Daniella Dimitrov
Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead
Thank you very much Maryse and thank you again everyone for joining us on this call today. I know it is a busy day of earnings so we will do our best to expedite our presentation. Before I begin I would like to welcome Maryse as Interim President and CEO. As she mentioned, she has been actively engaged in the business since being appointed Chair and we very much look forward to working with her in her new role. Her proven strengths and experience in operational and efficiency improvements and in project development bring important additional capacity and capability to the management team as we actively addressed the challenges before us. Turning to the quarter, IAMGOLD delivered a strong start to the year with attributable gold production of 174,000 ounces up 21,000 ounces or 14% from the prior quarter on continued strong performance from Essakane and improvements at Rosebel. The strong production results and higher sales volumes directly translated to improvements in cash cost at $1017 per ounce sold and all in sustaining cost at $1490 per ounce sold. On a unit cost basis, costs were effectively flat quarter-over-quarter. Health and safety ensuring all of our employees go home safe continues to be a key focus for IAMGOLD as reflected in our long held zero harm vision. For the quarter, our DART Frequency Rate which translates to days away or transfer duty was 0.29, tracking below our annual target of 0.42, and a total recordable injuries rate was 0.85 currently above our target of 0.73 for the year. Côté Gold achieved another milestone surpassing over 4.7 million hours with no lost time injuries to date. The COVID-19 pandemic continues to evolve and managing the impacts of it remained a significant focus for us in the first quarter. The rising positive cases at our operations including at Rosebel, Westwood, and Côté resulted in rising rates of workforce absenteeism early to mid-first quarter 2022. We will address these impacts further in the following remarks. Looking ahead our attributable gold production guidance for the year remains unchanged and is expected to be in the range of 570,000 to 640,000 ounces. Cost guidance for 2022 is also unchanged at this time with cash costs expected to be between 1100 and 1150 per ounce sold and all our sustaining costs expected to be between 1650 and 1690 per ounce sold. As previously reported these estimates issued in January included an inflation assumption of 5% to 7% on key consumables. Towards the end of the first quarter additional cost pressures emerged arising from systemic inflation, constrained global supply chains, and the sanctions on trade with Russia further increasing the average cost of certain key consumables such as oil, ammonium nitrate, grinding media, lime, and cyanide. We continue to work with our supply chain to seek alternatives to mitigate ongoing cost pressures including the sourcing of appropriate alternatives although at higher prices and sometimes at varying quality as well as progressing productivity initiatives at our operation through the IAMALLIN operational improvement program in an effort to offset certain of these cost increases. Increases in oil prices have been partially mitigated by our existing oil hedge program. For reference, a $10 per barrel increase in the oil price equates to approximately $6 per ounce increase in our cash cost. Without our hedging contracts the same $10 per barrel increase which translates to a $15 per ounce increase in cash card. In our MD&A we noted that continued external cost pressures may result in an increase to 2022 cost guidance estimates and that we will provide further updates next quarter. The following are some key highlights of our first quarter 2022 financial results. Gold revenues in the first quarter totaled 356.6 million from sales of 196,000 ounces or 181,000 ounces on an attributable basis. The average realized gold price for the first quarter was $1813 per ounce. These revenues and average realized prices included the impact of the physical delivery of 37,500 at $1500 per ounce under our 2019 prepay arrangement as we closed monthly contracts. Adjusted EBITDA came in at 137.6 million for the quarter translating to first quarter adjusted net earnings up 26.1 million or $0.05 per share. Operating cash flow before changes in working capital was almost 134 million for the quarter and mine site free cash flow was 87.5 million. In terms of our financial position we ended the quarter with $520 million in cash and cash equivalents and almost $5 million in short-term investments for a total of just over 524 million. During the quarter we received the first $59 million in cash of the 236 million to be received over the course of the year in relation to the 2022 prepay arrangement on 150,000 ounces which will be physically settled in 2024. On April 29th we entered into a master lease agreement with CAT Financial to release mobile equipment expected to be delivered over the course of 2022 and 2023 with a value of approximately 125 million. This is in line with our budgeted expectations and Côté project costs which we have been reporting net of these leases. In terms of cash flows we started the year