Earnings Labs

Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (IONS)

Q1 2024 Earnings Call· Tue, May 7, 2024

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, and welcome to Ionis' First Quarter 2024 Financial Results Conference Call. As a reminder, this call is being recorded. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Wade Walke, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations, to lead off the call. Please begin.

D. Walke

Management

Thank you, Keith. Before we begin, I encourage everyone to go to the Investors section of the Ionis website to view the press release and the related financial tables we will be discussing today, including the reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP financials. We believe non-GAAP financial results better represent the economics of our business and how we manage our business. We've also posted slides on our website that accompany today's call. With me this morning are Brett Monia, Chief Executive Officer; Kyle Jenne, Chief Global Product Strategy Officer; and Beth Hougen, Chief Financial Officer. Richard Geary, our Chief Development Officer; Eric Swayze, Executive Vice President of Research; Eugene Schneider, Chief Clinical Development Officer; and Jonathan Birchall, Chief Commercial Officer, will also join us for the Q&A portion of the call. I would like to draw your attention to Slide 3, which contains our forward-looking language statement. During this call, we will be making forward-looking statements that are based on our current expectations and beliefs. These statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties, and our actual results may differ materially. I encourage you to consult the risk factors contained in our SEC filings for additional detail. With that, I'll turn the call over to Brett.

Brett Monia

Management

Thanks, Wade. Good morning, everybody, and thanks for joining us today. 2024 is off to a great start for Ionis as we continue to execute on our vision to bring better futures to people with serious diseases. With the recent U.S. launch of our first Ionis co-branded medicine, WAINUA, Ionis discovered medicines are now reaching even more people living with serious diseases. And we're on the cusp of independently delivering a steady stream of new transformational medicines to patients beginning with our planned launches of olezarsen and donidalorsen. By uniting groundbreaking science and technology with a relentless passion to discover, develop and deliver new transformational medicines to people in need, we believe Ionis is well positioned to unlock next level value. Renewal launch for ATTR polyneuropathy is on track in the U.S. with our co-commercialization partner, AstraZeneca. While it's early days in the launch, we're pleased with the collective team's progress. The approval decisions in Europe and Canada expected later this year and additional regulatory submissions already completed, we expect to soon bring WAINUA to even more patients around the globe. And based on we know a strong efficacy profile, together with the freedom of simple, at-home monthly self-administration, we believe WAINUA is poised to become the therapy of choice for ATTR patients. We continue to advance our cardio transform study of WAINUA for the larger ATTR cardiomyopathy indication with the potential for data as early as 2025. As the largest study ever conducted in this patient population, the landmark cardio transform trial is on track to deliver the most comprehensive and robust data set. We expect the data we generate will enable physicians and payers to make informed treatment decisions in this dynamic treatment landscape. And with AstraZeneca's global leadership in the commercialization of novel cardiovascular treatments, coupled with…

Kyle Jenne

Management

Thank you, Brett. I'm excited to be back at Ionis, working with a highly accomplished team with deep commercial experience who are ready to bring our important medicines to patients in need. Over the last 4 years, we have approached our commercial build in a thoughtful and purposeful manner focusing on hiring the right roles at the right time. We now have a team in place executing on the co-commercialization of WAINUA with AstraZeneca and preparing for the upcoming independent launches of olezarsen and donidalorsen. The capabilities we've established include medical affairs as well as commercial expertise and marketing, market access, patient services, commercial operations and sales. We also recently appointed the first Ionis National Sales Director to the team and are beginning to hire our field organization in preparation for the FCS launch. . Following the U.S. approval at the end of last year for WAINUA, We started bringing this important medicine to patients in the first quarter. As Brett noted, WAINUA represents Ionis' first co-branded medicine and is poised to be the treatment of choice for hereditary ATTR polyneuropathy based on its efficacy and safety profile and the ability to self-administer. With an estimated 40,000 patients worldwide and fewer than 20% of patients on an approved treatment, patients with hereditary ATTR polyneuropathy remain significantly underdiagnosed and largely underserved. As a result, a high unmet need remains that we and AstraZeneca are uniquely positioned to address. Overall, the launch is tracking to plan based on predefined launch performance indicators. We are seeing good uptake among patients, some of whom are new to this class of medicine and some of whom have switched from other brands. The cross-functional teams that Ionis and AstraZeneca are working well together and the early phase of the launch is benefiting from the expertise of…

