Gregory Haskell
Analyst · ROTH Capital Partners
Thanks, Roland. I want to start with Accelsius, and I want to start with something I think people in this market is still underappreciated. The world has decided that launch artificial intelligence. Not eventually, now. Every major technology company, every sovereign wealth fund, every hyperscaler on the planet is in a race to build compute infrastructure at a scale that has no historical precedent. And here is the part that most people have not yet fully internalized. You cannot run that infrastructure without solving the thermal problem, you cannot. The chips that power AI generate heat and densities that make traditional air cooling physically insufficient. This is not an engineering preference. It is completely thermodynamics. That is the market Accelsius is scaling into. And Accelsius is not scaling into it theoretically and is scaling into it with over $50 million in contracted backlog secured in the first quarter of 2026 alone, all tied to greenfield next-generation data center development, acted by an initial order for the first deployment by DarkNX, a vertically integrated and funded AI data center developer with a healthy tenant pipeline and the ability to build the liquid cooling, ready capacity and an accelerated time line. Now I want to be honest with you about something because I think honesty on earnings calls is more valuable than cheerleading. Data center construction is experiencing real global supply chain on strengths. Our distribution equipment, switchgear, memory and milling mechanical systems. These constraints can affect the timing of delivery and revenue recognition even when customer demand and purchase orders are firmly in hand. So while we expect to recognize the majority of the contracted backlog as revenue this year, the exact cadence is difficult to forecast with precision. Our expectation today is that revenue will be heavily back-end weighted in 2026. But I want to be very clear about what that means and what it does not mean. It does not mean demand is uncertain, it does not mean our technological improvement. It means the physical world has supply chains and supply chain set constraints. The important signal is not the quarter-to-quarter timing. It is the bookings. It is the customer commitments. It is the scale of demand we are now seeing. Those are the leading indicators of long-term value creation and those indicators are unambiguous. Based on our current trajectory, Accelsius is on a path to exit 2026, cash flow breakeven defined by cash from operations. This implies a December 2026 annual revenue run rate of approximately $100 million. And importantly, we believe Accelsius cash on hand is sufficient for the company to reach this cash flow positive threshold. Think about what that means, a company that just a short time ago was still in the early field deployment is now approaching self-funded commercial scale. Let me contextualize this further. -- because the market is telling you something important that you should be paying attention to. The recent acquisitions of CoolIT and Boyd had roughly 8 to 9x revenue and nearly 30x forward EBITDA and make it unmistakable that the industry is moving decisively toward direct-to chip liquid cooling. And here is the critical distinction. Both CoolIT and Boyd remains single phase today. Accelsius is already commercially deployed in the 2-phase architecture that the market is converting toward. Two-phased cooling is not an incremental improvement on a single phase. It is a fundamental architectural advantage. Because of the phase change that occurs, it removes far more heat with far less energy, enabling rack densities and thermal performance that single-phase water systems simply cannot reach. Industry analysis consistently show that directorship cooling is one of the fastest-growing segments of the data center thermal market, with forecasts ranging from low double digits to mid-30% compound annual growth rates over the next decade. The earliest adopters are exactly where we are seeing our strongest traction today. Greenfield, high-performance computing and AI focused data centers, where air cooling cannot keep up with the heat box of modern GPUs and accelerators. But here is what I want investors to understand about the size of the opportunity. The first one is already here, new builds, HPC, AI infrastructure. But the second wave, and this is potentially even larger is legacy data centers. Even in facilities where air cooling is technically adequate today, operators are recognizing the 2-phased school income locks higher rate lease, greater compute per square foot and significant energy savings that allows them to densify and sort of expand to deploy more complete power that new construction to reduce the energy overhead of air-based cooling. We believe that the necessity of 2-phased cooling for HPC and AI workloads, combined with the compelling economics for non-HBC environment, will cause direct to chip 2-phased cooling to become the dominant architecture for both new and retrofit data centers over the next 3 to 5 years. Accelsius is now widely recognized as a leader in direct-to-chip, 2-phased cooling, a position reinforced by our strategic investors, Johnson Controls and Legrand. Their involvement is not passive. It is a strong validation of both our technology and our commercial readiness like 2 of the most respected names in global building systems and data center infrastructure. In December 2025, Accelsius closed the second tranche of a $65 million Series B investment, led by Johnson Controls and Legrand, valuing