Mike Newman
Analyst · Catamount
Thanks Sue, and thanks everyone for joining us on this call. Today we announce results that were consistent with our Q3 expectations that we updated just last week. Overall we were pleased with our performance in the third quarter given the significant distractions associated with our transformational events of the past six months. Two acquisitions that doubled and then redoubled our IoT revenues along with improving our cost structure with significant expense rationalization activities that reduced our annualized operating expenses by $10 million. To put our corporate transformation toward the Internet of Things and perspective, in the first quarter of this year 2015, our IoT revenues accounted for just 17% of our total sales. Just six months later, in the third quarter, our IoT revenues comprised 32% of our total sales. And now, with DigiCore added to the company’s portfolio, in the fourth quarter we expect our IoT revenues to be approximately half of total revenue with two thirds of DigiCore’s revenue being recurring revenue under multiyear contracts. For the first time Novatel can truly call itself an Internet of Things Company, emerging from this transitional phase with a clear vision and strategy and how to organically increase IoT market share and generate shareholder value. Now that we’ve established a comprehensive set of IoT offerings with Novatel, FW and DigiCore, going forward our focus will squarely be on increasing our higher margin, recurring SaaS and services revenues. These revenues are the linchpin to Novatel’s future more so than hardware revenues because SaaS and services generate significantly higher margins and very importantly are much stickier because of their recurring nature. As Sue mentioned, starting in Q4, we will be breaking out our hardware revenues from our SaaS and services revenues, so you can track our performance against this very important business metric. To level set our progress over the past year against our future SaaS and services expectations, let me start by saying that we have dramatically increased our base of these revenues during our transformational process. In the first quarter of this year 2015, more than 99% of our revenues were from hardware sales, with less than 1% from SaaS offering and services. Looking ahead, we now anticipate revenues from SaaS offerings and services to represent approximately 15% of our fourth quarter revenues. These high margin recurring revenues are generated by significantly increased install base of subscribers. We began the year with a nominal subscriber base for SaaS and other services as Novatel was essentially a hardware provider. With the additions of DigiCore and FW, we embark on the fourth quarter with 510,000 total subscribers for SaaS offerings and services including approximately 155,000 fleet subscribers for DigiCore’s Ctrack SaaS solutions. Now, I’ll move on to our third quarter results, with more about the fourth quarter and DigiCore’s operation to follow. Total revenue in the third quarter of 2015 grew 23.1% from the third quarter of 2014 to $54.6 million, up from $44.3 million in the third quarter last year. Year-over-year revenue growth was driven primarily by our IoT or M2M sales, with the addition of FW product sales along with our home-grown IoT offerings. Sales of IoT products generated $17.4 million of revenue in the third quarter of 2015 increasing 82.7% from Q3 of 2014. As compared to Q2 of 2015, on a sequential basis, IoT revenues declined slightly in Q3 due to some delayed shipments by FW to a key government customer, who we now expect to deliver in the fourth quarter. Revenue from our Mobile Computing Products grew 6.8% to $37.1 million in Q3 of 2015 compared to Q3 a year ago. And our Mobile Computing revenues also increased sequentially from Q2 of this year. This growth was led by continued strong sales of our MiFi 6620 and unlike last quarter in Q2, revenues of our legacy products through distribution picked up again. While sales and distribution did not bounce back to the higher levels we previously experienced in Q4 and Q1, we were pleased to increase our traction for our Mobile Computing products with several key distributors. Importantly, direct sales to the carrier channel, was consistent as usual with continued focus on our leading carrier customer Verizon. Non-GAAP gross margin increased once again in the third quarter of 2015 on a year-over-year basis, with overall non-GAAP gross margin of 27.5% compared to 23.9% in Q3 a year ago. This increased gross margin was due to a better mix of higher margin products across all product sets. Non-GAAP gross margin for IoT products increased to 30.2% in Q3 of 2015 compared to 26.6% in Q3 a year ago, and remains steady on a sequential basis compared to Q2 of this year. Non-GAAP gross margin for Mobile Computing Products increased to 26.2% in Q3 of 2015 compared to 23.1% in Q3 a year ago. On a sequential basis, non-GAAP gross margin from Mobile Computing products decreased from Q2 of 2015 due to increased sales of legacy Mobile Computing products through distribution. An increased proportion of Mobile Computing revenues as compared to our total revenues also contributed to a sequential decline in our overall non gross margin in Q3 as compared to Q2. As I’ll discuss later, with the