Elizabeth L. Hougen

Management

Thank you, Kyle, and I couldn't agree more. This really is an exciting time at Ionis as we launched our first co-commercialized medicine. And we are closer than ever to bringing a steady cadence of our own medicines to the market. Our first quarter financial results reflect our progress toward achieving this important goal. We earned revenues of $119 million in the first quarter. Half of our revenue was from commercial products comprised primarily of substantial SPINRAZA royalties. Our commercial revenue also included the addition of royalties from the U.S. launch of WAINUA. The other half of our revenue was from programs under our R&D collaborations, reflecting the value that our pipeline and technology continued to generate. Our non-GAAP operating expenses modestly increased year-over-year as we continue to invest our capital resources toward growth opportunities. As expected, our SG&A expenses increased as we and AstraZeneca initiated the launch of WAINUA in the U.S. and as we made investments ahead of the olezarsen and donidalorsen launches. Our R&D expenses also increased due to the timing of our late-stage program activities. We expect our R&D expenses to stabilize this year as several late-stage studies have ended. And we ended the first quarter with cash and investments of $2.2 billion. Our first quarter results keep us on track to meet our 2024 financial guidance. Looking ahead, we project our revenues in subsequent quarters to be modestly higher compared to the first quarter based on anticipated regulatory milestones, license fees and R&D funding from partners. For example, we will earn $20 million if QALSODY is approved in the EU and $30 million if WAINUA is approved in the EU. Additionally, we expect our royalty revenue to grow as the WAINUA launch ramps up and as the QALSODY EU launch gets underway, assuming approval. We…

Brett Monia

Management

Thank you, Beth. Indeed, Ionis is well positioned to continue building on our positive momentum as we execute on all our strategic priorities. We have arrived where we are today by being focused on a clear vision and a clear set of strategic objectives, which include building and advancing our pipeline and delivering medicines that we conceive discover and develop directly to patients. We've established Ionis as a leader in organically tied therapeutics with several approved drugs and one of the richest mid- and late-stage pipelines in the industry. Our pipeline is delivering. We achieved multiple marketing approvals and positive key data readouts over the past year and are poised to build on the strong momentum in the near term. We've prioritized building our wholly owned pipeline, and we expect to advance several of these medicines into clinical development this year. In parallel, our partner programs are progressing on track with key Phase II data readouts planned this year and important Phase III readouts next year and beyond. We're extending our leadership position in oligonucleotide therapeutics by expanding and diversifying our technology, further optimizing our capabilities for existing therapeutic areas and opening up new areas for drug discovery. All of this sets us up to continue bringing a steady cadence of new medicines, transformational medicines to patients for years to come. We're looking forward to sharing our progress as we build on our recent achievements and accomplish all our strategic objectives. And with that, I'll now open the call up for questions. Keith, and we can take questions now.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And the first question comes from Debjit Chattopadhyay with Guggenheim Securities.

Debjit Chattopadhyay

Analyst

Firstly, on donidalorsen and olezarsen. Between the expanded access, the OLE and Switch, how many FCS and HAE patients do you currently have on therapy who could be low-hanging fruits for the early commercial adoption?

Brett Monia

Management

So for olezarsen, virtually all of the patients, which was approximately 60 patients or so, Eugene, in the Phase III study rolled over into the open-label extension and they're continuing in that trial in the open label extension now. So that's a -- I mean that's a pretty good measure there. For the expanded access program for olezarsen and FCS, that's just getting started. So it's early days. We'll provide an update later on. But so far, reception has been very positive. Similar story for donidalorsen. Donidalorsen, virtually all of the patients that completed the trial, which was the vast majority, well in excess of 90% of the patients completed the trial, elected to roll over into the open-label extension, and they've stayed and they've remained in the open-label extension. The EAP has just got started, I think, last week for donidalorsen.

