Vivek Jain
Analyst · Piper Jaffray. Your line is open
Thanks John. Good afternoon, everybody. We are glad to be doing this call today, after the exciting news around our OEM partner last week and with the full year under our belts of improving ICU Medical. We have previously talked about our fourth quarter results resembling our third quarter results, our actuals came in slightly above those expectations. We generated strong cash flow and adjusted EBITDA, and the basic improvements we have made to our operation in the second and third quarter’s has started to become more visible. We finished the full fiscal year 2014 with $309 million in revenues and $74 million in adjusted EBITDA approximately. In the fourth quarter, we have roughly $80 million of revenues and $22 million of adjusted EBITDA, driven by the same trends that we had during all of last year. We had consistent performance in all of our direct lines of business and as expected that growth was offset by decline in our OEM results. Specifically, our direct operations in Q4 had almost 8% growth and the decline of our OEM business was a lowest of any quarter last year at 6%. For the full year, our direct business grew approximately 5% and our OEM business declined 11%. Those results were in line with previous comments as we expected to show some positive growth as we lapped the transition period from the end of fiscal year ’13. On our previous call, we expect our OEM customer to finish the year at approximately $108 million and they finished roughly at $110 million. Scott will go through these specifics by market segment momentarily. I’ve said in every call since I have been here that ICU is a company that is big enough to be big and small enough to be small, where the income statement can be influenced quickly. I think the earnings leverage and cash flow generation power we have with just a little more revenues and being predictable and managing ourselves was illustrated in Q4. We've already disclosed at a high level how we see 2015 unfolding, but I first wanted to go through an update on where we are in the overall plans and scenarios we have laid on the last few calls, a few comments on the acquisition of our OEM customer by Pfizer and then how those pieces come together to shape growth for the medium-term and then turn to the specifics for the short-term of fiscal year ’15. We enter 2015 with our three core value drivers intact, our manufacturing scale and the category and ability to improve gross margins even with volatile volume, the sticky nature of our products as shown in the sequential quarters on our direct business and our cash generating abilities. All last year we were talking about the bookends of two alternative scenarios. They were framed as in the best case, improving execution to affect topline performance, driving operational improvements, responsibly deploying capital and perhaps, returning capital to the extent that make sense. In the worst case, it meant continuing to fight headwinds on the topline, but still driving operational improvements to create value. The items we most directly control are execution around our commercial operations and operational improvements leading to margin expansion that we have split our energy equally around those two topics. Improving our direct commercial operation is about two things, better sales and marketing execution and the successful launches of new products. Continuing from the last call, we've been focused on getting the right people in the right seats with clear authority and discipline around targeting. We have pulled the resources from less value creating markets or products whose channels could be managed more centrally. We've reallocated those resources to filling international roles and candidly trying to upgrade the level of talent across the company. One quarter does not make a long-term trend but we saw some encouraging signs in the fourth quarter and are deeply focused on continued improvements throughout our company. This work was not finished in the fourth quarter and is not done yet. We probably had more sales and marketing cost favorability than we wanted in the fourth quarter. While we have removed a lot of expense, we did not get all the reinvestments done as they take longer, particular in international where it just takes more time. We’re probably 75% of the way there across all geographies but we still have a number of positions to fill. So please don’t take the fourth quarter SG&A level as our permanent run rate. We do need to invest for consistent growth and we will make those investments. The second piece of improving direct commercial execution is new products. We’ve relaunched our products of ChemoLock and Diana Automated compound system. We’ll only talk about these products in the future when we have a material amount of sales but it is important to note that new products are starting to come into the mix for medium-term growth. At the same time, we’ve been working hard to retool our core sales and marketing programs, customer targeting, incentive plan which are all part of good sales and marketing execution. In the short-term, which is fiscal year 2015 to us, as a result of these changes, we expect to see aggregate positive revenue growth based on our assumptions of our OEM business holding intact to our previous guidance. It has to be our revenue growth over the medium and long-term for small companies like us. The other item, we control is improving our operations for margin expansion. On the last call, we talked about most of this work having been identified and deployed for realization in 2015. This was important to get through to accept reality of what was going on with our OEM partner. As I reflect in the full year here now, there's no need to run through a lift but I think we made the necessary choices to accept reality and create space to invest for the future. I think basically all the renovation work around legacy items and issues should be cleaned up by the end of the first quarter. The continuing investments will be around ensuring the best quality and operational infrastructure that can handle growth. The next part of the plan was capital deployment. As you'll see from our Q4 financials, we did have some non-recurring expense related to evaluating a potential transaction. We had a number of items going away from us in this situation including currency and really our ability to extract value for our shareholders as it was a pretty well-run operation. We’re being transparent here first to acknowledge what is in our non-recurring charges and secondly to note while nothing is imminent, just to mark that additional SG&A cost could be needed for this type of work in the future. Okay. It’s good that these items such as improving our cost structure and