Jeffrey Pribor
Analyst · Stifel
Thanks, Lois, and good morning, everyone. Let's move directly to reviewing the first quarter results in more detail. Before we go to Slide 8, let me just summarize our consolidated results. As Lois said, this is our second consecutive positive net income quarter, with net income of $10.9 million or $0.37 per diluted share compared with a net loss of $29.3 million or $1.01 per diluted share in the first quarter of last year. Adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter was $47.3 million, compared with $6.5 million in the first quarter of last year. Our continued strong results through the first quarter would be driven by International Seaways significant operating leverage and its success growing and modernizing our fleet. With respect to net income were an increase in TCE revenues of $45.2 million, lower vessel expenses of $6.6 million, decreasing loss of the disposal of vessels and other property, and compared with the first quarter 2018. These factors were partially offset by increases in charter hire expenses, principally as a result of the company executing sale-leaseback transactions for 2 Aframaxes in March 2018, and also an increase in company's lightering business, and I'll go over that in a little while. Now if you could turn to Slide 8. I'll first discuss the results of our business segments, beginning with the Crude Tankers segment. TCE revenues for the Crude Tankers segment were $72.6 million for the quarter compared to $29.2 million in the first quarter of last year. This increase reflects our success improving the age profile and increasing the capacity of the fleet, and also primarily resulted from the impact of higher average blended rates in the VLCC, Suezmax, Aframax and Panamax sectors, where rates climbed to approximately 32,000, 28,900, 20,900 and 17,600 per day, respectively. The increase is also attributable to increased revenue days in the VLCC sector and hire activity in company's crude tanker lightering business in the first quarter of this year compared to last year. Now if we turn into the product tanker -- product carrier segment. TCE revenues were $21.4 million for the quarter, compared to $19.6 million in the first quarter of last year. This increase resulted from the impact of higher average daily blended rates earned by our LR2, LR1 and MR fleets, with spot rates raising -- rising to approximately $22,124 and $13,500 per day, respectively. Overall, as reflected in the chart top left of the page, consolidated TCE revenues for the first quarter of 2019 were $94 million compared to $48.8 million in the first quarter of last year, and this increase was principally driven by higher average daily rates across the crude and product carrier fleets and as well as increased revenue days in the VLCC sector. Looking at the chart on the top right of the page, adjusted EBITDA was $47.3 million for the quarter compared to $6.5 million in the same period of last year. And again, this increase is driven primarily by higher daily rates. On the bottom half the page, we look at results sequentially quarter-to-quarter. So consolidated TCE revenues and EBITDA for the first quarter were up slightly from the fourth quarter, increasing $1.0 million and $1.1 million, respectively. Now if we turn to Slide 9, we give a fourth quarter review and first -- Q1 update and Q2 look. Spot rates are broken out for our modern VLCCs and the VLCCs in our fleet over 15 years old. As I've mentioned on previous calls regarding spot rates for VLCCs at low points in the cycle, modern VLCCs earn higher rates. As the market recovers, the gap will narrow specifically and rates for modern VLCCs will more closely reflect those of the overall group. We've seen evidence of this in recent quarters. I'll now discuss our bookings for Q2 thus far, which are lower than Q1, but still significantly higher than Q2 of 2018. We've booked 58% of available Q2 spot days for our modern VLCCs at an average of approximately $24,700 a day, 41% of available VLCC days for vessels that are over 15 years old at an average of approximately $22,100 a day, 51% of our available Suezmax spot days have been booked at approximately $21,300 a day, 77% of Aframax and LR2 spot days at approximately $14,600 per day, and 36% of available Panamax LR1 spot days at an average of approximately $16,800 per day. On the MR side, 37% of our days have been booked at approximately $15,400 per day. Now if we could turn to Slide 10, talking about breakeven. The cash cost TCE breakeven for the 9 months ended March 31, 2019, were $23,300 per day for VLCCs, $22,800 per day for Suezmaxes, and $17,400 per day for Afras, $14,500 for Panamaxes, and $14,400 for MRs. International Seaways overall breakeven rate was $21,600 for the 9 months ended March 31, 2019. To reiterate as we have in the past, these rates are all in daily rates of our owned vessels -- that our owned vessels need to cover, to cover operating costs -- need to earn to cover operating costs, drydock, G&A, net service, which means all scheduled principle amortization as well as interest. And of note, taking into consideration distributions from our JV, the overall breakeven rate of the company drops down to $19,200, which highlights our strong position for optimizing cash flow in diverse market conditions. I'd also like at this time to take an opportunity to just reaffirm cost guidance for the year for modeling purposes. We expect regular daily OpEx, which includes all running costs, insurance, management fees and other similar and related expenses for various classes to be as follows: For Vs, $8,300 a day; for Suezmax, $7,900 per day; for Aframax, $8,400 per day; Panamax, $8,100 per day; and MRs, $7,800 per day. For details on projected drydock and CapEx expense and off hire days broken down by quarter, we've given that to you this time in detail in the appendix on Slide 18, so please refer to that. Now continuing with cost guidance for your modeling, I would also note that for second quarter interest expense will be expected at about $17.6 million, which includes the noncash portion for deferred financing fees of about $1.8 million of the total $17.6 million. Additionally, our debt calls for $44.8 million in principal repayments scheduled for the remainder of 2019. For G&A in the second quarter, we expect it to be at $6.3 million all-in, which includes the noncash portion of about $900,000. And finally, we would expect about $8.6 million in equity income and $19.2 million for depreciation and amortization in the second quarter. Now let me provide a little bit of an update on lightering. As we have often pointed out in these calls, it's a relatively small, but very important part of our