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Investcorp Credit Management BDC, Inc. (ICMB)

Q2 2019 Earnings Call· Thu, Feb 7, 2019

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. And welcome to CM Finance’s Second Quarter Earnings Release Conference Call. Your speakers for today’s call are Mike Mauer, Chris Jansen and Rocco DelGuercio. [Operator Instructions] A question-and-answer session will follow the presentation. I’ll now turn the call over to your speakers. Please begin.

Michael Mauer

Analyst

Thank you, operator. Thank you all for dialing in today. I am joined by Chris Jansen, my Co-Chief Investment Officer; and Rocco DelGuercio, our CFO. Before we begin, Rocco will give you our customary disclaimer regarding information and forward-looking statements. Rocco?

Rocco DelGuercio

Analyst

Thanks Mike. I would like to remind everyone that today’s call is being recorded and that this is the property of CM Finance, Inc. Any unauthorized broadcast of this call in any form is strictly prohibited. Audio replay of the call will be available by visiting our Investor Relations page on our website at www.cmfn-inc.com. I would also like to call your attention to the Safe Harbor disclosure in our press release regarding forward-looking information and remind everyone that today’s call may include forward-looking statements and projections. We ask that you refer to our most recent 10-Q filing for important factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from these projections. We will not update forward-looking statements unless required by law. To obtain copies of our latest SEC filings, please visit our Investor Relations page on our website. At this time, I would like to turn the call back to our Chairman and CEO, Michael Mauer.

Michael Mauer

Analyst

Thanks Rocco. I’ll begin today’s call with some commentary on the state of the market. Chris will walk through our investment activity during and after the quarter and then Rocco will discuss our financial results. I’ll conclude with specific detail about our largest marks both positive and negative, our outlook and thoughts on our progress repositioning the portfolio. As always, we’ll end with Q&A. Last quarter was the tale of two entirely different markets. September and October saw robust new issue volume with relatively stable secondary pricing inactivity. Secondary pricing moved steadily lower through November and the loan market saw some spike in volatility in December that we all observed across markets globally. Although the broadly syndicated loan market is not our primary focus, it influences us in several ways. Most directly, volatility in the broadly syndicated market can create opportunistic investments for us, pricing whether spreads and OID in the primary market or dollar prices in the secondary are the first levers to move. This also affects the value of the existing portfolio. Clearly secondary market pricing backed up through November and very significantly in December. This gave us a chance to make several investments at attractive levels. To highlight this tale of two quarters, in the first half of the quarter, our investments had an average yield of 9%. In the second half this was 13.2%. Structural changes in the market flow through more slowly. Using an example of an underwritten loan, leverage, securities, the size of the equity check and often the presence of or lack of covenants are agreed to by an underwriter weeks or even months before a broadly syndicated loan comes to market, pricing is all that can move. Over the course of weeks and months both price and terms shift, yields become less…

Christopher Jansen

Analyst

Thanks Mike. We were active in both the primary and secondary markets during the quarter, investing in nine portfolio companies including four new portfolio companies. Of our four new portfolio company investments, three are first lien and our fourth is the junior [ph] default. We added on investments on three first lien loans and one second lien loan and added an equity position through an existing portfolio company. We also had six full realizations during the quarter. As I mentioned on our last call, we invested in the first lien loan of Cook & Boardman in connection with its LDO by Littlejohn, its new private equity sponsor. Cook & Boardman is a specialty distributor of commercial doors and hardware. Our yield at cost is approximately 8.7%. We invested in this first lien loan of Infrastructure and Energy Alternatives, IEA; a construction services firm that focus on wind, transportation and rail markets. Our yield at cost was 10.4%. We also invested in the first lien secured bonds of Techniplast, a leading manufacturer of complex lightweight products for the automotive industry. This is a short-dated bond which matures in 2020. Our yield the cost was approximately 14.1%. We also invested in the Junior DIP loan for Sears Holdings, which is being used to finance the company's operations during the bankruptcy. We expect that this will be repaid shortly as a company is in the market with its bankruptcy exit financing. Given the multi-draw structure of the DIP loan, the yield to maturity across calculation we typically refer to is indicative of our expected return for this loan. We anticipate realizing an IRR in excess of 20% for our investment in Sears. Turning to the secondary market, we purchased additional first lien loan of Arcade Bioplan. We began building our position in Arcade…