Debjit Chattopadhyay

Analyst

Got it. And one quick one. Are there any Part D dynamics we should be monitoring with respect to WAINUA launch versus Amvuttra.

Brett Monia

Management

Yes, I'd be happy to talk about that. Thanks for the question. So First, I'll just say the launch is going really well. The payers are covering the medication as expected. There's experience in the space already with polyneuropathy and so the criteria for use is largely understood from the majority of payers. On the Part D side of things, we're continuing to navigate that very efficiently. AstraZeneca is leading the way on the market access side of things, and they're doing a fantastic job. And our patient services program is really supporting patients effectively to educate them on the process and also provide out-of-pocket support where appropriate for commercial patients and supporting them just through the regular reimbursement process that you would expect and also working directly with the offices. So overall, I think the payer landscape is positive. The patient experience is very positive. And we're continuing to execute the launch very effectively.

Operator

Operator

And the next question comes from Gary Nachman with Raymond James.

Gary Nachman

Analyst · Raymond James.

So on olezarsen, when will you know the exact review time line for FCS? I know you're assuming a priority review, but when will that be confirmed. And then talk a bit more about the commercial launch preparations for olezarsen for FCS. How big of a team will you need overall and describe some of the synergies with the infrastructure already built in there for WAINUA, how that could be leveraged.

Brett Monia

Management

Thanks, Gary. I'll take the first one and Kyle, could talk a little bit about the field prep and plans for commercialization. Maybe Jonathan could jump in too -- so the -- we expect to hear from the FDA -- 60 days or so after we submitted and we submitted it in March. And at -- in April, sorry, we submitted in April and it's a 60-day time line for that. Once we hear from the FDA, we'll expect to hear about our PDUFA date. Whether or not we are -- they expecting to have an ad com, we don't expect to have an outcome, but that would be information that would come in that uptake. And thirdly, whether we receive priority review as well in addition to that. And we'll announce all that at the same -- when we hear from the FDA on the acceptance of the NDA. Kyle will you talk a little bit about the launch for FCS?

Kyle Jenne

Management

Yes. I will talk about the synergies, and then I'll turn it over to Jonathan to talk about some of the field force sizing and the thinking around the go-to-market strategy there. But the synergies with WAINUA, I think what's important within the organization is, first of all, we've been very calculated and very measured in terms of the way that we build the internal infrastructure so that we're efficient and being smart about the capabilities that we're building and the timing of that build. But we've currently got in place marketing capabilities, which I think are very robust with strong leadership and experience in the marketing capacity. Our commercial operations group has stood up. So things like the CRM and data and analytics and those types of infrastructures are in place. Our market access team is doing a fantastic job of doing market insights work and understanding the way that the market is anticipated to look from a payer standpoint and trade and channel and distribution. And finally, and really importantly, is the medical affairs group, we established that team a little over 3 years ago. And that team has been interacting with KOLs. They've had strong presence at Congresses. There's been a lot of data in dissemination. We've collected a lot of information externally and brought that knowledge back into the organization as well. So I mean, overall, I think what you're hearing is the capacity and the ability and the infrastructure and the timing of all of this is really coming together nicely. And the execution. I've been very impressed with and very pleased with where we're at right now. So Jonathan, maybe specific to FCS?

Jonathan Birchall

Analyst · Raymond James.

Yes. I think there are, as Kyle alluded to, a lot of synergies between the capabilities we've built to support the WAINUA launch, particularly around areas such as patient services. that will transfer very relevantly to the FCS launch. A bit of background, as I'm sure you're aware, the FCS launch is a rare disease. There are a relatively small number of patients who are managed by a relatively small number of HCPs. So as you can imagine, the footprint or the scale of our commercial build will meet the needs of those customer group. That customer group and indeed those patients. So given the rare disease nature, it will be appropriately built to service that population.

Gary Nachman

Analyst · Raymond James.

