Vivek Jain
Analyst · Larry Solow of CJS Securities. Your line is open
Thanks, John. Good afternoon, everybody. Our second quarter of 2017 was our first full quarter of owning Hospira Infusion Systems and we are about to embark on stage integration execution to create a single unified company. We continued to drive legacy ICU revenue growth in Q2 and executed well through a large volume of commercial, operational and integration activity. On today’s call, in addition to explaining the Q2 2017 results and the most recent business segment performance, I wanted to provide a status review on the near-term goals we described in the last call, outline the current status of integration, discuss our expectations for the balance of 2017, and lastly, provide a sketch of how we are thinking about 2018 at a high level from both an income statement and balance sheet perspective and on the drivers for value creation and the return of our capital into the longer term. In Q2 2017, revenues were generally in line with our expectations. Adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS were slightly above our initial expectations. Like Q1, we continue to have numerous transactional accounting impacts particularly in gross margins which makes the results a little hard to follow. The short story is this. Revenues continue to be slightly better than we thought due to hanging on to some of the business that we expected to go away and likely will, real cash operating expenses were in line with our estimates and the actions we have taken to-date will help improve the results for the balance of the year. We finished the quarter with approximately $332 million in revenue, adjusted EBITDA came in at approximately $47 million and adjusted EPS came in at $0.76 and we finished the quarter with $241 million of cash on our balance sheet. The total company year-over-year comparisons are not relevant than in the business segment commentary, but I will try to provide the best segment color, but please remember the delayed close countries still impact our comps in the infusion consumables and infusion systems segments. Turning to the three primary segments of our combined business, let me start with what we expect to be our largest business over time, Infusion Consumables. This is essentially the legacy IQ business plus the Hospira consumables business which was predominantly the distribution of ICU manufactured products and a smaller amount of unique Hospira products. It’s hard to get the exact revenue number due to the delayed close countries, but our internal estimate which we will not put exactly with the reported numbers is the segment had revenues of approximately $111 million in Q2. That would imply the segment being down high single-digits quarter-over-quarter. Legacy ICU was strong with growth over 20% oncology, both legacy ICU and legacy Hospira businesses were strong internationally and this was offset by legacy Hospira losses in the U.S. This is the segment where we are the most advantage now as a joint entity and we are hard at work on rationalizing the product portfolio and bringing together the operational efficiencies of the combination. Commercially, we have all the pieces, all the technology and all the scale to compete globally and should be able to offer more value to the customer. At the moment we expect Hospira losses to bottom out over the balance of this year as the major changes occurred in the third quarter of 2016 for the legacy Hospira business. We believe that this segment should be positioned for some growth in 2018. It is important to spend a moment on the effects of the transaction on our results in this segment for 2017 as it will make an impact on our 2018 build. As mentioned on the previous call, we are not currently capturing the full margin in this business due to the combination until we have sold all of the inventory Hospira purchased from ICU pre-transaction. To explain this a bit more from an accounting perspective it’s like ICU took a timeout from selling any product to Hospira for most of 2017. Since we became our customer we don’t capture the effective intra-company profit until all existing inventories finished and newly built product is sold to the end customer. Based on our current view of 2018, even with the reduced Hospira demand, we believe this will have a positive $20 million EBIT impact year-over-year as we fully recapture this margin in 2018. The second segment to talk about is infusion systems, which is the business of selling pumps, dedicated sets and software which is an important segment because it’s the business that brings a lot of recurring revenues and it was the largest customer of the legacy ICU OEM business. The same issues exist here and trying to be precise on the revenue number given the delayed close countries and some accounting adjustments. Most of those delayed close geographies Latin America, parts of Europe and Asia are all predominantly pump markets for us. Our internal estimate is the segment delivered $96 million in revenue, which would imply being down in the mid single-digits range as the losses we outlined in the revised transaction are taking a bit longer to materialize. The international business is holding together reasonably well and we would expect this segment to bottom out in the U.S. sometime in 2018 with the lowest level install base in the last 20 years. Relative to where we