Michael Zilis
Analyst · Goldman Sachs
Thank you, Paul, and good afternoon, everyone. I want to start by reiterating how pleased we are with our first quarter results, which met or beat the top end of each of our guidance ranges. The strong performance was widespread geographically with each of our core regions seeing double-digit year-over-year top line growth in U.S. dollars, but also with solid global growth in our 3 primary lines of business. Looking at the quarter in more detail. Net sales of $13.96 billion were up 13.7% year-over-year in U.S. dollars and up 10% on an FX-neutral basis. We saw strong double-digit growth in both Cloud and Advanced Solutions. Cloud grew 25% year-over-year on an FX-neutral basis and that growth was actually 34% adjusting for the CloudBlue divestiture that closed in Q3 of last year. Advanced Solutions grew 14% year-over-year on an FX-neutral basis, driven by strength in server and networking. This also included continued large-scale enterprise deals in GPU and AI infrastructure product sets, some of which came in late in the quarter. As we discussed in past quarters, these deals come at a low margin, but are low cost to serve. We don't typically stock for these deals, which provides for a strong return on working capital. Turning to Client and Endpoint Solutions or CES. We saw nearly 8% growth on an FX-neutral basis, with strong demand for notebooks and desktops as the refresh cycle continues and AI PC penetration grows. As a note, this 8% growth is on top of what has been solid double-digit growth for CES in Q1 and all other quarters last year. Geographically, we had FX-neutral growth across all 4 of our regions led by just over 12% growth in both APAC and North America. North America net sales came in at $5.0 billion and APAC was our second largest region with net sales of $4.1 billion for the quarter. Both North America and APAC sales were driven by strength in Cloud, and both regions also benefited from large enterprise GPU and AI infrastructure projects I just mentioned. EMEA net sales of $3.9 billion were up 3.8% on an FX-neutral basis with growth across both Client and Endpoint Solutions and Advanced Solutions. But EMEA generated its strongest growth in cloud-based solutions. And this was achieved while navigating around the challenges of the Middle Eastern conflict that started in the final month of the quarter. Finally, net sales in Latin America were up 10.1% on an FX-neutral basis, driven by growth in Client and Endpoint Solutions, notably notebooks and desktops as well as strength in Advanced Solutions and cloud-based solutions. Before I get into more details on our results, I'd like to touch on memory supply constraints and their impact, which is a key ongoing factor in the IT industry. We are seeing increases in average selling prices or ASPs on certain products ranging from single-digit percentage points, well into double-digit percentage points. Also, while it is understandably more difficult for us to quantify with precision, we see some instances of pull forward of demand to get ahead of pricing. But there are other factors to consider as well. First, supply constraints are creating more extended lead times and backlog in said products. While more limited in frequency, we saw a few instances where projects are being indefinitely deferred simply because the product is not available. Second, in some limited cases for end users that have greater price sensitivity, decisions are being made to alter project scope or delay spending. Combined, we estimate the net positive impact of all of these factors on our year-over-year net sales comparison for Q1 to be approximately 2% to 3%. Back to my earlier point regarding pull forward of demand. We have ongoing discussions with many of our vendors affected by supply constraints about potentially using our balance sheet for opportunistic inventory buy-in deals. While we have done some such deals, and we'll continue to evaluate such opportunities going forward, the impact of volumes in our first quarter results have not been material. Now getting into some further specifics on our first quarter results. Gross profit came in at $926 million, up 12% year-over-year, and gross margin came at 6.63% of net sales, down 12 basis points year-over-year. The mix shift towards lower-margin GPU and AI infrastructure projects drove an impact on margins of roughly 35 basis points compared to only about 5 basis points in the first quarter of 2025. Thus, excluding these deals, our Q1 2026 gross margins would have been roughly 7%. This margin performance was a function of growth in our higher-margin Cloud and Advanced Solutions offerings, which surpassed the growth of Client and Endpoint Solutions in this comparison. Q1 operating expenses were $703 million or 5.04% of net sales compared to 5.11% in the same period last year. Looking more specifically at our ongoing selling, general and administrative or SG&A expenses. Our leverage improved year-over-year by 12 basis points. This year-over-year improvement in SG&A leverage was driven by operating efficiencies from cost reductions over the past year, the continued impact of Xvantage in driving leverage and productivity gains, as well as mix factors associated with lower cost to serve categories. And while we continue to invest in Xvantage and in the business, particularly in areas like Cloud and Advanced Solutions, we expect our continued optimization efforts will allow us to keep our SG&A expenses less than 5% of net sales for fiscal 2026. Adjusted income from operations was $262 million, up 14% year-over-year, driven by our strong top line performance and continued operating leverage discipline. Adjusted