with $545 million in cash and equivalents and the balance decreased by just over 25 million over the course of the first quarter. Cash generated from operations of 133.9 million net of income taxes was offset by outflows from investing activities reflecting capital expenditures of 168.3 million at Côté Gold, Essakane, Rosebel, Westwood, and Boto. We will now walk through each of our operations in more detail. Essakane delivered the highest quarter production to date with attributable gold production of 112,000 ounces or 14% higher quarter-over-quarter, benefiting from higher head grades and optimized or blend management at the mill. Mining activity of 15 million tons was in line with the prior quarter due to efficiencies achieved from material rehandling procedures. Mill throughput of 3.2 million tons was modestly lower quarter-over-quarter and was offset by higher head grades of 1.39 grams per ton, higher average recoveries of 88%, and higher plant availability of 95%. Head grades came in above expectations as a result of higher than anticipated or [indiscernible]. Ore blending strategy up the mill feed, optimize the feed grade, and helps to mitigate the negative impact of the graphitic content on recovery. Cash cost and all in sustaining costs per ounce sold for the quarter of 781 and 1134 per ounce sold were lower by 14% and in line respectively quarter-over-quarter primarily due to higher production and sales and higher sustaining capital expenditures of 47.7 million versus 22.9 million in the prior quarter. COVID-19 cases peaked at the end of 2021 and the situation is currently stable. The operation continued normally following the political developments in Burkina Faso reported on earlier in the year. Although it is continually challenged by the on the ground security circumstances, we continue to take proactive measures to ensure the safety and security of our in country personnel and we continue to adjust our protocols and the activity levels at the site according to the security environment and the supply chain circumstances. We are furthering certain additional investments in security infrastructure in the region and at the mine site. These measures and investments are captured in our cost and CAPEX guidance. Looking ahead attributable gold production at Essakane in 2022 is expected to approximate the top end of the range of 360,000 to 385,000 ounces reflecting the higher than expected grades in the first quarter and the potential for further positive reconciliation between mine grades and the reserve block model. Head grades are expected to normalize closer to the reserve grades over the course of the year and we are investigating whether the updated block model may be under estimating grades as the complexity of mineralization has increased in the lower portions of the pit with higher amounts of coarse gold. Turning to Rosebel, it had a good start to the year. The operation reported first quarter attributable production of 46,000 ounces which is a 10% increase quarter-over-quarter benefiting from improved recovery and head grades partially offset by lower throughput. Material mined at 12.7 million tons with 8% lower quarter-over-quarter as waste stripping activities lagged in the quarter with a ramp up in March due to some impact from weather and the continued challenge of managing head intrusions by illegal miners. The grade mined at Saramacca continued to be lower than reserve grade due to the phase that is currently mined. The completion of a haul road which is in progress is expected to provide access to the higher grade phases in the fourth quarter of 2022. Near throughput achieved 2.3 million tons or 6% lower than the prior quarter at an average head grade of 0.1 grams per ton impacted by mill maintenance work including the relining of the fag [ph] mill. Mill recovery was 91% which is 6% higher than the prior quarter benefiting from improvements to the carbon ADR circuit which once completed at the end of the 2021. Cash cost of $1315 per ounce sold and all in sustaining costs of $1784 per ounce sold were lower by 13% and 2% respectively quarter-over-quarter primarily due to higher sales volume and partially offset by higher sustaining capital expenditures mostly related to stripping. The COVID situation at the site stabilized during the quarter following an increase in new cases in January. Looking ahead, attributable gold production guidance for 2022 at Rosebel remains unchanged at between 155,000 to 180,000 ounces weightage to the second half of the year as the seasonal rains subside which typically peak in the first half of the year. We note that the collective labor agreement expires in August of 2022 and negotiations for a new agreement are scheduled to commence in the third quarter and have in the past at times been prolonged and disruptive to the operations. Turning to Westwood, quarterly gold production of 16,000 ounces was 23% higher than in the fourth quarter of last year. Mining volumes of 222,000 tons were lower due to higher absenteeism resulting from COVID-19, and general labor shortages which continue in the region. This was partially mitigated by higher grades and lower dilution. Underground development improved significantly in the first quarter