Earnings Labs

Ingles Markets, Incorporated (IMKTA)

Q4 2012 Earnings Call· Fri, Dec 7, 2012

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and welcome to the Ingles Markets Incorporated Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2012 Conference Call. Today's call is being recorded. At this time, for opening remarks and introductions, I would like to turn the call over to the Chief Financial Officer, Mr. Ron Freeman. Please go ahead, sir.

Ron Freeman

Management

Thank you. Good morning, everyone. Welcome to Ingles Markets 2012 Fourth Quarter and Year End Earnings Announcements and Conference Call. With me today are Robert Ingle II, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Tom Outlaw, Vice President of Sales; and Jim Lanning, President. Statements made on this call include forward-looking statements as defined by and subject to the Safe Harbors created by federal securities laws. Words such as expect, anticipate, intend, plan, likely, goal, seek, believe and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions, which are difficult to predict. Therefore, actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expected on this call. Ingles Markets does not undertake and declines any obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. For a description of factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from that anticipated by forward-looking statements, you are referred to the company's public filings, including the upcoming Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended September 29, 2012. In accordance with the long-standing company policy and in recognition of the extremely competitive nature of our industry, this call will not address individual competitors or Ingles marketing strategies other than what is included in the company's filings. This morning, I'll provide you with a summary of our fourth quarter and annual result, followed by additional comments on each period. After that, we will be pleased to take your questions. Our press release issued this morning is available on our website at www.ingles-markets.com. Our Form 10-K will be filed later. Upon filing, it will be available on our website as well. We are very pleased to report this morning that this was our 48th consecutive year…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We'll take our first question from Damian Witkowski with Gabelli & Company.

Damian Witkowski

Analyst

You, in your prepared remarks, said competition is intense and consumers still facing difficulty. It doesn't serve a general statement. Is that really any change? I know you don't talk about specific competitors, but has the competitive environment gotten worse sequentially, or -- and the same for the consumer environment, or is it about the same?

Ron Freeman

Management

It's about the same, still difficult.

Damian Witkowski

Analyst

Yes. And any -- if you look at your monthly comps, I know you don't disclose them, but as gasoline prices went down, did you see an impact on the consumer and what they bought within the store?

Ron Freeman

Management

Not really. And again, our gallons sold were up while the price was down a little bit, but it wasn't a huge shift either way.

Damian Witkowski

Analyst

Okay. And then you haven't -- I don't know if there's a way of breaking out. You broke out the comparable same-store sales 13 weeks versus 13 weeks, but if you look at your net income, the $2.3 million increase, what is the benefit of the extra week this fourth quarter?

Ron Freeman

Management

Well, you can't quantify it exactly because we have certain expenses that are period expenses, whether it's a 14-week quarter and a 53-week year versus a 52 and a 13. It's a lot easier to do that with sales numbers when you compare the number of weeks. So by the time you get to the bottom line, you lose a lot of the ability to do that.

Damian Witkowski

Analyst

Okay. And then you said the CapEx, the $180.6 million for the full year, majority of it was for the new DC.

Ron Freeman

Management

That's correct.

Damian Witkowski

Analyst

How should we think about majority? I mean, are we saying half of it, of 60%, 75%?

Ron Freeman

Management

Well, we don't break it down in any of our disclosures between the DC and everything else. We try to manage our CapEx from a particular number and then allocate how we use that number. The number was higher for 2012 because of the distribution center. Looking forward, now that we've completed that, we're projecting to settle back down into a lower range of total CapEx and get back to devoting that almost exclusively to the store base.

Damian Witkowski

Analyst

Okay. And again, the -- there was obviously a benefit in the fourth quarter from the new DC, but you don't break that out. But, I mean, how should we think about 2013 benefit for the full year? And again, it doesn't have to be an exact number, but I assume you kind of assume some sort of a benefit for the full year and I think there's a ramp-up period. Could you just remind me how that works?

