Gord Stothart
Analyst · CIBC. Please go ahead
Thanks Carol. As you know, last night we released our 2015 year-end reserves and resources statement, so I'll begin with that. This slide shows a year-over-year comparison of our reserves and resources. Please keep in mind that our mineral resource estimates are inclusive of mineral reserves. In total, proven and probable attributable gold reserves after depletion decreased by 11% or 0.9 million ounces to 7.7 million ounces at the end of 2015. The decline was primarily due to depletion as we produced 806,000 attributable ounces in 2015. Other notable factors contributing to the revised estimate were a lower gold price assumption, which accounted for a decline of 294,000 ounces. Our gold price assumption used for reserves at the end of 2015 was $1,200 per ounce compared to $1,300 per ounce the year before. At Westwood, 213,000 ounces of resources were converted to reserves, partially offset by refinement of the reserve model that resulted from additional infill drilling and modeling. A change in economic parameters, including improved operating costs at Essakane had a positive impact of 337,000 ounces, and at Sadiola 211,000 ounces were converted from reserve - resources to reserves and the gold price assumption increased to $1190 an ounce from $1100 the year before. Total attributable measured and indicated resources, inclusive of reserves increased at all sites and overall by 10% or 2.1 million ounces to 23.5 million ounces at the end of 2015, using the exact same gold price of $1500 per ounce for resources. Turning now to review of operation, I'll focus on the performance highlights from last year, and our outlook for 2016. Essakane, had another record year in 2015 with attributable production up 15% to 383,000 ounces. This reflects continued mill optimization and 15% grade increase and the mining of the Falagountou pit in the second half. Although the percentage of hard rock milled at Essakane increased by 65% in 2015 - increased to 65% in 2015 from 50% a year before, it was still lower than the 90% anticipated beginning of the year. This was due to additional saprolite ore from stockpiles and from the Falagountou department. As we mine deeper in the pit we should be at 90% hard rock by the end of the first quarter of this year. All-in sustaining cost were 1,010 per ounce in 2015 at Essakane, excluding realized losses on fuel and currency hedges, all-in sustaining cost were $935 per an ounce, which is $125 per ounce lower than 2014. Operational enhancements, lower fuel cost and stronger US dollar relative to the euro, as well as higher sales were behind the improvement. In 2016, we expect Essakane can produce between 365,000 to 375,000 attributable ounces with a full year of mining at Falagountou, mining tonnage should he higher, but gold production is expected to be marginally lower than 2015 due to lower grades deeper in the pit. To improve gold recoveries, we are looking at oxygen injection into the carbon-in-leach tanks and the installation of an intensive leach reactor for the gravity circuit. With the higher proportion of hard rock expected for 2016, the emphasis is on increasing mining and milling efficiencies, performance improvement initiatives include optimized drill and blast practices to decrease the amount of explosive used, automated cyanide injection to enhance circuit stability, installation of a carbon fines incinerator to reduce gold-in-process inventory, and reduced fuel consumption and improved power plant efficiencies Our updated mine plan shows Essakane to be a robust profitable operation for at least another 8 years or longer depending on the exploration success with the soft rock targets in surrounding areas. Looking at Rosebel, Rosebel produced 287,000 attributable ounces in 2015, lower than the previous year by 38,000 ounces. Most of the decline was due to lower grade and lower throughput, as the proportion of soft rock fell from 38% to 25%. Production in the fourth quarter of 70,000 ounces, although down from the same quarter in 2014 due to the strike in December was unchanged from the third quarter in 2015 which was also lower than the prior year due in part to a plant mill shutdown. All-in sustaining cost for Rosebel was skewed high at $1,420 per ounce in the fourth quarter and $1,165 per ounce for the year, due to the one time purchase of assets held under finance leases and the realize losses on fuel and currency hedges. Vesting ph for both these items, all-in sustaining costs were $980 per ounce in the fourth quarter, representing a 12% improvement from the third quarter. In 2016, we expect Rosebel to produce between 285,000 and 295,000 ounces. This is at a similar level to last year as the lower mill throughput through the increasing hard rock will be offset by higher grades. In 2015, we processed 12.3 million ton, 30% of which was hard rock, once we achieved 80 to 100% hard rock, in the next couple of years, annual throughput would be expected to drop below 8 million tons. However to reduce that impact, we plan to install and commission a permanent secondary crusher this year at a cost of about $15 million. This will increase throughput by about 20% relative to the case where we don’t install the crusher and will allow Rosebel to process around 9.5 million tons annually at the higher proportion of hard rock. To further increase the capacity to process hard rock, we're changing the grinding media size and configuration of the SAG mill liners. This will also reduce the steel and cyanide consumption. This improvement comes at no additional net cost as the liners involved need to be replaced on an ongoing basis regardless. Rosebel has made great strides improving operating efficiency and reducing cost over the past few years, productivity have increased 