income from operations margin was 1.88% compared to 1.87% in the first quarter of 2025 as the lower gross margin from mix of sales was offset by the OpEx leverage improvements I just discussed. Non-GAAP net income in the quarter was $175.5 million compared to $144.2 million in Q1 of 2025, an increase of 22%, reflective of not only the strong growth I just noted in adjusted income from operations, but also reflective of reduced interest expense from our paydown of debt and more favorable foreign exchange impacts. First quarter non-GAAP diluted EPS came in at the high end of our guidance range at $0.75, an increase of 23% from our prior year quarter. Moving on to our balance sheet. We ended the first quarter with net working capital of $4.4 billion compared to $4.3 billion to close the same period last year. This increase of only a bit over 2% is far less than the 13.7% increase in net sales year-over-year as our Q1 net working capital days came in at 23 compared to 29 days in the same period in 2025. This improvement in cash cycle reflects disciplined management of our terms with and payments to vendors, our efforts to optimize inventory levels and leveraging the capabilities of the Xvantage platform, which together more than offset a slight increase in collection days. As we mentioned in our earnings call in early March, we finished year-end 2025 with an extraordinarily low level of net working capital and therefore, expected a higher-than-normal seasonal outflow of cash in Q1 of this year. So adjusted free cash flow was an outflow of $962 million, which reflects the factors I just noted, including the natural investment in working capital to fund double-digit net sales growth. While we don't formally guide on free cash flow, we expect free cash flow trends over the next 1 to 2 quarters to be more in line with seasonal norms. I'm also very pleased to note that in early March, we successfully completed a secondary offering of our stock, which further moved the ownership stake of our majority owner into public flow and included us repurchasing $75 million of stock directly from our majority owner. And today, we announced we are further expanding the repurchase program for future use. We also returned $19 million to stockholders through dividends paid during the quarter and today announced an increase in the next quarterly dividend of 2.4% sequentially and 10.5% over the prior year. We ended the quarter with $916 million in cash and cash equivalents and debt of $3.3 billion, bringing our net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio to 1.7x to close the quarter, which has improved notably from 2.0x in the first quarter of last year and reflective of our continued reduction of debt, including the $200 million of term loan we repaid during Q1. Going forward, we will continue to balance our overall capital allocation to ensure we are making necessary investments in the business and providing return to our stockholders. And to the extent we see opportunities to also continue improving our debt leverage, we will evaluate accordingly. Now shifting to our guidance for Q2 2026. We are guiding net sales of $13.6 billion to $14.0 billion, which represents year-over-year growth of 8% at the midpoint and is notable given the strong Q2 we had last year, in which we saw more than 10% year-over-year growth. From a category perspective, we expect Cloud to continue to lead the way with healthy double-digit year-over-year growth with particular strength in Infrastructure as a Service offerings while we expect Advanced Solutions to also grow higher single digits with ongoing strength in servers, storage and cybersecurity. While we are not necessarily projecting outsized GPU and AI infrastructure projects in our guide, we will continue to participate in these projects. Client and Endpoint Solutions is also still in growth mode with notebook desktop refresh continuing. But overall, we see year-over-year growth for CES at a more moderate lower single-digit pace. Finally, we have assumed the impact of broader memory supply constraints to have a similar impact in Q2 to what I noted earlier for Q1. We expect these growth trends to yield second quarter gross profit of $905 million to $950 million, which represents year-over-year growth in gross profit dollars of 8% to 13% and also represents gross margin growth, both sequentially and year-over-year. We expect non-GAAP diluted EPS to be in the range of $0.68 to $0.78 per diluted share. Included in this guide is a potential negative impact of $0.01 to $0.03 per diluted share on our overall results from the volatile situation in the Middle East, where we have a relatively small but nicely profitable business. Even with this impact incorporated, our guidance calls for growth in non-GAAP diluted EPS between 11% to 28%, reflecting solid profit leverage and a continuing growth environment. Our EPS guidance assumes 232.7 million weighted average shares outstanding and a non-GAAP tax rate of 27% for the quarter. In closing, I'm very pleased with our execution in Q1, and we expect to continue our trend of strong year-over-year net sales growth in Q2. While memory shortages, rising ASPs, the supply-demand dynamics and the geopolitical environment are all fluid, we have a track record of navigating through uncertainty. Our broad geographic reach and breadth and scale of offerings, combined with our long-term partner relationships uniquely position us to perform during such times. We've proven this in the past, and we are even better positioned today with real-time insights and capabilities provided by our Xvantage platform. With that, operator, we can now open up the call to take questions.