Ron Freeman

Management

Well, at this point, we've pretty much ramped-up. So fiscal year 2013, we are anticipating giving a full -- getting a full unfiltered year of benefit out of that. But those benefits come in a lot of different places. It comes from not only your distribution cost. It also involves your negotiations with vendors, who you're now buying from directly and some allowances you get there. And some of that, you can't predict with a tremendous amount of accuracy. And again, it's going to end up in 2 or 3 different places on the financials. But suffice it to say, we're happy the facility is opened, we're very pleased with the performance of it so far and we absolutely expect that to continue.

Damian Witkowski

Analyst

Okay. And then finally, when does it make sense, if you look at your $575 million note that you have to pay, I think, 8.75% on. I know it matures in 2017, but when does it make sense to start thinking about prepaying that amount? Have you actually started the process?

Ron Freeman

Management

Well, high-yield market conditions are pretty good right now, so it's something that we're keeping an eye on. And so we haven't run any hard numbers yet. We're still 6 months out from that first call date, but we're absolutely keeping an eye on that.

Damian Witkowski

Analyst

Okay. And your preferred way is just to refinance in the bond market, or...

Ron Freeman

Management

Well, that's part of the evaluation process. We don't have to use that product solely. Again, we've got lots of unencumbered real estate and a number of different financing options available to us. And we're looking at all of those right now and see where we are come May.

Damian Witkowski

Analyst

I mean, part of that -- Loblaw last night -- yesterday, actually, announced that they're doing a REIT there in Canada, so it's different rules. But -- and I know we've talked about in the past, but it seems like that would a viable way for you to really lower your cost of capital.

Ron Freeman

Management

Well, it depends upon which side of the REIT you're on, I suppose. It's something that we've considered in the past and, obviously, never done, and it's something we'll continue to look at.

Damian Witkowski

Analyst

Well, I mean, can you share what the reason you have -- it wasn't attractive in the first place? Was it the rates? Was it the structure?

Ron Freeman

Management

We can't talk about that.

Operator

Operator

We'll go next to Lew Moser [ph] with Mafax Investors [ph].

Unknown Analyst

Analyst

Yes, I was going to ask a question about that extra week as to value of the week, but I heard your explanation. The number of stores that you put into open or close in the coming year, do you have a feel for that?

Ron Freeman

Management

Well, we have a feel for it, but there's so many variables involving weather and involving how the company performs over that time period. We're a little hesitant to say it's going to be x number of stores or y number of stores. Plus, as you've seen over the last couple of years, we're going to continue our program of doing smaller projects that don't involve new buildings or additional square feet in a larger number of stores. That's been a very successful process for us.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst

What is your feeling as to continuation of progress in terms of central record sales or record earnings?

Ron Freeman

Management

We don't publicly talk about any future projections.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We'll go next to Bryan Hunt with Wells Fargo Securities.

Bryan Hunt

Analyst

On the topic that you just touched on, on more projects or smaller projects in more stores using your CapEx dollars, and I know you guys outlined in your disclosures how many major remodels and new stores you've opened on a 5-year look back. But is there any way you can give us an idea of how many stores that you all touched overall in the 5-year look back, maybe with a minor remodel?

Ron Freeman

Management

Well, again, in a minor remodel and the types of things that we've been doing, we aren't adding any square feet at all. And depending upon the store involved, what we do to it can really have a significant range. So it's not one of those things where I can say we did this with x numbers of stores and we spend y dollars on each one of them. It really is going to depend upon store to store.

Bryan Hunt

Analyst

Would it be safe to assume that, I mean, you all have touched every store in the last 10 years in some form or fashion?

Ron Freeman

Management

No, that wouldn't be safe to assume.

Bryan Hunt

Analyst

Okay. I guess shifting gears and looking at sales for the quarter, you mentioned basket size was up. Was basket size up on pricing or was it items? Is there any way you can delve into that?

Ron Freeman

Management

I don't have it broken down quite to that level of detail, so I can't answer your question.

