Jack C. Fortnum
Analyst · BB&T Capital Markets. Go ahead please
Thank you, Ilene. Good morning, everyone. Let me start by covering the highlights of our -- of the income statement. Sales were down $131 million for the quarter. The effects of foreign exchange and lower-priced corn, which is pass-through in our selling prices were partially offset by the solid volume growth. Gross profit was down $19 million, as a result of unfavorable currency, primarily in South America and modest margin compression in North America from higher net corn costs. Adjusted operating income was lower than last year by $8 million as the decline in gross profit was partially offset by a reduction in operating expenses. Reported operating income was lower than adjusted operating income by $35 million. This reflects $33 million from a non-cash charge of goodwill impairment in Southern Cone, given the political and economic volatility and continued uncertainty. In addition, we incurred $2 million from the acquisition costs related to the Penford transaction. Our earnings per share reported and adjusted EPS were $0.83 and $1.30 per share respectively. For the quarter, our adjusted earnings per share was $0.05 lower than last year's earnings per share. Moving on to the sales bridge, our sales of $1.4 billion are lower than last year by $131 million. Volume growth contributed $44 million, but was more than offset by $74 million of foreign exchange headwinds. Approximately two thirds of the foreign exchange impact is attributed to South America, with over a half of that amount from Southern Cone. The remaining reduction in net sales is largely due to lower pricing from passing along lower corn costs relative to last year. As we look more closely by region, you can see foreign exchange headwinds affected us across all four regions, however, most prominently in South America. Good volume growth in North America, Asia Pacific, and EMEA help to offset weaker volumes in South America, specifically Brazil and Argentina. Lower pricing was largely due to North America with a small portion coming from Asia Pacific from passing through lower corn costs in both regions. Price mix was favorable by 7% in South America as we started to reprice to recover the currency devaluations. Adjusted operating income fell $6 million in the quarter with modest margin compression in North America. In North America, we typically don't talk about foreign exchange given the stability of the Canadian dollar and the fact that Mexico’s functional currency is the U.S dollar. However, both the Canadian dollar and the Mexican peso rapidly devalued at the end of the year causing a squeeze on our margins as we experienced lower dollar-based Co-Product returns. In addition, the Canadian corn crop proved to be smaller than anticipated driving higher basis costs for our corn. Outside North America, foreign exchange headwinds in South America and Asia Pacific along with pricing pressures were offset by good performance in EMEA. EMEA’s results includes a small benefit from a land sale and even without this transaction the region would have posted a record operating income. We will wrap up the quarter with the earnings per share. On the left side of the page, you can see the reconciliation from reported to adjusted. As mentioned earlier, our impairment charges on the remaining Southern Cone goodwill and the acquisition costs are from the pending Penford transaction. On the right side, operationally, we saw a hit of $0.08 per share driven by the items Ilene and I’ve been discussing, primarily foreign exchange headwinds and some margin compression partially offset by higher volumes. The non-operational benefits of $0.03 provided a partial offset to the negative $0.08 operational charge. Our tax rate was higher primarily due to the rapid devaluation of the Mexican peso during the quarter. This increase the U.S dollar tax expense of our Mexican subsidiaries, which uses the U.S dollar as the functional currency. From Thanksgiving week to the end of the year, the peso exchange climbed from $13.66 per U.S dollar to $14.75, a devaluation of 8%.We estimated this impact can be both $0.10 per share negatively. This was partially offset by other favorable items for net impact of negative $0.06 per share. Financing costs were favorable both $0.03, which also included both $0.02 favorable impact in foreign exchange related to Mexico. Therefore the net impact of the rapid devaluation of the Mexican peso was about $0.08 below the line, when considering both the taxes and financing costs. The accelerated share repurchase resulted in a $0.06 per share benefit and this program will continue to favorably benefit earnings per share throughout 2015. Let's now roll back to the summary chart for the full-year. Net sales were down $660 million and gross profit was up about 1%. Adjusted operating income and adjusted earnings per share up modestly for the full-year. As mentioned for the quarter's results, reported operating income and reported earnings per share include a non-cash goodwill impairment charge of $33 million or about $0.44 per share. And acquisition cost relating to the pending Penford acquisition of about $2 million or $0.02 per share. Breaking down the $660 million decline in net sales, we see that price mix was down from the pass-through of lower price corn to our customers as expected. However, we can also see the significant negative impact from foreign exchange, which was partially offset by steady volume growth throughout the year. Moving to the sales bridge for the regions, we can see foreign exchange impacted us in almost all the regions, but primarily South America. In fact, over $200 million of the $253 million of negative foreign exchange came from South America. The vast majority of which was in Argentina and Brazil. Volumes were up in North America, Asia Pacific, and EMEA and were flat in South America. Price mix was up in South America and EMEA, but down in North America and Asia Pacific reflecting the pass-through of lower raw material cost. Operating income in North America and South America is below last year. North America was weighed down by the first quarter's adverse weather and the fourth quarter's margin compression due to the higher net corn costs as discussed earlier. South America remains challenging, especially in Argentina and Brazil. However, we remain positive over the long-term. Asia Pacific and EMEA continue to be a bright spot and with strong presence in the specialty products in both regions, we continue to feel