Christina Kmetko
Analyst · Sidoti & Company. Your line is open
Thank you. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to our 2018 third quarter earnings call. I’m Christina Kmetko and I’m responsible for Investor Relations at Hyster-Yale. Joining me on today’s call are Al Rankin, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer of Hyster-Yale Materials Handling; Colin Wilson, President and Chief Executive Officer of Hyster-Yale Group; and Ken Schilling, our Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Yesterday evening, we published our third quarter 2018 results and filed our 10-Q. Copies of the earnings release and 10-Q are available on our website. For anyone who is not able to listen to today’s entire call, an archived version of this webcast will be on our website later this afternoon and available for approximately 12 months. I would like to remind participants that this conference call may contain certain forward-looking statements. These statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements made here today in either our prepared remarks or during the following question-and-answer session. We disclaim any obligation to update these forward-looking statements, which may not be updated until our next quarterly conference call, if at all. Additional information regarding these risks and uncertainties was set forth in our earnings release and in our 10-Q. Also certain amounts discussed during this call are considered non-GAAP. The non-GAAP reconciliations of these amounts are included in our earnings release and available on our website. Now let me discuss our third quarter results and activities. I will discuss the highlights first and then get into the details. In the third quarter the global lift truck market remains strong and in this strong market we had a solid increase in our third quarter lift truck shipments and our ending backlog increased 20.5% over the prior year. Our average sales price per unit in backlog increased over the 2017, third quarter but with comparables to the second quarter. This is because in the third quarter the company shipped more lower-priced units while volumes of higher priced units including big trucks results primarily as a result of supplier shortages. On a consolidated basis our revenues increased over 13.3% to $782.9 million up from $691.1 million last year driven by a 13.6% increase in the lift truck business revenues and a 5% increase in Bolzoni’s revenue. The lift truck revenues included $19 million on shipment of 1400 units from our maximum subsidiary which was acquired in June 2018. Despite this revenue growth our consolidated operating profit decreased 32.6% to $12.2 million from $18.1 million last year which included decreases at all operating segments. However, I would like to note that the 2018 third quarter operating profit includes $4 million of one-time high fuel maximum purchase accounting adjustments and $2 million of post acquisition expenses. Excluding the one-time adjustments and despite the effect of import tariffs our third quarter operating profit was broadly in line with our expectations. We reported net income of $15.4 million this quarter or $0.93 per share compared with $16.5 million or $1 per share on the prior year. In our lift truck business third quarter 2018 revenues went up 13.6% to $740.8 million from $652.3 million in the prior year but operating profit decreased 20.2% to $19.4 million from $24.3 million in 2017. Overall, profit from increased shipments and parts revenues were more than offset by higher material cost, net of price increases, the one-time unfavorable purchase accounting adjustment of $4 million and manufacturing inefficiencies caused by supplier parts shortages. Those are the significant factors affecting our lift truck operating results. Now let me turn to the outlook for the consolidated lift truck business. We continue to be focused on increasing our unit volumes and market share over the remainder of 2018 and in future years to the continued implementation of our key strategic initiatives. We have realigned our sales and marketing teams and increased our sales and marketing resources to execute our specific industry strategies more effectively as a means to target sustainable shared gain. This is one of the main reasons our operating expenses have increased throughout 2018. The overall global lift truck market remains strong throughout the first three quarters of 2018 and is expected to grow only modestly in the fourth quarter of this year. We expect unit shipments and unit and parts revenues to increase during the fourth quarter compared with last year. Five benefits from expected increases in unit and part sales as well as anticipated benefits from favorable currency. We expect the lift truck business gross profit to decrease significantly in the fourth quarter of 2018 compared to last year and the explanations for the third quarter results hold for the fourth quarter outlook. Benefits from anticipated higher unit and parts volumes and price increases are expected to be more than offset by the effects of material cost inflation and import tariffs a shift in mix to lower margin products primarily because the truck shipments are expected to continue to be impacted by supplier constraints and we expect to continue to experience increased manufacturing and efficiencies caused by supplier parts shortages. These challenges combined with an expected increase in operating expenses particularly higher costs to increase our sales and marketing teams, as well as increased product development cost and maximal integration costs are also expected to result in a substantial decrease in operating profit. Nevertheless we anticipate 2018 fourth quarter net income will increase substantially over last year's fourth quarter as a result of the absence of the tax adjustments made in 2017 for U.S. tax reform litigation. We anticipate the commodity costs will continue to increase in the last quarter of this year, although these costs remain volatile and sensitive to changes in the global economy and to tariffs. We announced tariff surcharge and will continue to monitor these costs closely and adjust pricing accordingly. Moving to Bolzoni, also reported net income $1.4 million and revenues of $46.6 million for the third quarter compared with net income of $1.9 million in revenues of $44.3 million in last year's third quarter. Our earnings revenue increases primarily due to higher volumes in the EMEA market. Our earnings profit decreased mainly because of higher operating expenses due to the continued implementation of strategic programs specifically to increase its presence in North America. Looking forward as a result of anticipated growth in the EMEA market and the continued implementation of sales enhancement programs we expect Bolzoni's fourth-quarter revenues to increase significantly compared with the prior year fourth quarter. In addition to the anticipated increase in revenues and the expected operating leverage resulting from the sales growth we expect the continued implementation of several key strategic programs to generate substantial growth in Bolzoni's operating profit and net income in the