Kobi Altman
Analyst · UBS. Please go ahead
Thank you, Asher. Good day everyone. I will start with our financial results on Slide 10. Overall we are pleased with the solid quarter’s performance in a middle of a commodity turmoil. The fourth quarter is traditionally a weaker quarter for ICL due to seasonality, and despite this, we had good achievements in both our Essential Minerals and Specialty Solutions division, as well as ICL cash generation power. Both quarterly and annual sales was similar to the level in the comparable periods. This is a great achievement in light of the price pressure that we faced, particularly in the commodity market. We cannot control commodity prices but we were able to offset some of the negative impact by improving what we can control, focusing operational excellence to reduce cost and improve production utilizations and/or commercial excellence including innovation, pricing initiatives, improved portfolio, geographical expansion and customer relations, all of which continued to contribute to the balancing effect of our specialty businesses. The measures we have taken to reduce our cost and working capital, along with our disciplined approach to CapEx, have made it possible to record another strong quarter of operating cash flow and positive free cash flow in contrast to the broader commodity sector, which resulted in a reduction in net debt in the quarter. Cash flow generation will continue to be priority for the company. I am pleased with our achievements in the past few months to settle several legal fronts, which were significant overhead for several years with only moderate financial impacts. This includes the conclusion of an arbitration proceeding between Dead Sea Works and Haifa Chemicals, the conclusion of proceedings regarding prior year's tax assessments by the Israeli tax authorities, the dismissal of a motion for a certification of a class action against the company that was filed in 2013 on the grounds of misleading disclosure, as well as the approval of settlement agreements regarding a class action against the company’s Dead Sea Works subsidiary with respect to potash prices in Israel. We are proud of all of our achievements which position us as a stronger more resilient company for years to come. Turning now to our business performance and the major developments for each of our divisions during the fourth quarter and the full-year on Slide 11. And I will begin with Specialty Solutions. The Division's operating profit increased by 12% compared to the fourth quarter of 2015, an impressive achievement, as the fourth quarter of 2015 was unusually strong due to exceptionally high sales of clear brine fluids and some catch-up with it following a slow first half in 2016. The ICL Industrial Products business line, performance continued to benefit from the implementation of its strategy. In 2016 we had record sales volumes of several important new products like FR-122P, the mercury emission control product line and several other flame retardants. Our costs were driven down by the labor reduction and lower raw material cost, while still maintaining our elevated selling price level as we focused on value oriented pricing strategy. ICL Advanced Additives benefited from increased sales of environmentally friendly extinguishing materials. In ICL Food Specialties, we increased sales of dairy protein and blended solutions, which helped to compensate for the price pressure in single ingredient phosphate additives market. In our Specialty Fertilizer, price decrease of commodity fertilizers, which are used as raw materials for the specialty increased competitive pressure in the market. In addition, lower crop prices incentivized farmers to use cheaper commodity fertilizers over semi-specialty fertilizers. We are somewhat more encouraged since the beginning of 2017 where we are seeing the price appreciation of ammonia and a good start for the year in Israel and Europe. Moving to Essential Minerals. We experienced strong commercial and operational performance in the potash business, while our commodity phosphate business continued to face a very challenging environment. During the quarter, we shipped the highest potash volumes in the company's history for a single quarter. The potash results will also supported by better realized price for potash compared to our major peers, which reflects our geographical advantages. During the fourth quarter, we were able to complete all the contractual shipments to China as well as some optional volumes. Our shipments to Europe and Brazil also increase compared to the fourth quarter of 2015. The improvements we made in our logistics systems as part of our operational excellence initiatives, as well as higher production at ICL Dead Sea allowed us to meet the increased demand in a relatively short period of time. The record production at ICL Dead Sea in 2016 was achieved through better management of the raw materials flow together with the utilization of higher capacity in our processing plans. The improvement in the Dead Sea is expected to offset a decrease of 300,000 tons expected in the U.K. production in 2017, mainly due to the shift to Polysulphate. In the last few months, potash prices recovered from the lower levels recorded in the third quarter of 2016. We experienced good customer engagement and believe there is more room for a moderate recovery in demand and prices in 2017. In the phosphate markets, selling prices continued to decrease in the fourth quarter