Michela Casassa Ramat
Analyst · Bank of America
Thank you, Luis Felipe. Good morning, and welcome, everyone, to Intercorp Financial Services Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. We would like to start with our key messages for the quarter. We had a strong second Q, continuing with the positive trends in our core businesses. Moreover, second Q was boosted by solid investment results. Our net income reached PEN 580 million at IFS with an ROE of around 21%. Second key message, our commercial and payments ecosystem is growing as evidenced by a number of indicators, one of which is our market share in commercial banking growing more than 90 basis points in the last year. Third, our quarterly cost of risk stood at 2.5%, which is 150 basis points below last year, stable at low levels while maintaining a relatively stable NIM. Fourth, the cost of funds remained stable this quarter, although showing an improvement of 40 basis points on a year-over-year basis, primarily due to a better funding mix. Fifth, we are strengthening primary banking relationships and as a result, our retail primary banking customers grew 10% in the last year. Last, we had solid core results in Wealth Management, boosted by investments performance with other income growing 5.3x in the last year. Additionally, insurance continues in a solid path of growth as written premiums increased by 77% year-over-year due to the growth in private annuities and life insurance. Let's start with our first key message. Let me share an overview of the macroeconomic environment. GDP growth showed a slight deceleration in second quarter, though it remains above consensus with an expected rate around 3%. May growth was 2.7%, bringing year-to-date expansion to 3.1%. Primary GDP contracted by 0.3%, while non-primary GDP grew 3.2%. Sector performance includes construction led with 6% growth, followed by agriculture, services and commerce, especially lodging and restaurants, all above 5%. Inflation continues under control and the reference rate stands at 4.5%, aligned with the Fed and it is the lowest and most stable currency in the region. With a real rate near 2.2%, the Central Bank has room to ease, though it's likely to wait for the Fed to move first. In 2024, Peruvian Sol depreciated less than 1% and has since appreciated by around 5% and the global uncertainty. GDP forecast is at 3.1%. The 2026 projection holds at 2.9%, keeping Peru among the region's fastest-growing economies. On the same line, business expectations remain stable in the optimistic range, while consumer confidence continues to improve, supporting domestic consumption. In fact, the Central Bank revised its 2025 internal demand forecast upward from 3.5% to 4.4%, driven by strong private consumption and investment. Private investment is supported by self-construction, improved financial conditions and higher business confidence on top of the extensive pipeline of projects to come in mining and infrastructure. Private consumption remains dynamic, fueled by wage growth and employment recovery, which is helping households to receive tangible improvements in their economic situation. While labor market growth has moderated, it remains positive. Formal job creation continues across sectors with notable growth in services 4%, commerce 4%, in agriculture 26%. Despite this, loans have yet to show significant growth with year-over-year and year-to-date expansion at system level below 2%. Liquidity events such as several funds withdrawals have not supported credit growth and banks remain cautious. The second quarter was slightly more dynamic for commercial lending, but still below expected levels given the macro backdrop. We expect a more dynamic second half for the financial system with total loans growing around 5%, mainly driven by retail lending, although momentum may soften due to further withdrawals. On Slide 6, we have some positive news to share. In the second quarter, we delivered strong earnings of PEN 580 million, double what we reported a year ago and 30% higher than the last quarter. This brought our ROE to 20.7%. On the banking side, results continue to improve with earnings growing 1.5x over the past year. While the growth of the consumer portfolio has been slower than initially expected, the current portfolio mix continues to positively influence cost of risk, which remains at low levels. Additionally, increased client transaction volumes is contributing to fee generation. On insurance, we continue to deliver strong results with good trends in its core business, especially in private annuities, which benefited from synergies with Inteligo and in mandatory annuities and finally, due to the disability and survivorship portfolio. Finally, our Wealth Management business delivered a very strong performance this quarter. The core business continues to grow steadily, supported by consistent asset under management expansion. Additionally, we benefited from strong investment results this quarter. All in all, this was a strong quarter across IFS with investment gains and resilient core operations driving profitability. On Slide 7, we show you the continuous positive quarterly earnings and ROE trends. Since early 2024, we've seen a positive trend in both earnings and ROE. As of the first half of 2025, earnings are 2.4x higher than the same period last year, and our accumulated ROE stands at 18.4%. At the bank, the recovery remains on track. While NIM and consumer loan growth are progressing slower than planned, we are seeing encouraging trends in other areas, particularly low levels of cost of risk and improvement in fees. Moreover, Inteligo has delivered very strong results, along with good performance from Interseguro's real estate portfolio. Another