Trey Conkling
Analyst · Baird. Your line is open
Thanks, John and good morning everyone. While most of Summit’s location types experienced a normalization in demand patterns year-over-year, the urban hotels continued to benefit from strong weekday growth across all segments, with overall urban RevPAR increasing 6% versus prior year. In particular, the urban portfolio experienced outsized RevPAR growth in the negotiated segment, a strong proxy for the business transient customer, increasing 12% versus last year, and further validating the momentum we see in urban weekday demand. Negotiated room night contribution was a meaningful catalyst to this growth, increasing by 4% versus last year. Group demand also increased meaningfully during the second quarter, particularly within our suburban airport and resort assets, for which second quarter group RevPAR growth was 17%, 30% and 33%, respectively. While leisure demand moderated in the second quarter, our resort and small town location types, which have most benefited from the recent leisure trends continue to meaningfully outpace 2019 levels. Pro forma hotel EBITDA for the second quarter was $71.1 million, a slight increase from the second quarter of last year. Hotel EBITDA margin for the pro forma portfolio contracted by 155 basis points quarter-over-quarter to 36.6%. The margin contraction was driven by challenging prior year expense comparables, given food and beverage outlets and other hotel amenities were significantly limited in the first half of 2022 due to the impact of the Omicron COVID variant. In addition, insurance premiums increased over 40% in the quarter, resulting in an incremental 60 basis point headwind to hotel EBITDA margin. Today, we are operating with nearly all outlets and amenities open across our 101 hotels. While our FTE count at the end of the second quarter was approximately 7% higher than the same period last year, increases in FTE count have been minimal over the first half of 2023, and we expect that current labor levels reflect a stabilized run rate. Second quarter EBITDA margins expanded more than 100 basis points sequentially from the first quarter on higher nominal RevPAR, today’s more stabilized operating model and staffing levels represented 15% to 20% reduction in FTEs versus 2019. As we look to the third and fourth quarter of 2023, we expect a more like-for-like expense comparison versus prior year, given comparable staffing levels and amenity offerings in the second half of 2022. For context, our average FTE count increased 13% from the first half of 2022 to the second half of 2022. Since that time, staffing levels have increased less than 3% over the first half of 2023 providing for a more favorable year-over-year expense comparison in the second half of this year. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $52.9 million, a 3.1% decrease compared to the second quarter of 2022, although pro forma hotel EBITDA was flat year-over-year, the $1.7 million decline in adjusted EBITDA was attributable to the relative contribution of our wholly owned portfolio compared to the joint venture portfolios. In particular, the NCI portfolio, which saw meaningful relative outperformance during the quarter as well as overall net transaction activity. Second quarter adjusted FFO was $33.2 million or $0.27 per diluted share, compared to $32.6 million or $0.27 per diluted share in the second quarter of 2022. From a capital expenditure standpoint, in the second quarter, we invested approximately $19 million in our portfolio on a consolidated basis and approximately $16 million on a pro rata basis. For the year, CapEx spend on a pro rata basis now totals approximately $35 million. CapEx for the second quarter was driven by comprehensive ongoing renovations at our Staybridge Suites Cherry Creek, Courtyard New Orleans Metairie, Hilton Garden Inn, Milpitas, SpringHill Suites, Dallas, Downtown, Embassy Suites, Tucson and our 2 Hyatt Place hotels in Denver. Second quarter displacement related to renovation was approximately $2 million in revenue, $1 million in hotel EBITDA and $0.7 million in adjusted EBITDA. When adjusting for the net renovation revenue displacement, second quarter RevPAR growth increased an additional 90 basis points to 4.4% and RevPAR index increased an additional 110 basis points to 114.2%. We are clearly seeing the benefit – the initial benefits of our recent renovation activity, which has settled into a more typical cadence for the first time since the pandemic. An example of our team’s ability to execute meaningful renovation projects is evident in our Hyatt Place Orlando Universal Studios, which recently won Hyatt’s Best Renovation of the Year award. In the month since the renovation was completed, the hotel has averaged a RevPAR index of 133%, more than 20 percentage points higher than the hotel achieved in 2019 for the same time period. We continue to ensure the quality and relative age of our portfolio positions the company to drive profitability and market share, and we expect the ongoing transformational renovations across our portfolio to drive future growth. Jon previously highlighted our transaction activity, including the sale of the wholly owned 4 pack and the acquisition of the Residence Inn Scottsdale North and the Nordic Lodge Steamboat through our GIC joint venture. For 2023, we estimate this transaction activity reduces revenue and adjusted EBITDA by approximately $6.5 million and $2 million, respectively. It should be noted that proceeds from the four-pack asset sale funded our pro rata share of the acquisition of both the Residence Inn Scottsdale North, and the Nordic Lodge Steamboat properties, with the remainder of proceeds going to cash on hand. The sale of the 4 pack allowed us to defer more than $20 million of estimated near-term CapEx and the net proceeds from the sale were reinvested into high-quality assets with minimal near-term capital requirements. Turning to the balance sheet. Our current overall liquidity position remains robust at over $400 million. From an interest rate risk management perspective, our balance sheet is well positioned, including an average pro rata interest rate of 4.8% and approximately 74% of our pro rata share of debt fixed, inclusive of the March interest rate swaps that became effective July 1, 2023. When including the company’s fixed coupon preferred securities, the balance sheet is approximately 80% fixed at a blended rate of just over 5%. In June, we successfully completed the refinancing of our $600 million senior unsecured credit facility, which consists of a $400 million senior unsecured revolving credit facility and a $200 million senior unsecured term loan. The fully extended maturity date of the credit facility is June 2028. And as a result, our average length to maturity increased to more than 3 years. For the balance sheet as a whole, we have no debt maturities until the fourth quarter of 2024, when accounting for all available extension options. On July 27, our Board of Directors declared a quarterly common dividend of $0.06 per share or an annualized dividend of $0.24 per share, which represents a dividend yield of approximately 4%. The dividend continues to represent a prudent AFFO payout ratio, leaving room for increases over time, assuming no material changes to the current operating environment. The company continues to prioritize striking an appropriate balance between returning capital to shareholders, reducing corporate leverage and maintaining liquidity for future growth opportunities. As Jon previously referenced in our press release last evening, we provided updated ranges of our full year guidance for 2023 operational metrics as well as certain non-operational items. This outlook reflects the previously highlighted demand normalization and does not include any additional transaction or capital markets activity. Based on the company’s second quarter operating results as well as our future outlook, we are revising our full year guidance ranges across certain key metrics. Our full year RevPAR growth range has been revised to 6% to 8%. This RevPAR guidance range translates to an adjusted EBITDA range of $183 million to $193 million and an adjusted FFO range of $0.86 to $0.94 per share. Included in this revised range is the full year impact of second quarter transaction activity, which we estimate to account for a reduction to full year adjusted EBITDA and AFFO of $2 million and $1.6 million, respectively. Our revised full year RevPAR guidance implies RevPAR growth of 1.5% to 5.5% in the second half of 2023. Assuming the midpoint of the aforementioned second half RevPAR growth range, hotel EBITDA margin will contract approximately 150 basis points versus the second half of 2022. We expect full year pro rata interest expense, excluding the amortization of deferred financing costs to be approximately $55 million to $60 million. Series E and Series F preferred dividends to be $15.9 million, Series Z preferred distributions to be $2.6 million and pro rata capital expenditures to range from $60 million to $80 million. As previously mentioned, given the increased size of the GIC joint venture, the fee income payable to Summit now covers nearly 15% of annual cash corporate G&A expense. Excluding any promote distributions, Summit may earn during the year. And with that, we will open the call to your questions.