Rocco DelGuercio

Analyst

Thanks Chris. For the quarter ended December 31, 2018 our net investment income was $3.7 million or $0.27 per share. The fair value of our portfolio was $283.3 million compared to $330.7 million at September 30. Our investment activity accounted for a $34.4 million decrease in our portfolio including $13.1 million of net realized and unrealized losses. Of these gains and losses, the full breakdown of our investment in Trident accounted for $9.2 million of the $13.1 million of the net realized and unrealized loss. The weighted average yield of our portfolio increased 18 basis points from 10.9 on September 30 to 11.08 on December 31. Our new investments during the quarter had an average yield of 10.71%. As of December 31, our investment in Trident was on non-accrual. Our portfolio consisted of 63.7% first lien investments, 4.1% unitranche investments, 31.7% second lien investments and approximately 0.5% equity, warrant and other positions. 94.8% of our debt portfolio was invested in floating rate loans and 5.2% in fixed REIT positions. Our average portfolio company investment was approximately $9.8 million. And our largest portfolio company investment was Caelus at $24 million. We were 0.86 times levered as of December 31 and 0.86 times levered as of September 30. Finally, with respect to our liquidity, as of December 31, we had $6.2 million in cash, $6 million in restricted cash and $50 million of capacity under our revolving credit facility. Additional information regarding the composition of our portfolio is included in our Form 10-Q which was filed yesterday. Investment activity after quarter end through February 5 included purchases of $23.4 million and $29 million of proceeds from the Zinc and Caelus. With that, I would like to turn the call back over to Mike.

Michael Mauer

Analyst

Thank you, Rocco. As I mentioned earlier, this quarter was challenging for us and the write-down of Trident was particularly difficult. That said, we have been actively repositioned the portfolio prior to this quarter and we think there are several elements to that process which we don’t want to lose sight of. As part of this broader repositioning, we’ve reduced our average position size and simultaneously increased the number of sectors we’re exposed to. Going forward, we would expect to see our average position size to be in the current $10 million context. We’ll remain extremely selective in our new investments, underwriting conservatively, focusing on the quality of management teams, loan documentation, collateral security and loan to value analysis. We focused on preserving capital and maintaining a stable dividend. We are sensitive to the ebbs and flow of repayments and reinvestments and are always disciplined in making investments with appropriate protections for our capital and return for our shareholders. We maintained our company count at 29 this quarter despite unplanned prepayments that expect us to be over 30 portfolio companies over the near-term as we experience larger repayments; we target reinvestment into multiple portfolio companies where they’re used to be the single one. On the subject of repayment and reinvestments, we had two realizations which I think are very significant for us. During the quarter, we added substantial realization of our investment in U.S. Well. You may recall that we sold our shares in U.S. Well in May at a gain versus [ph] betas per share to receive the U.S. Well’s restructuring in January 2017. This quarter we had another partial realization, our position in the revolver was repaid in full and 92% of the remaining term loan was paid in cash. All term loan lenders took approximately 8% of…

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, at this time we will conduct the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Robert Dot [ph]. Please state your question.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Hi guys. On kind of the market environment and thanks for the color on all that, Mike. With the first half of the quarter yields being at 9, but then by the second 13, I mean -- obvious question, where do they stand so far as you can tell today as we go into February? And then along with that and obviously you gave us deployments and everything and repayments to date. What does the pipeline look like and maybe yields in that context as well as we head into February and March?

Michael Mauer

Analyst

Yes. Thanks, Robert, a couple of things. From the yield today, the pipeline we’ve got probably like up to half dozen real active opportunities, that’s probably a couple of more than we have capacity for today. But we think that there will -- we know that there will be some monetizations coming over the next several months and we’ll continue to trend towards more names and a $10 million dollar target. That pipeline is anywhere from I’ll call it 8.5 up to 15. It’s a wide spectrum. There’s only one up in that 15 neighborhood most or centered in an 8.5 to an 11 and I’d say one at 8.5 and then a couple in the 9.5 to 11. So with our average yield over the last few quarters on the portfolio being in this I’ll call it 10.5 to 11.25, I would say that the average of what we continue to look at is in that 10.5 plus or minus.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Got it. Got it. Thank you. And then structurally, obviously you talked about you’ve grown the number of assets on the portfolio et cetera and the portfolio -- the average size has come down. I mean is there -- and I realized this is a lot easier to ask this question than it is to actually do it, but is there more you can do on that because obviously looking at Trident it was a 7% at cost, 7% of the portfolio at cost and a zero on a 7% portfolio position is painful. That had been a more diversified portfolio or not diversified, smaller positions. If it was a 2% asset having problems is a lot less painful than a 7% asset having problems to NAV. So kind of can you give us maybe a longer term view obviously you expect your average portfolio, your position size to be $10 million in the near-term, but long-term, where would you like that to be with the caveat that obviously these bigger positions if something goes wrong and bad credits always happen, it can be very, very painful to shareholders’ NAV?

