Ali Bauerlein
Analyst · William Blair. Your line is open
Thanks, Scott and good afternoon, everyone. During my prepared remarks, I will review the details of our fourth quarter and full-year 2016 financial performance and then I will review our updated guidance for 2017. As Scott noted, total revenue for the fourth quarter of 2016 was $50.9 million, representing 25.7% growth over the fourth quarter of 2015. Total revenue for 2016 was $202.8 million, representing 27.6% growth over full-year 2015. Looking at each of our revenue streams and turning first to our sales revenue, total sales revenue was $42.6 million, representing 83.8% of total revenue in the fourth quarter of 2016 and reflected 47.2% growth over the same quarter of the prior year. Total units sold increased to 23,300 in Q4 2016, up 60.7% from 14,500 in Q4 2015. Total sales revenue for 2016 was $168.2 million, up 48% over 2015. Strong domestic business-to-business sales of $15 million in Q4 2016 reflected 69% growth over Q4 2015. And continued strong demand from our traditional HME providers and our private label partner. We also demonstrated strong international business-to-business sales of $12.1 million in Q4 2016, primarily driven by continued strong demand from our European partners. Sales in Europe represented the majority of international sales at 83.3% of international sales in the fourth quarter of 2016. With strong business-to-business sales again in the fourth quarter of 2016, average selling prices declined over the same period in the prior year, primarily due to the continued shift in sales towards traditional home medical equipment providers and private label sales and additional discounts associated with the increased sales volume worldwide. However, compared to the third quarter of 2016, average selling prices increased in the fourth quarter of 2016, associated with increased sales mix towards direct-to-consumer sales. Direct-to-consumer sales for the fourth quarter of 2016 were $15.6 million, representing 34.2% growth over the fourth quarter of 2015, primarily due to increased consumer awareness from our ongoing sales and marketing efforts. Rental revenue represented 16.2% of total revenue in the fourth quarter of 2016, versus 28.4% in the fourth quarter of 2015. We continued to see the expected trend of rental revenues declining in the fourth quarter of 2016, versus the fourth quarter of 2015. Primarily due to the reimbursement changes which were partially offset by the non-recurring benefit of $2 million associated with the 21st Century Cures Act. This retroactively increases the reimbursement rates in certain Medicare regions for the second half of 2016. Rental revenue in the fourth quarter of 2016 was $8.2 million, representing a decline of 28.3% from the same period in the prior year. Primarily due to the anticipated Medicare rental reimbursement cuts and reduction in private payer rates, as they followed the decreases in Medicare rates and partially offset by the non-recurring $2 million 21st Century Cures Act benefit. Without the 21st Century Cures Act benefit, rental revenue would've been $6.2 million which was in line with our expectations. As a reminder, the 21St Century Cures Act only provided reimbursement rate relief to the portion of the Medicare markets that were unbid, from July 1, 2016 to December 31, 2016. Effective January 1, 2017, in the unbid areas that saw the benefit in the fourth quarter of 2016, due to the 21St Century Cures Act, rates revert to the rate seen in the third quarter of 2016, before the retroactive adjustment went into place. We expect Medicare to re-process the claims associated with the 21st Century Cures Act in May through July 2017. Turning to gross margin, for the fourth quarter of 2016, total gross margin was 48.5%, compared to 49.5% in the fourth quarter of 2015. For the full-year 2016, gross margin was 48%, compared with 48% in the prior year. We maintained our overall gross margin despite the rental reimbursement declines in shifts in revenue towards business-to-business sales, primarily due to lower cost to manufacture the upgraded Inogen One G3 product, launched in the fourth quarter of 2015 and the Inogen One G4 product, launched in the second quarter of 2016. Our sales gross margin was 49.9% in the fourth quarter of 2016, versus 48% in the fourth quarter of 2015. Sales gross margin percentage improved, primarily associated with lower cost of goods sold per unit, due to lower materials, labor and overhead costs associated with an upgraded Inogen One G3 and G4 products, partially offset by the higher sales mix of domestic business-to-business sales which have lower average selling prices. Rental gross margin was 41.4% in the fourth quarter of 2016, versus 53.4% in the fourth quarter of 2015. The decline in rental gross margin was primarily due to lower net revenue per rental patient, driven by the previously discussed reimbursement rate reductions experienced throughout 2016 and partially offset by the non-recurring $2 million benefit from the 21st Century Cures Act and lower costs of rental revenues associated with lower depreciation and servicing costs per patient. As for operating expense, total operating expense increased to $18.5 million in the fourth quarter of 2016, versus $16.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2015. However, operating expense as a percent of total revenue decreased to 36.4% in the fourth quarter of 2016, down from 41% in the fourth quarter of 2015. Research and development expense was $1.2 million in Q4 2016, in line with the $1.2 million reported in Q4 2015. Sales and marketing expense was $9.3 million in the fourth quarter of 2016, versus $8.7 million in the comparative period in 2015, primarily due to increased media expense and sales force personnel-related expenses. General and administrative expense was $8 million in the fourth quarter of 2016, versus $6.6 million in Q4 2015. Primarily due to increased personnel-related expenses and patent defense legal costs. Additionally, we previously qualified as an emerging growth company or EGC, under the JOBS Act and availed ourselves of an exemption from the requirement that our independent registered public accounting firm attest to the effectiveness of our internal controls over financial reporting, under Section 