Earnings Labs

MarineMax, Inc. (HZO)

Q4 2011 Earnings Call· Thu, Nov 3, 2011

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Welcome to the MarineMax Incorporated Fourth Quarter 2011 Earnings Conference Call. Today’s call is being recorded. At this time, for opening remarks and introductions, I’d like to turn the call over to Mr. Brad Cohen. Please go ahead, sir

Brad Cohen

Management

Thank you very much, operator. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining this discussion of MarineMax’s 2011 fiscal fourth quarter results. I’m sure that you’ve all received a copy of the press release that went out this morning, but if you have not, please call Linda Cameron at 727-531-1700 and she can fax or e-mail one to you. I’d now like to introduce the management team of MarineMax; Mr. Bill McGill, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer; Mr. Mike McLamb, Chief Financial Officer of the company. Management will make some comments and then will be available for your questions. Mike?

Michael McLamb

Management

Thank you, Brad. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining this call. Before I turn the call over to Bill, I’d like to tell you that certain of our comments are forward-looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act. These statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from expectations. These risks include, but are not limited to, the impact of seasonality and weather, general economic conditions, and the level of consumer spending, the company’s ability to capitalize on opportunities or grow its market share, and numerous other factors identified in our Form 10-K and other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. With that in mind, I’d like to turn the call over to Bill.

William McGill

Management

Thank you, Mike, and good morning, everyone. As we look at fiscal 2011 we made progress in many areas of our business, but late in our fourth quarter sales got off track for a profitable year. Business trends were encouraging but slowed as the second half of the quarter progressed. There is no question our business was impacted by the confluence of market volatility and the negative news flow from around the world. The sharp decline in consumer confidence, which hit new lows in August, certainly impacted our results for the quarter. However, as I said earlier, we did make progress with market share gains and expanding margins during this quarter. We actually had solid new boat unit growth for the fourth consecutive albeit at a slower pace than our first three quarters. Our growth is in contrast to the preliminary industry data that suggest fiberglass, stern drive and inboard boat sales, which are really the core of our business. We’re down nearly double-digits for the quarter. Our better than industry sales results suggest that our market share gains are continuing and we incrementally grew our product margins despite facing the challenges brought about by the softer environment. We also saw a pickup in used boat sales in the fourth quarter, as availability of our used inventory improved due to the increase in trades we took from a new unit growth in the past four quarters. At the beginning of the fiscal year, we commented that we believe we hit bottom in the summer of 2010. Four quarters in a row of new unit sales growth reaffirms that believe, we believe the industry is in much better shape today than in 2008 and 2009 from an inventory pipeline standpoint. Inventory in the industry is at low levels, which is helping…

Michael McLamb

Management

Thank you, Bill, and good morning again, everyone. For the three months ended September 30, 2011 our revenue was $119.8 million, down approximately 3.7% or about $4.6 million from the prior. Our same-store sales decrease 2%. As Bill mentioned, our new units were up in the quarter, specifically they were up in the mid single-digit, but varied by brand and by category. While we are glad we produced another quarter of unit growth, it was tougher and lower growth than the strong double-digit growth we experienced each of our previous three quarters. Our overall revenue was primarily down from less large yacht sales due – we believe the timing. Overall the large yacht business seems to be doing fine as evidenced by our healthy increase in customer deposits on our balance sheet. Gross profit as a percentage of revenue was about 25% in the quarter up about 90 basis points from the prior year. The year-over-year increase in the margin percentage was primarily the result of higher margins on new boat sales and slight incremental improvements in our higher margin businesses like service, finance and insurance and parts and accessories. On the surface, it looks like selling, general and administrative expenses increased a lot in dollars and as a percentage of revenue during the quarter. However, last year we had a reversal of almost $4 million in stock-based compensation. When considering this and the store closing costs in each period, our dollar level of SG&A is about the same in both quarters. Given our drop in revenue for our 2011 fourth quarter, SG&A increased as a percentage. Most of the increase was due to our conscious decision to keep the marketing push going through the important summer selling season. From a market share perspective it seems to have paid off.…