Bryan Hunt

Analyst

Okay. And then on the same-store sales front, and, again, if you look at baskets, is there any shift in sales? Do you have consumers buying more prepared foods versus center of the store? And I know you all comment on individual items in your filings as well, so is there any color you can give us on that?

Ron Freeman

Management

Yes, and that's been a trend that's been in place for a couple, 3 years now, really ever since the economy turned, where we're seeing better growth in our perishable areas than we do in the other areas. And then I think that reflects to the improvements we've made there, and the fact that people still on eating out as much as they did 4 years ago. They're coming to our delis.

Bryan Hunt

Analyst

And your hot food bar in your stores as well.

Ron Freeman

Management

Yes.

Bryan Hunt

Analyst

If you look at a year ago, which just said played into my next question, that was a -- it was a very mild winter. There was a nice swing in same-store sales for dining out, and the industry supermarket kind of suffered on a same-store sales front in Q4 calendar last year and Q1 of this year. Could you talk about how the warm weather impacted you all, and whether you're anticipating a more normalized year on the same-store sales front?

Ron Freeman

Management

Well, if you look at the last 3 years, it's kind of hard to determine what a normalized year in -- year is. I mean, last year was very mild, but 2 winters before that were harsher than the ones that we've had about a decade. And so we certainly benefited from that, and it made the drop noticeable last year when we had a mild winter. So, gosh, you tell me what a typical winter is now given all that over the last 3 years. We certainly -- nothing that we're seeing says it's going to be as mild this year, so we would hope that we would get some benefit from that.

Bryan Hunt

Analyst

Okay. So bottom line is, if we get some type of normalized weather pattern, with snow and ice and rain, you guys should benefit to some degree?

Ron Freeman

Management

Yes.

Bryan Hunt

Analyst

All right. And then when I look at the 100 to 130 of CapEx, you don't want to give us new store construction. Is there any way you can carve it up into relative baskets: this is for new store and remodel, this is for maintenance CapEx, et cetera?

Ron Freeman

Management

Well, again, maintenance CapEx is not a concept that we ascribe to. Never have. But again, now that the distribution center's done, we're back to a more normal for us spread on how we spend the CapEx. The majority of that's going to be in the store base. There'll also be for some for distribution from Milkco, but the majority of that is going to be in the store base, large majority of it.

Operator

Operator

And we'll go to Damian Witkowski with Gabelli & Company for follow-up.

Damian Witkowski

Analyst

Ron, one quick follow-up. You talked about your -- the trend of more perishables being purchased, and if you look at your grocery margin, I think it's been flat for a while on a year-over-year basis. And so -- and perishables sort of has a typically higher gross margin, so it sort of implies that the middle of the store maybe -- the gross margin is maybe lower. Is that the case? And if so, why is that?

Ron Freeman

Management

Well, you can look to competitive factors, you can look to the way vendors are approaching us now versus the way they may have approached it last year. It's just gotten a little tougher in that regard, both sides, from the buy side and sales side.

Damian Witkowski

Analyst

And your own brands, your private label, I mean, how big is that now?

Ron Freeman

Management

It continues to grow as a percentage. And of course, we're very pleased with that, and we hope that, that trend continues.

Damian Witkowski

Analyst

But you don't disclose how big it is as a percent of total grocery items or sales?

Ron Freeman

Management

No, we do not.

Damian Witkowski

Analyst

Okay. And is it growing faster than national brands, or is that sort of varied based on what the vendor -- national brands are doing on the promotional side?

Ron Freeman

Management

Yes, it really varies on what the national vendors are doing in particular areas.

Operator

Operator

And we have no further questions at this time.

Ron Freeman

Management

Okay. Well, great. Thank you everyone for joining us today. We appreciate your time and your interest. And we want to wish all of our customers, employees and shareholders a very happy and safe holiday season. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

And that concludes today's conference. We thank you for your participation.