achieving growth in our direct business are moving in the right direction. But they have to be taken in context with the whole picture of what is going on with our OEM business. We want to congratulate our OEM partner on their announced transactions with Pfizer. It's great to see that kind of value created where our products could be a small piece of the puzzle. We look forward to serving Pfizer with the best innovation and the best quality products in the category. It's been a terrific 17-year run from Abbott to Hospira and we believe it will continue with Pfizer. We received a number of calls last week on this and what it means for ICU. I’ll try to go through some of them here in my preempts on the Q&A but we can come back to it if necessary. First, our contract with our OEM partner survives the change like this and passes to the new company. As you can find in our public filings, our contract continues through the end of 2018 or almost four more years. We are not rushing to judgment on what this means for us. Since our Q3 call, a number of positive development had happened for our OEM partner that allowed them to reenter the U.S. infusion pump market business and we are downstream of that business. Those facts continue regardless of this transaction. We've been asked on our view of Pfizer’s long-term commitment to the infusion business. We genuinely believe their comments on their commitment to the business shared on their investor call. And we were delighted to hear their description of the due diligence findings and positive outlook. Going a little deeper when we look at the world of generic injectables, it appears to us that two of the top three players carrying infusion pump offering alongside their drug portfolio. There are numerous examples of large companies succeeding in both drugs and devices. And I don't think the CEO there make any casual comments. So until we hear otherwise, we believe they're committed and we are happy to be aligned with the world's number one player. We’ll make sure we keep thinking about it from all angles. We would not expect to see any positive impact from either the market reentry or the transaction until the medium-term for us which is 2016 and 2017. We think the combination of the known, which for us are the items we just covered are renovated sales force with a full year in seat, the consistent growth of our direct infusion products, 12 months of experience with our newer products into the market, a more appropriate cost structure and another 12 months to accumulate and potentially deploy capital plus the unknown, which is the optionality of soon to be partner and the market reentry of our current OEM partner could set up an attractive medium-term scenario for ICU. That’s how we’re our thinking about the future. For the short-term of fiscal year ‘15 we've already disclosed in our Q3 call our goal of achieving $85 million of adjusted EBITDA this year. As a reminder, $85 million in adjusted EBITDA is basically equal to the peak levels ever at this company, which was when our OEM partner was $132 million in 2012. From a revenue perspective, we believe our direct business in 2015 can grow 4% to 8% with the midpoint being just slightly higher than the 5% we achieved in 2014. Scott will go through the breakdown by market segment. As a reminder, we’ll only give market segment guidance annually and update if there's a material departure as we saw with Oncology last year. As originally mentioned on the Q3 call, we continue to believe that our OEM business would be down potentially at least another 5% to 10% while a number of positive things have happened with our pump business. We continue to believe there's a lag in feeling the downstream effects. Just like there was a lag a few years ago, if there are positive effects, it will take time to realize them and there's always the potential for a little bit of bumpiness with any large corporate transaction going on. The macro situation around Infusion Therapy in the U.S. is the best it's been in a while. But we have to be careful around the micro effects to ICU. So if we add those numbers together at the midpoint of each range 6% in our direct business and down about 7.5% on our OEM business, it would put 2015 revenues roughly at $315 million and adjusted EBITDA goal of $85 million with reduced CapEx deliver solid growth in value creation and it allows the necessary investments to set up the medium-term for 2016 and beyond. Now with that said right now, we do think our year were build a little differently than last year. Given reentry to the market of our OEM partner, we currently expect the earlier part of this year to have better year-over-year results in the back half of the year for our OEM revenue line as inventory gets built backup in this channel. As a result, we would expect our quarters to be more balanced throughout this year as compared to last year. From where we sit right now, we would expect Q1 revenues to be closer to Q3 revenues of last year than it was to Q1 revenues of last year. Hopefully, that gives additional color on how the P&L builds for 2015. As I said from the first call when I got here, the team is deeply focused on true free cash generation coming out of the business and all the other comments made in our Q3 calls worldwide. We have a real value creating scenario with the improving cash flow in 2015 and the medium-term opportunity in 2016 and beyond. I do think we are an interesting size company that can strategically move in a number of direction and one of the limited number of smaller MedTech companies that compete globally. The strategic issue of having a single customer exposure of our size, even though there could be at a 10-year low in terms of percentage of overall business is an important issue to address over time, which I consider the medium-term. Things are moving fast. We're trying to improve the company with urgency but I wanted to remind everyone as I’ve said on previous calls that there are still core areas we need to solidify with investments in one-time costs into qualities, certain technical competencies and a little bit of infrastructure we have to deploy capital. We need to keep working in those areas and they are not ultimate satisfaction yet. I do feel the company is healthier and hungrier than we’ve been in many years. We are trying to take responsible action to break some of the inertia that many of the companies in our position face. We may hit some bumps, as we take on some of these actions and we will overcome them and emerge stronger. I really appreciate the effort of all ICU employees to adapt, move forward and focus on improving results and our company appreciates the support we received from both our customers and our shareholders. With that, I will turn it over to Scott.