positive highlight is the growing diversification of IFS earnings. In the first half of the year, the bank contributed less than 70% of total earnings, showing the increasing relevance of our other segments. Let's now turn to Slide 8, where we take a closer look at IFS revenues, which grew 19% year-over-year. At the bank level, we continue to see stability of NIM, mainly due to slower-than-expected growth in the consumer portfolio, which impacts average yield, offset by ongoing improvement in the cost of funds and by a low cost of risk aligned with the portfolio mix. On the fee side, the bank posted 14% growth, supported by both commercial banking fees and increased retail activity, particularly higher credit card purchases. Inteligo also delivered a 17% increase in fees, reflecting continued AUM growth and the strength of its core business. Interseguro and Inteligo had both strong revenue trends, as mentioned before. On Slide 9, expenses at IFS grew 10% year-over-year, reflecting strategic investments aimed at supporting long-term growth. These include accelerated spending in technology focused on resilience, user experience, cybersecurity, increased capacity and AI as well as efforts to strengthen leadership across key teams, recognizing the importance of talent in executing our strategy. As a result, the cost- to-income ratio at the bank level reached 42%, while at the IFS level, strong top line performance kept the ratio at a benchmark level of 36%. Now let's move on to our second key message. On Slide 11, we wanted to give you an update on the consumer portfolio. The current mix continues to lean towards lower risk segments, supported by growth in affluent clients and improved risk profile in the mass market segment, while this has helped keep the retail cost of risk at low level. As of June 25, cash loan disbursements increased by 80% year-over-year. In credit cards, transactional activity continues to grow as turnover rose 15% year-over-year, although this hasn't translated into higher balances. The share of full payers increased from 22% in the second quarter of 2024 to 30% in the second quarter this year. We started to see some growth in the overall consumer portfolio, which expanded by 0.6% in the last quarter, a trend that has accelerated in July. However, the pace remains slower than expected, reflected both supply and demand dynamics. On the supply side, we've maintained a cautious approach to ensure healthy growth. On the demand side, ongoing liquidity events such as the several funds withdrawals have provided extra liquidity to clients. While consumption remains active, many clients are still not ready to take on additional credit. That said, we continue to explore higher-yielding segments, but always with a prudent approach. On Slide 12, we show you the evolution of loan growth and market share. Total loans grew 6% year-over-year, outperforming the system by a multiple around 3x and resulting in a gain of 30 basis points in total market share. In Commercial Banking, we've gained 90 basis points of market share, supported by 3 key drivers. First, sales finance remains a strategic focus, growing by 20% year-over-year, consolidating our position as the second largest player in the system. Second, we continue to deepen customer relationships, offering more products and growing our balances with our most relevant clients, reflected in a 240 basis point gain in midsized companies market share. And third, our synergy with Izipay is helping us reach more clients with a strong value proposition, both in midsized companies and small companies through Izipay, where we have gained 30 basis points market share and still see room to grow. On the retail side, we were almost were up 1.2% year-over-year, led by high-income segments. Mortgage continues to grow steadily, while consumer lending remains more challenging, especially in a more competitive environment. As part of our strategy, we are strengthening our payment ecosystem with PLIN and Izipay. We have continued working to generate further synergies as we encourage in growth of our payment ecosystem, focusing on increasing transactional volumes, offering merchants value-added services and using Izipay as a distribution network for Interbank products as well as a source to increase float. In this manner, PLIN active users grew 13% over the last year and our digital retail customers reached 83%. Moreover, Izipay app and Izipay continue to gain traction with volumes from Izipay increasing 1.7x, resulting in more flow coming to Interbank Consequently, small business deposits have grown by 20%, now representing around 10% of our wholesale deposits and 24% of our wholesale core deposits. Finally, Interbank share of Izipay flows now stands at around 39%. Following with the third message, we continue to see a low cost of risk and relatively stable NIM. On Slide 15, we'd like to highlight the continued strength of our asset quality metrics. Cost of risk remains low across segments. In retail, it stands at 4.2%, a level that is 300 basis points below last year. In Commercial Banking, cost of risk remained stable at around 0.6%. These trends reflect both an improving macroeconomic environment and healthier client payment behavior. In fact, the 2.5% consolidated cost of risk for the second quarter is aligned with the first quarter, excluding the one-off impact from Telefonica. In Commercial Banking, that effect drove a temporary decline in the quarter. Without this effect, we see a slight increase in cost of risk still within expected level. In retail, we stand at 4.2%, mainly driven by the portfolio mix, which has shown a meaningful improvement versus last year with the consumer portfolio going down from 11.7% cost of risk to 