the company at approximately $665 million post money. I want to emphasize this, that valuation was set by 2 global industrial companies deploying their own capital. not paint venture, not by internal Accelsius financial models, but by external institutional investors with deep domain expertise writing real checks. That is the kind of validation that is very difficult to dismiss. Let me turn to AeroFlexx, which operates in a completely different market but demonstrates the invention model just as clearly. There is a problem in packaging that at everyone acknowledges but almost no one has solved. The world produces an enormous amount of single-use rigid plastic packaging. Everyone agrees that is wasteful. Everyone agrees the supply chain or inefficient. And yet, the alternatives have historically forced a trade-off. You could have sustainability or it could have performance in consumer appeal, but you cannot have both. AeroFlexx changes that equation. Founded in 2018 around liquid packaging technology sourced from Procter & Gamble, AeroFlexx is an integrated packaging and filling platform that improves the consumer experience, simplify supply chains reduces virgin plastic usage and enhances e-commerce economics. Its differentiation comes from delivering all of this value simultaneously. The current side recyclable package. It uses up to 85% less virgin plastic than rigid bottles, a flat back format that enables up to 10x greater shipping efficiency, lower total cost of ownership by consolidating the supply chain and consumer testing that consistently shows a clear preference versus traditional packaging. This is not a trade-off. This is a better product. As of the fourth quarter, AeroFlexx has delivered 6 consecutive quarters of revenue across pet care, baby care, personal care, household products and industrial applications. And what is notable today is that AeroFlexx is transitioning from early market validation to large-scale adoption and volume production units. During the first quarter of 2026, AeroFlexx announced a global partnership with Aveda, part of the Estee Lauder Companies. Aveda is the first global prestige brand to adopt AeroFlexx refill packaging format with select products expected to date with early 2027. Let me tell you why that matters beyond the headline. Prestige beauty is one of the most demanding markets in the world. the brand standards, the performance requirements, the aesthetic expectations is are extraordinarily high. When Aveda backed by Estee Lauder chooses our platform, that is the statement about the maturity and credibility of our technology. Aveda is 1 of 4 anchor customer relationships that now underpin AeroFlexx's commercial momentum across distinct end markets. The other anchors include a multinational consumer packaged goods company with a signed multi-brand multimillion unit agreement, a major producer of industrial fluids and packaging services where commercialization is advancing through both equipment and back sales with the first purchase order already received in production beginning next month. a large beverage and food service partnership that was made at AeroFlexx entry into fluting beverage, the largest portion of its addressable market. Taken together, these 4 anchor customers valid the platform across premium beauty, household and personal care, industrial applications in food and beverage, and each has the potential to support line extensions geographic expansion and follow-on programs as AeroFlexx becomes more deeply integrated into long-term packaging strategies. AeroFlexx near-term commercial pipeline stands at just on the $30 million including an approximately 1/3 in final negotiations. We have not provided any guidance on the timing of revenue conversion, but the realization of these opportunities is incorporated into our assumptions or AeroFlexx to reach cash flow positivity in 2028. The company's opportunity set is broader and more diversified than at any point in its history. AeroFlexx is also in the process of launching a direct capital raise at the operating company level, targeting strategic investors that also serve as commercial partners. As our operating companies mature, they are increasingly able to raise capital independently, reducing the need for parent level funding. That is the model working exactly designed. Let me turn to Refinity, and I'll tell you candidly, this may be the most compelling industrial opportunity we have ever launched. Here is the problem. The world produces hundreds of millions of tons of plastic weighted every year. A meaningful portion of that waste has no viable recycling pathway to today. It goes to landfills, they go to incinerators, it goes into the environment. At the same time, petrochemical companies are spending enormous sums buying fossil feedstocks, ethane and naphtha to produce ethylene and propylene, 200 carbons that represent a $350 billion global market and are essential to producing polyethylene, polypropylene and a wide range of specialty materials. Refinity connects those 2 problems. It takes the portion of plastic waste stream that today have no viable recycling pathway and convert it into high-value chemical building blocks, ethylene and propylene the petrochemical companies are already buying. The substitutional loan creates a compelling economic incentives and ability to hedge against fossil price swings while meeting circularity commitments. Across the value chain, circular materials command a 30% to 50% price premium with the highest premiums closest to the consumer. This is not a sustainability story that require you to or