All right. Great. And then on doni, just described the latest thinking on the data you'll be including in the NDA. And how are you thinking about positioning the drug from a competitive standpoint in terms of switches versus getting naive patients in that market? And Kyle, how big of an effort you'll need there from a commercial standpoint relative to olezarsen?

Kyle Jenne

Management

Yes. Let me start by talking a little bit about the market. We strongly believe, based on the profile of donidalorsen that we'll be able to evolve the prophylactic treatment paradigm. This is a very competitive market, as you just outlined. It is a Switch market, right? A lot of these patients are already identified. They're currently being treated and we anticipate Switch and the Switch data that we're going to roll out at the end of the month to be very, very relevant in this space and also innovative and different. The prevalence overall, we're looking at 20,000-plus patients between the U.S. and EU. And the data sets in terms of differentiation and the way that we're going to go about this really support a couple of things. Number one, the primary endpoint, obviously, around reduced rates of HAE attacks. But the durability of that, I think, is really, really important to note in the data. We've got 4- or 8-week dosing that's differentiated versus the competition. We've got a safe and tolerable therapy. And the switch data and being able to show patient preference is going to be really critical, I think, not only to patients but also to prescribers in terms of how to do this and to payers in terms of what is the cost of doing this and how do we do this effectively to make sure that it's efficient in terms of making that transition. So overall, I think between the data and the marketplace and the way things are setting up, we're going to be really poised to do a great job here in this space. In terms of the commercial size, we'll probably be competitive in terms of the sizing 50 to 100 ballpark in terms of field infrastructure. And I expect to be able to start putting that team in place later this year, pending the regulatory time lines and process that will be outlined later.

Brett Monia

Management

Yes. And regarding Gary, the NDA, thanks, Kyle. We plan to submit for approval both for every 4-week dosing as well as every 8-week dosing, we'll include open-label extension data to support the safety database is necessary for approval. We're also expecting to include instructions based on the Switch data on how physicians will be able to Switch patients from an existing prophylactic over to donidalorsen. And related to that, we're very much looking forward to sharing in-depth the Switch data along with the open label -- Phase III open-label extension data in the Phase III data at EAACI on May 31 of this month. The Switch data is really -- is absolutely the first prospective study ever conducted in patients with HAE, switching them from one prophylactic to another. And we're looking forward to sharing data not only on how well patients are protected from HAE attacks compared to baseline rates, but also compliance, how long they stay on treatment and a preference that whether patients prefer donidalorsen over their previous treatment. And why they choose that. So it's a very important study. It's the first of its kind, and it's also a litmus test for the market in the United States, which is a Switch market.

Operator

Operator

And the next question comes from Jessica Fye with JPMorgan.

Jessica Fye

Analyst · JPMorgan.

On that path to sustained positive cash flow, can you talk a little bit about over what time horizon you see the company being able to achieve that? And then just a quick second one for ION541, your ataxin-2 asset for ALS, can you set the stage for what to watch for in those Phase 2 results? And just remind me the timing for that readout?

Elizabeth L. Hougen

Management

Sure, Jess. So as you think about Ionis, if you think about our opportunities. Obviously, we've got a substantial opportunity ahead of us with the rich pipeline that we have, particularly the late-stage pipeline, multibillion-dollar revenue opportunity. it's going to take us a few years of continued investment to bring those drugs through development, through the regulatory process and launch those medicines. And we want those launches then, obviously, to be ramping. But it's really the strength of multiple sources of revenue are sustained and substantial base of revenue today, the ability for that to grow, the ability for partnered programs to reach the market and generate substantial royalties and sales milestones. And then to build on that with our product revenues with our wholly owned medicines, as those come to market, and those launches ramp up that will really drive the positive cash flow. And I think what's important to remember about Ionis, which is very unique for us versus others in our space is that we're not that far away. Unlike a lot of companies who are launching their first medicines, we already have a very substantial base of revenue that generates cash for the company and helps offset our investments today. We anticipate that will continue. And that means that the delta that we have to cover when we finally get these products to market, is actually fairly modest and a very achievable goal for us. So hopefully, that gives you a perspective on how to think about it.