William McGill

Management

Thank you, Mike. Earlier Mike mentioned, the Fort Lauderdale Boat Show, which ended this past Monday. The show which is one of the largest in the world was unfortunately impacted by lot of rain on Saturday and Sunday. A very encouraging sign, however, was that Thursday and Friday were the busiest that they have been in many, many years. Our team is working hard to follow-up on the many leads and prospects we received from the show with customer open house events, planned this weekend and later to give prospective buyers a chance to view and demonstrate the portfolio of products in better weather conditions. Our performance over the past four quarters reaffirms the strength of our core strategies, our ability to continue gaining market share which should translate into long-term value for our shareholders as we move ahead. We are taking the appropriate measures to manage the areas of the business that we can control and continue to explore additional strategic opportunities that will help us drive increased cash flow. Given the current environment in which we are operating, we are proud of our team for what they are accomplishing. You have heard us speak about our market share gains. During the quarter, we were recognized for model year 2011 as having a top four market share districts among all Sea Ray dealers in the country. Additionally, our customer satisfaction is world class as we service and interact with them. As we have always mentioned in the past, there is seasonality to the Marine business and our business can be volatile on a quarter-to-quarter basis. But our long-term targets remained intact. Going forward, we expect to recover and capitalize on every opportunity in order to deliver profitable earnings as there is still significant opportunity to improve future performance. Our confidence remains high for a long-term future growth. And our unique customer focused business model and initiatives will make ourselves a leaner organization will only improve our growth profile as the market recovers. Our customer’s passion for boating and their participation has not subsided, and we have a great team in place to help drive bottom line profits as we begin this fiscal 2012. We look forward to the continued strength of our customer centric strategies, our brands, our balance sheet and our exceptional team and which we start the new fiscal year. And with that, operator we’ll open it up for questions.

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions) We’ll go to Gregory McKinley with Dougherty Greg McKinley – Dougherty: Yeah, good morning. I wonder if you could talk, first of all, did you notice any regional trends or certain parts of your store base perform much differently than the whole. And can you talk about trends that occurred during the quarter you suggested that sales momentum abated in the second half of the quarter, I wonder if you could give us a little more detail on that?

William McGill

Management

Well, Greg, the Northeast in particularly appear to be lighting up for us real well, going up through a good part of July, and as well as Florida, which is showing some very, very good signs. But in reality we were seeing it everywhere as we were entering July. And then I think it was all of a debt discussions, that which followed with a downgrade and then all of the Europe talk and it seems to – it not didn’t seem, it locked up a lot of our customers, and we had customers that delayed their purchase decisions, we had others that – a few that even canceled their decision as a result of what was going on and you heard us say that many, many times that uncertainty is our biggest enemy in our business and of course there’s been a lot of uncertainty with the market bouncing all over the place as well. And so what we were saying going into July, what looked like was very, very encouraging signs that, hey, this thing is coming back. So, we threw a lot at it as far as marketing and extra efforts, more events with our customers et cetera, to get them even more excited and then it was like somebody turned off the light switch towards the end of July, which was just heart-breaking to all of us. But it’s beginning to show signs of coming back. We saw a very, very positive attitudes in Fort Lauderdale, especially the two days when it wasn’t raining, the first two days, and we were on track for an unbelievable show, and – but here came to weather, and here came the snow up in the northeast, which I think caused us some customers coming south for the weekend as well. So, that’s kind of it.