addition of DigiCore’s fleet in vehicle Telematic SaaS offerings, our already higher IoT gross margins should rise dramatically in Q4 and beyond driving significantly improved overall gross margins. Operating expenses were a primary focus on our earnings call last quarter. We discussed the increase in our operating expenses that were driven by our acquisitions of FW and DigiCore as well as a need to reduce our consolidated cost structure that’s appropriate with our current operating model. In the third quarter, we took decisive actions to reduce costs and personnel related to several of our legacy operations. And I’m pleased to report that we achieved our objective of reducing our annualized operating expense structure by $10 million. As a result, our non-GAAP operating expenses in the third quarter decreased by 15.8% to $16.3 million compared to $19.3 million just one quarter ago in Q2, that’s a $3 million expense reduction, exceeding our internal cost saving targets for the quarter and resulting in non-GAAP operating expenses that were below our Q3 guidance range. I don’t expect this to be our normalized run-rate for Novatel and FW operating expenses. We did not have any significant product launches in Q3, and we anticipate typical cost associated with product launches again in Q4. We continue to expect non-GAAP operating expenses for Novatel and FW of about $17 million per quarter, as was targeted in our expense reduction activities. Also, I want to mention that we’re closing our Richardson, Texas facility at the end of January 2016 as a result of redundancy with other DigiCore operations. Our adjusted EBITDA in Q3 improved by $2 million sequentially compared to Q2, at minus $300,000 in Q3, compared to negative $2.3 million one quarter ago. This was driven by our successful cost rationalization activities in Q3. As compared to Q3 a year ago, our adjusted EBITDA improved by $300,000 due to our increased revenues and gross margins in Q3 of 2015 that offset the addition of FW’s cost structure to our consolidated group. In the third quarter of 2015, our non-GAAP net loss improved sequentially from Q2 by $2.4 million to approximately $1.9 million or $0.04 net loss per share, compared to a $4.3 million net loss or $0.08 net loss per share last quarter in Q2. This sequential improvement was driven by our cost rationalization activities. On a year-over-year basis, our non-GAAP net loss improved by $500,000 from a net loss of $2.4 million or $0.06 net loss per share in Q3 of 2014 due to increased revenues and improved gross margins. I think most of you know how we calculate our non-GAAP financial results, and a reconciliation of our GAAP to non-GAAP financials is contained in our earnings release. In the third quarter of 2015, we excluded share based compensation expense of $1.3 million, restructuring charges of $1 million related to our cost containment activities and $4.1 million related to M&A activities. We also excluded a $10.5 million charge for a non-cash change in the acquisition related Escrow account for the purchase of DigiCore and a $2.1 million non-cash charge for amortization of the debt discount and debt issuance costs associated with the company’s convertible notes. Moving to the balance sheet. We ended the third quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $10.2 million. We continue to have no outstanding amounts on our $25 million revolving credit facility with Wells Fargo and the credit facility remains available for future draw-downs. Accounts receivables, accounts payables and inventories all remained relatively consistent at the end of Q3 compared to the end of Q2. Finally, on our share count, our weighted average shares outstanding was 55.2 million shares in Q3, I think have stabilized as compared to the transformational corporate activities over the past 12 months. And we anticipate approximately 56 million weighted average shares outstanding in Q4. Now, I’d like to briefly discuss our fourth quarter guidance, which includes the very significant impact of the DigiCore acquisition that closed on October 5. All of our guidance is based on current currency exchange rates, which becomes more impactful with the addition of DigiCore and its 100% international revenue base. Also, bear in mind that we are presently in the process of converting DigiCore’s financial results from International Financial Reporting Standards or IFRS to U.S. GAAP. Our fourth quarter guidance is based on our preliminary assessment of DigiCore’s operations as adjusted to conform to GAAP. We are providing a revenue guidance range of $66 million to $72 million for the fourth quarter. We anticipate continued strength in IoT revenues with our portfolio of FW and DigiCore products driving enhanced sales for our IoT business. Even without DigiCore’s contribution, our IoT revenues in the fourth quarter should increase sequentially over the third quarter as the sizeable FW government order that I mentioned earlier is expected to ship. That being said, DigiCore products are expected to contribute $14 million to $17 million of revenue to our fourth quarter. As I mentioned earlier, all DigiCore revenues are being classified as IoT revenues and two thirds of those revenues are recurring in nature. This leads to our expectation that our fourth quarter revenues will be approximately evenly