compared to the third quarter of the year. The phosphate business line’s annual and quarterly results were severely impacted by prices. We are disappointed with the results of our YPH joint-venture, as it is still highly exposed to the phosphate commodity prices, and our focus for 2017 is to minimize the losses it is generating. In recent weeks there has been some stabilization and even improvement in the market with price increases realized in Brazil, the U.S., Europe and China. Added to these is the expectation for slightly lower Chinese production in 2017 from the already low bar set in 2016. However we expect higher raw material and energy cost, especially for ammonia to offset some of these price increases. Looking into the first quarter of 2017, we expect potash shipments to be down significantly from Q4 ‘16, but moderately higher prices to partially offset this decline. Lower volume is the result of completion of the previous Chinese contract without the new contracts signed at this point in the year, coupled with seasonality low volume, which typically occurs in the first quarter. We continued to intensively implement efficiencies in our YPH joint-venture in China. And together with the moderate price recovery, we hope to improve the results in the phosphate business line. In the Specialty Solution Division, this is still off-season in some major business lines and we expect to be stable sequentially. The bridges on Slide 12 demonstrate the challenges we faced this year, namely the significant impact of lower commodity prices on both sales and operating income. While we were able to mitigate the impact of lower prices by increased volumes sold, which resulted in almost flat sales year-over-year, the impact was much more noticeable on our operating income. Yet again our increasing ability to control our cost and the successful implementation of our efficiency measures, helped to partially mitigate that effect. In this regard, it is important to mention that part of the positive contribution of the raw materials, energy and transportation items, is also related to our operational excellence initiatives. It should be noted that the 2015 strike impact was adjusted in the operating profit but not on the sales level. This is why quantities impact is positive in the sales but negative in the operating profit. Turning to Slide 13. In the Specialty Solutions Division, we can see that sales this quarter were almost the same as the fourth quarter of 2015, which was stronger than usual fourth quarter. Some of our business lines experienced price declines due to the increased competition, as a result of low commodity prices. That was offset almost completely by the increase in quantities. Despite the lower prices, the division’s operating income increased by 12% attributed to low production input cost, improved product mix as we grow the share of new products, as well as efficiency measures. Let's take a closer look at our Essential Mineral Division on Slide 14. The late signing of potash contracts in China and India resulted in high shipments of this - to these markets during the quarter. As Asher explained, our logistical advantages which where further enhanced by operational excellence initiatives, as well as strong production in the Dead Sea, helped us to ship record quarterly volumes of potash, even though this benefits from higher net back in our potash prices as reflected in our full price compared to our major peers, we also continued to see the significant impact of the price decreases versus 2015, especially on the phosphate business line performance. This was partially offset by lower raw material and energy prices. Turning now to Slide 15. As we completed our current operational excellence and efficiency plans, we are satisfied with our accomplishments which results in a further contribution in 2016 of more than $100 million compared to 2015. Over this period from 2013 to 2016, we have achieved a 22% reduction in production cost per ton of potash, mainly due to cost reduction at ICL Dead Sea and an increase in the Dead Sea share in production and sales. Our target for 2017 is to create additional value of $100 million to further improve ICL competitive position. We will do it through efficiency measures in our production assets and in our administrative costs, as well as through commercial and operational excellence initiatives, which are expected to contribute to better production utilization, increased sales of new products and solutions, and better pricing, especially in our specialty businesses. And finally, on Slide 16, our disciplined balance sheet management in 2016 is reflected in the quarterly cash flow generation, especially in light of the significant decrease in commodity fertilizer prices. For 2017, our target is to maintain our achievements in the working capital and cash flow management. After successfully achieving our 2016 CapEx goals, we plan to further reduce CapEx in 2017, while still leaving room for growth, as Asher demonstrated earlier. The combination of our disciplined balance sheet management with lower CapEx and costs should help us to achieve another year of meaningful cash flow generation. This is expected to support our goal to finish 2017 with a net debt to EBITDA ratio of less than 3.5, which is important for maintaining our investment grade rating, while we still providing solid dividend yield to our shareholders. Thank you for your time, and we will be happy to take your questions now.