fourth quarter compared with last year. Finally, in our Nuvera segment, Nuvera reported revenues of $1 million, an operating loss of $9 million and a net loss of $6.4 million in the third quarter of 2018 compared with revenues of 300,000, an operating loss of $8.1 million and a net loss of $4.9 million a year ago. The revenue decrease was the result of an increase in sales associated with Nuvera's hydrogen power generation units compared with the prior year. Also during the quarter Nuvera shipped 56 battery box replacement units compared with 13 in the prior year. Revenues on these shift units as well as other shipments throughout 2018 has been deferred because these units are new technology and the design of the product continues to evolve. Currently we do not have sufficient data available to be able to reasonably estimate all of the future costs related to the sale of battery box replacement units such as warranty cost. When we are able to reasonably estimate the total future costs related to these sales we will be able to appropriately recognize the revenue and warranty reserves. Nuvera's operating loss increased in the third quarter of 2018 compared with the prior year mainly as a result of higher product development and production startup costs related to fuel cell stacks and engine. For the fourth quarter of 2018 we expect battery box replacement unit bookings and shipments to increase. In addition to new projects Nuvera expects [indiscernible] and net losses in the fourth quarter of 2018. During our second quarter call I spoke about the new agreement with [Zhejiang] that was signed early in the third quarter. In addition to that agreement Nuvera is working with the second significant Chinese company and has a signed agreement for the development of a fuel cell system for use in their internally developed electric powertrain. Nuvera expect significant near-term payments which will be amortized into income over the remainder of 2018 and 2019 as the development work is completed. This agreement is an extension of an initial proof of performance review that was completed during the third quarter. During 2019 this contract is expected to generate substantial income. Additional phases if successful would be completed over the next four years and would result in commercial production and the non exclusive use of Nuvera fuel cell stacks by the partner with Nuvera retaining rights to use the stacks globally. So to summarize our consolidated fourth quarter outlook we expect our consolidated operating profit to decrease compared with the 2017 fourth quarter as anticipated fourth quarter improvements at Nuvera and Bolzoni are not expected to offset the anticipated decrease in the fourth quarter operating profit at the lift truck business, which is expected to be lower primarily as a result of the timing of price realization and the resulting cost price differential as well as manufacturing inefficiency. However, consolidated 2018 fourth-quarter net income is expected to increase significantly due to the absence of unfavorable tax adjustments of $18.4 million made in the fourth quarter of last year and the lower effective income tax rate as a result of U.S. tax Reform Legislation. Now let me provide a high-level perspective of what we expect for 2019. However, I'd like to point out that we are still going through our detailed annual planning process and we will provide more color on 2019 with our yearend earnings once that process has been completed. Within the lift truck business we expect global markets in 2019 to be comparable to 2018. Based on our preliminary 2019 plan we expect benefits from anticipated unit and parts revenue increases will be partially offset by higher operating expenses and material cost inflation net of price increases and tariff surcharges. This is expected to result in an increase in both operating profit and net income in 2019 compared with ‘18. However, we have a number of opportunities and challenges that have not yet been fully factored into our operating plan due to uncertainties in the general market environment. At present our biggest concern is the effect of tariffs on our operations but the component shortages I spoke of caused by supplier constraints appear likely to become a more serious challenge to anticipated increasing volumes in 2019. On the other hand we also have a number of cost-saving opportunities that we are reviewing but the effect of these opportunities have not been fully calibrated at this time. At Bolzoni we expect revenues to remain strong but the growth rate is expected to moderate from the double-digit growth experienced in 2018. We expect that both operating profit and net income will increase next year compared with this year on improved margin. Bolzoni has a significant opportunity to grow in the Americas market where has a lower market position than EMEA and this will be a major focus in 2019 and beyond. And Nuvera we expect demand for fuel cell stacks and systems as well as battery box replacements used on lift trucks to increase significantly in 2019. We are also encouraged by the amount of interest from third parties particularly in China wanting to partner with Nuvera's various types of arrangements. Nuvera believes this interest can be a significant and profitable near-term growth opportunity. We anticipate Nuvera's cost base to decrease but we will continue to watch how recently implemented tariffs on imported components will affect them and adjust accordingly. Also during 2019 the production of battery box replacements and Nuvera's Massachusetts facility will be phased out and transferred to the lift truck business with the phase-out of this production Nuvera will [focus] on design, manufacturing and sales and marketing of fuel cell stacks and engines. As Nuvera ramps up production of fuel cell stacks and engines and leverages the partnership opportunities we expect Nuvera's losses to moderate substantially during 2019, especially in the second half of the year. As we've noted previously we have had a target to achieve breakeven by late 2019. In light of the additional business opportunities in China within the non-forklift truck market as well as additional costs that are expected to be incurred associated with these opportunities, we are currently assessing the appropriateness of this target. Overall, on a consolidated basis as a preliminary baseline we expect 2019 revenues, operating profit, and net income to improve over 2018. Before I open up the call for questions I wanted to make a comment about our cash position and cash flow expectations. Our cash position at September 30, was $121.9 million compared with $220.1 million at the end of 2017. Our debt balance was $296.5 million up modestly from $290.7 million at year-end. The decrease in cash and modest increase in debt were primarily driven by the acquisition of Maximal in the second quarter of 2018. We expect our consolidated cash flow before financing activities will be a significant use of cash in the fourth quarter primarily due to anticipated increased working capital and higher capital expenditures. That concludes our prepared remarks. I will now open up the call for your questions.