Ernie Freedman
Analyst · Neil Malkin of RBC Capital
Thank you, John. Today, I will cover the following topics: operating results for the third quarter and October, portfolio activity for the third quarter, financial results for the third quarter, balance sheet and capital markets activity and updated 2017 guidance. The third quarter of 2017 was another good quarter for us operationally. Total portfolio NOI grew 8.3% year-over-year, and we experienced this NOI growth despite a slight decrease in home count. For our same-store portfolio of 42,795 homes, NOI growth accelerated to 8.1%. Same-store revenues grew 4.7%, consistent with the first half of the year, driven by average rental rate growth of 4.2% and other income growth of 17.8%. Same-store occupancy remained high, averaging 95.4% in the third quarter and ending the quarter at 95.8%. Same-store expenses declined 0.3% in the controllable portion of expenses, as noted on Supplemental Schedule 3(b), declined even more at 2.9%. Personnel costs were 15.4% lower, turnover costs were 9.1% lower and leasing and marketing costs were 7.4% lower year-over-year. Blended net effective rental rate growth was 4.3% in the third quarter. Renewal rent growth remained firm at 5%. At the same time, annualized turnover declined 150 basis points year-over-year at 38.1%, a great result, especially considering that third quarter is a seasonally higher turnover period in our business. On new leases, we achieved 3.4% growth. Northern and Southern California, Seattle and Phoenix were our strongest growing regions with same-store blended rent growth between 6.5% and 8%. In October, blended net effective rental rate growth declined seasonally, as expected, to 3.7%. Average occupancy for the month was 95.4%, 10 bps higher than October of 2016. October turnover annualized was 33.3%. Newer asks for November and December went out at over 6% on average and we've realized approximately 5% on those signed thus far. I'll now move on to our portfolio activity. In the third quarter of 2017, the total number of homes in our portfolio increased by 142 to 47,867 homes. We continue to recycle capital into higher quality homes, buying 270 homes for an estimated $77 million and selling 128 homes for $25 million. Our average acquisition basis, including purchase price, closing costs and estimated renovation spend, was $286,000, higher than our average disposition price of $198,000. I'll now walk through our third quarter 2017 financial results. Core FFO increased 20.3% year-over-year to $75.4 million or $0.24 per share in the third quarter. The year-over-year increase in core FFO was primarily due to an increase in NOI. Lower cash interest expense also contributed to the increase. The increase in core FFO as well as a decline in recurring CapEx drove a 28.3% year-over-year increase in AFFO to $62 million or $0.20 per share. Supplemental Schedule 1 provides a reconciliation from GAAP net loss to our reported FFO, core FFO and AFFO, including detail on each adjustment we make for nonrecurring items. This quarter, there are two of these nonrecurring items in particular I would like to call out to your attention. The first is merger and transaction-related costs. This is a new line of appearing on our core FFO reconciliation, and we will be recording any one-time costs related to the proposed merger and integration of Starwood Waypoint Homes on this line going forward with the exception of severance expense, which will continue to be reported separately on the severance expense line. In the third quarter, merger and transaction-related costs totaled $4.9 million. This $4.9 million was recorded on our GAAP financial statements in general and administrative expense. The second is casualty loss, which is a component of impairment and other on our GAAP financial statements. Included in the $14.1 million of third quarter net casualty losses in our core FFO reconciliation was a $16 million accrual for damages related to Hurricane Irma. This accrual does not take into account any potential insurance recoveries we may receive that we expect recoveries to be minimal given that most of our impacted homes did not incur enough damage to exceed deductibles. Estimated damages resulting from Irma were recorded as a liability on our balance sheet and to the extent that actual damages ultimately differ from our estimate where we receive insurance proceeds against the damages, we will record these differences on the impairment and other line of our GAAP income statement. These differences would also be backed out of core FFO and appear on the casualty loss line of our core FFO reconciliation. To be clear, NOI will not be directly impacted by the expenses necessary to repair damage related to Hurricane Irma or the associated insurance recoveries. I'll now turn to an update on our balance sheet and capital markets activity. We remain committed to continuing on a path towards an investment-grade balance sheet. Capital markets remain wide open, and we were able to take advantage of that subsequent to quarter end by pricing the industry's first 7-year securitization loan at the best pricing we achieved in our company's history. The total principal amount of the loan is $865 million, of which we will retain 5% to comply with risk retention requirements. And total cost of funds is LIBOR plus 144 basis points. The transaction is expected to close in November. We intend to use the net proceeds to repay IH 2014-2 and IH 2014-3 to fund certain reserves and for general corporate purposes. This securitization transaction and associated debt repayments are expected to result in $4.8 million of net annual interest expense savings and return over $900 million of assets to the unencumbered pool, making 50% of our assets unencumbered. Pro forma weighted average maturity on our debt at the end of the third quarter was 5.1 years with no maturities due before March 2020. Loan-to-value is approximately 40%, and 82% of our debt is fixed or swapped to fixed rate. We also have a $1 billion revolver, which was undrawn at quarter end, and $134 million of unrestricted cash. The last thing I will cover is guidance for the full year 2017. Because our merger with Starwood Waypoint Homes has not yet closed, all guidance provided on today's call is for Invitation Homes as a stand-alone company and does not contemplate any impact from the merger. As John discussed, we continue to have strong fundamental tailwinds at our back and same-store NOI growth in the first three quarters of 2017 was in line with our expectation. As such, we are tightening our full year 2017 guidance range for same-store NOI growth to 6.8% to 7.2%, driven by 4.7% to 4.9% same-store revenue growth and 1.4% to 1.6% same-store expense growth. The majority of the 20 basis point decrease to the midpoint of our same-store revenue growth guidance is attributable to Hurricane Irma's interruption of leasing activity in Florida. In addition, the decline in our same-store revenue expectation is offset by lower expected same-store expenses as a result of better cost controls on controllable expenses as well as lower insurance premiums. Full year 2017 core FFO is expected to be $0.98 to $1.02 per share and AFFO is expected to be $0.82 to $0.86 per share. One more quick housekeeping announcement before I turn the call back over to John and then to Q&A. We will need to keep this call focused on Invitation Homes' earning results and outlook as a stand-alone company. We will not be able to provide further related to the proposed merger with Starwood Waypoint Homes and we'd refer you to Invitation Homes' merger proxy filed with the SEC for information related to that matter. Now I'll turn the call over to John. John?