Thomas Fitzpatrick
Analyst · Raymond James. You may now go ahead
Thanks, Matt, and good morning, everyone. I'll get started by summarizing our key financial metrics for the quarter and providing some color on the trends we're seeing in our business lines. Now I'll recap our increased guidance for 2022 and close with a review of our liquidity position and capital structure. Iridium continued to execute well in the second quarter in an environment characterized by robust equipment demand and meaningful subscriber growth. We generated total revenue of $174.9 million in the second quarter, which was up 17% from last year's comparable quarter. The improvement reflects ongoing strength in our commercial business lines, a pickup in engineering and support work and unprecedented demand for subscriber equipment. Operational EBITDA hit a record $105.9 million in the second quarter, this was up 12% from the prior year's quarter and supported by strength across all business lines. These trends give us confidence in raising our full year outlook to better reflect the ongoing demand for our L-band services, which we expect to continue in the second half of the year and drive incremental subscriber growth. On the commercial side of our business, service revenue was up 11% this quarter to $106.4 million. This increase reflected continued strength in voice services, IoT and broadband. Commercial voice and data revenue grew by $5.2 million or 12% in the second quarter. As you know, we have historically characterized this business as a low single-digit grower. As Matt noted, there were two contributors to this outsized growth this quarter. First, our newer service offerings, Iridium GO! and push-to-talk are really hitting their stride. We experienced combined growth of about 50% on these two products in the second quarter. Together they accounted for about a third of the growth in the voice and data business line. We expect continued strength, strong growth from these products going forward. Second, we experienced materially higher sales of prepaid vouchers in the quarter. We believe this strength was driven by two factors. The first, we have noted previously, higher sales volumes associated with the conflict in Ukraine. While the second, we attribute to increased sales volumes resulting from our primary competitors not having handsets in stock to meet demand. Prepaid revenues accounted for about a third of the growth in our voice and data business this quarter. The balance of our growth in this business line came from our core service offerings that also benefited somewhat in the competitive environment as described. So in summary, the new product growth will recur, but some of the other growth may wane a bit as circumstances change. We expect the voice and data business line will generate high single-digit growth this year and we'll see where things settle out, but it now appears that this business is more like a solid mid-single digit grower on average based on latest trends. In Commercial IoT, we continue to benefit from consumer demand for personal satellite communications. IoT revenue totaled $30.6 million in the second quarter, up 13% from the prior year quarter. While these subscribers generate lower ARPU than our traditional industrial IoT users, they remain very attractive contributor to our service revenue growth in light of the minimal comparative network resources they consume. As a result, IoT ARPU was $7.96 this quarter, compared to $8.69 in the prior year period. Commercial IoT subs grew 22% from last year's second quarter, fueled in part by 80,000 net new additions. This was the second best on record. These data subscribers now represent 76% of Iridium's billable commercial subscribers, up from 74% in the year ago period. Through June 30, we had over 670,000 personal communication devices on our network and we continue to believe that these consumer oriented users will drive IoT growth for the foreseeable future. Commercial broadband revenue rose 14% from the prior year quarter to $12.1 million. Activations were driven by ongoing adoption of Iridium Certus terminals in maritime. Our partners are seeing good access to vessels, which should keep subscriber growth strong in broadband, where we continue to grow our offering and are seeing strong adoption of Iridium Certus as a companion to VSAT terminals. Hosting and other data services revenue was $15.2 million this quarter, up 5% from the prior year quarter on higher data usage. Turning to our government service business. We reported revenue of $26.5 million in the second quarter, up 3% from $25.8 million in the prior year quarter. This increase reflects the contractual terms of our long-term EMSS contract. Subscriber equipment continues to benefit from strong demand, rising 53% from the prior year period to $33.8 million. As Matt noted, we continue to receive new orders for equipment which support our forecast for full year equipment sales well above 2021's level. We expect equipment margin dollars to be up materially as well. Equipment margin as a percent of revenue is expected to decline this year to a range between 35% and 40%. The reduction in margin percentage is primarily driven by a mix shift toward chipsets that have lower margin, which are widely utilized by our personal communication partners and driving significant subscriber growth. We are also to a lesser extent experiencing some cost increases as we manage through supply chain issues. Engineering and support revenue was $8.3 million in the second quarter, as compared to $6.8 million in the year ago period. The rise reflects activity related to the episodic nature