Elad Aharonson
Analyst · Barclays
Thank you, Aviram. Before moving to an overview of our new strategic principles, I would ask you to turn to Slide 15 and a review of our 2025 guidance, which we are maintaining. For our specialties-driven businesses, we continue to expect EBITDA to be between $0.95 billion to $1.15 billion in 2025. For potash sales volumes, we continue to expect this amount to be between 4.3 million and 4.5 million metric tons. So until this point, we have talked about the third quarter and the Dead Sea concession. Now after 8 months as ICL's CEO, I would like to share with you how I see the company's future and where I would like to lead it in the next few years. Over that time, we see 3 megatrends taking shape, and these are shown in Slide 17. First, in a world with growing population and increasingly strained resources, the pressure for food availability is escalating. Second, many nations have realized the necessity of preserving resources in order to ensure the access to food and minerals. Third, in a world of deglobalization, geopolitics and trade wars, the importance of being a company with global reach and local customization is becoming even more critical. We see ICL as a strategic player capable of addressing these trends. On Slide 18, you can see that approximately 70% of our business addresses the issue of food availability. ICL also benefits from access to key mineral resources, mainly potash, phosphate and bromine. While potash is frequently thought of as our largest mineral, in terms of sales, it is actually a second to phosphate. And we are well represented geographically across Europe, North and South America and Asia, both in terms of sales and production. This enables us to provide global reach with local empowerment, which is especially important as more countries are turning inwards in the search for critical solutions. but we know we can do more to maximize our resources and positioning. And that is why ICL is preparing to embark on its next chapter. Over the past several months, we completed a comprehensive review of the company, and you can see an outline of this process in Slide 19. We worked with our team and other experts to examine every aspect of ICL. We began by looking back at our results over the past 5 years. While we have had some good successes, we also experienced some misplaced opportunities, which became distractions to our core businesses. Next, we looked at the future and reviewed the challenges and opportunities ahead. With so many changes on the horizon, we needed to analyze the long-term healthiness of our current businesses and work to identify future growth engines. For this exercise, we looked both within our core and at new potential segments. For each specialty business, we reviewed market momentum, including top trends, market size and the value of the business. We also analyzed our competitive position and our unique value proposition. At this point, we discovered that many of our businesses are at the core of ICL. They are stable and successful contributors, and we will work to maintain these businesses and improve their competitive position. However, our research also showed that some of our businesses might not be as good of a fit to our future. This led us to reach the key takeaways on Slide 20. First, we will expand in the markets that are within our core and where we have significant growth potential. While we carefully examine growth opportunities outside our core, we concluded that we are already participating in very attractive markets. Second, we will extract value from the markets where we are already leaders. For these businesses, we will focus on maintaining our position while driving cost and profitability. Third, we plan to examine businesses that are either not synergetic or have low potential. We will also consider redirecting our resources to focus on better aligned opportunities. This brings us to Slide 21 and our 3 strategic principles. The first is profitable growth, targeting specialty crop nutrition and Specialty Food Solutions. The second is relating to maximizing and improving the businesses that we have identified as core to ICL, and this includes our phosphate, potash and bromine resources. The third is dedicated to portfolio optimization and cost efficiency. All 3 of these principles will benefit from our willingness to embrace new technologies like AI and our deep history of innovation. When combined, this renewed strategic approach will allow ICL to shape its own future. I would now like to share more about this future and our overall strategy going forward. The review we completed helped us to identify 2 distinct businesses, which you can see on Slide 23. We believe Specialty Crop Nutrition and Specialty Food Solutions have the potential to be significant growth engines for ICL. These are 2 areas where we already have deep experience and broad exposure and the future looks bright. To help share our vision, I would like to dive a bit deeper into each principle. Let's begin with our 2 growth engines, Specialty Crop Nutrition and Specialty Food Solutions. As you know, ICL's Growing Solutions segment is already a global leader in specialty Crop Nutrition with room to grow and become even more dominant in this space. On Slide 24, you can see that in 2020, our Specialty Crop Nutrition sales were $1 billion with EBITDA of approximately $60 million. Since that time, we have expanded geographically, enhanced our operations and logistics, completed multiple acquisitions and improved our R&D efforts. As a result, in 2024, we delivered Specialty Crop Nutrition sales of $2 billion. EBITDA increased more than 3x to approximately $200 million, and we are on track to continue this trend. But our research has shown that there is still room to grow. This is due to expected changes in the market and the overall macro environment, including global food security, which I already mentioned. As you can see on Slide 25, the population has doubled since the '70s, but the land meant to feed it has remained unchanged. Thanks to increased use of specialty fertilizers, which help improve yields, there is still enough food. The importance of specialty fertilizers is expected to increase as agriculture production efficiency and sustainability remain critical to food security. Specialty crop nutrition products are the answer. As you can see in Slide 26, this market is expected to grow at 6% rate from $32 billion in 2024 to more than $45 billion in 2030. Here at ICL, we are already well positioned to capture this growth. This is thanks to our broad portfolio of global specialty solutions and our significant regional presence. And going forward, we plan to target the areas on Slide 27 with a distinct focus on global reach with local empowerment. We will target strategic acquisitions, including bolt-on opportunities to expand our product capabilities. We also intend to develop a leading position in the growing areas of biostimulants, nutrient fuel efficiency and organic and recycled products. Our efforts in these areas will be augmented by changes in our portfolio mix, which are designed to drive sales in more profitable product categories. And this work has already begun in Europe. We will also drive sustainable and profitable expansion into high-growth geographies such as India, China and Brazil. These expansions will be through targeted capital investments and will be both by acquisition and on an organic basis. Turning now to Slide 28 and our second growth engine, Specialty Food Solutions, which is part of our Phosphate