Brett Monia

Management

Looking forward to the other part of your other question, Jess, having data results from the Phase II study for ataxin 2 in nongenetic ALS around midyear this year. Eugene, please comment on what we're looking for.

Eugene Schneider

Analyst · JPMorgan.

Yes, thanks for the question, Jess. It's our first inpatient experience. And primarily, this is a safety study. It's a dose-ranging study, we're obviously assessing safety of increasing doses of oligo in patients with sporadic ALS as Brett said. So really, the key goal of that study is to demonstrate NSS safety of various dose levels of intrathecal medicine. We're obviously, or Biogen is looking at other surrogates of ALS progression, and those have been well described, such as neurofilament. So of course, there will be some of those exploratory endpoints that are used to assess whether there is any activity on key ALS progression measures.

Brett Monia

Management

Based on the QALSODY outcome, neurofilament light chain will obviously be a key measure on that. There will also be exploratory measures of ALS functional rating scale and other sub domains within there.

Operator

Operator

And the next question comes from Joseph Stringer with Needham & Company.

Joseph Stringer

Analyst · Needham & Company.

Just a follow-up on donidalorsen. In the Switch study, you mentioned a patient survey and some other data. But maybe can you put a little bit finer point on what data specifically you will need to see from the Switch study that would resonate most from a commercial uptake perspective?

Brett Monia

Management

Well, I'll start and Kyle can jump in. It's really the totality of the data, Joey. We're going to -- first of all, we will share data with current treatment that are available on the market today. So it won't just be 1 treatment that we're switching. We're going to be looking at patients that have been on -- previously been on TAKHZYRO, ORLADEYO or other prophylactic treatments. What their baseline HAE attack rates were coming into the study and then how the HAE attack rate evolves as patients continue to be on donidalorsen treatment. That's very important for the commercial -- to have that data for the commercial launch. Second, as I mentioned, it's going to -- we're going to also ask patients which they prefer in the trial and why? And that will be a survey that we're looking forward to sharing in the study as well. And then thirdly and very importantly, we'll be able to have the data, the instructions and the algorithms, if you will, which are different for different prophylactic treatments on how much time it takes before donidalorsen will -- how much time they need to be on and wean off existing prophylactic treatments and move on to donidalorsen based on previous treatments. But it's really important, right, Kyle, to have this data for the launch on donidalorsen?

Kyle Jenne

Management

Yes. I think first, it's highly differentiated. This hasn't been done before. And I think that differentiation is going to help us. This is an unsatisfied market. Right? I mean we already see that patients are moving between therapies as it is right now. And they're moving because they're either not adequately controlled or they're having breakthroughs or sometimes it's because of the way that the delivery mechanism works for the treatment that they're on. And so when we're thinking about the data, it's going to be helpful for us to know in a very formal way, the feedback from patients, number one and number two, to help inform physicians about how to do this safely and effectively. And finally, on the payer side, payers want to make sure that they're not paying for multiple medications at the same time. And so this will help us with the payer messaging as well to talk about how to effectively get on to donidalorsen and stay on donidalorsen without them having to have multiple therapies overlapping or that they're having to pay for and cover for these patients.

Operator

Operator

And the next question comes from Jason Gerberry with Bank of America.

Jason Gerberry

Analyst · Bank of America.

Two for me. Just can you comment on the Phase III SHTG trials and how acute pancreatitis events are accruing on a blended basis versus events you've seen in other trials or your best estimate of what that event rate may look like? And then my second question is around TTR cardiomyopathy and the potential for combination therapy. . Alnylam seems pretty adamant that just payers won't cover a stabilizer and a silencer. And there's questions if tafamidis will even go generic this decade. So I'm just curious like what work you've done around combo that it will get covered and that there's an attainable clinical bar for combo. I know there's a lot in that, but just love if you can address that?