404(b) of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002. However, we no longer qualify as an EGC and this exemption is no longer available to us. Our independent registered public accounting firm is therefore required to undertake an assessment of our internal control over financial reporting, beginning with our 2016 annual report on Form 10-K and the cost of our compliance with Section 404(b) has increased. Before we discuss our tax rate and net income, I want let you know that during the fourth quarter of 2016, the Company elected to early adopt accounting standards update or ASU 2016-09, ahead of the mandatory 2017 effective date for all U.S. public companies. For those of you who are not familiar with this issue, on March 30 of 2016, the Financial Accounting Standards Board issued ASU 2016-09 improvements for employees share-based payment accounting which simplifies the accounting for share-based payment transactions, including the income tax consequences. The impact of the adoption is favorable for full-year 2016. The adoption led to a decrease in provisions for income taxes of $6 million in the full-year 2016. We reported a retrospective adjustments to previous reported three quarters of 2016 provision for income taxes with our annual report on Form 10-K, including fourth quarter 2016 results. The change to the accounting treatment of stock-based compensation also increases the number of shares outstanding on a fully-diluted basis which has a small impact on earnings per share. In the fourth quarter of 2016, our effective tax rate was 9.8%, compared to negative-16.3% in Q4 2015. Excluding the $1.7 million decrease in provision for income taxes associated with the adoption of ASU 2016-09, our fourth quarter 2016 effective tax rate would have been 39.7%. As a reminder, in the fourth quarter 2015, our effective tax rate was negative-16.3%, primarily due to the tax benefit adjustments of $1 million which were mainly related to a decrease in the valuation allowance related to California net operating losses and an increase in equity compensation deductions and benefits associated with the federal research and development tax credit and the timing of stock dispositions in the fourth quarter of 2015. The full-year 2016 effective tax rate was 9.7%, compared to 21.3% in 2015. Excluding the $6 million decrease in provisions for income taxes associated with the adoption of ASU 2016-09, our full-year 2016 effective tax rate would've been 36.3%. Our net income in the fourth quarter of 2016 was $5.3 million, compared to $3.9 million in Q4 2015, an increase of 36.3%, versus the compared period in the prior year and a return on revenue of 10.3%. Earnings per diluted common share were $0.25 in the fourth quarter of 2016, versus $0.19 in the fourth quarter of 2015, an increase of 31.6%. Our net income for full-year 2016 was $20.5 million, compared to $11.6 million in 2015, an increase of 77.1%. Adjusted net income in the fourth quarter of 2016 increased 85% to $5.3 million, from $2.8 million in the fourth quarter of 2015. Adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter of 2016 was $10.9 million which was a 21.5% return on revenue. Adjusted EBITDA increased 34.4% in the fourth quarter of 2016, versus fourth quarter of 2015 adjusted EBITDA of $8.1 million. Moving to our balance sheet, cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities, were $113.9 million, as of December 31, 2016. An increase of $5.5 million, compared to $108.3 million, as of September 30, 2016. This compares to $82.9 million of cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities, as of December 31, 2015. An increase of $31 million in full-year 2016. As of the end of fourth quarter 2016, we have no bank debt outstanding and our entire $15 million credit facility was available. Turning to guidance, we're increasing our 2017 revenue guidance to a range of $233 million to $239 million which represents year-over-year growth of 14.9% to 17.8%. This compares to the previous revenue expectation of $230 million to $236 million. Remember that the $2 million from the 21st Century Cures Act rental revenue increase in the fourth quarter of 2016 is not expected to recur in 2017. We expect direct-to-consumer sales to be our fastest growing channel and domestic business-to-business sales to have a solid growth rate and international business-to-business sales to have a modest growth rate, with a strategy we will continue to be heavily focused on our European market. We expect rental revenues to continue to decline in 2017 compared to 2016, based on lower average rental revenue per patient, primarily due to the known cuts for Medicare competitive bidding, continued reductions of private insurance and Medicaid rates and continued focus on sales versus rentals. We're increasing our 2017 net income and adjusted net income estimate to $21 million to $23 million, representing 2.3% to 12.1% growth over 2016 full-year actuals. This compares to the previous guidance range of $16 million to $18 million. We estimate that the adoption of ASU 2016-09 will lead to a decrease in provisions for income taxes of approximately $5 million in 2017, based on forecasted stock activity which will lower our effective tax rate. This compares to $6 million decrease in provision for income taxes associated with the adoption of ASU 2016-09 experienced in 2016. Excluding the $5 million decrease in our provision for income taxes expected in 2017, we expect an effective tax rate of approximately 37%. After giving it back to ASU 2016-09, we expect our effective tax rate, including stock compensation deductions, to vary quarter to quarter, depending on the amount of pretax net income and on the timing and size of stock option exercises. We're increasing our guidance range for the full-year 2017 adjusted EBITDA to $46 million to $50 million, representing 6% to 15.2% growth over 2016 full-year actuals. This compares to the previous guidance range of $45 million to $49 million. We expect patent defense legal expense within general and administrative expense to significantly increase in 2017 from 2016, associated with the two pending suits. We're confirming our expectation for net positive cash flow for 2017, with no additional equity capital required to meet our current operating plans. With that, Ray, Scott and I will be happy to take your questions.