Paul Smithers
Analyst · BTIG
Thanks, Alan. I would first like to emphasize as Alan noted that our conviction of the long-term growth of the regulated cannabis industry is unabated, with expectations from industry analysts that U.S. regulated cannabis sales will continue its annualized double-digit growth over the coming years. As we noted on our last call, we have seen unit pricing for regulated cannabis products decline in certain states at the wholesale level in the past months, reflective of what we believe to be a number of factors, including basic supply-demand dynamics, driven by licensing structures, lack of meaningful enforcement in certain states on illicit, non-licensed cannabis sales by state and local law enforcement authorities, taxation and general macroeconomic conditions. We have seen and do expect to continue to see price compression on cannabis unit pricing across states to varying degrees depending on that state's market dynamics and program specifics. That said, we are closely monitoring the impact that California Attorney General, Rob Bonta's recent announced may have on the very large relatively uninhibited illicit market in the State of California. In October, the California Attorney General announced that California would expand its enforcement efforts against illicit cannabis grows, with its eradication and prevention of illicit cannabis task force shifting the seasonal 90 day focus on eradicating illicit grows to a year round practice with one of its goals to support the legal market. As we noted before, we believe this continued price compression will require operators to continue to focus on the dual aspects of brand strength through product quality and efficiency of operations, and that our mission-critical facilities are well designed to achieve both goals for our tenant partners. As we should note of course that while wholesale average price compression provides some informative value, pricing is heavily dependent with wide ranges, based on product quality and licensing structures with higher-quality, vertically-integrated operators have distinct advantage over others in terms of pricing dynamics. Capital availability. As we noted on our last call, financial markets have become increasingly volatile and restrictive over the past months since the U.S. Federal Reserve began tightening monetary policy in March and pursued a path of increasing interest rates on a timeline that we frankly have never witnessed as a country. That volatility in a restrictive environment has not dissipated in any way from what we have seen, and we see the war in Ukraine, other geopolitical tensions and supply chain issues adding to the uncertain economic outlook and continuing to stoke inflationary expectations. As with other industries, the cost of capital and capital availability has fundamentally changed for cannabis operators over the course of this year. As we noted previously, capital raising across the cannabis industry continues to be very subdued versus the relative strength of 2021. And debt continues to be the focus for most cannabis operators this year, with minimal equity raised. In fact, according to Viridian Capital Advisors, total capital raised for U.S. regulated cannabis operators was down by more than two-thirds during the first three quarters of 2022 versus 2021. And in terms of equity capital raised, down 96% from the prior year period. I'd also note that capital raising has noticeably diminished in the public REIT markets as well during Q3 with total capital raising in terms of both debt and equity being the lowest since Q4 of 2009, the depth of The Great Recession. Total capital raising for Q3 was $6.2 billion compared to $29.4 billion raised in the third quarter of last year. Inflation and supply chain issues. As we noted in our prior call, inflation continues to impact our operators in terms of labor and input costs, in addition to driving up the costs of construction for development, and redevelopment activities versus original budgets. In addition, continued supply chain issues and labor shortages are resulting in certain projects being delayed in their completion. Of course, these developments have the effect of requiring the operator to put up more capital to complete the project and are resulting in delays in revenue generation, as projects take longer to complete. In combination with the current environment of limited capital availability, these can be significant obstacles for certain operators. Federal legislation. In terms of recent Federal developments, while there is no substantive movement to report as it pertains to Federal legislation, we do want to touch on President Biden's announcement to pardon prior Federal offenses for simple cannabis possession and the directive to the HHS Secretary and Attorney General to initiate review of how cannabis is scheduled under Federal law. While this was certainly an attention grabbing announcement, the pardon for Federal offenses itself impacts a very small cohort of a few thousand as a vast majority of convictions for simple cannabis possession are made at the state level. However, pardons constitute an action that cannot be undone by subsequent administrations. And so in a sense, this is the first permanent change to the Federal cannabis landscape in a very long time. And there have been some who postulate this action as a potential factor contributing to the argument for notification of Federal laws pertaining to cannabis, with the basis being that the Federal government has not strictly enforced cannabis laws for years, and therefore, it should be left to the states to decide. We find this an interesting viewpoint. And ultimately, it is unclear what, if any, impact this announcement will have on the various Federal legislative efforts in process. In terms of President Biden's directive to the HHS secretary and AG to initiate review of current cannabis scheduling, while this does represent a potential road to rescheduling, or descheduling, we think it is a road that will take years to travel, requiring significant clinical research, and of course, time consuming litigation along the way. I'd like to now turn the call over to Ben to discuss our portfolio and investment activity in the third quarter and year-to-date. Ben?