Michael Brigham
Analyst · SER Asset Management. Please go ahead
Great. Thank you, all for taking the time to join today's call. I do appreciate that. Let me start by saying Happy Valentine's Day to all. Also I have to apologize, I'm just coming out of quite a cold. So forgive me for the scratchy voice here. I'm going to go a bit off script today and just speak to the top of mind about a few things that I think are important to note about the press release, disclosures we made last night. As Joe mentioned, more complete and audited review of 2018 will be available when we file our Annual Report on Form 10-K towards the end of March. So top line, to start with sales, you can see sales are up 5%. This is in a very difficult dairy economy, I mean we really do see and feel the pain of our customers. So we're quite pleased to be up with a 5% increase. And Tri-Shield is driving a lot of that increase and I'll talk about that as my second topic. The fourth quarter was off a bit, I see Seeking Alpha picks that up as a title, as a headliner. And if you dig into the numbers, we're talking about less than $200,000 flux there. So it doesn't concern me a great bit. I did put some detail into the queue – into the press release as to why that happened and I'm comfortable with those reasons for that flux. And the other point, I want to make is only back out some non-core animal health products and just look at our core animal health products. The sales were up about 8%, so 5% and 8%, when you look at the numbers that way in this very difficult dairy economy, not horrible. So let's go to Tri-Shield next, very exciting new product for us, challenging year for both our production team and our sales team. Bottom line is, we don't have enough inventory to meet demand, that's a frustrating situation, but it's great to see this customer demand. Sales team is working really hard to manage that to allocating product directly to customers, so that we don't get in a situation where customers are not able to get product that we promised to them. And when we promise it, we meet their P.O. and deliver it. But we simply are not producing as much as the market wants. We're fixing that problem, and I expect to see that come through our sales line in the second half of 2019. It's been a long technical fix to the vaccine production part of this product. And then the production cycle is a long cycle about five or six months. So fixing that problem now really does not show impact in our sales line, at least significant impact to the second half of the year. But as I said, the increases we're seeing in sales right now are largely be driven -- being driven by Tri-Shield. We see the bolus format of this product is as maturing and not a source of significant growth going forward. But all of – both of our gel formula formats, both the bivalent and trivalent gel formats with this product are seeing growth and we are again seeing this customer demand exceeding supply, because the customer is really receptive to our beyond vaccination story. We position the product as an alternative to dam vaccines and people like this. They like the opportunity to save the needle not stick a needle in a cow instead delivered, measured antibodies directly to the newborn calf. So, moving on to the product development side, the PD expense for 2018 is high. We've largely invested in the Nisin product, the FDA product. This is driving those high PD expenses. We expect that to continue, but not at such a high rate as in 2019 as shown in 2018. We did previously project that we would have this first CMC submission into the FDA by the end of 2018 that obviously did not happen. I should note the CMC, I'm referring to this is as the manufacturing technical section for the Nisin product. But we're pretty confident now where we sit. We're just wrapping up the details and to get that in here in February yet. And with that, we'll put out a press release and provide some detail confirming that has been filed and some detail on the status and project update. So other than – the most important thing I want to talk about is some something that I can't really talk about in 10-K or an SEC report. I want to talk about some non-GAAP financial measures that we look at here internally. And I emphasize non-GAAP, so when we found on SEC report, that's all – I'm a former Ernst & Young guy. I know GAAP, I respect GAAP, but I also think management and perhaps you investors need to look at numbers from a slightly different angle, and I can do that in this press release. So that I'm referring to the chart on Page 3 of the press release, where we start off by looking at our net loss before taxes. So I've backed our taxes, because they're non-cash at this point. We're not paying cash taxes, so back out taxes, start with net loss before taxes. And then we'll get depreciation and we'll get stock option compensation expense. When we back out those three items and the amortization, we move from the red to the black, and I guess that's really my point is that's not a GAAP measure. But when we know – when we understand the amount of depreciation that we're putting through our books which is a requirement at this point, even though we're not seeing revenue out of the Nisin plant, we are not matching revenue with expenses in this case, we're depreciating that plant before we had any revenue. So I'd like to look at that and of course, the statement of cash flows, full GAAP statement will be provided with the 10-K filing at the end of March, but there's kind of a view, the way the management looks at these numbers, little, when I look at the local newspaper here, putting their story out this morning. The headliner is this big $2.3 million loss. I get it. I too spend a lot of time with the staff writer there. If you take the time to read a story, you can see that he understands what I've been talking about as far as the impact of depreciation and other non-cash expenses. But of course, the headline is the big $2.3 million loss. But it again on a cash basis, it's not $2.3 million cash loss. Thanks for taking a look at that angle. And please, I encourage you to review that table and that's kind of my off the cuff kind of comments to implement those four points, but those are just a few of the results that are important to me. I choose not to write up a big script and read to you all some of these numbers and these fluxes buy dollars and by percentages. You can feel those in the press release, because I value the time we have here on this call and hope you agree that this is a productive approach to the call. It saves us more time for your questions which are important to me. So with that said, let's have the operator open up the lines for your questions.