are starting at the new owner, this segment is much smaller than historical levels and just improving ourselves a little to make a huge difference across the P&L. We have been focused both on our core group of loyalists here from a customer perspective as well as the situations where we think we have market share risk and beginning the process of focusing on how to offset those risks. We think Hospira forgot a lot of the reasons customers like the products and we are going back to work on basic marketing and defining our integrated value to the market. This segment has had historically high amount of resources and structural cost to support it, much more so than other businesses in ICU given its capital equipment. And we have been very aggressive in rightsizing the structural costs to align with the current reality. The last segment that we acquired is one we had the least familiarity with infusion solutions. This segment reported 113 – approximately $113 million in revenues and declined in line with our previous estimates. We are really focused here on quality and capital expenditures and making sure we clean up a lot of the orphan business issues and standup activities. We are trying to operate the transparency to customers and illustrating the generic drug like regulatory framework, high capital expenditures required and value and a healthy supply side situation to a business that was a bit of a historical anomaly at Hospira. And we are deeply focused on our separation from Pfizer here. In Q2 we continue to hang onto some legacy business longer than we expected, but we do assume in our 2017 revised expectations longer term that we will have losses as previously described. On the last call, we outlined our near-term goals of broadening the customer dialogue with an integrated commercial organization, aligning around the various additional cost saving actions, making decisions on geographies, digging in on operational and quality reviews and fully planning the IT conversions and stand up to allow us to exit TSAs from Pfizer and ensure that our R&D and CapEx investments were spent – are spent wisely and with discipline. I wanted to give an update on those items. On customers it has really been about refreshing the message of why ICU Medical exists and the value we can add to the system and the value to the system and having us as a healthy participant. We have locked down our U.S. commercial team and have also finished our reorganization in Canada which is an important geography. We have finished planning most of the commercial organization for the rest of the geographies. With these teams we have been focused on first upping our commercial intensity, changing the commercial execution and improving the customer intimacy that deteriorated over the last few years at Hospira in these business lines. Feedback on the products continues to be solid. The products are necessary for the system and have been reliable for many years. We are trying to bring historical ICU mentality of innovation and value to these categories. We have found a core group of team members who deeply care about the customer and want to get out and fight every day. And we found a core group of customers who believe in the products like the stability and frankly just want to do their jobs of delivering patient care and not particularly interested in the drama of one of their core suppliers. We just need to act with intensity here as we did at ICU over the last few years. On cost savings, we have been very active. Towards the end of Q2, we undertook another deep round of cost savings initiatives. The first activities in Q1 were focused on the commercial activities. These actions were broader and centered around support areas and what I would call the luxury items for us at this moment in our history. The benefits of these actions will start to show later this year and help us to reach our synergy targets for 2018. We have been actively diving into each product line and each geography to understand where we make returns and organize the decisions that need to be made. We stated in the last call that those decisions may result in discontinuing certain product lines or even withdrawing from certain geographic markets. Each decision has to weigh the strategic merits versus the realistic financial plan. Since the last call, we have decided to exit the Brazilian infusion pump market and some regional Middle East locations. More importantly we have continued to move forward on investing where we believe returns can be generated. This morning we signed a small acquisition of an Australian consumable company called Medical Australia. It’s a net $8 million acquisition, but it helps us get more scale in the Australia market where legacy Hospira had lost its footing. It is the company we were tracking for a long time at legacy ICU and now it’s going to help broaden our consumables business. And in the context of this integration it allows us to leverage a bigger footprint in country. It is a public company M&A deal which is a little suboptimal at this size, but we can manage the transactional execution at a low cost and believe it does not affect the specific integration of legacy Hospira in Australia. So welcome to our new mates in this market and we look forward to joining – having you join the ICU medical team. On quality, we went through a lot in the first hundred days of the year