7.2%. This aligns with the improved client risk profile and product mix discussed earlier. New vintages are also showing stable early indicators. Within the total portfolio, credit cards and payable loans have maintained an 18% share for 3 consecutive quarters. Finally, NPL ratios remain stable and coverage levels are solid above 140%. On Slide 16, we show the evolution of yields and margins. Loan yields declined 70 basis points year-over-year, reaching 9.9% in the second quarter, but stable versus the first quarter. This was mainly due to the lower market rates and loan book mix. That said, the good news is that yields stabilized during the last quarter, supported by some improvement in consumer portfolio and a positive trend in small business lending. Despite the pressure on yields, NIM has remained relatively stable in the last year, thanks to the reduction in cost of funds, which offset the decline in asset yields. It's also worth noting that we carried additional cash during the quarter in preparation for the call of Interbank subordinated bond, which had an 8 basis point impact on NIM this quarter. Thus, we will start to see an improvement in NIM in the coming quarters. All in all, risk-adjusted NIM improved 80 basis points year-over-year, in line with the lower cost of risk we mentioned earlier. On a quarter-over-quarter basis, risk-adjusted NIM improved 10 basis points. Now we will deep dive into the cost of funds and funding mix. On Slide 18, the cost of deposits declined by 60 basis points year-over-year, supported by lower market rates and a healthier funding mix. Cost of deposits remained stable quarter-over-quarter, but the annual trend is clearly positive, and we see further potential for reduction going Deposits have also become a more relevant part of our funding structure now at around 80%. Growth has come from both retail and commercial segments with total deposits up 7.4% year-over-year, well above the systems 4.8%, resulting in a market share gain reaching 13.9% of total deposits. As a result, our overall cost of funds fell by 40 basis points compared to last year, although it remained stable during the quarter. Finally, our loan-to-deposit ratio stands at 96%, in line with the industry average. On Slide 19, we take a closer look at Interbank's low-cost funding strategy. Our approach focuses on capturing saving deposits and current accounts with low or 0 interest rates, supported by initiatives that enhance the value-added services we offer to clients. Synergies with Izipay have played a key role, allowing us to deliver a more comprehensive service and increase the float retained in Interbank accounts. This has contributed to a 12% increase in commercial banking low-cost funding. Institutional accounts have also supported this growth, benefiting from personalized services and efficient funding solutions. On the retail side, we continue to strengthen customer engagement and improve the customer experience to foster primary banking relationships. As a result, retail low-cost funding grew 8% year-over-year and the share of time deposits over total retail deposits declined from 34% to 32%. Altogether, these efforts led to a 12% year-over-year increase in total low-cost funding, raising its share from 32% to 34%. Moving on to our digital strategy. On Slide 21, we continue to create significant value in primary banking relationships through our digital developments and PLIN. Over the last year, we have been able to increase our retail primary banking customers by 10%, now representing more than 33% of our retail client base. PLIN reached 2.4 million active customers monthly, each making an average of 25 transactions, up 25% compared to last year. In total, we closed the second quarter with a 44% increase of monthly transactions year-over-year. A key driver of this engagement is our focus on P2M payments, which now represent 70% of total transactions. Within this, QR POS payments grow steadily, reaching 2.2 million monthly transactions, up 51%. We also launched PLIN Metropolitano, expanding our use cases and accelerating adoption. Additionally, we believe we have solid key performance indicators that continue to improve. For example, our inflow payroll accounts hold around 14% market share, retail deposits are at approximately 15% market share and credit cards about 26%. All of these metrics are supported by an NPS of retail banking of 54, reflecting our commitment to customer satisfaction and loyalty. On Slide 22, we continue to see good trends in our digital indicators compared to last year as we remain focused on developing solutions that meet our customers' evolving needs. As a result, we've seen steady growth in digital adoption. Our retail digital customer base increased from 80% to 83%, while commercial digital clients now stand at 74%. We've also made progress in self-service and digital sales. Our self-service indicator reached 78% and digital sales climbed to 71%. These improvements are supported by our always on communication strategy, which focuses on educating customers about new self- service features through the app and our virtual assistant. While the latest NPS reading we have corresponding to April showed a drop, our internal data fully reflects a clear recovery. Finally, solid results with growth in the core business of wealth management and insurance. On Page 24, we highlight the strong performance in our Wealth Management business this quarter. Inteligo continues to show solid momentum. Assets under management have grown at double-digit pace, reaching new highs and now totaling $7.8 billion. Fee income continues to improve, up 19% year-over-year, adding to the positive trend in results. Additionally, other income grew 5.3x year-over-year