25%, shovel productivity have increased by 30%, mill availability is currently running over 96% and the employee base is been trimmed by about 10%. There continue to be opportunities for further cost reduction still. This year we plan to reduce cycle times through enhanced dispatching and road optimization and we're looking at options from improving drilling productivity. Increasing bench height will help lower mining cost and optimizing the gravity circuits and the carbon-in-leach configuration will help us manage milling cost downward. Based on the updated mine plan for Rosebel, the remaining life of mine is at least another seven years, production will average 300,000 ounces for the next several years, before tailing off near the end of mine life as we move into the lower grade pit. However, we think we can do better than that, which is why securing a source of softer rock to enhance the [indiscernible] to the Rosebel mill remains a major objective this year. Looking at Westwood, the focus over the next years will be on underground development to expand the number of active mining sectors. The development work is necessary to open up access to multiple mine blocks for future years and for operational flexibility. Early development in new sectors will also allow us to complete infill drilling in resource areas to allow us to convert them into reserves ahead of future mining. Once we are mining in two, to three asset sectors, Rosebel can achieve its design for production cadence of 180 to 200,000 ounces a year. In 2016, and 2017, Westwood would carryout remedial work in the area affected by last year’s seismic event. The seismic event was in the principal high grade sectors that have been opened up for mining to that point, which is why the impact on production in 2015 was significant. However, the affected area accounts for only 6% to 7% of Westwoods total resources. Based on the review of the incident and our recovery plan, we expect to eventually mine nearly all of that ore. Our mine plan for Westwood shows a 20 year mine life at a minimum and the lowest life of mine all-in sustaining cost of any of our operations. The life of mine plan at Westwood is based on a significant amount inferred resources, unlike Rosebel and Essakane which are based only on reserves. As mentioned previously, our priority will be the ongoing conversion of the inferred resources to mineable reserves. Through 2016 the mill will operate on a reduced schedule due to low level ore being mined. We expect to ramp up to full design capacity by 2019. In 2016, production guidance for Westwood is between 50,000 and 60,000 ounces of gold, similar to 2015. Our development and remediation plan is well underway and we will closely track and monitor development rate. Although it’s still early days, I am happy to tell you that we are currently tracking slightly ahead of budget and that we are achieving that development in the priority heading. Increasing development productivity provides greatest opportunity to lower our capital and operating cost at Westwood in the near future and accordingly guys where we are focusing our continuous improvement effort. In addition, we will continue to take advantage of other opportunities to improve operating efficiencies throughout the Westwood operations, such as negotiating better terms for supplier contract and augmenting more our processes and systems. All of our sites have worked hard to find ways to cut cost and with much success. To give you an example, last year alone we saved a net $13 million in global procurement by negotiating better prices and terms to surpassing the $12 million that had been saved in the previous two years. While we don’t expect to repeat that again in 2016, there are number of key contracts up for renewal which present opportunities for further savings. At our Sadiola joint venture in Mali attributable gold production in 2015 is 69,000 ounces, with 16,000 ounces produced in the final quarter. The decline over the previous year was due to lower grade. Compared to 2014, all-in sustaining cost were 23% lower due to lower prices for fuel and consumables and favorable exchange rate. In 2016, we expect Sadiola to account for 9% to 10% of our total attributable production. The operating came at Sadiola is been doing some excellent work there to bring down cost. Additionally, the positive results from last years RC, reverse circulation drilling program to test rock site target have delivered an increase in year end reserves and resources estimate. Improved cost and increased reserves have combined to allow the team to extend the life beyond what we initially thought for the outside operation. And the current assessment indicates two more years of mining and milling op sites which is expected to take us at least into early 2018. At the same time, although gold prices have been challenge, we continue to look at expansion options with our partner and update the feasibility study. And finally to closeout my section, in 2016 our capital expenditure guidance is $250 billion, plus or minus 10%, which is up 5% from 2015, mainly due to development work at Westwood and capitalize stripping at Essakane. About 30% - 37% of the sustaining capital total for our owned and operated mines is for capitalize stripping at the open pit operations at Rosebel and Essakane. Of the $80 million planned for CapEx at Westwood this year, $65 million is development capital required to expand its new mine sectors that described earlier, development mining work in existing stoping areas is classified as sustaining capital. Other then Westwood, our largest development expenditure will be $15 million for the secondary crusher at Rosebel as I mentioned earlier. That completes the operations review and Craig will now give an update on exploration