with full FDA inspections at both the Costa Rica pump facility and the Austin IV solutions facility, additionally we had over 10 notified body audits at a number of our sites including Chicago, San Jose and San Diego for legacy Hospira and Salt Lake City and Ensenada for legacy ICU. Since the last call we have received our official closeout relating to the 483s as we received in Austin and we have had another FDA – successful FDA inspection at our San Clemente office here. We continued to be actively deep diving on all quality related activities. I would say that not everything is to my satisfaction yet. And we have to err on the side of caution as the new owner and it still could be bumpy. We are adopting a mindset of transparency around all historical issues and we believe it is important for regulators, customers and suppliers to see if it’s continuously improving ourselves and cleaning up any historical issues with a cautious and conservative mindset. Just like I said for the first year at ICU not until we have some time under our belt and we see success under our watch where we declare fundamental improvements. We continue to be cautious here with our budgeting and are attempted to build in conservatism on our P&L to handle these bumps, okay. On to the integration IT migrations and TSA separation from Pfizer, we are deeply into the throes of integration planning, philosophically as the founder ICU used to say we are trying to measure twice and cut once. These IT system migrations are complex, filled with legacy issues and require great caution. I have personally been burned in prior experiences when these projects become more transformational versus migrational. And we have seen even the best-in-class industry companies that we deeply admire have issues with these challenges. So, we are being very deliberate. Our plan is to start the execution phase soon in what I call the outer perimeter countries and regions where we have less profit at stake, but have to implement many of the same processes and procedures that we do here in the U.S. market. We think right now it’s best to be cautious and plan that we will not be off these systems until the end of the third quarter of 2018. It is vital in the value equation to have this happened as we have previously stated, there is between $30 million and $35 million in long-term savings moving away from Pfizer infrastructure which we currently pay $85 million a year for. The second part of integration is building the capabilities in-house as much of the planning and execution at the moment is done with expensive consultants and service providers and we need to build the competency inside the company, because efficient operations that I see is what led to our attractive historical margins. To use the hockey analogy, I think our first line is set and part of our second, but we need to fill this building out the second and third lines to make sure we can finish the game. We are actively recruiting to bring the right people into the company. We first solidified the general management and finance support for each segment and now we are focused on this area. Okay. I wanted to bring all this back to the topic of short-term results, how we think about the medium-term of 2018 and longer-term value creation. Due to hanging on to some of the legacy Hospira revenues longer than we thought plus the cost savings initiatives today, we are modifying our 2017 adjusted EBITDA range to $180 million to $190 million versus the $170 million midpoint we had previously issued and Scott will walk you down through EPS. When we revised the transaction, we had talked about a goal of achieving a $250 million adjusted EBITDA run-rate by the end of 2018. I wanted to outline how we are currently thinking about it and hopefully by our third quarter call, we can state a more specific range for 2018. Our current math for 2018 is as follows. If we assume to finish 2017 at the midpoint of our modified guidance at $185 million, to that we would first add the $20 million of intracompany profits I described in the consumable segment; second, our previous goal of $35 million of 2018 operational synergies; third, a normal expectation for legacy ICU, now Hospira plus ICU consumables earnings growth of $10 million and a reasonable assumption for TSA savings in 2018, which we would call $10 million today. We would then subtract from that the losses we expect in the Infusion Systems and Solutions segments. We think the losses will be felt more in the first half of 2018 leading to a better back half run-rate. Again, there are a lot of moving pieces, but we wanted to directionally outline how we were thinking about it. While adjusting EBITDA is a useful metric given all the noise of the transaction, it’s important to get the real cash expenses of integration behind us and focus on the real free cash generation for longer term value creation. We talked on previous calls, how we would sacrifice margins this year and in the short-term to improve working capital in the balance sheet. In Q2, we added $40 million of cash when EBITDA was $47 million due to certain improvements. We expect this trend to continue and should finish this year with approximately $300 million in cash and still all Pfizer $75 million in January 2020. The way I think about it for long time ICU shareholders is ICU is still adding the same amount of annual cash to the