confident about our prospects going forward. Corporate expenses were favorable primarily due to the classification of the tax indemnity in Germany we recorded in the third quarter, which is fully offset as an increase in our provision for taxes. For the year, adjusted earnings per share is up $0.15, with operations contributing $0.05 and non-operational items having a $0.10 positive impact. Volume growth is the largest contributor to the operational gains adding $0.30 of earnings per share. But this is offset by some margin compression in foreign exchange headwinds I discussed earlier. Other income of $0.08 a share is primarily attributable to the classification of the tax indemnity in Germany we recorded in the third quarter, which is fully offset as an increase in our provision for taxes. There is no impact to earnings per share for the indemnity. In the non-operational items, the $0.14 negative impact from taxes is primarily the result of the two unusual items, the rapid devaluation in the Mexican peso, which I mentioned previously and the classification of the tax indemnity recorded in the third quarter. These two unusual items were offset slightly by smaller favorable items. Financing costs were slightly favorable and non-controlling interests were slightly negative given the strong earnings in the majority owned business in Pakistan. Earnings per share for the year benefited from the -- from lower shares outstanding and from the share repurchase made in 2013, as well as the accelerated share repurchases we made in 2014. Turning to our guidance. I’d like to point out that it is -- that it generally excludes the impact from the pending Penford transaction. We expect net sales and total volumes to be in line with 2014, while specialty volumes are expected to show continued growth. Earnings per share are expected to be in the range of $5.40 to $5.90. As we expect the Penford transaction to close in the first quarter, we are adjusting our expected accretion to $0.08 to $0.12 in calendar 2015, reflecting the timing of the close, with no changes to underlying earnings or synergy assumptions. As more than two thirds of our sales were outside the U.S., we expect foreign exchange headwinds around the world to continue as a result of the strengthening U.S dollar. Therefore, we’ve factored in a negative $0.25 to $0.30 per share impact on our guidance, which we expect to be partially offset by incremental pricing. As we’ve explained in our business model, these pricing actions typically takes 3 to 6 months for full effect. We anticipate our operating income to be up mid to high single-digits. Corporate expenses will be up year-over-year to a more normalized level. Recall that the 2014 corporate expenses are lower than normal due to the classification of the German indemnity and other small items. We expect financing costs to be up slightly as we refinance a portion of our debt coming due late -- later in the year. The effective annual tax rate is expected to be in the range of 29% to 30%. As you recall, our 24 (sic) [2014] adjusted tax rate was 28.3%. Finally, the ASR we completed in 2014 will continue to benefit us in 2015. In North America, we expect volume sales to be in line with 2014. Our contracting with customers is generally complete and has been factored into our guidance. We expect operating income to increase in North America to low double digits as we lap the adverse weather effect in the first quarter of last year and from improved product mix and margins. South America sales are expected to be in line with the prior year. We anticipate slow economic growth and foreign exchange headwinds to continue in the region. In Argentina, the situation remains challenging and uncertain, and our outlook is for operating income to be flat relative to 2014. In other countries, such as Brazil and Columbia, we continue to actively manage our costs and drive efficiencies is that will offset inflationary pressures. Overall, we expect modest operating income growth in South America, primarily as a result of good cost management. Asia Pacific should continue to deliver operating income growth. The business will be negatively impacted by currency headwinds associated with the strengthening U.S dollar, but we expect to overcome these headwinds with good cost management and product mix enhancement from continued growth in our specialty portfolio. We expect our EMEA region to continue top and bottom line growth after a record 2014 performance. The underlying European business is anticipated to continue to grow fueled by our specialty ingredients portfolio and our investments in the region. Pakistan is expected to continue its effective cost management and core product growth, which will contribute to EMEA’s overall performance improvement in 2015. Moving on to our cash flow, our cash flow provided by operations was a strong -- was strong at $731 million, which is about a $100 million more than last year, primarily a result of lower working capital used versus last year. We continue to put our cash to work from -- in the form of capital expenditures, dividend payments, and share repurchases. This speaks to a very healthy business that has the ability to both reinvest and return capital to shareholders, which we will continue to do. Looking to 2015, we expect cash from operations of $650 million to $750 million. This is slightly down from last year as working capital normalizes after a year-over-year benefit in 2014 from significantly lower corn cost versus 2013, which impacts our inventories, payables and receivables. Importantly, we will continue to deploy our cash for capital expenditures, remain active in looking for M&A, and continue to return cash in shareholder friendly ways including our share repurchase program. We expect to spend about around $300 million in capital expenditures in 2015 for growth as well as costs and process improvements around the world. We remain interested buyers for potential M&A. We look for complementary businesses that add long-term value to our portfolio. But I’ll stress, as we always have, we will be disciplined buyers. We will look for the right strategic fit at an appropriate price. As Ilene mentioned, our Board authorized a 5 million share repurchase program in late 2014. We generally expect a buyback dilution going forward, but we have the flexibility to buyback additional shares giving us the ability to deploy our cash in shareholder friendly ways. That brings my section of the presentation to a close. So now I’ll turn the time back over to Ilene.