of our contract work for the US government and commercial customers. In all, the trends we saw in the second quarter were quite strong. Accordingly, we are increasing our growth outlook for service revenue to between 7% and 9% in 2022 and raising our full year guidance for operational EBITDA to between $410 million and $420 million. Some of the items helping to frame our thoughts on EBITDA includes the recent SDA award and our outlook for SG&A. With the award of the Space Development Agencies contract to General Dynamics Mission Systems and Iridium in May, we anticipate that Iridium will receive a $133 million in revenue under the award over its seven year term. But this could grow with future opportunities. Revenue will vary from year to year and appear in our engineering and support line. We expect work under the SDA contract to generate small margins, which we view as acceptable given its strategic importance. This, in combination with the increase in equipment revenues and decrease in equipment margin percentage will drive our EBITDA margin percentage below 60% this year. On the expense side of the ledger, we continue to expect spending on SG&A to rise this year as we incur higher recruiting and development costs accrual for higher stock compensation expenses and also make additions to our support infrastructure. I noted, these items back in April, and anticipate that in total they will result in SG&A being about 20% higher in 2022 compared to last year. Moving to our capital position. As of June 30, 2022, Iridium had a cash and cash equivalents balance of approximately $227 million. Iridium's growing cash flow is one of the reasons that our Board upsized our share repurchase program with an additional $300 million earlier this year. In the second quarter Iridium purchased approximately 1 million shares of common stock at a total purchase price of $35 million. Into July, we have remained active in the market purchasing an additional 290,000 shares at a cost of approximately $11.2 million. And since the original authorization of our buyback program in 2021, we have retired approximately 9.4 million shares at a total price of about $344 million or $36.47 per share. At this time remaining capacity on our program is approximately $256 million. We will continue to be disciplined in executing on share repurchases. Net leverage was 3.4 times OEBITDA at the end of the second quarter. This was down from 3.9 times a year earlier and includes the impacts of our buybacks during the first half of 2022. Our long-term target for net leverage continues to be between 2.5 times and 3.5 times OEBITDA at the end of 2023. We expect to be within this target range even after giving effect to all share buybacks authorized by our Board. Capital expenditures in the second quarter were $17.5 million and included initial spend of $7.5 million related to our launch of up to five ground spares satellites. You will recall that this launch of our ground spares is a one-time event with the total expected cost of about $35 million, which will be spent this year and next. We anticipate that the launch will take place in 2023. We have previously indicated that we expect annual CapEx to average about $40 million during our CapEx holiday. So inclusive of the launch of our ground spares we do not expect our CapEx spending in 2022 to exceed $75 million. This spending can be comfortably supported by Iridium’s strong cash and cash equivalents balance and ongoing expectations for strong free cash flow in 2022. If we use the midpoint of our 2022 EBITDA guidance and back off $66 million in net interest pro forma for our current debt structure, the maximum expected $75 million in CapEx for this year and $14 million in working capital, inclusive of the appropriate hosted payload adjustment, we're projecting pro forma free cash flow of approximately $260 million. These metrics represent a conversion rate of 63% in 2022 and a yield of nearly 6%. I would note that Iridium put in place an interest rate cap in July of 2021 to hedge $1 billion of notional value on our term loan. This positioned us well to weather the current interest rate environment. More detailed description of these cash flow metrics along with the reconciliation to GAAP measures is available in the supplemental presentation under events on our Investor Relations website. In closing, we're very excited about Iridium's business prospects and the new revenue streams we will soon realize from the SDA contract awarded in June, as well as our entry into new markets. We have all worked hard through the challenges of the pandemic during the past two years to execute efficiently and get to this point. As Matt noted, we are enjoying strong demand trends today and executed on a number of promising business opportunities. As I look back on the dozen years I've been with Iridium, I've witness an accelerated pacing of growth and technological capabilities. It took Iridium 18 years to get to 1 million subscribers, which occurred in 2018. We expect to reach 2 million subscribers as we exit this year, illustrating the acceleration of our business. It's very rewarding to see this progress and given the strength of our personal communications business and current pace of growth, we will likely surpass 3 million subscribers in less than four years. This is an especially exciting time for our company, our partners and employees. We're committed to return capital to our shareholders, while still investing in the business and pursuing new vectors for growth. I truly believe that for Iridium the best is yet to come. With that, I'll turn things back to the operator for the Q&A.