with over 800 meters of lateral developments completed which is double that of the prior quarter. The COVID-19 situation at sites and in the district stabilized in the second half of the quarter. Gold production guidance at the Westwood complex remains unchanged for 2022 in a range of 55,000 to 75,000 ounces and assumes the safe restart of the central and west underground zones at the end of the second quarter of 2022 which is on track. I will now provide you with an update on our Côté Gold construction project. Before we get into the updates on the project review and risk analysis and cost and schedule estimates, I will provide some key project updates. In the first quarter we expanded $82.3 million and incurred $130 million in project cost. The balance between spend and incurred costs relates to completed work not yet invoiced and timing of payments. As previously announced, our concrete batch plant was rendered inoperable following a fire on February 24th. Our project and contractor teams quickly announced a mitigation plan starting with sourcing concrete from local suppliers and [indiscernible]. This was followed by the sourcing of a mobile batch plants in mid-March which could handle small to medium sized ores and then a replacement batch plant was commissioned and has been operational since mid-April. The impact to the project schedule as a result of the batch plant fire has been incorporated into the ongoing schedule and project costs re-estimation work which we will discuss in a moment. We do want to take a moment to applaud the efforts of our project and contractor teams in their rapid and agile response and proactive mitigation of this event. All critical infrastructure is complete for the spring thaw. Earthworks productivity improved over the quarter, however, continued to lag due to COVID-19 absenteeism in January and February, lower productivity rates compared to plan, as well as reduced equipment due to spare parts availability and other maintenance challenges faced by the contractor. The concrete foundation work inside the grinding area is nearing completion and should be completed in the second quarter allowing for the preparation of the commencement of structural and mechanical installation in the interior of the building. Structural steel erection and the high bay grinding section of the building has been completed. Installation of the pre-leach thickener and leach tanks concrete foundation has commenced. Wall panel cladding installation has progressed with over 90% completed for the high bay building section including the roof of the plant. However, this is not on a critical path. The camp was connected to grid power and pole installation work on the 42 kilometer power line is ongoing. We reported with our year-end results that the rapid rise in cases in Ontario and other provinces had a negative impact on construction activities in the first quarter. Site staffing was approximately 60% of plan in the first part of January with a large number of infections including in the steel construction work force. Our mandatory vaccination policy was introduced in January and 100% of site personnel had two doses of the vaccine by April 1. Côté Gold is a project that is being developed with a background of COVID-19 inflation and global events and their impact including on the global supply chains, labor availability and productivity, cost of materials, commodities, and consumables. As previously disclosed, following the appointment of Jerzy Orzechowski as Executive Project Director in December 2021, a project cost scheduled execution strategy and risk review commenced to assess the previously estimated cost and schedule along with the evaluation of potential mitigation and/or optimization opportunities. This project review and risk analysis is continuing and is being undertaken by the IAMGOLD project team, EPCM contractor, and certain other technical experts and has been dubbed super trend. Following this on February 23rd we announced that certain inflationary and other cost pressures had been identified impacting Earthworks, electrical and instrumentation components, operation spare parts, key consumables, and other indirect costs resulting in projected remaining cost to completion at that time to trend upwards above the high-end of the previous estimate range of 710 million to 760 million and the timing of cost to potentially vary. Based on the ongoing analysis, assessment, and preliminary information available to date including provisions for certain commodities escalation and contingencies, the company currently estimates that the remaining project cost to completion at April 1, 2022 could be between approximately 1.2 billion to 1.3 billion net of leases and with a preliminary increase in project costs estimated at an FX rate of 1.25. This range includes between approximately 100 million to 150 million in contingencies and other risk. Accordingly, the company has withdrawn its 2022 and 2023 Côté Gold project cost guidance. We do caution that this is a preliminary estimate and that the company intends to provide a more detailed updated cost and schedule estimates before the end of the second quarter once the ongoing work is completed. In the last number of months, the Côté