balance sheet and essentially Hospira is paying for its own integration, albeit the cash isn’t coming in, in the exact same fashion. But the other important driver for value creation in the longer term, even if we don’t have growth, our capital expenditures and tax rate. On the last call, we said 70% of our business or so going forward, the infusion consumables business and the infusion systems business does not have as much of a CapEx need as historical Hospira. The declines in volume across the network and having duplicative manufacturing assets, allows us to be more optimized here. At the moment, we think will require a little less CapEx than originally anticipated. Scott will talk about tax rate, but the combination should have materially improved tax rate versus historical ICU. Longer term, heading into 2019, there are again items that I would call the high hanging fruit or synergies dependent on IT separation that allow us to get more efficient with our processes and infrastructure. We have to execute well in 2018 to allow for these to be available. If we can also have the strongest balance sheet possible, at the end of 2018 we can use it to help returns along with capturing these high hanging items, we think we have the case for longer term value creation. Today, high level when we look at the business we see roughly 50% of the total business infusion consumables and the international portion of infusion systems where we have a good offering and a right to win. And we have 50% of the business where we need to improve the situation. Like our experience in ICU, we believe the Hospira business is with just some basic operational rigor can improve its P&L in the medium to long-term. Our goals were just like our previous experiences to first enhance margins then improve overall growth. In the best case while better execution to improve our top line performance over time, drive operational improvements and improve cash conversions and returns. In the worst case we will continue to fight headwinds on the top line, but we can still drive operational improvements and generate solid cash returns over time relative to the capital we deployed due to the levers I just mentioned. And like ICU historically there are a number of continuing intrinsic value drivers including high quality or hard to reproduce production assets, sticky product categories and the opportunities for more cash generation, but what is different than our previous experience in ICU is the sheer size and scale of the work we have to do. It’s very rare when the $400 million lean corporate player buys the $1 billion revenue customer. This is a complex corporate carve out and has aspects of a turnaround in certain of the business lines at the same time while kind of being a public LBO just without any debt. We do get to do this from a position of strength and stability in our base business, but it is about as challenging of a corporate project as many of us have faced. With that said on all the previous call we talked about the offensive and defensive reasons for the transaction, the need to control our own destiny and even with all these challenges, we believe there is a real intrinsic value in the asset we have created. We feel that we have been very transparent with investors on our plans over the last few years and cautious with our own expectations and we want and need that mentality to continue. Not to talk down or talk up the circumstance just to be realistic on what’s ahead of us. Short-term out-performance is not likely with this transaction and it is important that people understand that. As we said on the previous calls the results for the acquired businesses in the short-term will get worse before they get better, similar to our first year here at ICU. We expect the back half of 2017 to be a little lighter than the first half of the year even with the cost savings efforts that are now being realized. As we said on previous calls the first few quarters under our ownership, we subject to all the expected difficulties of the carve outs and the bumps that come along. If you are an investor that wants the predictability that ICU has offered in recent years that will be difficult to repeat over the near-term, but when we get it right long-term returns could be generated quickly like ICU. In closing, we believe that this was a logical evolution for both businesses. We feel we have been able to put together a final transaction that didn’t risk the enterprise and still left real room for value creation for investors. And if you are an existing ICU investor, we appreciate your support in advance and hope you feel that these actions provided sensible capital deployment and an opportunity for increased value in the medium to long-term. As always I would like to close with things are moving fast, we are trying to improve the company with urgency and we are trying to take responsible action and break some of the inertia that many companies in our position face. We may hit some bumps as we take on some of these actions and we will overcome them and emerge stronger. I really appreciate the effort of all the combined employee – I really appreciate the efforts of all employees at the company to adapt, move forward and focus on improving results and our company appreciates the support we have received both from our customers and our shareholders. With that, I will turn it over to Scott.