Mark Ruggiero
Analyst · factors, including those described in our earnings release and other SEC filings. We undertake no obligation to publicly update any such statements. In addition, some of our discussion today may include references to certain non-GAAP financial measures. Information about these non-GAAP measures include reconciliation to GAAP measures may be found in our earnings release and other SEC filings. These SEC filings can be accessed via the Investor Relations section of our website. Please also note that this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Christopher Oddleifson, President and CEO. Please go ahead
Thank you, Chris. Certainly, a tough act to follow, but I will now take us through the earnings presentation deck that was included in our 8-K filing and is available on our website in today's investor portal. Jumping to Slide 4 of that deck. To summarize results, 2022 fourth quarter GAAP net income was a company record $77 million and diluted EPS was $1.69, reflecting 7.2% and 7.6% increases, respectively, from prior quarter results. In addition, the fourth quarter results produced a 1.56% return on assets, a 10.70% return on average common equity and a 16.57% return on tangible common equity, all up significantly over prior quarter results. Regarding tangible equity, the tangible book value per share increased an impressive $1.56 to $41.12 as of December 31, reflecting strong earnings and stabilized other comprehensive income. There were no share repurchases during the fourth quarter. As we move our way through the deck, we will hit on the additional details behind the quarterly performance key drivers noted here on the slide. Turning now to Slide 5. We provide a high level summary of our loan portfolios for the quarter. And as noted here, reported balances for the quarter increased 1.7% or 6.6% on an annualized basis. As anticipated, with the rising rate environment, payoff and refinance activity decreased when compared to prior quarters, which, along with the strong closing activity. Chris noted, fueled solid commercial loan growth across both C&I and commercial real estate. Residential balances also increased nicely but at a slower pace than prior quarters. Slide 6 provides some additional details around the loan activity for the quarter. As I just alluded to, new commercial commitments for the quarter were strong at $636 million, up over 20% from the prior quarter. This naturally drove a decrease in the approved pipeline from $383 million last quarter to $317 million at year end. However, the current balance should still bode well for good closing activity heading into 2023. And as noted on this slide, you can see the majority of activity is in the asset classes and industries we've been referencing for most of the year. On the right side of the slide, consumer portfolio closings were down compared to the prior quarter as expected with the vast majority of Q4 residential volume once again placed into the portfolio, driving the solid balance sheet growth. Moving now to Slide 7, the combination of inflationary pressures impacting customer liquidity and competitive pricing led to a 2.8% decrease in overall deposit balances. New account opening activity remains strong, but it's no secret, we are in a different deposit environment than we were just a few quarters ago. As such, we remain focused on core relationships and operating accounts while addressing pricing pressures where needed. As noted on this slide, the majority of outflow occurred in our business savings and money market balances with consumer balances experienced and some net flow as well while the CD product set served as a compelling alternative to retain some level of higher rate sensitive customers. As expected, these dynamics resulted in an increase in the cost of deposits to a still low 35 basis points for the quarter, up from the prior quarter level of 15 basis points, reflecting the inherent value of our deposit franchise, based on the effective date of the Federal Reserve rate hikes, the total deposit beta for the quarter was 14%, with the cumulative beta on all deposits at only 8.4% or 13% when isolated to only interest-bearing deposits. However, we do not deny that pricing pressure has increased, and we will touch upon deposit cost outlook in our forward guidance. Slide 8 reflects our customary snapshot of the reported margin as well as a breakdown of volatile or non-recurring items to reconcile back to a core net interest margin. The 21 basis point increase in margin and 23 basis point increase on a core basis is right in line with previous quarter guidance and a reflection of the asset sensitivity positioning noted in the bottom right of the slide. With absolute levels of cash significantly reduced, our overall asset sensitivity has also been reduced with the balance sheet well positioned to manage interest rate risk heading into 2023. Moving on to asset quality. Slide 9 provides some key metrics worth highlighting. Addressing the key notable development referenced in the earnings release first, the C&I credit making up the majority of that category's non-performing balances in both Q3 and Q4 is still in workout. Though still very fluid, a specific reserve allocation of $14 million has been built over the last two quarters and is reflected in the provision levels already recorded with actual charge-off amount in the 2023 timing still being assessed. Not surprisingly, the now delinquent status of this loan is the main driver of the fourth quarter increase in the overall delinquency rate. Aside from that one loan, no other pervasive credit concerns are noted with non-performing assets