Michael Miller
Analyst · JPMorgan
Sure, Mike. This is Michael. Thanks for the question. Yes, we feel very good about the inflection in single-family, quite frankly. The trend continued to improve throughout the quarter and into the second quarter, particularly with the production builders. As we previously stated, it's our belief that the vast majority of growth in single-family will come this year from production builders. And we're definitely seeing that in our overall revenue with the production builders. I think it's worth noting that when the public builders that have reported so far their first quarter results, backlog is up 16%, 17%, and orders were up over 30%. What's interesting is, historically, we could rely specifically on sort of backlog and orders as indicators of demand from the production builders, but because as we all know, there's been a leaning in towards more spec inventory from those builders, which doesn't really show up in these numbers. That creates even more opportunity than what we think is there. And that is a direct result of, I think, what we're seeing, even though it's only 3 months of information from the Census Bureau. And as Jeff pointed out in his prepared remarks, with single-family starts up 27% for the first quarter. All of that is just a really strong indication to us that we're going to continue to have this very positive inflection in single-family as we go through the course of the year. And what's interesting, too, and we talked about this the last quarter as well, is that one of the first things that we do from an installation perspective is insulation and then the other products come later in the build cycle of the home and that has absolutely been the case within our revenue. We saw very strong growth overall in our fiberglass insulation growth and total insulation growth in the quarter. And that trend, again, continued to accelerate as we went into the second quarter. So that strength is very positive. The other products, quite frankly, were weak in the quarter, which is exactly what we would have expected, and we'll expect strength from the other products as we go towards the back half of the year and how this get completed. On the multi-family side, I mean, as we've talked, we do think that the multi-family market is going to be challenging for -- in 2025. Clearly, multi-family units under construction continues to be at a highly elevated pace. We were very pleased with the same branch sales growth that we achieved in multi-family during the quarter. Our backlogs continue to be strong, and we believe there is -- continues to be, particularly as we go into '25, a lot of opportunity for us to gain share in markets that are core markets for us in single-family, but we are significantly underpenetrated in the multi-family opportunity. And our team is doing an excellent job of going after those opportunities, both from an insulation and from the other products that we install so that we can increase significantly our take per unit in a multi-family project. So overall, I mean, we feel very good about it. We acknowledge there's definitely headwinds in multi-family. We believe that for us, and some of the initiatives that we've taken over the years as it relates to multi-family, we'll be able to resist, if you will, some of those headwinds in multi-family, particularly as it comes into '25. But there's no doubt that there will be a challenge there. Fortunately, single-family, as we said, is -- looks very solid, and that is 60% of our overall revenue. So when you have such a strong outlook for 60% of your revenue, it's easy to be confident.