Solutions segment. We are already leading the $1.5 billion phosphate food specialties market. However, this represents a small piece of the total food ingredients pie worth approximately $150 billion and growing at an expected rate of more than 6% over the next 5 years. On Slide 29, you can see how well we are positioned in the functional food ingredients market. However, we plan to move beyond the relatively narrow field of phosphate-based ingredients and to extend our reach into new target markets. As you know, ICL is already participants in many food end markets. In 2024, our Specialty Food Solutions sales totaled more than $0.5 billion. We are confident that we have the assets and the capabilities to expand deeper into the robust food ingredients market. However, we want to be sure we do so in focused, strategic and successful manner. As a result, we analyzed a wide array of possibilities and looked at each based on both attractiveness in general and fit with ICL. These efforts led to our focus on 4 distinct functional food ingredients. These markets will provide us with exposure to approximately $35 billion in value and expected average 5-year growth rate of approximately 6%. On Slide 30, you can see that we are well positioned to capture the expected growth in these markets. We will be able to leverage our existing global footprint. This includes production, innovation and sales locations across key and growing regions. Our specialty food solutions already cater to 7 out of the top 10 biggest global food companies, as shown on Slide 31. This is in addition to more than 2,000 other customers, and all of them demand quality and consistency from their partners. When it comes to Specialty Food solutions, ICL possess a unique combination of technical functionalities, robust infrastructure and category expertise shown on Slide 32. We expect to leverage these strengths as we expand deeper into functional food ingredients. To grow in these markets, we intend to focus on the areas where we believe we can reach a market leadership position. On Slide 33, you can see that this includes preservatives and leavening agents, among others. As part of these efforts, we will aggressively target acquisitions and other opportunities that leverage our existing assets. This includes our people, global footprint, customer base and Sterling reputation. Over the next 5 years, we are looking for organic growth rate of more than 6%. This growth will complement our strategic acquisitions. We expect to achieve this goal through solutions that provide existing customers and new food and beverage companies with bundled solutions. This overall approach to profitable growth by targeting specialty crop nutrition and specialty food solutions will allow us to significantly advance our business while reducing risk. It enables us to drive expansion while still staying close to our core businesses. which brings us to our next principle on Slide 34, maximizing our core businesses. This includes our potash segment, our Industrial Products segment and our commodity phosphate operations. Let us first start with potash on Slide 35. Earlier, we talked about the concession, but I want to reiterate that we are preparing to win the next Dead Sea concession. This is part of our ongoing strategy as we continue to believe ICL is the most suitable candidate. In parallel, we will continue to work on operational excellence and to maintain our competitive cost position. At the Dead Sea, we intend to return production rates to pre-war levels. In Spain, we expect to increase production to all-time highs as the turnaround at this location continues. The second of our core businesses found on Slide 36 is our Industrial Products segment, a stable and profitable part of ICL. We already serve as a global market leader in bromine. We intend to maintain that position and to continue developing new bromine and flame retardant applications. This is in addition to meeting customer demand from the various specialty end markets we serve. Our third core business is the nonfood-related portion of our Phosphate Solutions segment, which is shown on Slide 37. This includes our stable and profitable industrial phosphate solutions, which are part of a growing market with strong demand. Not only is our Phosphate Solutions segment fully integrated, which provides cost advantages, we are also the only Western manufacturer operating in China. Our production there is interchangeable and serves both our growing solutions business and our phosphate commodities and specialties customers. I would like now to turn to Slide 39 and our final principle, optimization and efficiency. As part of this work, we intend to optimize our efforts and focus our resources on the opportunities best aligned with our core businesses. This will result in the examination of some businesses that have fewer synergies and lower potential. As part of our portfolio optimization efforts, we have shifted our approach to LFP battery materials shown on Slide 40. While we will remain a provider of raw materials to battery customers, we will not be moving further downstream into cathode active materials. This means we will be discontinuing our planned global LFP expansion, and this includes construction of the previously announced project in St. Louis, U.S. and in Spain. After a careful review of shifting external dynamics, it became apparent that this was the best course of action for ICL. With increasing level of investments on one hand, lower-than-expected prices on the other hand, proceeding with our LFP battery materials projects would have embedded our ability to develop other businesses. So at this time, we believe directing our most significant investments into our 2 growth engines will provide greater shareholder value. In addition to optimization, we also plan to drive efficiency and increase productivity across our entire business. As you can see in Slide 41, we expect to improve efficiency by transforming ICL into an AI-driven organization. AI will be embedded into the core of our decisions, processes and products. We will not just be adopting isolated AI tools, we will rethinking how ICL innovates, operates and delivers value. We also expect to use AI to help drive the significant operational efficiencies shown on Slide 42. Our key focus areas and targeted initiatives encompass operations and maintenance, including labor costs, logistics, supply chain and procurement and product line optimization. Before we begin the Q&A, I would like to turn to Slide 43 and review our 3 principles one final time. The first is profitable growth, targeting specialty Crop Nutrition and Specialty Food Solutions. The second is relating to maximizing and improving the businesses we have identified as core to ICL. The third is dedicated to portfolio optimization and cost efficiency. As you can see on Slide 44, at ICL, we are moving beyond our legacy and are now actively shaping our future. We have a clear and resilient strategy focused on growth, productivity and efficiency. We have aligned with global trends and are guided by a focused strategy, and we are ready to turn today's opportunities into sustainable and profitable growth for the future. Before we move to Q&A, I would like to thank all of our employees around the world for another good quarter. As employees of ICL, we are more than just a company. We are a global community connected by purpose and grounded in the values of humunity, respect, resilience and responsibility. And with that, I would like to turn the call back over to the operator for Q&A.