Brett Monia

Management

All right. Before handing over to Kyle and Jonathan about the dynamic TTR cardiomyopathy market, combination monotherapy when we comment on the SHTG. So, as a reminder, Jason, we saw remarkable reductions in acute pancreatitis in our FCS balance study for olezarsen. Not only was the reduction substantial, the number of AP events in the placebo group were much more than we anticipated going into that study point. I guess, a very important point that I want to emphasize is that we don't really know people. It's not really understood well what the AP event rates are in FCS or SHTG. Is these trials that we're conducting that are going to add a lot of light -- shed a lot of light on to what the true AP events are for both FCS and SHTG. . Virtually all of the AP events that occurred in the FCS study were in the placebo group. Certainly, in SHTG, we would expect and do expect fewer AP events just based on -- compared to FCS based on the fact that the mean triglyceride reductions are lower in SHTG than they are in FCS. But with that said, we have many patients in our SHTG trial that are in the thousands in the FCS range in the study. But the mean reduction -- mean TG levels will be less, and therefore, you would expect the rate of events to be a bit lower in SHTG. With that said, we are seeing in a blinded manner AP events, and they're accumulating a pretty robust line study. If we can replicate anything like what we saw in FCS, the majority of those patients, we would expect to be in the placebo group because the olezarsen is expected to reduce triglycerides even better from a magnitude standpoint in SHTG versus FCS. So at the balance, FCS study certainly gave us more confidence in a positive AP outcome in the study. A reminder, the primary endpoint is triglyceride reductions, AP events in the SHTG study is a key secondary. Jonathan, you want to comment on the changing dynamics in TTR cardiomyopathy, how we're seeing monotherapy combination play out?

Jonathan Birchall

Analyst · Bank of America.

Yes. I think the specific question for me around that is willingness to cover the combo. And I guess my first point is very difficult to answer the question, given that we don't yet have any data and therefore, don't really understand the profile of the combination. That said, I think there are plenty of other therapy areas, whether it's Gilead's work in hep C, where treatments were 7 figures, plenty of oncology drugs where there are very expensive combinations that are still covered by payers. What I can tell you specifically with regards to cardio transform and the combination usages, the market research that we've completed has shown that there is a willingness from payers to cover the combination. Obviously, the caveat to that is it will be data dependent. But so long as with data from what's effectively the largest study in this area, we're fairly confident that we -- if we're able to demonstrate the benefit that, that will then ultimately be covered by the payers.

Brett Monia

Management

And we're very well positioned to demonstrate an added benefit in combination based on the design of our trial, the size of our trial and the percentage of patients we have in -- on tafamidis versus monotherapy.

Operator

Operator

And the next question comes from Yanan Zhu with Wells Fargo.

Yanan Zhu

Analyst · Wells Fargo.

Great. Maybe to follow up on ATTR cardiomyopathy, -- just curious, any color on the blinded event rate, any update there? And any thinking about the primary endpoint analysis? And also as a competitor readout their data, what are the key data points that you will be focused on learning?

Brett Monia

Management

So thank you, Yanan. So the blinded event rates in the cardio transform trial are tracking well. They're on track for what we expected. And that -- when I say that, I'm referring to both mortality as well as hospitalizations and the nature of those hospitalizations. We're looking at it very quickly -- very carefully. . And there's no changes to our plans on primary endpoint or timing, as we said in our presentation as early as next year still on track. The study we were to go to its completion, 140 weeks of treatment that would be midyear 2026. And we're focused almost very much on the blinded event rate to drive the decision with our partner, AstraZeneca, When this REIT study out. We're very much looking forward to the readout of the first silencer in TTR cardiomyopathy from a Phase III trial later this year. If we learned something from it, it could influence our timing for reading out the study. We're very much looking forward to it and I really can't go say much more about it than that at this point.

Yanan Zhu

Analyst · Wells Fargo.

Great. If I may ask a follow-up on Angelman syndrome readout. What might be the value? And how do we think about the relative importance of the biomarker EEG versus clinical endpoints like CGI and Bayley-4 when we learn the data?