and 2.4x quarter-over-quarter, supported by a 12-month return on investments of 17%. That said, for the second half of the year, we anticipate a normalization towards more typical levels. As of June, Inteligo's accumulated ROE stands at 31%. For the full year, we expect results to normalize and remain within our guidance range. On the digital front, we continue to enhance our Interfondos app, which is our mutual funds app with the goal of shifting its role from a transactional platform to a true digital adviser for our mutual funds clients. As a result, we have seen a sustained increase in both the app adoption with a 7-point year-over-year increase and digital transactions, which grew by 6 points annually and now represent more than half of all client transactions. Now moving to insurance on Slide 26. We continue to see good momentum in the contractual service margin, which grew 17% year- over-year, mainly driven by individual life. In the second quarter, reserves for individual life and annuities increased by 31% and 14%, respectively, supported by strong new business generation that more than offset the monthly amortization of the CSM. Individual Life remains a key focus for us given its low market penetration. Although traditional channels keep growing at high rates, we've been also diversifying our distribution strategy to include digital ones and simplifying the product to reach new segments and keep supporting growth. Additionally, short-term insurance premiums grew by over 110% driven by the disability and survivorship premiums acquired through a 2-year bidding process from the Peruvian private pension system. On the investment side, results remain stable. The return on the investment portfolio reached 6.1%, primarily supported by interest increase from fixed income portfolio and investment funds. In insurance, we continue to focus on enhancing the digital experience as well for our clients and expanding our sales from digital channels. The development of internal capabilities has allowed us to increase digital self-service to 68% from 66% of the previous year and the direct sales to grow 11% in the last year. Now let me move to the final part of the presentation where we provide some takeaways. Before we move on to our operating trends, we'd like to share where we are focusing our growth efforts. On the retail side, we continue to see growth in mortgages as we continue to gain market share now at 15.8%. We're beginning to observe early signs of recovery in the consumer loan portfolio. That said, the pace of recovery has been slower than we initially expected. In Commercial Banking, we are seeing solid progress supported by 3 main strategies. In insurance, we are maintaining our focus on long-term products. While the market remains challenging, individual life have shown encouraging growth this past quarter. Finally, in Wealth Management, assets under management continues to grow at a healthy pace, up 14% year-over-year, reaching a new record level, a reflection of both market performance and continued client engagement. On Slide 30, let me give you a review of the operating trends of the first half. Capital ratios remain at sound levels with a total capital ratio of around 17% and the core equity Tier 1 ratio close to 12%. Our ROE for the first half of the year was 18.4%, above our guidance. As mentioned before, we expect the second half to go back to more normal levels and the year-end ROE to be closer to 17%. For loan growth, we grew 6% as of June, in line with our guidance and above the system. We expect a slight recovery in NIM over the remainder part of the year, although it continues to face some pressure. On the positive side, cost of risk is expected to remain well below guidance, helping to offset lower margins. As a result, we anticipate a slight improvement in our risk-adjusted NIM for the full year. Finally, we continue to focus on efficiency at IFS as our cost to income was around 36% within guidance. On Slide 32, we highlight our strong sustainability performance for the second half of 2025. On the environmental front, our sustainable loan portfolio reached EUR 400 million, supporting projects with measurable environmental benefits. We also advanced our renewable energy efforts with 33 financial stores now IREC certified. Additionally, all corporate banking executives managing the agricultural portfolio have been ave been trained in Climate Technologies, an important step in our sustainable finance strategy. On the social side, we continue to promote inclusive growth. Interbank ranked #2 in the Great Place to Work Diversity, Equity and Inclusion ranking with Interseguro and Inteligo Group also recognized. Interbank and Interseguro were also ranked among the top 10 best places to work for women. Through Izipay app, we are supporting over 1.2 million entrepreneurs while more than 1,600 Peruvians are now covered by our inclusive insurance products, Vida Cash and Rumbo. Additionally, over 3,600 entrepreneurs have received financial training through Escuela, Izipay's education platform. Finally, we published our Equator Principles report, reaffirming our alignment with international standards for responsible environmental and social risk management in project finance. Let me finalize the presentation with some key takeaways. First, we had a strong second quarter. Second, growing commercial and payment ecosystem while consumer portfolio is starting to slowly recover. Third, low cost of risk continues and stable NIM. Fourth, there is a positive trend in funding mix. Fifth, we are strengthening primary banking relationships. And sixth, we've had solid results in wealth management and insurance. Thank you very much. Now we welcome any questions you may have.