Michael McLamb

Management

I just would add that, even though Bill is right, it slowed down, I mean, we did generate new unit growth again during this quarter, which is pretty encouraging and consistent with our thought last year that the industry bottomed. I think for the over last quarter, the northeast was probably still our strongest region, Greg. Florida, because of the – and we mentioned during the prepared remarks that we had little bit larger – excuse me – less larger boat sales in the quarter and that would impact Florida more. We think that’s again more due to timing. Florida seems to be binding with sea life, which is important to us and important to the industry. Greg McKinley – Dougherty: Okay. Thank you. And then Mike, can you talk a little bit about cost reductions between I guess, leases, personal and you referred to just general cost reductions, which I’m assuming refers to reduced marketing expense that you commented on. In dollar terms, how much do you think you’ve pulled out of the cost structure for fiscal ‘12?

Michael McLamb

Management

I tell you Greg, it’s every line item in the P&L, again, I know you’ve heard us say again, but it’s personal, it’s leases, it’s funds, it’s everything. We commented that we closed the three stores and we’re trying to position ourselves to be in a better position for profitability for 2012, assuming a slower, tougher recovery. So if you assume – if you assume that and if you look at our numbers, you would assume that we’re trying to get our expenses down closer to $120 million that we were in this year. And that kind of give you a magnitude of what we’re looking at from an expense cut perspective. Greg McKinley – Dougherty: Okay.

Michael McLamb

Management

And that’s coming – we talked about the three store closers, it’s a little bit there, it’s a little bit marketing. We did reduce some team members; it’s little bit everywhere within the business just given the reality of a longer slow recovery for the industry. Greg McKinley – Dougherty: Thank you.

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instruction) We’ll go to Joe Hovorka with Raymond James. Joseph Hovorka – Raymond James: Hi. Couple of quick questions, one, you mentioned that you’re cutting your purchases from some of the manufactures, did you – do you have a magnitude of how much you are cutting those purchases by at this point?

Michael McLamb

Management

Joe, I don’t – we obviously know what we’ve cut in dollars we cut. I don’t think that’s most important thing; I think the most important thing is that we now have the ability to be more fluid in our purchases and in our cuts. As you know, you have been following the industry for a long time; it’s no longer that annual commitment process. We look at things throughout the year on trimester basis, three times a year. So we have a bunch of different opportunities to adjust purchases depending on what we are seeing at retail either up or down. We did adjust some down in the September quarter. At the September quarter year-end we have adjusted some down slightly since then, and we are looking out to boats that are coming in February, March, April and May where we have obviously a lot of product coming, a lot of opportunity to still make reductions if we need to or to increase it. So I think the most relevant thing for all of us is just our ability to adjust inventory as dictated by customer demand. I’d tell you overall, we feel pretty good, we are probably little heavier than we’d like to be, but not a lot heavier and we have the ability to adjust that as we go through the winter time here.

William McGill

Management

But we also, Joe, see ourselves positioned to an advantage over most of the competition out there, because what we are hearing from our lending sources is that a lot of the industry is not stocking inventory at sufficient levels even where our business is today in some regard and so we don’t want to get caught without having enough inventory or to look like we are going out of business which is often the truth. We want to make sure that we have the right inventory and to that point we are very satisfied with the aging of our inventory and also the models that we have available in the company. So we’re feeling much better, but as Mike said, we are managing it on a daily, weekly type basis with the manufacturers to make sure we’re making the right decisions here. Joseph Hovorka – Raymond James: When you talk of this Floor Plan with those finance companies and they tell you about the competitors, are they not stocking enough boats because of a lack of availability of credit or a desire not to use their full line of credit, i.e. I mean if they wanted to purchase more, could they?

William McGill

Management

I think it’s the combination of both, in some regards they are kept out on their Floor Plan availability and in others they are just being extremely cautious and not as interested in growing the business from a boat sales standpoint and basically they hunker down and surviving.