Brett Monia

Management

Yes. Eugene will comment on the clinical endpoints, biomarker EEG and other Bayley-4, et cetera. We don't -- we haven't settled on how and when exactly we will report out the next step for the Angelman program. As you know, Yanan, Biogen has an option to license this program. And as we've said before, when we do announce the next step for the program, when the data reads out, we will be also planning to comment on what Biogen's plans are for the next steps if they option in for the program. As far as forum, we have not settled on that either. There is an Angelman conference in August of this year, which we regularly attend each year. That could be a forum, but we haven't made any firm decisions. And of course, if Biogen licensed this is the program, they will be in the driver's seat to make those calls ultimately. Eugene, talk a little bit about the endpoints that we're looking at in Angelman?

Eugene Schneider

Analyst · Wells Fargo.

Yes, sure. Thanks for your question, Yanan. Yes. So of course, we're -- this is a truly a learning study for us. And as such, we're really exploring a range of different outcomes, including, of course, EEG, which has built quite a bit of data both through natural history as well as some of the early data that was shared with the community. But importantly, of course, the clinical assessments that include standard scale that you mentioned Bayley-4, of course, Vineland is another very common scale used in neurodevelopmental disorders. But we're also looking at other aspects of this disease, essentially covering a very broad range of presentation and symptoms for Angelman, and that includes things like sleep and behavior and other things. So we're truly trying to learn as much as possible about the impact that our drug may have on all of those features of this pretty complex disorder.

Operator

Operator

And the next question comes from Luca Issi with RBC.

Luca Issi

Analyst · RBC.

Great. Congrats on the progress. Maybe one on TTR cardiomyopathy, Eugene, if I may, -- what was your reaction to AstraZeneca powering their Phase III trial for the monoclonal antibody at 1,000 patients? Basically, we now have Alnylam HELIOS-B has 665 patients. Your trial is 1,400 patients and AstraZeneca's monoclonal antibody in 1,000 patients. Does this mean that Alnylam is under-powered, you are overpowered and monoclonal antibody in the purpose of power. Any thoughts there, most appreciated. And then maybe on AGT, what's the latest thinking on this target. Roche is clearly very excited about it and even willing to run a cardiovascular trial, while it feels that -- your target is not getting the same amount of airtime that it once did. Am I off here? And if so, what's the next sort of this program? And then finally, on HAE. I think on Page 17, you're citing that these assets obvious includes near elimination of attacks. Wondering if you can comment on whether that applies to both Q4W and Q8W or only Q4W?

Brett Monia

Management

Lot to unpack there. Coming on the question of trial design. So -- we're not that close to AstraZeneca's antibody depleter for TTR cardiomyopathy, Luca, and so the size of their study, the powering assumptions that went into all that, it's not in our area. We, of course, talk to them pretty regularly about how these 2 mechanisms could synergize down the road. So -- but certainly, we're not involved in the design of their trial. I don't think powering assumptions, anything.

Unknown Executive

Analyst · RBC.

No. Just on our trial, as you know, we spoke about it a lot -- and certainly, we feel pretty confident in our assumptions that are based on emerging data. So that's what I feel comfortable speaking about. I can't speculate what others use in their assumptions.

Brett Monia

Management

A different mechanism. We believe in our trial design. We believe that we have the right size of the trial design and the makeup and the demographics in our cardio transform study. With that, I can't really -- I don't want to comment any more on what others are doing. AGT, no change. We are continuing to progress our plans, as we've stated earlier that we plan to partner this program and we're still planning to do that, and we're making progress. For HAE, we know we -- as we will share with you at EAACI at the end of this month, both every 4-week and every 8-week dosing showed a highly statistically significant benefit in reducing HAE attack rates, but every 4-week dosing had a greater reduction in HAE attacks. So when we refer to near-elimination I certainly every 4-week data comes closer to that than every 8-week dosing.

Operator

Operator

And the next question comes from Salveen Richter with Goldman Sachs.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst · Goldman Sachs.

SP-3 This is Tommy on for Salveen. So just to follow up on the previous commentary about the Medicare Part D design. Do you think that -- how are you thinking about the possibility that there could be a higher level of scrutiny, especially in cardiomyopathy, given the entrance of another stabilizers potentially this year.

Unknown Executive

Analyst · Goldman Sachs.