staying relatively consistent at $54.9 million and negligible charge-offs of only $394,000 for the quarter or 1 basis point annualized. Shifting gears to non-interest items. Slide 10 provides details on the strong net interest income results for the quarter, a few of which I will highlight. Decreases in deposit account interchange and ATM fees reflect typical seasonality. Regarding investment management income, the significant increase in revenue reflects continued very strong new money inflows, as Chris noted, solid market performance, strong retail commission income and a one-time non-recurring earned incentive of $650,000. Though a portion of the growth is tied to a meaningful increase in customer demand for shorter-term cash strategies, the increase of assets under administration from $5.1 billion last quarter to $5.8 billion at year end is a testament to investment performance as well as the inflows generated from the relationship synergies developed over many years between wealth and bank colleagues. Loan level derivative income increased nicely as customers have become more comfortable with expectations over the pace of future rate changes. And lastly, other non-interest income includes a $900,000 gain on the sale of a previously closed branch building. Turning to the next slide. Total operating expenses of $94.9 million reflect a 2.3% increase from the prior quarter. While the quarter contains some specific notable variations to the prior quarter results, such as changes in the fair value of split dollar insurance obligations and increased technology spend, the overall increase is in line with expectations. And lastly, the tax rate for the quarter dropped to 23.2% as the fourth quarter typically reflects some level of discrete adjustments related to the filing of the corporate tax returns. We'll now shift gears to Slide 12 and cover 2023 forward guidance, which will obviously remain fluid throughout the year. With the level of overall economic uncertainty still at play, we expect overall loan growth in the low-single digit percentage range. And with the payoff activity in commercial real estate decreasing from 2022 levels, we should see more balanced growth across both the commercial and consumer books. As deposit pressures continue, we anticipate additional decreases in balances in the first quarter of 2023 in the low-single digit percentage range. Though, we will remain focused on customer acquisition efforts, insight into deposit balance volatility for the rest of the year is difficult to predict at this time, and we will certainly provide quarterly updates on deposit balance expectations throughout the year. Given the current balance sheet profile at year end, we anticipate securities will attrite modestly over the course of the year, while cash and/or some level of wholesale borrowings will be a function of actual loan and deposit activity throughout the year. Regarding net interest income, we currently expect loan yield betas to stay in the range of 20% to 25%, reflecting the overall composition of portfolios tied to short-term rates, combined with the $1.45 million current macro hedge portfolio. Deposit betas are expected to continue to increase from prior quarters with the cumulative total deposit beta to reach approximately 15% through the cycle. In terms of shorter-term guidance, assuming an early February 2023 Fed reserve rate increase of 25 basis points, we expect the net interest margin to expand in the first quarter by 3 basis points to 5 basis points with a reminder that fewer days during the first quarter will drive lower net interest income results on a relative basis. Regarding asset quality and provision levels, we think it's prudent to keep our guidance anchored more in the near term than a full year outlook. As the previously mentioned large C&I loss estimate has already been provided for future provision levels will continue to be driven by loan growth, any future migration of asset quality metrics or changes in the overall economic outlook. Regarding noninterest income, despite an anticipated late Q1 change in our overdraft program anticipated to reduce 2023 fees by approximately $3.5 million, total fee income is anticipated to grow by a low-single digit percentage compared to 2022 totals. Key drivers of the growth are expected in deposit account interchange in ATM given the focused growth on core operating accounts, continued growth momentum in wealth management, though likely not to the degree experienced in Q4 and a continued demand over loan level derivative product driving fee income similar to the levels noted in Q4. Given the reduction in mortgage refinance opportunities and decreased pipelines, mortgage banking income will continue to be challenged for much of 2023. Regarding more immediate guidance, given the increased level of non-recurring fee income noted in the fourth quarter and reduced level of days in Q1, Q1 fee income is expected to be down a high-single digit percentage when compared to Q4 levels. Regarding non-interest expenses, inflationary pressures increased investment in continuously improving the customer experience and some one-time items associated with the recently announced CEO transition are expected to drive increases in total expenses in the mid to high-single digit range for the full year as compared to 2022 operating levels, which exclude M&A. In terms of more immediate guidance, Q1 2023 expenses are expected to increase at a low to mid-single digit percentage over 2022 Q4 levels. And lastly, the tax rate is expected to be in the 24% to 25% range for the full year. That concludes my comments, and we will now open it up to questions.