net income and EPS. As discussed, operating income for the quarter was up 6% to $136 million as operating gains were partially offset by year-on-year impacts from asset write-offs and increases in depreciation and amortization. Our Q3 interest expense was $59 million as expected and inline with Q2. We now expect interest for the full year to be approximately $240 million. Net income for the quarter of $11 million or $0.06 per diluted share was impacted by the record strengthening of the U.S. dollar since the end of the second quarter of 2008. The impacts to other expense in our effective tax rate from FX, from changes in FX rates reduced reported EPS by approximately $0.17 per share in Q3. We'll talk about this in more depth later in our presentation. But rapid changes in foreign currencies during the quarter can result in meaningful accounting impacts as we mark our debt to market and adjust estimated deferred tax effects for these changes. Large declines in foreign currencies versus the U.S. dollar during the quarter drove a net $16 million non-cash charge in other expense. The net $16 million expense is comprised of offsetting foreign currency gains the losses which are incurred in different tax jurisdictions. As a result we recorded in additional $20 million non-cash tax provision. The impact of these two charges rates are effective tax rate to 81.6% for the quarter. Please note that these effects do not affect cash flow and are non-recurring in nature as they relate to changes in foreign exchange rates during the quarter. Our effective tax rate before the impact of any foreign currency rate fluctuations and other discrete items for the third quarter was approximately 40%, up from the estimated 38% rate due to a reduction in our allowable interest deductions in certain foreign subsidiaries. We're estimating our tax rate before discrete items for 2008 to be approximately 39%, up slightly due to this impact. After 2008, we expect our tax rate, excluding the impact of discrete items to decrease over time by approximately 2%. Based on the continuing strengthening of the U.S. dollar since September 30th, we expect some more dynamics to be in play for the fourth quarter, with likely recognition of non-cash charges to other expense and increases in our reported effective tax rate. At this point, we can't predict the year-end exchange rates in order to measure the size of the impact, but want to reinforce that it will be a non-cash non-recurring effect. Turning to slide eight, let's look at our year-to-date performance. You can see that Q3 operating results build on the solid performance we posted in the first half of 2008. Balance growth across are key businesses and service lines is supporting solid overall revenue in OIBDA gains and reinforcing our confidence that we're on track towards delivering against our strategic and financial goals this year. Net income for the first half of 2008 was $81million compared to $125 million for the same period in 2007. The key factors impacting the 2008 results or other expense, which was $13 million in 2008 versus other income of $2 million in 2007, in a significantly higher effective cash rate which was 54% versus 27% in 2007. Fluctuation in foreign exchange is the key driver of changes in both these factors. The impact of the foreign currency rate changes on other expense and effective taxes have resulted in a $0.16 reduction and fully diluted earnings per share in 2008. We'll shift now to reviewing drivers of our cash flow performance. Slide nine summarizes our capital spending for the year-to-date and our updated outlook for 2008 compared to 2007 full year results. We're maintaining our outlook for improved capital spending efficiency this year and revising our 2008 capital spending guidance downward to reflect recent foreign exchange rate changes. Our CapEx for the first nine months of 2008 was $239 million, including $19 million for real estate. Traditionally, the second half of the year is heavier with respect to CapEx spending as some projects are scheduled for later in the year and many required time to plan and source before the significant expenditures are eventually made. We expect to finish the year with approximately $430 million of CapEx spending. This is down slightly from our updated estimate provided at our Investor Day reflecting the strengthening of the U.S. dollar over the past few weeks. Let's now move on to slide 10 and look at free cash flow for the quarter. Slide 10 highlights our year-to-date cash flow performance compared to the same period in 2007. For the first nine months in 2008, free cash flow before acquisitions and discretionary investments in real estate was $86 million. The year-on-year decrease in cash flow reflects the payment in Q1, 2008 of the unusually large 2007 year end CapEx accrual balance of $60 million, partially offset by higher operating cash flow. Keep in mind that free cash flow is best looked at on our full year basis as the timing of certain cash events is not consistent through the year. For example, the first quarter, historically our lowest cash flow quarter was impacted by the 2007 CapEx accrual, and the payment of annual bonuses. For 2008, we now expect free cash flow before acquisitions and discretionary investments in real estate to be approximately $50 million to $100 million. This is an increase from our last outlook, primarily driven by lower expected capital spending in 2008. As noted on our last call, 2008 free cash flow is impacted by the 2008 CapEx accrual I just spoke of being paid in Q1. Now, let's turn to slide 11 for a review of our current debt and liquidity position. In terms of our debt portfolio, we ended Q3, 2008 in a strong position. Our weighted average interest rate is 7.1% and we're 78% fixed. Consolidated leverage is now 4.1 times at the low-end of our target range of four to five times OIBDA and well within our 5.5 times covenant alignment. Maturity is now at 7.4 years with no meaningful repayment obligations until 2012. As Bob mentioned in his opening remarks, we have a very strong balance sheet, and we're well positioned in terms of cash and financing capacity. As noted, we successfully issued $300 million of 8% senior subordinated notes due 2020. We used the proceeds to pay down our senior credit facility. We also redeemed the remaining $72 million of outstanding $8 million in the quarter percent notes due in 2011 in a transaction that was completed in early July. As a result of these activities, our liquidity position remains strong. We currently have over $300 million in cash and nearly $400 million in addition of borrowing capacity. While we maintained a strong operating outlook, we anticipate maintaining a more conservative approach to cash management in the current environment. Before I turn to financial outlook, I'd like to spend a moment discussing foreign exchange as the recent strengthening of the U.S. dollar will have an impact on our reported results. 