Mike Gazmarian
Analyst · Rosenblatt Securities. Your line is now open
Thank you H. As we reported earlier this morning, Insteel’s net earnings for the first quarter of fiscal 2017 fell to $4.5 million from $6.7 million a year ago, and earnings per share dropped to $0.23 from $0.36. On a positive note, the softening in business we experienced in the fourth quarter proved to be of short duration with shipments trending stronger than anticipated during Q1, which has historically been our slowest period of the year due to the onset of winter weather and holiday schedules. Shipments for the quarter are up 8.5% year-over-year and the 4.7% sequential decrease from Q4 to Q1 was significantly lower than the usual seasonal drop-off we experience. Unfortunately, the favorable impact from the higher volume was offset by narrower spreads between selling prices and raw material costs. As we indicated on our Q4 earnings call, our quarter-end inventory was valued at higher average unit cost and cost of sales for the period, and these higher costs would compress spreads until we begin to consume more recent lower cost purchases, which proved to be the case. Since we are typically carrying around three months of inventory valued on a FIFO basis, there is usually about a one-quarter lag before purchases are reflected in cost of sales. The higher raw material costs were compounded by a 4.5% sequential reduction in average selling prices due to competitive pricing pressures that we believe were triggered by the softening in shipments and the drop-off in steel metallic prices during the fourth quarter heading into the slower time of the year. These pressures diminished over the course of the first quarter as demand rebounded and it became more apparent that the initial November uptick in steel prices is going to continue. Shipments have remained above expected levels thus far in January, although I would caution that our volume over the remainder of the quarter can be significantly impacted by the relative severity of the winter weather. We are also facing difficult prior-year comps considering the unusually mild weather conditions that benefited us during the second quarter of last year. Gross profit for the first quarter fell $3.4 million from a year ago to $13 million with gross margin narrowing 390 basis points to 13.9% due to the compression in spreads as the year-over-year reduction in ASPs exceeded the drop-off in raw material costs. We ended the quarter with approximately three months of inventory valued at average unit costs that were below Q1 cost of sales, which will benefit us during the second quarter. Prices for hot rolled steel wire rod, the raw material used to produce all our products, have escalated since November, following the upward trend for steel scrap with domestic rod producers announcing three consecutive increases totaling $130 a ton. We are currently in the process of pursuing price increases to offset these higher costs, which should favorably impact our second quarter results. SG&A expense for the quarter was relatively flat compared to a year ago at $6.3 million, as lower incentive plan expense under our return on capital plan was offset by higher employee benefit and compensation costs. We ended the quarter with $57 million of cash on hand, or $3 a share, and no borrowings outstanding on our $100 million credit facility, positioning us with plenty of financial flexibility. Looking ahead to the remainder of the year, we expect favorable conditions in our construction end markets. The monthly construction spending data has strengthened recently with the November total rising to its highest level in over 10 years on a seasonally adjusted annual basis. November year-to-date spending was up 4.4% from last year with private non-res up 7.7% and private res up 5% while public was down just under 1%. After moderating around the middle of the year, public highway and street construction spending has picked up over the past few months with the October/November total up 7.3% year-over-year, and the November year-to-date total up 2% from last year. The most recent reports for the Architectural Billings Index and Dodge Momentum Index reflect favorable trends that imply further improvement in non-residential building construction in the coming year. Yesterday, the American Institute of Architects reported that the ABI ended 2016 on a strong note, rising to 55.9 in December, its highest level for the year largely from improvements in the commercial industrial and institutional sectors. The monthly average for the year wound up at a positive 51.2, which was down only slightly from 51.6 in 2015. The Dodge Momentum Index has now risen 11 in the last 13 months, increasing to its highest level in eight years. The December three-month average was smoothed out to typical month-to-month volatility was up 16.8% year-over-year driven by a 30.6% increase in the commercial component. As we move further into the year, we believe the Federal FAST Act funding will begin to have a more significant impact on infrastructure construction, particularly when the increases that were authorized are finally appropriated. Unfortunately, transportation funding has been maintained at the prior-year level under the continuing resolution currently in effect that runs through April 28. Finally, we are encouraged by the support that has been expressed by the new administration for the rebuilding of our nation’s infrastructure. It currently appears that the specifics of a new plan will be firmed up sometime in the spring or summer, which could drive additional demand growth for our products in the coming years. Our business outlook could also be favorably impacted by other changes that are likely to be pursued in the areas of tax reform, regulatory relief, and trade policy. I will now turn the call back over to H.