James P. Zallie - Ingredion, Inc.
Management
Yeah. Let me take it first and then I'm going to turn it over to Jim Gray to add some kind of color commentary. So, for the quarter, the largest impact was higher than expected truck rates. And my comments right now are going to be against what we would consider to be the expectation. So, taking the baseline actuals of 2017 and taking our guidance of mid- to single-digit increase in operating income in North America, which is what we expected. And so, my comments are going to be based off of that when I start to quantify some of these elements. So, the largest impact was higher than expected truck freight rates of $8 million in quarter one, given the acute inflationary environment for truck freight. In addition, we had some colder winter weather in the first couple months that impacted rail and shifted loads to truck and that really further tightened that whole carrier market. And so, for the full year in North America, we expect freight increases of $15 million to $17 million primarily related to – primarily against the expectations we had for the full year. In addition to freight, we had production costs that increased in the quarter by another $7 million to $8 million and that was more than anticipated. We started the year with appropriate inventory and a production schedule. As the quarter developed, weather in the Northeast and Canada caused some inconsistent customer starch demand for industrial and food. And given that lower than anticipated demand, we therefore had to reduce our production schedules and expect to continue to do so through quarter two. We expect the full year negative impact of fixed cost absorption to be approximately $20 million, again against our expectations for North America for the quarter – for the full year, I should say, for the full year. And lastly, again, we were negatively impacted by ethanol, which has impacted the industry, it's a smaller amount. And corn oil pricing was also down, and that impact for the quarter was $5 million, and we expect those commodity headwinds for the full year against full-year expectations for North America to be approximately $10 million. So, those were the impacts that were unanticipated. And as it relates to on the go forward, we're obviously moving prices where we can, as it relates to the freight increases. We're passing through higher freight rates on to pre-paid customers. We're enforcing longer lead times with customers, which hopefully is going to mitigate some of the risk of having to enter the spot market for a last-minute shipping. And as it relates to being able to recover these costs going into next year, we believe we can, and we're working with our customers, and contract terms are being updated with new freight rates, and we believe we will be able to do that.