5/12 starts this discussion with a higher level perspective on economic impacts from foreign exchange for Iron Mountain. Iron Mountain does business around the globe with about a third of our revenues are roughly $1 billion, coming from markets using non-U.S. dollar currencies. In this context, our reported P&L results, which are recorded in U.S. dollars can't be impacted by changes in FX rates. In terms of our underlying business and economics however, it's important to understand a few key factors. The first and most important factor is that our international business performance, which is conducted in local currency, is solid, and it's not impacted by FX changes. Year-to-date internal growth in our international business is up 8%, despite anticipated pressures from the completion of a major public service contract in Europe. We continued to maintain a strong outlook for our international growth and financial performance. Secondly, two economic impacts to Iron Mountain in the near term from FX changes are mitigated by some key factors. As a service company, our costs are match with the revenues in local currencies, so we don't face the same type of currency exposure as an export of our products. Through our global treasury program we've also aligned our international assets and debts in the same currency. We also have international businesses that's funded with local currency cash flows and debt financing. That's supporting our plans for continued investment and business expansion. As such, we're not exposed to reliance and repatriation of funds from our international operations, which could be pressured by the near term appreciation of the U.S. dollar. While these factors mitigate the economic effect of FX volatility, our reported financial results can be impacted by significant short-term changes in rates. Let's turn to slide 12 to review how these changes are affecting our financial outlook. As Bob mentioned earlier, we've seen a historic strengthening of the U.S. dollar against most major currencies. This will have no effect on our internal growth rates. It will result, however, in a negative impact to our reported revenue growth until we work through these comparisons over the next four quarters. The chart on the left shows the change in four major currencies, the Australian and Canadian dollars, the British pound and the euro, throughout 2008, indexed to year-end 2007 rates. These currencies represent more than 83% of our foreign revenues and nearly 27% of our enterprise revenues in 2008. As you can see, these currencies are weakened between 20% and 30% since the end of the second quarter, with more than half of each decline coming since Investor Day earlier this month. These rapid changes have a couple of key impacts on our reported results. First, in terms of our revenues and OIBDA, which are reported in U.S. dollars, we need to lower forecast estimates to reflect current FX rates. As the table on the right indicates, we estimate that a reported revenue in OIBDA growth for Q4 will now be reduced 5 percentage points due to the FX changes, following positive impacts for the year-to-date. As noted earlier, we'll also likely see non-cash other expense charges and impacts on our Q4 effective tax rate, related to mark-to-market accounting, reflecting large FX changes already seen this month. As for 2009, while we're not updating our overall outlook at this time, at current rates FX would reduce 2009 revenue and OIBDA growth by about 6%. This compares to the 3% negative impact we estimated as part of our preliminary 2008 guidance at Investor Day. It's important to reinforce that FX movements don't impact the underlying fundamentals of our business. We maintain a solid outlook for our underlying operating performance, but we'll face some tougher comparisons in terms of our reported results in the near-term due to the record strengthening of the dollar. Let's now look at how this impacts our outlook for the balance of the year. Slide 14 represents a real foot of our full year outlook from the guidance we issued in our Q2 earnings call at the end of July to today's guidance. For illustration purposes, we're using the mid point of each outlook. As you can see, absent the impacts of the foreign currency rate changes and the $4 million of asset write-offs I spoke of earlier, our outlook for the second half of the year is actually improved. We're projecting net upside of $20 million in revenues and $7 million in OIBDA in our FX neutral operating performance versus our earlier midpoint guidance. Note that our Q4 outlook is somewhat below level as implied in our last forecast. This reflects timing of some project revenues which benefited Q3 results and adjustments to our Q4 outlook to reflect updated estimates in areas such as paper pricing and some expected charges related to our UK real estate rationalization program. Despite second half performance upsides however, we do need to lower our estimates per reported revenue in OIBDA to reflect a large recent changes in FX rates. Please turn now to slide 15, where we'll review our updated outlook for the balance of the year. Slide 15 summarizes our updated financial outlook incorporating net impacts from operating upsides offset by negative FX from foreign exchange. Our full year revenue outlook is now $3.35 billion to $3.65 billion, a growth of 11% to 12%. This outlook reflects consistent expectations for 7% and 9% internal growth this year. We're now targeting full year operating income of $473 to $488 million. This would imply an OIBDA range of $768 million to $783 million for the year or growth of 11% to 13% on a comparable basis excluding gains and losses and asset write-downs. We're reducing our full year CapEx forecast to approximately $430 million due primarily to the weakening of the British pound, sterling and the euro. At midpoint performance this would equate to a solid reduction in capital spending as a percent of sales in 2008, building on our 2007 progress. Our expectations for Q4 performance are shown here as well. Note that our guidance for Q4 is a little wider than usual, given recent volatility in factors such as FX. In summary, we had a solid quarter reflecting solid operating performance across our business. Our business is performing well. We remain on track to deliver against our financial calls and intend to build on this progress in 2009. Thanks and we'll now open the phones to take your questions. Question And Answer