Michael Mauer

Analyst

Yes. Listen, I appreciate your observations, we agree with you 100% and that’s why we’re working to reposition it. I would say to you that long-term we would look to -- and I’ll remind everyone that May 2nd we have increased leverage coming on board. We have not set final, final with the board yet. We had our Board meeting this week and we will set everything final in the next board meeting which will be the one year anniversary of that approval. But directionally, I’d expect us to be in a 1.25 to 1.5 times leverage that would put us directionally $350 million to $400 million of assets. And I would -- with that as a backdrop of a total portfolio be targeting somewhere in a 40 to 50 names and that is the 8 to 10 on average. We will occasionally do $15 million and there will be reasons to do that. One may be that we think that and it will be more typically in two scenarios; one where its first lien, we really like it and it may or may not have some liquidity. Everyone will recall we got as high as I think $28 million $29 million with AP Gaming. It was first lien, performing well, it was very liquid, it was almost a substitute for being low on cash at point and ended up being a nice overall return. The other situation is where it is opportunistic to protect a position and to facilitate a refinancing or something else maybe at $10 million or $12 million or we’re going to $15 million, but we’re not going to be doing those that are not well secured first liens. We’re going to avoid the concentrations that we’ve had in some of the second liens historically on the larger side. So hopefully I addressed the question?

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Yes. Got that. I mean -- and I have to ask about Trident, obviously I mean you said it surprised you much that the speed of the deterioration. I mean what -- the mark zero now and obviously that -- so the expected recovery I presume is zero or close to it. When you did the under -- I mean what’s the view on the asset value. I mean when we look at something like Caelus which obviously was energy, it raised concerns because of commodity exposure, but there was tremendous asset value underpinning that which obviously manifested by selling one asset and paying everybody else. So on Trident, why was it -- why isn’t the asset value there?

Michael Mauer

Analyst

Because there has been deterioration of the core business and beyond that it’s hard for me to answer because as you I’m sure are aware we’ve, got a lot of confidentiality on the financing each and everything else. But it is not like a reserve base to loan or an asset base similar to Sears where we had something in bankruptcy and we had assets below it that we could quantify whether or not they were stratified in four or five different buckets or whether they were receivables and inventory. Most companies that we look have equity value that is justified by the sponsors, this had sponsors, had several sponsors, some very good sponsors involved. I think there were five BDCs involved lending both second lien and first lien. So a lot of is looked at, came to a similar conclusion around the opportunity and the risk return. And we were wrong is the bottom line.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay, got it. One more if I can. I mean Chris you mentioned on the Sears that you need to -- unexpected IRR at 20% when it repays and that could be soon or could shift around a little. But I presume are those going to be lack of events, some prepayment fee type income when that repays rather than being a realized gain kind of that?

Christopher Jansen

Analyst

The answer is yes to that. And Robert, I think it’s a public knowledge so I can't say that there is court hearings and everything else. They are trying to get this thing out of bankruptcy in the next days, days not weeks let’s put it that way.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Yes, yes. Very public. Thank you, Mike.

Michael Mauer

Analyst

And then you're right. It is basically acceleration of OID is the primary contributor to that high IRR.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Got it.

Michael Mauer

Analyst

Okay.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Got it. Thank you.

Michael Mauer

Analyst

Yes.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Chris Potoski. Please state your question.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Yes, good afternoon. I was just also curious about the comment you made about the first half and the second half. Just when you said it was 9% in the first half and 13% in the second half, is that the yield on deals you saw in the market or is that just your coupon divided by where your marks were at two respective time points?