business, especially given the growth of our reverse lightering for exports in the U.S. Gulf. So on Page 22 of the deck, we've given you additional information that I'd like to expand upon now. You can see that lightering generated $2.5 million of EBITDA in Q1, and that figure reflects a $1.3 million charge related to a credit loss provision for 1 2018 customer that Lois mentioned earlier on. And to assist in modeling, let me point out a few things. First, as you can see, revenue, charter hire EBITDA, it can vary significantly quarter by quarter; and secondly, lightering is not a separate segment in our financials, and it rolls up into -- for reporting purposes, it rolls up into consolidated International Seaways figures. So to make sure models lined up with our reported figures, revenue chartered hire and OpEx estimates for lightering need to be included. In terms of guidance, looking forward, second quarter lightering activity is a little bit lower than the first quarter primarily due to U.S. refinery maintenance. So we would not suggest annualizing the first quarter 2019 results, but we would still expect that we're up -- well on track for 2019 to be ahead of 2018, which, as you'll recall, was a $6.5 million annual EBITDA. Now bear with me for just a minute while I give you this opportunity to -- for those of you that do detailed modeling of the company, to give you more guidance on the way to model lightering. So on the expense side, at the beginning of the second quarter, lightering had 2 Aframax vessels on hire along with 5 workboats, and therefore, quarterly charter hire, the baseline will be $6.1 million per quarter, of which $1.19 million relates to an intercompany charter. That intercompany charter is our 2002-built Aframax, the Seaways Portland that was chartered to lightering for 9 months at $21,000 a day commencing in March. This intercompany charter is eliminated in consolidation for GAAP. But I would suggest that the easiest way to model it is, from a consolidated perspective, is to consider that the Aframax as being time chartered out at $21,000 a day. So that's the best way to do that. We also expect that lightering will have other Aframaxes chartered in during the quarter to meet -- service new business, and therefore, charter expense will be above this baseline, but of course, that'll be accompanied by additional revenue. As an example, as you see on that page, in the first quarter 2019, of the $11 million of charter hire expense, $6.6 million was from spot chartering to meet such additional revenue requirements. So continuing with detailed modeling and I promise, I'm almost done with this here, let me just give a couple more points. The $0.4 million G&A for lightering in the first quarter of 2019 is a consistent quarterly run rate. But please note this is included in the overall guidance for G&A which I previously gave you. Also the $1.8 million to $2.2 million of OpEx is a good reasonable quarterly estimate for lightering and should be added to your estimates of OpEx from the daily per vessel rates I gave you a minute ago. So in summary, summing it all up, the best way, if you're doing a detailed model of lightering, which I know many of you are, is to look at the sum of G&A, OpEx, charter hire expense plus your estimate of EBITDA for the period, adds up to lightering revenue. So thanks for bearing with me on that, but I wanted to get all that information out there to be helpful with those of you building models. So now we can move on to Slide 11. It's our cash bridge. And moving from left to right, we began the quarter with total cash of $118 million. During the quarter, we generated $47 million of adjusted EBITDA, which includes $9 million in equity income from JVs, which is noncash, and so we therefore deduct it to reach a cash figure, but then add back the cash distributions for the JVs, which were $8 million. In addition in the quarter, we spent $8 million on dry docking and maintenance CapEx. Cash interest and principal paydown on debt was $18 million. Finally, changes in working capital and other noncash items were a modest negative $1.1 million in impact. And so the net result was that we ended the quarter with approximately $137 million of cash and $50 million of undrawn revolver, yielding total liquidity of $187 million. I would just note the quarterly installment of $6.1 million on the Term Loan B, otherwise due at the quarter end, was paid on the first business day of April. Now if you could turn to Slide 12. Let me just talk for a minute about the balance sheet. As of March 31, 2019, we had $1.9 billion of asset compared to $748 million of long-term debt. And in addition, as I mentioned, we have a $50 million revolving credit facility that is undrawn. As you can see on the right-hand column on the slide, our total debt to capital stood at 44%, while our net loan to value is at 50%. On the right-hand side, we've also noted book values for our 2 joint ventures. At the end of the first quarter, the FSO and LNG JVs had net book values of $134 million and $115 million, respectively, representing a combined $8.52 per share. On the bottom of the slide, we've outlined our debt facilities, all of which, importantly, mature in 2022 or later. Now turning to Slide 13. On the far left, we show 2018 spot rates earned by Seaways vessels, which we view as a trough for the tanker market. But the importance of this slide is to demonstrate that the impact of a rising rate environment relative to 2018 lows. As we did last quarter, we've given you 3 specific scenarios to the right. So the first is what we call, midcycle, by which we mean the 15-year average rate; the second scenario is a recent peak represented by 2015 average rates; and last are the historical peak rates for 2008. You can see therefore that based on the midcycle average rates, our fleet or our company would generate annualized adjusted EBITDA of $287 million or $4.70 a share. If the rates return to 2015 levels, that would represent $443 million of adjusted EBITDA or over $10 a share of earnings. And of course, should we be fortunate enough to experience the super cycle level of rates again, we'd generate nearly $700 million of EBITDA. Regardless of how the rate environment develops, our success implementing our fleet growth and modernization strategy has significantly enhanced our upside potential for capitalizing on the market recovery in both crude and product sectors that Lois has talked about. As a reminder, every $1,000 increase in spot rates in vessel -- every vessel class would result in an increase of $15 million in cash flow and $0.52 earnings per share. Now that concludes my comments. I'd like, therefore, to turn the call back to Lois for her closing remarks