Michael McLamb

Management

Well, it’s the curtailment sales that they put in place, Joe, if you remember – when was it, ‘09, ‘08 all the banks kind of changed from 100% flooring to depending on the time periods 90%, 80%, 70% and some of these dealers who have been weathering some of them long time, don’t have the equity to put into a boat to be able to buy a boat, I think that’s probably the bigger piece of it. I think they can’t put the down stroke down, which I think does give us a competitive advantage. So even in the Fort Lauderdale Boat Show, a lot of the boats there were factory owned and all going back to the factory – whereas our boats are in the marketplace and we can show them to customer.

William McGill

Management

And sell them.

Michael McLamb

Management

And sell them. Joseph Hovorka – Raymond James: Did you have a target for your days inventory, if you feel you’re little heavy here, do you – is there a turn somebody what to get to or...?

William McGill

Management

Actually, Joe, yeah, I mean we spend a lot of time looking at the every single unit, we maintain our inventory on a unit by unit basis and our turns, last year were probably around 1.5 times, which we think is too low. We use to be as you recall closer to 3 times, and then that began to slow. We took on some larger product which we knew, but – ultimately we want to back 2.5 to 3 times. I think in this environment with the production capabilities and manufacturers that’s going to be really hard because the state of the manufacturers, longer to get us boats and therefore they deal economies to have a little bit more soft than they otherwise would like to. But we’re eyeing that two turns for the first goal, I don’t believe we’ll hit it this year, but we’ll get some place between 1.5 and 2 as this year’s goal. Joseph Hovorka – Raymond James: Okay, great. Thanks, guys.

William McGill

Management

Bye, Joe.

Operator

Operator

And we have a follow-up question from Gregory McKinley. Greg McKinley – Dougherty: Yeah. Thank you. I just again wanted to revisit operating expenses and understand, I know we have talked in the past, variable versus fixed nature of your operating cost. If we try to look at 2011 versus 2010, excluding things like the reversal of compensation expense from last year’s fourth quarter, it looked like sort of core operating expenses increased to couple million dollars year-over-year in ‘11 versus ‘10.

Michael McLamb

Management

That’s right. Greg McKinley – Dougherty: Maybe a $30 million revenue increase. I just want to understand, with these reductions that you’ve now undertaken, should we expect that variability not to be occurring, because we can actually be closer to $120 million of cost at flat type of revenues, or are we with modest revenue growth drivers north of the current year caught $129 million?

Michael McLamb

Management

Yeah. I think to pick a number, if next year repeats this year, we want to be closer to $120 million. Greg McKinley – Dougherty: Okay.

Michael McLamb

Management

... I’m sure that’s the revenue we’ve got this year. As the revenue begins to grow, kind of like you saw all this year, we do have commissions we do have stuff like that that comes into play. And so as revenue grows, we’re going to north of the $120 million just simply because of the commissions that we payout and probably some other incremental cost that come into it. But I think it would – I think the expense increase we had this year was a reasonable expense increase for the top line growth, but we’d like it could have been less. We’d like to have done some other stuff perhaps at the start of the year knowing how the whole has turned out, but – we’re doing those things now to try to get the cost structure down. Greg McKinley – Dougherty: So, just burble quick back to the envelop, if we’re closed to $120 million at current – I thought $480 million of revenues and we’re more or less of break-even from pre – income from operations at about $480 million is ballpark?

Michael McLamb

Management

Yes, subject to margin assumptions... Greg McKinley – Dougherty: Yeah.

Michael McLamb

Management

And subject to the any market share improvements and then the wild card is what happens from a macro environment perspective as well. Greg McKinley – Dougherty: Yeah. Thank you.

Michael McLamb

Management

Thanks, Greg.

William McGill

Management

Thank you, Greg.

Operator

Operator

And that will conclude today’s question-and-answer session. I’ll turn the conference over to your, Mr. McGill for any closing remarks.

William McGill

Management

Thank you operator, and thank you everyone for your continued interest and support in MarineMax. As always, I’d also like to thank again our team members for their hard work and passion for our business. Through their solid efforts we are the leading boat retailer in the country. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And that will conclude today’s conference. You may now disconnect.