economics. This is a sustainability story where the economics of the reason it works. Refinity's primary commercialization strategy is built around integration, co-locating plants directly at petrochemical sites such as the Dow steam cracker. This eliminates testation cost feeds directly into existing infrastructure, reduces CapEx for both Refinity and the customers -- it accelerates adoption by fitting seamlessly into the way these companies already run their assets. Beyond its core ethylene and propylene focus, Refinity sees significant opportunities in producing customized circular hydrocarbon products, including specialty high-value lubricants and sustainable aviation fuel or SAF. One of our independent directors is a C-suite executive in the aviation industry, and we have come to appreciate that SAF has become one of the most critical pathways radiation to meet its Net Zero commitments with demand going far faster than supply and U.S. production expected to scale dramatically over the next decade. Refinity's recently licensed technology from a U.S. national lab for catalytic conversion of its mixed ethylene and propylene product to SAF and SAF to crystal liquids and intends to demonstrate this conversion process late this year. The SAF market alone is growing at 38% to 50% annually and is anticipated to reach $40 billion by 2034. The ability to disrupt a $350 billion commodity market while also accessing high-growth specialty sectors like lubricants and SAF underscores just how significant the total addressable market is for Refinity. Now here is the process to get your attention. Refinity was formed in December 2024. Less than 1 year later, the team produced its first metric ton of circular product from real-world mixed plastic waste yields typically above 60% to 70% with minimal chart. That compares to about 25% conversion for competing technologies. For our technology of this complexity at speed is exceptional. Since then, Refinity has filed multiple patents on a DuoZone reactor design, expanded its IP portfolio with licenses from the U.S. University and a national lab and advanced engineering toward a 10-kiloton per year demonstration plant targeted for completion in 2028. A commercial scale plant of around 150 kilotons per year is planned for early next decade aligned with the chemical industry's expected return to growth. Refinity is hitting KPIs ahead of schedule. It is solving a real cost problem for petrochemical customers and is positioning itself to scale just as the industry reentrant and growth phase. This is the Innventure model: rapid formation, accelerated validation and a disciplined progression towards commercialization in a massive market with structural economic drivers. Before Dave gets into the financials, I want to leave investors with 3 clear takeaways. First, invention awards. PureCycle approved it and Accelsius is validating it again at a faster pace. This is not theoretical, it has been demonstrated to us. Second, we are not dependent on a single operating company. We now have 3 businesses executing simultaneously, each with independent third-party validation that is diversification with conviction, not diversification as a hedge. And third, I think this is the one that the market has been slow to absorb. The platform is transitioning structurally from capital consuming to increasingly self-funded. Operating companies are raising their own capital. They're converting commercial traction in the revenue, the architecture of this business is changing and it's changing exactly the way we expected it would. I want to say something about valuation because I think it needs to be said plainly. We believe our current share price does not fully reflect the value of meta shares. The $665 million third-party valuation of Accelsius was set by institutional investors deploying their own capital, adding 2 strategic investors to the cap table and securing more than $50 million in contracted backlog. We believe the value of Accelsius alone has materially increased, and that does not include the value of AeroFlexx or energy. We're not going to complain about the market, but we are going to stay static. In fact, suggests there is a significant gap in we were our shares create and what this platform is worth. Our focus remains on execution. We believe that if we continue to execute, value will ultimately be recognized and we intend to continue executing. When we look across our family of operating companies today, our confidence in Innventure's path to consolidated cash flow positivity in 2028 is grounded in execution, not aspiration. Accelsius is scaling into production deployments in a market where liquid cooling is becoming mandatory with third-party institutional validation and a clear line of sight towards self-funded growth. AeroFlexx has moved beyond pilot programs into repeat revenue, anchor customers and global manufacturing scale while transitioning to direct capital formation at the operating company level, and Refinity is rapidly validated its core technology, established a clear commercialization road map and has become the process of funding its next days independently. Taken together, these developments reflect a platform that is structurally maturing with the operating company is increasingly funding their own growth, corporate capital requirements declining and commercial activity translating into revenue. This is exactly how the Innventure model is designed to work, and it underpins our confidence in the enterprise's long-term financial trajectory. With that, I'll turn the call over to Dave to walk through the financials.