Gold project has seen several changes in leadership and oversight, both at the project level and corporate level. Since the appointment of a new Executive Project Director teams have been strengthened to target efficiencies while leveraging knowledge, experience and team integration between the owner’s team, EPCM contractor, and the various other project contractors that are working at Côté Gold. The preliminary estimated updated cost to completion, excluding contingencies result from additional cost and schedule impacts in the cost categories which I will review shortly and include COVID-19 related impacts and delays as well as inflation impacts. Earthworks, approximately 25% of the increase is associated with scope gaps, lower than expected productivity as a result of an overestimation of earthmoving equipment efficiencies based on geotechnical data and scope gaps in additional dams and dewatering. Process plants and infrastructure, approximately 25% of the increase is associated with scope gaps relating to the processing plant, under estimation of winter concrete and steel costs, impacts on the underground utility construction, and received bids for the SMPEI packages. Number three indirect, approximately 40% is associated with impacts from increased project costs and scheduled extension, including EPCM, owners cost, mining, operations readiness, and other indirect costs. And finally others including procurements account for approximately 10% of the increase. As part of this work, a study by an independent capital project management service company estimated direct and indirect COVID related impacts to the project to be in the range of approximately $150 million to $300 million on a 70% basis at an exchange rate of 1.3. Looking at the schedule, based on preliminary results, the timing of commercial production is expected to be extended by approx -- to approximately the end of 2023. While this is consistent with previous guidance of the second half of 2023, it does represent a four to five-month delay resulting from certain of the factors that we previously discussed. This year has always been critical for project advancement as project activities are expected to ramp up into the summer and fall months with a coordination of Earthworks, concrete, plants structural mechanical piping work, and power and electrical installation being very important. The increase in the oversight team, managing contractors, and contracting packages which will facilitate the expected increase in the number of contractors working at site. Our Board of Directors has also retained an independent technical consultant to assist with the Board's review of the results of the Côté Gold project review and risk analysis. We do caution that potential further disruptions including caused by COVID-19, the Ukraine war, weather, potential labor disruptions, and the tight labor market could continue to impact the timing of activities, availability of workforce, productivity, and supply chain and logistics and consequently could further impact the timing of actual commercial production, and consequently project costs. Taking a look at the project metrics, Côté Gold continues to be a transformational asset for the company with the addition of a Tier 1 long life generational asset in Canada to our portfolio. We note that the results of the ongoing re-estimation work will also include a reanalysis of the project ramp up assumptions and other project metrics, including operating costs which we expect will increase based on headcount assumptions, and to better capture the current pricing environment for consumables and increased labor rates. As we mentioned, these results will be issued before the end of the second quarter. Turning to liquidity, as of March 31 the company had $524.4 million in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments, coupled with approximately 498 million available under our secured revolving credit facility, resulting in total available liquidity at quarter-end of $1 billion. We drew down $100 million on the credit facility at the end of April to prepare for Côté Gold cash costs during the remainder of the second quarter while we complete certain cash repatriation initiatives, including a dividend declared and paid by Essakane at the end of April. Based on current information, total current available liquidity taken together with estimated net cash from operations is expected to be sufficient to continue to fund the construction of Côté Gold, to meet obligations, and to fund planned investing activities at our existing operations for approximately the next 12 months. We expect that the change in the remaining cost to complete and schedule of the CÔTÉ Gold project will result in the company requiring additional financing in 2023 in addition to the existing credit facility to complete the Côté Gold construction through the ramp up period to take us to positive free cash flow. We are therefore actively investigating measures to increase liquidity and capital resources, including additional debt and/or equity financing, strategically disposing of assets, and/or pursuing joint venture. Thank you to everyone for joining us today. And I will now pass the call back over to the operator for Q&A.