split between IoT revenues and mobile computing revenues. On the mobile computing side, we expect continued stable sales of our MiFi 6620 product, but due to uncertainties with respect to legacy sales of other MiFi products through distribution, we go into the fourth quarter assuming that our mobile computing revenues may not reach the same levels as Q3 and could be closer to our mobile computing revenues in Q2. The variability in our overall revenue guidance range is driven by our lack of familiarity with the newly acquired DigiCore operations, sell-through of legacy Mobile Computing Products through distribution as well as the FW government order that slipped out of Q3. We anticipate our best-ever non-GAAP gross margin performance in Q4 as we benefit from our broader IoT product portfolio with FW and DigiCore. We expect fourth quarter non-GAAP gross margins of 34% to 37%. The much greater profitability of DigiCore’s recurring SaaS and service offerings should be the primary driver of this substantial increase above and beyond our historical gross margins. We expect fourth quarter non-GAAP gross margins for DigiCore products up 68% to 71%, which would drive our overall IoT non-GAAP gross margins over 45%. On the expense side, with the cost reductions from our third quarter restructuring activities continuing into Q4 and beyond, we anticipate Q4 non-GAAP operating expenses to increase to $26 million to $28 million, as we combine DigiCore’s cost and expense structure into Novatel. Adjusted EBITDA should return to profitability in the fourth quarter, with the addition of DigiCore’s strong financial profile. We expect positive adjusted EBITDA in Q4 of $100,000 to $1.7 million. This is driven by our expectations for positive adjusted EBITDA in Q4 from DigiCore of $2 million to $2.5 million, which will more than offset the ongoing transition of the core Novatel business toward profitability. We also anticipate Q4 non-GAAP loss per share of negative $0.08 to negative $0.05 based on approximately 56 million weighted average shares outstanding in Q4. I know that some of you have been trying to draw conclusions from DigiCore’s published results for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2015. Remember, two important things when reviewing those results. First and I know this may be obvious, there are meaningful differences between IFRS and U.S. GAAP. So those published IFRS results are not quite apples-to-apples to GAAP. Second, and remember that we signed our acquisition of DigiCore in mid-June. So DigiCore’s second half financial results are negatively impacted by the expense, time and distraction of a sale of the company transaction. Our Q4 guidance ranges which include DigiCore’s specific guidance ranges for revenue, gross margin and adjusted EBITDA are probably your best indicators of DigiCore’s normalized business operations on a GAAP basis. For now, I’ll provide a few further comments on DigiCore’s revenue. DigiCore previously had a number of unprofitable operations that are discontinued as part of its successful financial trend over the past few years. This resulted in a short-term decline in revenue and as you’ll see in our Q4 revenue guidance for DigiCore that has now fully worked its way through the financials and we anticipate go-forward revenue growth for DigiCore. DigiCore’s Q4 revenue as reported under GAAP is expected to grow more than 5% when compared to three months of DigiCore’s revenue as had been previously publicly reported by DigiCore under IFRS for the six months ended June 30, using current exchange rates. Also, Q4 is actually DigiCore’s seasonally lowest revenue quarter, as December is traditionally their lowest revenue month. This quarterly seasonality had been somewhat obscured as DigiCore previously reported their financial results on a six-month basis. But it’s important to be aware that our current Q4 revenue forecast for DigiCore is for their lowest seasonal quarter. From a seasonality standpoint, Q1 then normally steps up from Q4 with Q2 being DigiCore’s seasonally strongest revenue quarter due to their June 30, fiscal yearend. Q3 would then step-down from Q2. We expect these seasonal trends to continue. In the past, I’ve mentioned that the Novatel Wireless, have 2015 and beyond will bear little resemblance to the stagnating legacy company that our management team inherited last year. As you can see by our fourth quarter guidance ranges, the addition of DigiCore changes the game for us in IoT and particularly in SaaS and service offerings targeted at the fleet and vehicle telematics markets. We also now have a new CEO, Sue Swenson. After the transformational acquisitions of DigiCore and FW, the company’s transition to Sue’s operational focused leadership has been enthusiastically embraced by me and the rest of the management team who have all enjoyed working with Sue to drive the changes that have gotten Novatel to where it is today. In fact, Sue has been with the company longer than any other current executive providing a measure of continuity even with the change in leadership. Sue brings decades of leadership experience and operational expertise in the wireless technologies industry and I look forward to working with her as Novatel emerges into a serious IoT player. I’ll now go and turn the call over to the operator for questions.