For the Medicare D population, I mean, things are evolving a little bit, right, with the IRA regulations and things that have come into play. And historically, there's been quite a bit of distinction around the out-of-pocket expenses for patients and the way that those had to be paid in terms of timing and time lines around that. I think where we're at right now with Medicare Part D is a much more favorable position than we have been historically, and it's only anticipated to get better in the coming years. . So out-of-pocket expenses are going to be limited for those patients, either $3,000 or so this year. It goes down to $2,000 or so next year. And then there's also the ability to spread those costs over time. So it's not onetime assessment for the patient, which I think is very positive. So when we're thinking about WAINUA and other programs that we have that will go through the Medicare Part D channel, I think we're very encouraged that we'll be able to work effectively within that system and support patients appropriately. And keep in mind, it's not just about our treatment for Medicare Part D, but it's a combination of all of the therapies that those patients are on that will hit that ultimate cap of $3,000 or $2,000, respectively. So I think we're well positioned in a good place to the reimbursement channels to allow patients to have access and appropriate access to our treatments.

Operator

Operator

And the next question comes from David Lebowitz with Citi -- [Operator Instructions].

David Lebowitz

Analyst

Would you be able to comment on ION224 and DGAT2 you as far as the data that you recently presented and what you think about that therapy given the burgeoning MASH landscape ?

Brett Monia

Management

Sure, David. Yes, we couldn't have been more pleased with the Phase II data we reported earlier this year on DGAT2 in patients with MASH. This is the first time. So our target of DGAT2 -- by targeting DGAT2 and blocking the triglyceride synthesis pathway in the liver. We certainly expected robust reductions in liver fat based on this mechanism. We were very pleasantly surprised to see not only that, we also saw reductions in MASH resolution, that is inflammation of the liver by biopsy as well as a turnaround of fibrosis, positive reduction in fibrosis in these patients, first time ever, a treatment that blocks fat synthesis was shown to actually achieve this. As we mentioned, this program as exciting as it is, doesn't fit really well within our focus, Ionis on for our wholly owned pipeline in neurology, cardiovascular and maybe specialty rare opportunities. So we think this program fits best with a partner. And that's what we're doing, is we're moving towards partnering this program to take it to the next stage of development, which could certainly be a Phase III program. There's certainly interest, and those conversations are progressing pretty well. It's early in the discussions, but they're progressing well. And maybe we have time for one last question before wrapping things up.

Operator

Operator

Last one comes from Kostas Biliouris with BMO.

Konstantinos Biliouris

Analyst

Can you remind us what is the status of sapablursen in PV? And when should we expect updates from this program given the increasing activity in that space and the multiple readouts in 2024. Also any thoughts around the commercial opportunity of that program would be helpful?

Brett Monia

Management

Thank you, Kostas. Yes, yes, the sapablursen program in polycythemia vera Phase II continues to progress well. I think we've said before, it's an open-label study, and we've been -- we've said before that we're clearly seeing evidence of robust activity, efficacy in this study. What we're doing in this Phase II study, that is reductions in hematocrit, red cell accounts normalizing in many cases, in many patients. And what we're doing is dose ranging to understand what the right dose and dose regimen will be for a potential advancement into Phase III development. So we're looking forward to sharing that data potentially this year. It continues. The -- as far as the market opportunity to create a question, we're assessing that now. We don't have an answer for you. It's a very interesting area. And our commercial organization is well on its way in doing all the market research for the opportunity in the United States and outside of the United States. So we have not decided on where this program fits best at Ionis or the partner. We're going to try to provide an update by the end of the year on the program. Thanks for the question, Kostas, and thanks, everybody, for joining us today who participated on our call. We plan to continue all this great momentum throughout the year, focused on next level value for our shareholders and all stakeholders. We're also looking forward to providing a comprehensive overview recap of the Phase III donidalorsen data we are presenting at EAACI on May 31. So stay tuned for that, and we're looking forward to the webcast as well on that day. We hope you can join us on the webcast. And until then, thank you, everybody, for joining in, and have a great day.

Operator

Operator

Conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.