Kathryn Bueker
Analyst · JP Morgan. Please go ahead
Thanks, Brian. Let's turn to our third quarter financial results and our guidance for the fourth quarter and full year 2020. Third quarter revenue growth re-accelerated to 30% year-over-year in constant currency and 32% as reported. Q3 subscription revenue grew 32% year-over-year, while services revenue increased 12% year-over-year on an as-reported basis. Domestic revenue grew 20% in Q3, while international revenue growth was 39% year-over-year in constant currency and 40% as reported. International revenue represented 44% of total revenue in Q3, up 3 points year-over-year. Deferred revenue as of the end of September was $259 million, a 27% increase year-over-year. Calculated billings were $246 million in Q3, up 33% in constant currency and 38% year-over-year on an as-reported basis. Earlier in the year, we introduced proactive measures to provide customers and partners the flexibility needed to remain productive and engaged parts of the HubSpot's ecosystem. As I shared at the Analyst Day, we saw the vast majority of these COVID customer relief requests in the first half of the year. Overall, we continue to see a small number of new requests and the retention of our customers at the end of the short-term plays remains strong. We continue to watch these trends carefully, particularly given the recent uptick in global COVID cases. We also saw continued strength in demand from new customers during the quarter. We ended Q3 with over 95,000 total customers, up 39% year-over-year. Net customer additions were nearly 9,000 and set another company record, driven by broad strength across the business, although we continue to see notable growth in our starter growth suite customers. Average subscription revenue per customer of roughly $9,700 was up a few points sequentially, but down year-over-year, as a result of the strength that we've seen at the low end of the portfolio. Total revenue retention was greater than 100% in Q3. While retention benefited from the performance of customers upgrading at the end of short-term discount, revenue retention would have remained above 100% without this benefit. The remainder of my comments will refer to non-GAAP measures. Third quarter gross margin was 82%, flat year-over-year. Subscription gross margin was 86% while services gross margin was negative 20%. Third quarter operating margin was 7%, up 1.0 compared to the same period last year. Operating margin in the quarter exceeded our expectations, primarily as a result of strong revenue performance. At the end of the third quarter, we had nearly 4,000 employees, up 20% year-over-year. Net income in the third quarter was $40 million or $0.28 per diluted share. CapEx, including capitalized software development costs, was $30 million or 6% of revenue in the quarter. We expect CapEx, as a percentage of revenue, to be 6% to 7% in 2020. Free cash flow in the third quarter was $25 million, driven by strong business performance. As a result we're increasing our expectations for full year 2020 free cash flow to approximately $60 million. HubSpot ended the quarter with $1.2 billion of cash and marketable securities. We remain confident that our strong balance sheet will provide us with the financial flexibility to invest for the long term. And with that let's dive into guidance for the fourth quarter and full year of 2020. For the fourth quarter, total revenue is expected to be in the range of $235 million to $237 million dollars, up 27% year-over-year at the midpoint. Non-GAAP operating income is expected to be between $13 million and $15 million. Non-GAAP diluted net income per share is expected to be between 21% and 23%. This assumes 49.6 million fully diluted shares outstanding and for the full year of 2020 total revenue is expected to be in the range of $866 million to $868 million, up 28% year-over-year. Non-GAAP operating income is expected to be in the range of $63.5 million and $65.5 million. Non-GAAP diluted net income per share is expected to be between $1.13 and $1.15. This assumes 48.7 million fully diluted shares outstanding. As you adjust your models, keep in mind the following. At current spot rates, we expect a 2 point FX tailwind to Q4 reported revenue and now expect a neutral FX impact to reported revenue for the full year of 2020. We have delivered modest operating margin leverage in 2020 as a result of our strong business performance, coupled with some cost savings from our shift to remote work. At our Analyst Day, I reiterated our commitment to investing for the long term and indicated that we expect to increase our R&D spending as a percentage of revenue. As a result of this increase, coupled with a return to a more normal level of employee spend over the next year, we do not expect to deliver operating margin leverage in 2021. We are still early in our planning process, so we will share a more detailed outlook for profitability when we report our Q4 results. The investments we're making in both our product and go-to-market teams are paying off and will position us well to grow in 2021 and beyond. And with that, I'll hand the call back over to Brian for his closing remarks.