Michael Mauer

Analyst

So during the quarter we put on approximately 12 new investments and some of those were in the same name because we used the secondary opportunity to buy. And anything before November 15, we took and did a weighted average cost yield of what we bought, okay? Not a market, this is what we did. And so that was 9%. And then the second half of the quarter November 15 after was the 13% of what we did and what we put on.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay. So that’s the deals you saw in the market?

Michael Mauer

Analyst

We saw a lot more. Those are the ones we executed up.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay. And is it reasonable to assume that with the snapback in the markets in the New Year probably much more limited opportunities now and it’s -- you seem to have confidence that you can continue to add new loans. But are we looking at adding at 9% or are we looking at adding at 13 or something in between?

Michael Mauer

Analyst

Yes. That was where I tried to give some guidance. We’ve got half a dozen things in the pipeline low being 8.5, high being 15. I center around the 10 to 11 on average of the opportunities we have out there. And the little bit preamble earlier in the call talking about how the markets move quickly on price and not on structure, we actually there is one that we’re knee deep in and hopefully we’ll execute on over the next few days that because of that disruption in December. Pricing did come back some Chris so that it would have been let’s call it 14% to 15% if that had to get done in December, but because it grew out, it’s probably coming down in the different components between 10% to 12%. However, we’re able to get a lot tighter docks on restricted payments, on other debt and things like that that we know they were talking to people in December and we all said no to that, but we’ve been able to shift that with some time.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

All right. And then the other question is on the buybacks, I understand that given your cap and capital on some level I hate to use any capital to buy back stock, but on the other hand I do have to believe that less than 70% of NAV that it’s the most compelling way you could possibly deploy capital. And, but you’ve been very -- your buyback has been very measured and modest. And I mean I guess what do you think -- is there a room to be more aggressive on that, are there other options to kind of close the gap between where your stock is trading at NAV?

Michael Mauer

Analyst

We’re looking at all of that and everything is on the table.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay, all right. Thank you.

Michael Mauer

Analyst

Yes.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Christopher Nolan. Please state your question.

Christopher Nolan

Analyst

Hi. A follow up on Chris Potoski’s question on buybacks. If you want to lever up the balance sheet, why aren’t you just do a tender?

Michael Mauer

Analyst

Chris, we keep looking at everything and nothing is off the table.

Christopher Nolan

Analyst

All right. It just seems -- makes a lot of sense on multiple levels given where we are in the credit cycle and everything else. On your comments in terms of your average portfolio size which was 9.8%, am I correct that you’re comfortable with that level or should we see the average portfolio investment go down?

Michael Mauer

Analyst

I think that anything in a 8 to 11 on average we’re comfortable with. We’re not comfortable with a 12 to 15 on average. And I think that trying to get more specific between 9 versus 9.8, I’d be misleading you on trying to be that exact because when we’re committing to deals, we’re normally committing in a 5, 8 or 10. Those are normal increments if you’re at 10 or below. You can’t really commit at 9.3 or 9.5 to a deal. So from an average, we think that 8 to 11 across the portfolio will probably be the bookends of what we’re targeting.

Christopher Nolan

Analyst

All right. And then I guess some subjective question would be, where do you see the risk? Do you see the risk higher this year than it was 12 months ago and how has that affected how you’re running things?

Michael Mauer

Analyst

Okay. From a credit risk we have thought that that’s been going up for the last year and a half. So if you look at our portfolio shift where it was more predominant second lien than first lien because of credit risk and very importantly because of documentation and structural risk, we had seen that going up. Over the next 12 months, I think that what we’re worried about is watching for a cycle, watching for softness in certain industries, there are some industries that because of it are actually going to have to give us better terms and may become more attractive things like home building and building materials housing et cetera where we think that that is one that could cycle. It’s always going to be there, but what is the right level of leverage and how much equity do you want below you. So we want to be conscious of cyclicals and non-cyclicals. I think so from a credit risk we’re cautious. We do think that from a structural standpoint over the short-term that is actually moving our way. That is an area that having done this for 25 years now. Three to six months from now that could be dramatically different depending on the environment.

Christopher Nolan

Analyst

Great. Thank you for taking my questions.

Michael Mauer

Analyst

Yes. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] At this time we have no further questions.

Michael Mauer

Analyst

Thank you everyone. We appreciate the time and we will talk to you again. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today’s conference call. Thank you for attending.