Brad D. Smith
Analyst · JPMorgan
All right. Thanks, Matt, and thanks to all of you for joining us today. Let me begin by sharing my reflections in our third quarter results. We delivered 11% revenue growth in Small Business. And year-to-date, we delivered 11% revenue growth in Consumer Tax. That is a solid performance overall. But to be candid, we did not deliver the best tax season that we could. We're capable of more, and we're going to need to execute better next year to deliver the performance that we and you have come to expect from a category leader. Since it's top of mind, let me review our performance in our Consumer Tax business first. As you know, there are 4 main drivers of growth in the Tax business. The first driver is the number of tax returns filed with the IRS. Latest estimates are that the total number of returns filed grew roughly 2% year-over-year, which was a little better than our expectations. Now the second key driver is digital category growth. As the category leader, we had planned to grow the digital category faster than its historical rate of 6%. The digital category ended up growing about 5% year-over-year. While that is significantly faster than any other method, we did not succeed in accelerating the pace as we had planned. Our research tells us there are 40 million filers who currently have their taxes prepared with assistance, but they will be willing to file their own taxes digitally. To grow the category this year, we had built our game plan based on attracting more of these filers by providing free tax assistance. We think our free tax advice offering helped improve the overall Net Promoter Score for TurboTax, and it helped to increase our acquisition of first-time tax filers, which grew 34% this year. It also helped us convert more customers from tax stores than we did last year, although we fell short of the goal that we had set for ourselves. Those that use free tax advice gave it high marks, but many TurboTax customers weren't aware of the offering. So not bad for year 1, but we can do much better. Shifting to the third driver in Tax is our fight for share within the digital category. This is another area where we did not achieve our own expectation. In the online channel, we had planned to take another point of share. The reality is our online share was relatively flat year-over-year at about 60%. While that is 3x greater than our nearest competitor, it's not the trajectory nor the goal that we had set for the season. In the retail channel, where we have approximately 85% share, we held share there as well. And in the Free File Alliance where we donate our software for free to qualified filers and, as you know, we're prohibited from cross-selling or up-selling, we actually lost share. While this may not have a commercial impact, we're not pleased with that outcome and it's something we plan to address. So net-net, we need to step up our game as we compete for share next tax season. Finally, the fourth driver is revenue per customer. This was a bright spot this year. We grew paid units 7% for the season while growing revenue 11%, implying about 4 points of growth coming from improvement in revenue per customer. The majority of the improvement came from increased conversion from free to paid and better overall mix and was also helped with growth in our debit card business. But as we told you in the past, our priority is to compete for category growth and share. And if we had our drivers, we would prefer that unit growth outpaces revenue growth, giving us the opportunity to monetize those customers over their lifetime. So with this assessment of our consumer tax season, let's not lose sight of the bigger picture in Tax. We have 25 million active TurboTax customers. And as I mentioned, our research tells us that 40 million more filers are willing to use software to prepare their taxes. We continue to be at the center of the shift to digital tax prep, which we estimate grew at 5% this year even when we didn't do our job and play our best game. We will apply what we learned this year as we look forward to next tax season, and we'll share more about our plans with you at Investor Day in September. But now let me shift over to our largest business, our Small Business Group, where we posted 11% revenue growth this quarter and we are continuing to build momentum. Our Connected Services strategy is paying real benefits as more small businesses turn to the cloud. As a reminder, Connected Services revenue was more predictable and recurring with a higher lifetime value per customer. This quarter, QuickBooks Online subscribers grew 31%. And while we are still early on our global expansion, we have seen signs of success in markets outside the U.S. as well. Our Small Business payroll service is also benefiting from a shift to the cloud with the Intuit Online Payroll subscriber base growing 19%. And Small Business Payments customers grew 13%, with GoPayment driving both attach and "New to the Franchise" customer acquisition. While I'm on the subject of payments, I realized there's a lot of buzz in the marketplace about established and new players entering the mobile payment space. Let me simply say it is not a zero-sum game. Less than half of small businesses accept credit cards today. So generating more enthusiasm for mobile payment creates greater category awareness and faster growth for all of it. We have a $400 million Payments business that processes more than $20 billion annually, helping small businesses get paid and not just on mobile devices. With our software, a small business' transaction data goes directly into QuickBooks with no additional work. This interoperability, combined with our existing base of 4 million customers, gives us a structural advantage. Our mobile payment solution, GoPayment, is expanding that market opportunity. As at the end of April, the active GoPayment customer base was 4x greater than it was a year ago. In fact, GoPayment has driven more than half of our new customer acquisition year-to-date. Overall, we produced 14% revenue growth in our total Payments business this quarter, and we expect the Payments group to be a key driver of Small Business revenue growth in the coming years. Finally, we've been actively managing our company portfolio, strengthening and adding assets in our Small Business segment while divesting nonstrategic assets and other areas. On the acquisition front, there are 2 strategic transactions worth noting. Both of them are cloud-based solutions that help our customers get more value from their data. The first is an exciting move into a critical adjacent segment that we've been foreshadowing to you for some time, the front office, helping small businesses get and keep customers. The acquisition of Demandforce will accelerate Intuit's capability to solve this important challenge for small businesses, and we'll do it with a fast-growing, industry-leading solution that carries a very high Net Promoter Score. We also made a small talent and technology acquisition in our point-of-sale and Payments business with the purchase of AisleBuyer. This put a little more fuel on fire of that fast-growing Payments business I was describing a few minutes ago. Finally, on the divestiture side, we completed the sale of our corporate banking business to Bottomline technologies in the third quarter. This allowed our Intuit Financial Services team to remain laser focused on innovating for our core customers. So that's my perspective on the quarter. While our overall results were solid, we know we're capable of more. I remain confident in our strategy and our opportunities for the long-term growth. And with that, I'm going to turn it over to Neil to walk you through the financial details.